America East
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
151 Umass Lowell 28.5%   15   6 - 4 0 - 0 19 - 9 11 - 5 +0.4      +2.2 117 -1.8 227 75.2 40 +1.5 144 0.0 1
176 Bryant 21.6%   4 - 7 0 - 0 15 - 14 11 - 5 -0.8      +0.1 168 -1.0 199 82.7 2 -4.8 249 0.0 1
194 Vermont 17.8%   4 - 7 0 - 0 15 - 14 10 - 6 -1.6      -4.2 293 +2.6 107 60.4 351 -4.3 240 0.0 1
213 Maine 14.4%   6 - 5 0 - 0 17 - 12 10 - 6 -2.5      -3.6 276 +1.0 135 66.6 243 +0.1 167 0.0 1
248 Albany 7.8%   4 - 6 0 - 0 14 - 15 8 - 8 -4.8      -0.8 192 -4.0 298 74.1 63 -5.1 257 0.0 1
255 Maryland Baltimore Co. 6.6%   4 - 5 0 - 0 13 - 15 8 - 8 -5.3      -0.6 186 -4.7 317 80.6 6 -7.6 298 0.0 1
310 Binghamton 2.6%   3 - 6 0 - 0 11 - 17 6 - 10 -8.2      -4.1 289 -4.1 300 64.2 305 -6.7 281 0.0 1
351 NJIT 0.4%   2 - 11 0 - 0 6 - 24 4 - 12 -12.6      -9.2 359 -3.4 286 65.3 274 -15.1 351 0.0 1
354 New Hampshire 0.4%   0 - 11 0 - 0 4 - 25 4 - 12 -12.9      -9.7 362 -3.2 277 70.6 130 -21.1 364 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Umass Lowell 2.4 40.5 22.9 15.2 10.0 6.3 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
Bryant 2.8 29.2 22.5 17.5 12.9 9.0 5.4 2.5 0.7 0.2
Vermont 3.1 23.2 20.9 18.3 14.9 10.9 6.9 3.4 1.2 0.3
Maine 3.5 17.4 18.0 18.3 16.3 13.4 9.4 4.9 1.8 0.5
Albany 4.5 7.9 10.6 13.9 15.9 17.8 16.3 11.0 4.9 1.6
Maryland Baltimore Co. 4.7 6.8 9.7 12.9 15.1 17.5 17.4 12.4 6.0 2.3
Binghamton 6.0 1.9 3.9 6.2 9.1 13.6 19.2 23.3 15.2 7.6
NJIT 7.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.0 4.3 9.3 18.5 32.4 32.1
New Hampshire 7.8 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 4.1 8.2 17.1 31.1 36.5




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Umass Lowell 11 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 3.2 6.1 10.2 13.6 17.1 17.4 14.8 9.8 4.4 1.1
Bryant 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.7 5.4 8.8 12.8 15.9 16.8 15.2 11.4 6.5 2.5 0.5
Vermont 10 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.8 6.8 10.6 14.1 16.5 16.3 13.3 9.0 4.9 1.6 0.3
Maine 10 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.8 5.4 9.1 12.6 15.5 16.4 14.5 11.2 6.6 3.0 0.9 0.1
Albany 8 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.6 6.9 10.8 14.2 15.9 15.3 12.7 9.1 5.4 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 4.4 7.9 11.9 14.6 15.4 14.6 11.8 8.4 4.7 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0
Binghamton 6 - 10 0.2 1.1 3.3 7.1 11.2 14.9 16.0 15.2 12.1 8.7 5.4 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
NJIT 4 - 12 2.1 7.7 14.2 19.1 19.2 15.7 10.6 6.1 3.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
New Hampshire 4 - 12 2.8 9.1 15.8 19.8 18.4 14.4 9.6 5.5 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Umass Lowell 40.5% 27.4 10.2 2.4 0.4 0.0 0.0
Bryant 29.2% 18.4 8.2 2.2 0.4 0.0 0.0
Vermont 23.2% 13.9 6.9 2.0 0.4 0.0 0.0
Maine 17.4% 9.7 5.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
Albany 7.9% 4.0 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 6.8% 3.3 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Binghamton 1.9% 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
NJIT 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
New Hampshire 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Umass Lowell 28.5% 28.5% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.2 1.4 5.4 9.4 9.1 3.0 71.5 0.0%
Bryant 21.6% 21.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.5 4.6 8.3 6.9 78.4 0.0%
Vermont 17.8% 17.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.6 6.7 6.2 82.2 0.0%
Maine 14.4% 14.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.2 6.0 4.2 85.6 0.0%
Albany 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.5 4.4 92.2 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 4.6 93.4 0.0%
Binghamton 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.2 97.4 0.0%
NJIT 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4 99.6 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4 99.6 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Umass Lowell 28.5% 0.7% 28.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 21.6% 3.3% 20.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vermont 17.8% 2.9% 16.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 14.4% 1.6% 13.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 7.8% 2.6% 6.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 6.6% 3.0% 5.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 2.6% 1.8% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 92.4% 0.9 7.6 92.4
2nd Round 4.0% 0.0 96.0 4.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0