Preseason Rankings
Missouri
Southeastern
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.6#52
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.8#85
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+7.2#20
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#102
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.3% 1.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 3.4% 3.4% 0.3%
Top 4 Seed 9.3% 9.4% 0.8%
Top 6 Seed 17.6% 17.7% 2.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 41.4% 41.7% 14.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 38.9% 39.2% 13.9%
Average Seed 7.0 7.0 8.4
.500 or above 65.7% 66.1% 30.1%
.500 or above in Conference 45.6% 45.8% 23.4%
Conference Champion 3.9% 3.9% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 9.3% 9.1% 23.0%
First Four4.5% 4.6% 3.0%
First Round39.2% 39.5% 12.4%
Second Round23.6% 23.7% 7.5%
Sweet Sixteen10.0% 10.1% 1.6%
Elite Eight4.3% 4.3% 0.8%
Final Four1.8% 1.8% 0.4%
Championship Game0.8% 0.8% 0.0%
National Champion0.3% 0.3% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Pine Bluff (Home) - 98.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 9
Quad 24 - 38 - 13
Quad 33 - 111 - 13
Quad 46 - 017 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 346   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 90-65 99%    
  Nov 10, 2023 27   Memphis W 81-80 51%    
  Nov 13, 2023 259   SIU Edwardsville W 86-68 95%    
  Nov 16, 2023 113   @ Minnesota W 74-71 60%    
  Nov 19, 2023 245   Jackson St. W 83-66 93%    
  Nov 22, 2023 345   South Carolina St. W 94-70 98%    
  Nov 25, 2023 295   Loyola Maryland W 83-63 96%    
  Nov 28, 2023 69   @ Pittsburgh L 75-76 46%    
  Dec 03, 2023 95   Wichita St. W 77-69 75%    
  Dec 09, 2023 1   @ Kansas L 71-84 13%    
  Dec 17, 2023 66   Seton Hall W 73-72 55%    
  Dec 22, 2023 21   Illinois L 76-80 38%    
  Dec 30, 2023 336   Central Arkansas W 94-71 98%    
  Jan 06, 2024 73   Georgia W 78-73 67%    
  Jan 09, 2024 13   @ Kentucky L 71-79 24%    
  Jan 13, 2024 89   South Carolina W 75-68 72%    
  Jan 16, 2024 12   @ Alabama L 77-86 24%    
  Jan 20, 2024 36   Florida W 77-76 54%    
  Jan 23, 2024 22   @ Texas A&M L 70-77 29%    
  Jan 27, 2024 89   @ South Carolina W 72-71 53%    
  Jan 31, 2024 17   Arkansas L 77-78 46%    
  Feb 03, 2024 87   @ Vanderbilt W 76-75 53%    
  Feb 07, 2024 22   Texas A&M L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 10, 2024 37   Mississippi St. W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 17, 2024 60   @ Mississippi L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 20, 2024 7   Tennessee L 68-72 38%    
  Feb 24, 2024 17   @ Arkansas L 74-81 27%    
  Feb 28, 2024 36   @ Florida L 74-79 34%    
  Mar 02, 2024 60   Mississippi W 75-71 62%    
  Mar 05, 2024 23   Auburn L 75-76 49%    
  Mar 09, 2024 56   @ LSU L 72-75 41%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 3.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.9 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.5 1.5 0.4 0.0 5.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 2.9 1.9 0.4 0.0 6.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.3 2.9 0.6 0.0 7.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.9 3.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.4 1.7 0.1 8.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 4.4 2.5 0.2 8.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.8 3.5 0.5 0.0 8.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.0 3.8 0.9 0.0 8.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.0 1.7 0.1 0.0 8.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.5 2.0 0.2 0.0 8.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.8 2.7 1.6 0.3 0.0 7.0 13th
14th 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.6 14th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.2 4.1 6.1 8.4 10.1 11.0 11.4 11.1 10.2 8.1 6.2 4.4 2.8 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 97.8% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 88.8% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-3 72.3% 1.1    0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 38.5% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 12.3% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 24.0% 76.0% 1.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.3% 100.0% 25.5% 74.5% 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.7% 100.0% 18.2% 81.8% 1.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.6% 100.0% 14.7% 85.3% 2.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.8% 100.0% 12.1% 87.9% 3.3 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 4.4% 99.0% 10.1% 88.9% 4.4 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.9%
12-6 6.2% 97.3% 8.3% 89.0% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 97.1%
11-7 8.1% 91.9% 5.5% 86.4% 7.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.7 91.5%
10-8 10.2% 77.5% 5.5% 72.0% 8.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.7 1.7 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.3 76.2%
9-9 11.1% 53.1% 4.3% 48.8% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2 51.0%
8-10 11.4% 25.2% 2.9% 22.3% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5 23.0%
7-11 11.0% 9.1% 2.2% 6.8% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 7.0%
6-12 10.1% 2.1% 1.6% 0.5% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.9 0.5%
5-13 8.4% 1.0% 1.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.3
4-14 6.1% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 6.0
3-15 4.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.0 4.1
2-16 2.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.2
1-17 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 41.4% 4.1% 37.3% 7.0 1.3 2.0 2.8 3.2 3.9 4.4 4.7 5.1 4.7 4.7 3.5 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 58.6 38.9%