Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
71 Akron 49.2%   12   23 - 5 16 - 1 +8.5      +6.9 48 +1.6 128 75.6 25 +7.7 79 +13.5 2
90 Miami (OH) 39.7%   27 - 0 17 - 0 +6.2      +4.4 79 +1.8 124 73.2 57 +18.8 16 +17.2 1
151 Toledo 6.6%   14 - 14 10 - 7 +0.4      +2.6 103 -2.2 240 70.0 136 -1.3 181 -0.1 4
152 Kent St. 5.4%   20 - 8 13 - 4 +0.4      +1.7 125 -1.3 214 74.8 35 +3.8 111 +5.6 3
165 Bowling Green 3.7%   14 - 13 8 - 9 -0.5      -2.0 227 +1.5 133 69.9 137 -2.2 199 -2.9 6
193 Massachusetts 1.5%   15 - 15 7 - 11 -2.1      0.0 163 -2.1 237 74.5 36 -3.2 221 -5.5 8
212 Buffalo 0.5%   15 - 13 7 - 10 -2.9      +1.4 131 -4.3 296 66.8 227 -2.4 204 -5.2 7
221 Ohio 1.6%   13 - 15 9 - 8 -3.6      -1.2 194 -2.4 248 71.5 102 -2.6 209 -2.0 5
248 Eastern Michigan 0.0%   9 - 20 4 - 13 -4.8      -5.4 307 +0.6 153 66.6 236 -6.8 269 -9.4 12
258 Central Michigan 0.3%   8 - 20 6 - 11 -5.6      -2.3 235 -3.3 271 67.4 210 -8.1 297 -6.9 10
280 Western Michigan 0.0%   9 - 19 4 - 13 -6.6      -1.5 207 -5.1 316 69.0 168 -6.8 272 -9.3 11
292 Ball St. 0.1%   9 - 19 6 - 11 -7.5      -7.2 338 -0.3 184 61.3 347 -8.0 294 -5.9 9
341 Northern Illinois 0.0%   7 - 20 4 - 13 -12.4      -8.7 351 -3.7 282 69.3 153 -8.9 307 -10.0 13


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Feb 28 165 Bowling Green 81 193 Massachusetts 62   
Sat, Feb 28 212 Buffalo 70 258 Central Michigan 75   
Sat, Feb 28 221 Ohio 67 151 Toledo 79   
Sat, Feb 28 292 Ball St. 79 341 Northern Illinois 43   
Tue, Mar 3 71 Akron 77 258 Central Michigan 64   
Tue, Mar 3 90 Miami (OH) 74 151 Toledo 72   
Tue, Mar 3 193 Massachusetts 94 221 Ohio 82   
Tue, Mar 3 292 Ball St. 74 280 Western Michigan 71   
Tue, Mar 3 212 Buffalo 72 248 Eastern Michigan 67   
Tue, Mar 3 152 Kent St. 102 341 Northern Illinois 76   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Fri, Mar 6 212 Buffalo 76 151 Toledo 82 73%   
Fri, Mar 6 165 Bowling Green 70 248 Eastern Michigan 69 55%   
Fri, Mar 6 292 Ball St. 67 258 Central Michigan 66 54%   
Fri, Mar 6 90 Miami (OH) 84 221 Ohio 77 74%   
Fri, Mar 6 152 Kent St. 86 280 Western Michigan 76 83%   
Fri, Mar 6 71 Akron 90 341 Northern Illinois 67 98%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Miami (OH) 1.0 100.0
Akron 1.7 25.4 74.6
Kent St. 3.0 100.0
Toledo 4.0 100.0
Ohio 4.9 7.0 93.0
Bowling Green 5.6 40.6 59.4
Buffalo 6.9 12.4 87.6
Massachusetts 7.3 72.9 27.1
Ball St. 8.5 39.7 14.3 46.0
Central Michigan 8.7 33.2 12.8 54.0
Eastern Michigan 11.1 89.9 10.0 0.1
Western Michigan 11.4 61.7 37.9 0.4
Northern Illinois 11.6 45.6 47.0 7.4

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Miami (OH) 18 - 0 28 - 0 25.7 74.3
Akron 17 - 1 24 - 5 1.1 98.9
Kent St. 14 - 4 21 - 8 17.2 82.8
Toledo 11 - 7 15 - 14 27.1 72.9
Ohio 9 - 9 13 - 16 74.3 25.7
Bowling Green 9 - 9 15 - 13 45.4 54.6
Buffalo 7 - 11 15 - 14 72.9 27.1
Massachusetts 7 - 11 15 - 15 100.0
Ball St. 7 - 11 10 - 19 46.0 54.0
Central Michigan 6 - 12 8 - 21 54.0 46.0
Eastern Michigan 4 - 14 9 - 21 54.6 45.4
Western Michigan 4 - 14 9 - 20 82.8 17.2
Northern Illinois 4 - 14 7 - 21 98.9 1.1

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Miami (OH) 100.0% 74.6 25.4
Akron 25.4% 25.4
Kent St.
Toledo
Ohio
Bowling Green
Buffalo
Massachusetts
Ball St.
Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan
Western Michigan
Northern Illinois


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Akron 49.2% 49.2% 0.0% 12   0.0 16.0 30.3 2.9 0.0 50.8 0.1%
Miami (OH) 39.7% 31.0% 8.7% 0.0 0.7 24.9 13.8 0.3 0.0 60.3 12.6%
Toledo 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 0.0 1.0 3.2 2.4 0.1 93.4 0.0%
Kent St. 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 0.8 2.8 1.8 0.1 94.6 0.0%
Bowling Green 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.7 1.6 1.3 0.1 96.3 0.0%
Massachusetts 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0.1 1.0 0.5 98.5 0.0%
Buffalo 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 99.5 0.0%
Ohio 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.5 1.0 98.4 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3 99.7 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ball St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.1 91.3 8.7
1st Round 99.5% 1.0 0.5 97.1 2.5
2nd Round 14.8% 0.1 85.2 14.7 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 2.6% 0.0 97.4 2.6
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Akron 49.2% 0.0% 49.2% 9.5% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 39.7% 8.6% 33.5% 5.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 6.6% 0.0% 6.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 5.4% 0.0% 5.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 3.7% 0.0% 3.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Massachusetts 1.5% 0.1% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Buffalo 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 1.6% 0.7% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%