America East
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
138 Umass Lowell 29.6%   15   1 - 0 0 - 0 19 - 9 11 - 5 +1.3      +1.9 126 -0.6 188 73.1 83 +8.7 54 0.0 1
139 Vermont 29.1%   1 - 2 0 - 0 19 - 10 11 - 5 +1.3      -1.7 220 +2.9 90 60.4 357 +3.9 118 0.0 1
193 Bryant 16.3%   0 - 1 0 - 0 15 - 14 10 - 6 -1.8      -1.1 196 -0.7 193 82.7 7 -23.5 361 0.0 1
243 Maine 9.3%   1 - 1 0 - 0 15 - 14 9 - 7 -4.1      -4.3 299 +0.2 161 66.4 267 +11.0 39 0.0 1
253 Albany 8.1%   1 - 1 0 - 0 14 - 15 8 - 8 -4.5      -1.2 200 -3.3 278 80.5 12 -5.9 280 0.0 1
302 Maryland Baltimore Co. 4.2%   0 - 1 0 - 0 11 - 16 7 - 9 -7.1      -1.6 214 -5.5 344 80.6 11 +1.3 165 0.0 1
326 New Hampshire 1.6%   0 - 3 0 - 0 9 - 20 6 - 10 -9.4      -6.7 344 -2.8 256 76.1 39 -15.3 346 0.0 1
330 Binghamton 1.6%   0 - 3 0 - 0 9 - 19 6 - 10 -9.6      -4.6 310 -5.0 331 66.1 274 -4.9 270 0.0 1
354 NJIT 0.3%   0 - 3 0 - 0 6 - 24 4 - 12 -13.7      -8.7 360 -4.9 329 65.3 303 -21.3 360 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Umass Lowell 2.4 39.7 24.1 14.9 9.6 5.7 3.3 1.7 0.8 0.2
Vermont 2.4 38.5 24.9 16.1 9.7 5.8 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.1
Bryant 3.4 19.3 19.8 19.0 15.2 11.2 7.3 4.9 2.4 0.9
Maine 4.2 10.1 13.7 16.5 16.9 15.5 12.1 8.3 5.0 2.0
Albany 4.4 8.5 12.5 15.3 17.0 16.0 12.9 9.4 5.7 2.6
Maryland Baltimore Co. 5.4 3.8 7.0 9.8 12.8 15.8 16.4 15.3 11.9 7.2
New Hampshire 6.3 1.3 3.0 5.2 8.8 12.9 17.0 19.7 19.1 13.0
Binghamton 6.4 1.2 2.7 5.2 8.2 12.3 16.5 19.6 20.3 13.9
NJIT 7.7 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.6 5.1 9.0 15.2 24.6 41.7




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Umass Lowell 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.0 3.5 5.9 8.3 11.3 13.7 15.9 15.0 12.2 7.6 2.8
Vermont 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.3 5.5 8.9 11.8 14.8 16.4 15.1 12.1 7.0 2.2
Bryant 10 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.9 3.3 5.3 7.6 10.5 13.0 13.9 13.6 12.0 8.7 5.7 2.6 0.7
Maine 9 - 7 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.7 6.3 8.9 12.0 13.3 13.4 12.9 10.7 7.8 4.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
Albany 8 - 8 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.4 4.5 7.1 9.7 12.2 13.1 13.8 12.5 9.5 7.0 4.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
Maryland Baltimore Co. 7 - 9 0.3 1.3 3.1 6.0 8.9 11.6 13.0 13.4 12.6 10.4 7.7 5.7 3.3 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0
New Hampshire 6 - 10 0.7 2.6 6.5 10.2 13.5 14.7 14.7 12.7 9.5 6.7 4.3 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Binghamton 6 - 10 0.9 3.0 6.9 10.6 13.9 15.0 14.2 12.3 9.4 6.4 3.6 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
NJIT 4 - 12 5.0 11.9 16.5 18.1 16.1 12.5 8.6 5.6 3.1 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Umass Lowell 39.7% 28.3 9.2 1.8 0.3 0.0
Vermont 38.5% 26.9 9.5 1.8 0.3 0.0
Bryant 19.3% 12.1 5.7 1.3 0.2 0.0
Maine 10.1% 5.5 3.4 1.0 0.2 0.0
Albany 8.5% 4.8 2.8 0.7 0.2 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 3.8% 1.9 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
New Hampshire 1.3% 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Binghamton 1.2% 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
NJIT 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Umass Lowell 29.6% 29.5% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 4.1 7.7 8.3 6.1 2.5 70.4 0.0%
Vermont 29.1% 29.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.3 7.5 8.3 6.3 3.0 70.9 0.0%
Bryant 16.3% 16.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 3.0 4.2 7.1 83.7 0.0%
Maine 9.3% 9.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.1 3.0 2.7 90.7 0.0%
Albany 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 2.3 3.5 91.9 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.3 95.8 0.0%
New Hampshire 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.5 98.4 0.0%
Binghamton 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.3 98.4 0.0%
NJIT 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3 99.7 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Umass Lowell 29.6% 0.9% 29.2% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vermont 29.1% 1.2% 28.5% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 16.3% 4.3% 14.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 9.3% 1.3% 8.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 8.1% 2.1% 7.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 4.2% 1.4% 3.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 1.6% 1.3% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 1.6% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.9 0.1
1st Round 93.5% 0.9 6.5 93.5 0.0
2nd Round 8.2% 0.1 91.8 8.2
Sweet Sixteen 1.7% 0.0 98.3 1.7
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0