Brown
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -6.8 278
Expected Predictive Rating -9.9 320
Pace 65.4 266
Improvement -0.2 191

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- #349 D- C- D- D- B-
Defense C+ #130 C+ C+ C D+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 84 51% 333 -0.9 220
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 244 29% 356 -2.8 313
Three Pointers 41% 195 30% 325 -2.7 278
1st FG Attempt 0.89 347 -6.5 347
Second Chance 28.3% 244 1.07 126 0.30 201
Turnovers 20.2% 341
Freethrows 0.24 341 72% 207 0.17 335
Total Offense -8.0 349

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 150 56% 134 -0.1 184
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 175 44% 333 -1.2 281
Three Pointers 40% 231 31% 71 +2.3 89
1st FG Attempt 1.00 143 +1.0 144
Second Chance 30.5% 180 0.96 88 0.29 122
Turnovers 17.4% 154
Freethrows 0.33 250 75% 314 0.24 273
Total Defense +1.2 130

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.7 96 +0.1 180
Shot Type Accuracy -6.9 358 -1.0 140
Possession Length 17.8 229 17.3 191
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 241 0.21 311
Improvement -0.2 #192 +0.0 #191

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 1% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 95% 86% 97%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Harvard (Away) - 17.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 81 - 11
Quad 46 - 77 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 181 Siena L 46 - 62 40% -12  6% 0 - 1 F -20 F -30 F F F A- +9 A C+ A-
 Sun, Nov 9 224 Vermont L 84 - 89 2OT 48% +3  63% 0 - 2 D- -11 D- -7 C+ F D- C- -3 A- C- D-
 Wed, Nov 12 275 @Boston University L 77 - 90 37% -14  0% 0 - 3 F+ -16 C+ +3 D A D+ F -21 F F B-
 Fri, Nov 14 248 Hampton L 63 - 72 53% -4  20% 0 - 4 F+ -17 F+ -8 A- B- F F+ -10 B- F C+
 Tue, Nov 18 321 Holy Cross W 68 - 49 73% +12  96% 1 - 4 B- +6 D+ -4 C A- F A +13 B A- A-
 Thu, Nov 20 213 @Stony Brook L 70 - 80 25% -9  8% 1 - 5 D -10 C- -1 B B F+ D- -9 D+ F F
 Sun, Nov 23 338 @Maine W 58 - 53 57% +8  99% 2 - 5 C- -4 F -14 F C F A +11 D+ B+ B+
 Wed, Nov 26 327 @New Hampshire W 59 - 47 53% +5  87% 3 - 5 C+ +5 F -14 D+ D F A+ +19 A+ B- B
 Tue, Dec 2 116 @Rhode Island L 56 - 66 12% -4  14% 3 - 6 C- -4 F -11 F C- C B+ +7 A D C
 Fri, Dec 5 342 Bryant W 75 - 56 78% +12  98% 4 - 6 C+ +4 D+ -4 C- C- C A- +8 C- A+ C-
 Tue, Dec 9 60 @Providence L 79 - 86 5% -6  0% 4 - 7 B- +5 C- -2 D C B- B+ +8 B+ A- B+
 Mon, Jan 5 81 Yale L 53 - 70 16% -3  43% 4 - 8 0 - 1 D- -13 F -25 F D F+ A +12 B+ B A+
 Sat, Jan 10 185 @Penn L 73 - 81 22% -1  35% 4 - 9 0 - 2 D+ -7 C +1 C- B- C- D- -7 F+ A F+
 Sat, Jan 17 200 Columbia W 86 - 80 OT 45% -1  35% 5 - 9 1 - 2 C +0 C+ +3 B- D C+ C- -3 A F F+
 Mon, Jan 19 159 Cornell L 67 - 89 37% -13  1% 5 - 10 1 - 3 F -25 F -18 D F F D- -7 D- C+ F+
 Sat, Jan 24 221 @Princeton L 53 - 63 26% -1  35% 5 - 11 1 - 4 D -10 F -16 F A- D+ B +5 A+ B- F
 Fri, Jan 30 153 Harvard L 59 - 69 35% -5  4% 5 - 12 1 - 5 D- -13 F+ -9 F A C D -5 F A+ A-
 Sat, Jan 31 240 Dartmouth L 70 - 77 OT 53% -4  18% 5 - 13 1 - 6 F+ -14 F -13 F B- F C -1 C+ B+ C-
 Fri, Feb 6 81 @Yale L 69 - 81 7% -1  37% 5 - 14 1 - 7 C- -2 C- -1 D C C+ C- -2 F A+ B-
 Fri, Feb 13 153 @Harvard L 59 - 69 18%
 Sat, Feb 14 240 @Dartmouth L 67 - 72 31%
 Fri, Feb 20 221 Princeton L 64 - 65 48%
 Fri, Feb 27 200 @Columbia L 65 - 72 25%
 Sat, Feb 28 159 @Cornell L 75 - 85 19%
 Fri, Mar 6 185 Penn L 68 - 70 42%
Totals 7 - 18 3 - 11 -7 D- -8 D- C- D- C+ +1 C+ C+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- D- F+ D- F+ 42% 17% 41% B- D- C- C+ C- D- D- C D- C+ C+ D- B C+ 40% 21% 40% C C+ C B- C+ C C- D D+
0.97 51% 29% 30% -7 +1 0.89 28% 1.1 .30 20% .24 72% .17 1.07 56% 44% 31% -1 0 1.00 30% 1.0 .29 17% .33 75% .18
Nov
7		 Siena F F F F F 37% 18% 45% B- F D+ F F F F A D- A- D+ B+ A+ A 40% 36% 23% B- A F A+ C+ A- F B+ F
0.69 47% 22% 17% -18 0 0.67 29% 0.4 .12 24% .20 80% .16 0.93 63% 35% 9% -8 -2 0.83 38% 0.7 .28 21% .42 68% .29
Nov
9		 Vermont D- D- D+ A C 44% 15% 42% B+ C+ D F F D- C+ F F+ C- A- D+ B+ A- 33% 21% 45% B- A- C- C- C- D- D+ F F
1.03 52% 33% 42% +2 +1 1.08 22% 0.7 .16 16% .35 54% .19 1.09 50% 43% 30% -4 0 0.92 26% 1.0 .26 12% .31 86% .27
Nov
12		 Boston University C+ A+ F D+ D 31% 19% 50% C- D C- A+ A D+ A+ A+ A+ F F B+ F F 36% 13% 51% C- F F F F B- F F F
1.20 73% 22% 33% +1 0 1.04 29% 1.6 .45 14% .42 83% .35 1.41 75% 33% 48% +16 +1 1.36 41% 1.8 .73 20% .37 89% .33
Nov
14		 Hampton F+ B+ F B+ B+ 50% 10% 40% A A- B C B- F D- F F+ F+ A+ F A+ B- 43% 32% 25% C- B- F C+ F C+ F D- F
0.99 70% 25% 38% +7 +2 1.20 33% 1.0 .33 30% .34 60% .20 1.13 37% 64% 18% -7 -1 0.86 53% 0.9 .47 19% .54 79% .43
Nov
18		 Holy Cross D+ B C C C- 32% 11% 57% C+ C C A+ A- F D A+ C- A A B+ C B+ 35% 20% 46% F+ B D+ A+ A- A- B A+ A+
1.11 67% 40% 33% +3 +1 1.09 29% 1.5 .43 20% .22 82% .18 0.80 44% 33% 33% -6 0 0.89 24% 0.4 .11 21% .23 45% .10
Nov
20		 Stony Brook C- F A+ A+ B 42% 22% 36% C B B- B B F+ F F F D- C- A+ F C- 53% 16% 31% F+ D+ D F F F F C+ F+
1.05 48% 55% 44% +5 0 1.12 35% 1.0 .35 19% .20 55% .11 1.20 56% 25% 44% +1 +2 1.08 32% 1.3 .41 13% .35 70% .24
Nov
23		 Maine F D+ F F F 39% 28% 33% D- F D- A+ C F C B+ C+ A F D+ A- D- 23% 34% 43% A+ D+ C A+ B+ B+ A A+ A
0.88 56% 23% 20% -12 -1 0.76 31% 1.3 .41 24% .32 75% .24 0.80 80% 40% 26% +1 -3 0.98 19% 0.7 .13 24% .22 55% .12
Nov
26		 New Hampshire F D+ A+ F D 48% 13% 39% B+ D+ F A+ D F D- F F A+ A+ D A A+ 40% 9% 51% D+ A+ C+ B B- B A+ F A+
0.90 55% 67% 22% -5 +2 0.96 19% 1.3 .26 20% .29 67% .19 0.72 29% 40% 26% -18 +2 0.70 24% 0.9 .22 21% .08 100% .08
Dec
2		 Rhode Island F F F D- F 52% 27% 21% C- F A F C- C C- A- C+ B+ C B+ A+ A+ 44% 20% 36% C+ A C- D- D C F+ C D-
0.85 40% 15% 30% -17 0 0.69 43% 0.7 .30 21% .33 76% .25 1.00 60% 33% 19% -8 +1 0.87 34% 1.1 .37 20% .42 73% .30
Dec
5		 Bryant D+ F F A+ C- 48% 13% 38% C+ C- D+ C+ C- C D+ F F+ A- C+ F A+ C- 33% 10% 57% C- C- A+ A+ A+ C- A+ F A+
1.11 32% 14% 60% -1 +2 1.04 32% 1.0 .32 13% .27 56% .15 0.83 53% 80% 24% -6 +1 0.92 17% 0.5 .08 21% .13 86% .11
Dec
9		 Providence C- D- F B- D- 47% 21% 33% B D F+ A+ C B- B- B B- B+ D+ A+ C+ A- 42% 15% 44% C B+ C+ A+ A- B+ C+ F D+
1.04 48% 25% 37% -6 +1 0.91 21% 1.4 .28 13% .30 75% .23 1.13 65% 25% 33% +1 +1 1.05 34% 0.9 .32 18% .34 86% .29
Jan
5		 Yale F F F F F 41% 15% 44% B F C- F+ D F+ F F F A B- F A- B+ 47% 19% 34% C- B+ A- C- B A+ D A+ B
0.76 41% 25% 21% -18 +1 0.69 27% 0.8 .23 19% .18 60% .11 1.01 55% 56% 31% 0 +1 1.04 28% 1.2 .34 22% .37 60% .22
Jan
10		 Penn C C+ F C C- 48% 19% 33% B- C- D+ A+ B- C- D C D D- A+ F F F 31% 40% 29% A F+ D A+ A F+ F F+ F
1.08 62% 30% 33% 0 +1 1.04 27% 1.2 .33 16% .21 67% .14 1.20 40% 58% 50% +9 -3 1.15 34% 0.5 .19 13% .49 76% .37
Jan
17		 Columbia C+ A+ D F C+ 58% 18% 24% B+ B- C- F D C+ A+ A- A+ C- B+ B- A- A 47% 16% 36% C- A D- F F F+ F+ A+ C
1.18 76% 33% 8% 0 +2 1.06 28% 0.8 .22 12% .53 79% .42 1.09 50% 33% 30% -7 +1 0.91 40% 1.2 .50 18% .35 57% .20
Jan
19		 Cornell F C- F C F+ 52% 15% 33% B D F F F F F A+ D D- D- A- F D- 44% 6% 50% D- D- A- F C+ F+ D- B- D+
0.95 59% 25% 35% -1 +2 1.04 16% 0.4 .06 21% .20 100% .20 1.26 70% 33% 42% +11 +2 1.29 25% 1.4 .34 14% .35 71% .25
Jan
24		 Princeton F F F F F 39% 29% 33% D- F C+ A+ A- D+ D- D+ D- B A+ C+ A A+ 28% 24% 48% B+ A+ D+ A B- F F F F
0.83 47% 29% 6% -20 -1 0.59 30% 1.4 .43 16% .24 69% .17 0.99 31% 36% 27% -13 -1 0.74 28% 0.8 .23 11% .39 100% .39
Jan
30		 Harvard F+ C- B F F 44% 16% 40% C+ F C- A+ A C A- F D+ D C- F D+ F+ 44% 9% 47% F+ F A+ C- A+ A- F F F
0.97 55% 43% 17% -11 +1 0.82 29% 1.5 .44 16% .33 53% .18 1.13 60% 100% 38% +9 +2 1.24 11% 1.0 .11 23% .62 93% .58
Jan
31		 Dartmouth F F A+ C+ F 52% 5% 43% A F A D- B- F C+ C- C C D+ F A+ B- 35% 12% 53% D C+ A+ F B+ C- F F F
0.94 28% 67% 33% -15 +3 0.79 41% 0.9 .35 20% .28 71% .20 1.03 59% 67% 27% -2 +1 1.00 13% 1.5 .19 19% .46 86% .40
Feb
6		 Yale C- D+ F C- D- 44% 11% 44% A- D F A+ C C+ F A+ F+ C- F F F F 33% 14% 53% C F A+ A+ A+ B- F A+ F+
1.06 54% 17% 33% -4 +2 0.96 18% 1.7 .30 14% .16 89% .14 1.24 71% 67% 52% +23 0 1.49 20% 0.0 .00 17% .52 61% .31



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.4 4th
5th 0.4 0.8 0.0 1.1 5th
6th 0.3 2.8 0.3 3.3 6th
7th 0.8 6.3 2.8 0.0 9.9 7th
8th 12.7 29.5 30.4 12.0 0.5 85.1 8th
Total 12.7 29.5 31.2 18.6 6.5 1.4 0.2 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 0.2% 0.0 0.2
6-8 1.4% 1.4
5-9 6.5% 6.5
4-10 18.6% 18.6
3-11 31.2% 31.2
2-12 29.5% 29.5
1-13 12.7% 12.7
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 12.7%