Preseason Rankings
Nebraska
Big Ten
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.5#51
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.1#98
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#48
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#55
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
#1 Seed 0.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 2.6% 2.7% 0.5%
Top 4 Seed 7.9% 8.2% 1.5%
Top 6 Seed 15.2% 15.7% 3.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 39.7% 40.7% 15.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 37.8% 38.7% 15.2%
Average Seed 7.2 7.2 8.2
.500 or above 65.9% 67.3% 33.7%
.500 or above in Conference 44.7% 45.7% 22.7%
Conference Champion 3.8% 4.0% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 9.9% 9.4% 21.5%
First Four4.6% 4.6% 2.9%
First Round37.4% 38.4% 14.1%
Second Round22.3% 23.0% 6.2%
Sweet Sixteen9.4% 9.7% 2.2%
Elite Eight4.0% 4.1% 1.0%
Final Four1.7% 1.7% 0.5%
Championship Game0.6% 0.7% 0.1%
National Champion0.3% 0.3% 0.0%

Next Game: UT Rio Grande Valley (Home) - 95.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 9
Quad 24 - 38 - 12
Quad 33 - 111 - 13
Quad 46 - 017 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 284   UT Rio Grande Valley W 87-69 96%    
  Nov 09, 2024 298   Bethune-Cookman W 85-65 97%    
  Nov 13, 2024 347   Fairleigh Dickinson W 91-67 99%    
  Nov 17, 2024 35   St. Mary's L 65-67 45%    
  Nov 22, 2024 13   @ Creighton L 69-77 24%    
  Nov 27, 2024 274   South Dakota W 86-68 95%    
  Dec 01, 2024 254   North Florida W 83-66 94%    
  Dec 07, 2024 24   @ Michigan St. L 66-72 31%    
  Dec 13, 2024 20   Indiana L 74-75 49%    
  Dec 22, 2024 136   Murray St. W 74-66 75%    
  Dec 30, 2024 248   Southern W 79-62 92%    
  Jan 04, 2025 23   UCLA W 68-67 50%    
  Jan 07, 2025 45   @ Iowa L 79-83 38%    
  Jan 12, 2025 12   @ Purdue L 69-78 23%    
  Jan 16, 2025 29   Rutgers W 71-70 53%    
  Jan 19, 2025 38   @ Maryland L 66-71 35%    
  Jan 22, 2025 46   USC W 76-74 58%    
  Jan 26, 2025 44   @ Wisconsin L 69-73 38%    
  Jan 30, 2025 22   Illinois L 77-78 50%    
  Feb 02, 2025 34   @ Oregon L 71-76 35%    
  Feb 05, 2025 62   @ Washington L 77-79 42%    
  Feb 08, 2025 31   Ohio St. W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 13, 2025 38   Maryland W 69-68 55%    
  Feb 16, 2025 60   @ Northwestern L 68-70 42%    
  Feb 19, 2025 67   @ Penn St. L 74-76 44%    
  Feb 24, 2025 30   Michigan W 75-74 53%    
  Mar 01, 2025 76   Minnesota W 75-70 66%    
  Mar 04, 2025 31   @ Ohio St. L 70-75 33%    
  Mar 09, 2025 45   Iowa W 82-80 57%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 4.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 5.1 5th
6th 0.2 2.1 2.4 0.4 0.0 5.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 2.9 1.0 0.1 5.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.8 2.2 0.2 0.0 5.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 3.3 0.7 0.0 5.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.4 1.9 0.1 6.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 2.2 3.1 0.5 0.0 6.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.5 1.4 0.1 6.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 2.7 2.5 0.3 6.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.4 1.0 0.0 6.5 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.9 1.9 0.2 6.4 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.6 2.0 0.4 0.0 6.2 16th
17th 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.3 1.9 0.6 0.0 6.3 17th
18th 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 6.0 18th
Total 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.1 4.8 6.5 7.9 9.6 10.1 10.4 10.0 8.9 7.8 6.3 4.7 3.1 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 97.7% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 93.4% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
17-3 80.7% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
16-4 52.1% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 25.2% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 6.5% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 100.0% 43.0% 57.0% 1.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.2% 100.0% 42.2% 57.8% 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.5% 100.0% 27.5% 72.5% 1.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.2% 100.0% 27.0% 73.0% 2.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 2.0% 100.0% 19.2% 80.8% 3.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 3.1% 100.0% 15.3% 84.7% 4.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 4.7% 99.2% 11.1% 88.0% 5.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
13-7 6.3% 96.6% 7.9% 88.8% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 96.4%
12-8 7.8% 89.6% 3.3% 86.3% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.8 89.3%
11-9 8.9% 75.2% 2.5% 72.8% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.6 1.5 1.0 0.1 2.2 74.6%
10-10 10.0% 53.0% 1.3% 51.7% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.5 0.3 4.7 52.4%
9-11 10.4% 21.8% 0.6% 21.1% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 8.2 21.3%
8-12 10.1% 6.0% 0.4% 5.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 9.5 5.6%
7-13 9.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.6 0.7%
6-14 7.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 7.8 0.0%
5-15 6.5% 6.5
4-16 4.8% 4.8
3-17 3.1% 3.1
2-18 1.8% 1.8
1-19 0.8% 0.8
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 39.7% 3.2% 36.6% 7.2 0.9 1.7 2.4 2.8 3.5 3.8 4.4 4.9 5.1 4.8 4.6 0.8 0.0 0.0 60.3 37.8%