Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -7.9 299
Expected Predictive Rating -6.7 270
Pace 71.6 101
Improvement +6.2 13

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C #156 B- D+ D B C+
Defense D- #358 D- D- D+ C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% 331 54% 276 -4.9 340
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 287 34% 310 -2.6 302
Three Pointers 52% 16 39% 14 +9.8 2
1st FG Attempt 1.07 106 +2.3 106
Second Chance 27.1% 278 1.01 202 0.27 264
Turnovers 19.1% 310
Freethrows 0.34 72 76% 55 0.26 43
Total Offense +0.2 156

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 263 66% 347 -1.4 227
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 304 45% 350 +0.4 156
Three Pointers 48% 27 35% 243 -4.3 340
1st FG Attempt 1.13 339 -5.4 340
Second Chance 37.2% 355 1.06 236 0.39 339
Turnovers 15.1% 292
Freethrows 0.30 159 78% 358 0.23 222
Total Defense -8.1 358

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.2 171 +0.3 229
Shot Type Accuracy +2.1 103 +4.9 343
Possession Length 17.1 149 16.7 89
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 94 0.22 333
Improvement +3.0 #48 +3.1 #35

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 2% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 12% 24% 4%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 1% 0% 2%
First Four1% 2% 1%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Robert Morris (Home) - 41.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 74 - 11
Quad 46 - 910 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 277 @Loyola Chicago L 88 - 91 34% -2  25% 0 - 1 D+ -7 B+ +8 C+ A F F -14 D+ C+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 64 @Northwestern L 63 - 110 5% -24  1% 0 - 2 F -36 F -11 C C F F -22 F F D
 Sat, Nov 15 147 Kent St. L 95 - 102 21% -2  22% 0 - 3 D+ -6 A +11 A A+ F+ F -17 D- F F+
 Sun, Nov 16 233 Radford W 87 - 82 35% -9  10% 1 - 3 C +1 D -4 C+ F D+ B +5 A- D- C+
 Wed, Nov 19 155 Valparaiso L 75 - 90 32% -12  0% 1 - 4 F -18 C +1 C+ D+ A F -19 F F D
 Sat, Nov 22 147 @Kent St. L 71 - 91 14% -14  1% 1 - 5 F+ -16 F -11 D+ D- F C- -3 F B- A
 Fri, Nov 28 48 @Missouri L 59 - 86 3% -19  0% 1 - 6 D- -13 F -12 C- F+ F C -1 C- F A
 Wed, Dec 3 201 @Northern Kentucky L 80 - 95 21% -8  2% 1 - 7 0 - 1 F+ -15 C+ +3 B+ B- F F -17 F F B
 Sat, Dec 6 271 Detroit Mercy L 59 - 71 55% -4  24% 1 - 8 0 - 2 F -21 F -16 F C- F D -7 C- B- F
 Wed, Dec 17 118 @UAB L 77 - 101 10% -7  18% 1 - 9 F -18 C +1 A F D F -18 F D+ D
 Sun, Dec 21 268 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 71 - 81 55% +0  49% 1 - 10 0 - 3 F -19 D+ -4 F+ D A F -16 D- F+ F
 Mon, Dec 29 332 IU Indianapolis W 99 - 86 72% +10  94% 2 - 10 1 - 3 C -1 B +7 B- C B D- -9 B- F D-
 Sun, Jan 4 242 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 71 - 74 27% +4  70% 2 - 11 1 - 4 C- -5 D+ -2 F+ A+ D C- -2 C D+ D-
 Fri, Jan 9 143 @Oakland L 72 - 97 13% -13  6% 2 - 12 1 - 5 F -21 F+ -9 F C+ C- F+ -10 B- F B
 Sun, Jan 11 271 @Detroit Mercy L 84 - 94 32% -11  1% 2 - 13 1 - 6 D- -13 C -0 A F F F -12 F F A
 Thu, Jan 15 244 Green Bay L 73 - 88 49% -2  43% 2 - 14 1 - 7 F -23 C +1 B F+ D+ F -25 F F D-
 Sat, Jan 17 205 Youngstown St. W 80 - 78 42% +1  52% 3 - 14 2 - 7 C- -4 C+ +3 A+ D+ D- D -7 C A F
 Wed, Jan 21 150 @Wright St. W 85 - 79 14% -0  33% 4 - 14 3 - 7 B +10 A +11 B+ D A C- -2 B F+ F
 Fri, Jan 30 244 @Green Bay W 89 - 82 27% +5  80% 5 - 14 4 - 7 B- +5 A+ +15 A+ A+ F+ F+ -9 D F+ F+
 Sun, Feb 1 268 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 90 - 88 32% +4  96% 6 - 14 5 - 7 C -1 A +13 A+ A- C F -14 F F C-
 Wed, Feb 4 143 Oakland W 91 - 78 28% -2  25% 7 - 14 6 - 7 B +11 A- +10 A+ D- C C+ +1 C B- A-
 Sat, Feb 7 332 @IU Indianapolis L 74 - 82 50% -13  1% 7 - 15 6 - 8 F+ -16 F -12 D- F C- C- -3 F A C+
 Thu, Feb 12 204 Robert Morris L 77 - 79 41%
 Sun, Feb 15 150 Wright St. L 78 - 83 31%
 Wed, Feb 18 205 @Youngstown St. L 75 - 83 22%
 Sun, Feb 22 242 Purdue Fort Wayne L 80 - 81 49%
 Wed, Feb 25 201 Northern Kentucky L 81 - 83 41%
 Sat, Feb 28 204 @Robert Morris L 74 - 82 23%
Totals 9 - 19 8 - 12 -8 C +0 B- D+ D D- -8 D- D- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D+ D A- B- 32% 16% 52% C+ B- D+ C- D+ D B B B D- F+ F+ C- D- 36% 17% 48% C- D- F+ C- D- D+ C+ F C-
1.09 54% 34% 39% +2 0 1.07 27% 1.0 .27 19% .34 76% .26 1.20 66% 45% 35% +5 0 1.13 37% 1.1 .39 15% .30 78% .27
Nov
3		 Loyola Chicago B+ D A+ C- B- 32% 21% 46% C- C+ A+ F+ A F A+ A+ A+ F B- F D D 34% 7% 59% C- D+ B D+ C+ F F F F
1.22 50% 67% 35% +4 -1 1.09 50% 0.9 .44 19% .40 91% .36 1.27 53% 50% 36% +1 +1 1.07 29% 1.0 .29 10% .39 76% .29
Nov
10		 Northwestern F B F B- C+ 26% 22% 52% D+ C D- A- C F D- F F F D D F F 47% 19% 34% D F F F F D C C- C
0.85 62% 18% 35% -3 -1 0.94 26% 1.1 .28 23% .23 38% .09 1.49 67% 45% 50% +14 +1 1.31 39% 1.7 .68 9% .33 77% .25
Nov
15		 Kent St. A B D+ A+ A 22% 12% 66% C- A A+ B A+ F+ A+ A A+ F F B- A- D 46% 12% 42% F+ D- D- F F F+ F C+ F
1.25 64% 33% 42% +9 0 1.20 47% 1.1 .50 20% .49 80% .39 1.34 70% 33% 29% +1 +2 1.08 40% 1.4 .54 14% .71 74% .52
Nov
16		 Radford D D+ A+ B C 39% 9% 52% B- C+ D F F D+ A+ F+ A+ B B+ F A+ A 40% 19% 41% C+ A- F B- D- C+ F A- D
1.06 56% 50% 38% +3 +2 1.11 29% 0.8 .23 20% .70 65% .45 1.00 48% 55% 21% -9 0 0.84 39% 0.9 .35 18% .45 67% .30
Nov
19		 Valparaiso C A D- F C 40% 14% 46% B C+ F A+ D+ A A- A+ A+ F F F C- F 35% 29% 36% C- F F C- F D C+ D C
1.08 70% 29% 26% -2 +1 1.00 16% 1.4 .23 13% .38 83% .32 1.30 74% 50% 35% +10 -1 1.18 42% 1.1 .45 13% .33 75% .25
Nov
22		 Kent St. F F A+ C+ D- 48% 14% 39% B+ D+ F A+ D- F A+ C+ A+ C- C- A F F 30% 7% 63% D F D- A B- A A+ C+ A+
0.91 43% 50% 35% -5 +2 0.95 13% 1.8 .22 23% .50 73% .37 1.16 59% 25% 44% +9 +1 1.23 40% 0.9 .34 24% .25 73% .19
Nov
28		 Missouri F C F B- C- 29% 18% 53% B C- D F F+ F F F F C F D+ C C- 27% 10% 63% C+ C- F C+ F A A+ F B+
0.83 53% 11% 37% -4 0 0.94 24% 0.6 .13 24% .20 55% .11 1.22 79% 40% 34% +6 +1 1.16 51% 1.1 .57 23% .24 85% .20
Dec
3		 Northern Kentucky C+ F F A+ A- 29% 15% 56% C B+ C- A B- F A+ A+ A+ F F+ F+ F F 37% 17% 46% B- F F F F B B- F D
1.12 42% 0% 57% +9 0 1.20 32% 1.4 .44 28% .54 79% .43 1.32 68% 44% 46% +13 0 1.29 44% 1.3 .56 20% .26 93% .24
Dec
6		 Detroit Mercy F F F B- F 37% 15% 48% C- F A F C- F B D+ B- D F C+ A- D 24% 49% 27% A+ C- B C+ B- F D- B- D
0.93 41% 0% 36% -10 +1 0.83 43% 0.8 .33 21% .40 70% .28 1.12 83% 36% 29% +3 -5 0.98 29% 0.9 .26 9% .33 74% .24
Dec
17		 UAB C F F A+ A- 47% 8% 45% A+ A F F F D C A+ B+ F F B- F F 56% 11% 33% F F D C- D+ D F B+ F+
1.04 44% 25% 54% +6 +2 1.19 16% 0.0 .00 19% .25 93% .23 1.37 71% 33% 39% +9 +3 1.25 36% 1.1 .39 9% .43 66% .28
Dec
21		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee D+ F F+ A- D- 29% 25% 45% F F+ F A+ D A B C- B F F C C- F+ 25% 25% 51% B D- F B- F+ F A F B+
1.10 40% 31% 39% -4 -1 0.92 17% 1.7 .28 11% .38 73% .28 1.25 69% 38% 33% +2 -2 1.04 44% 1.0 .44 8% .17 80% .13
Dec
29		 IU Indianapolis B A+ B F+ B 44% 15% 42% C- B- C- C+ C B A+ A+ A+ D- F C- A+ B 31% 17% 53% D+ B- F+ D- F D- F C+ F
1.30 81% 43% 30% +8 +1 1.21 34% 1.3 .45 17% .56 86% .48 1.13 89% 40% 16% -4 0 0.93 33% 1.2 .40 13% .33 68% .23
Jan
4		 Purdue Fort Wayne D+ F F B- F+ 13% 13% 74% F+ F+ A- A A+ D D A- D+ C- F A+ B C+ 27% 8% 65% C- C D- C+ D+ D- F F F
1.06 33% 17% 37% -2 -1 0.96 42% 1.3 .55 22% .21 82% .17 1.10 69% 25% 31% -1 +1 1.02 26% 1.0 .26 12% .36 81% .29
Jan
9		 Oakland F+ A C F F 34% 28% 38% D F B C- C+ C- F+ A D- F+ C- F A+ B 42% 14% 44% D+ B- F C- F B F F F
0.97 71% 41% 9% -9 -1 0.82 39% 0.9 .35 16% .16 80% .13 1.31 60% 50% 23% -5 +1 0.95 53% 1.1 .60 16% .43 89% .39
Jan
11		 Detroit Mercy C C+ F A+ A 34% 9% 57% C+ A F F F F B- F C- F F A+ F F 32% 32% 36% D+ F F C+ F A F F F
1.11 61% 0% 47% +8 +1 1.21 22% 0.8 .16 19% .39 63% .24 1.24 71% 24% 47% +7 -2 1.11 51% 0.9 .46 21% .52 84% .44
Jan
15		 Green Bay C A- C+ B+ B 24% 12% 63% C+ B F A+ F+ D+ A+ A- A+ F F F F F 26% 13% 61% B- F C- F F D- B- F D+
1.19 70% 40% 38% +8 0 1.17 15% 1.5 .23 15% .46 79% .36 1.44 75% 50% 46% +17 0 1.37 25% 2.0 .50 13% .32 88% .28
Jan
17		 Youngstown St. C+ C C- A+ A+ 44% 9% 47% A A+ F A+ D+ D- A+ C+ A+ D F F A+ C 29% 7% 64% C- C F A+ A F C F D-
1.16 60% 33% 50% +12 +2 1.29 18% 1.5 .27 22% .72 77% .55 1.13 81% 100% 22% 0 +1 1.04 44% 0.5 .20 13% .27 88% .23
Jan
21		 Wright St. A D+ D- A+ B+ 44% 12% 44% B+ B+ F A+ D A B+ A+ A+ C- B F A+ B 45% 20% 36% D+ B C+ F F+ F B- A- B
1.23 55% 33% 45% +6 +2 1.16 15% 1.8 .26 13% .37 91% .33 1.14 52% 82% 15% -4 +1 0.95 30% 1.5 .45 10% .29 67% .19
Jan
30		 Green Bay A+ F+ C+ A+ A+ 23% 23% 53% D- A+ A- A+ A+ F+ A+ A A+ F+ A+ C- F D 40% 10% 50% D D F C- F+ F+ C F D
1.36 50% 40% 57% +17 -1 1.33 38% 1.4 .54 17% .48 81% .39 1.25 40% 40% 48% +4 +1 1.12 32% 1.1 .35 12% .35 85% .30
Feb
1		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee A C- A+ A+ A+ 31% 4% 64% B- A+ C+ A A- C A+ B A+ F D- F D- F 23% 21% 56% B- F D F F C- F F F
1.29 57% 100% 45% +13 +2 1.31 32% 1.4 .45 16% .44 77% .34 1.26 64% 60% 37% +9 -1 1.17 35% 1.4 .48 14% .45 78% .35
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 Oakland A- D- A- A+ A+ 27% 11% 63% B- A+ B+ F D- C B+ A- A- C+ F F+ A+ C- 36% 22% 42% B+ C C B B- A- C- F+ D
1.28 53% 50% 49% +14 0 1.30 41% 0.6 .23 15% .30 78% .23 1.09 72% 45% 24% 0 0 1.02 30% 1.0 .30 18% .36 81% .29
Feb
7		 IU Indianapolis F A A+ F F+ 34% 6% 60% C D- F F F C- D+ D D C- C- A F F 46% 13% 41% F F B A+ A C+ F B F
0.99 72% 67% 25% -2 +2 1.02 26% 0.7 .18 20% .37 73% .27 1.09 62% 29% 43% +6 +2 1.18 24% 0.8 .18 17% .29 67% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.9 0.2 1.4 3rd
4th 0.0 2.3 1.5 0.0 3.8 4th
5th 1.3 4.0 0.2 0.0 5.6 5th
6th 0.3 6.8 2.5 9.7 6th
7th 4.4 10.0 0.4 14.8 7th
8th 2.8 17.0 3.9 0.0 23.7 8th
9th 1.6 13.9 9.1 0.1 24.7 9th
10th 7.5 8.2 0.6 16.4 10th
11th 0.1 0.1 11th
Total 9.2 24.9 31.3 22.3 9.4 2.6 0.3 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.3% 19.2% 19.2% 15.0 0.1 0.2
11-9 2.6% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.1 2.5
10-10 9.4% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3 9.1
9-11 22.3% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.4 21.9
8-12 31.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.2 31.1
7-13 24.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 24.8
6-14 9.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.2
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 16.0 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.3%