Yale
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +6.4 87
Results Rating +7.8 77
Consistency 0.18 298
Pace 63.4 319
Improvement -4.3 329

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 52 B+ B B- B- C+
Defense C 184 C C D+ B C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 85 C 58% 170 +2.2 100
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 176 B+ 45% 28 +1.2 115
Three Pointers 38% 246 A 40% 7 +2.0 110
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 140 B+ +4.9 38
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.13 47
Second Chance C+ 32.2% 119 A- 1.19 22 B 0.38 52
Opponents' Steals B- 8.5% 97
Other Turnovers B- 6.7% 108
Turnovers B- 15.2% 90
Freethrows C+ 0.32 134 B+ 77% 33 B- 0.25 83
Total Offense B +6.7 52

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 51% 136 C+ 10.1% 127
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 27% 148 D+ 6.7% 291
Three Pointers B- 89% 78 C+ 0.6% 121
Total C+ 58% 122 C- 5.8% 214


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 268 C- 59% 217 -1.0 132
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 185 C- 39% 235 +0.2 210
Three Pointers 44% 91 C+ 33% 153 +1.1 242
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 139 C +0.4 198
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 185
Second Chance C+ 28.9% 128 C- 1.05 227 C 0.31 164
Turnovers from Steals F+ 6.5% 350
Other Turnovers B 8.4% 49
Turnovers D+ 14.9% 288
Freethrows B 0.26 50 C+ 72% 142 B 0.19 52
Total Defense C -0.3 184

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A- 38% 19 C- 9.8% 216
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 76 D 2.3% 322
Three Pointers B- 81% 91 D+ 0.3% 303
Total B 49% 48 D+ 4.1% 299

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.1 257 18.1 294
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 325 0.15 122
Consistency 0.13 235 0.15 332
Improvement -6.7 362 +2.5 67

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 100 90 79
Results Rating Rank 91 72 66
Conference Record 10 - 4 11 - 3 11 - 3
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None 13 12
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 56% 56% 51%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.2 12.1 12.5
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round56% 56% 51%
Second Round7% 7% 5%
Sweet Sixteen1% 1% 1%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Princeton (Home) - 90.5% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 22 - 02 - 1
Quad 311 - 313 - 4
Quad 49 - 122 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 141 @Navy W 97 - 68 59% +14  78% 1 - 0 A+ +33 A+ +19 A A+ A A+ +12 C+ A- A+
 Tue, Nov 11 216 @Quinnipiac W 97 - 60 73% +18  78% 2 - 0 A+ +37 A+ +22 A+ A+ D+ A+ +14 B C A+
 Sat, Nov 15 227 Stony Brook W 86 - 79 89% +7  91% 3 - 0 C +0 A+ +17 A+ B C F -16 F F+ C+
 Tue, Nov 18 130 Rhode Island L 77 - 86 76% -0  45% 3 - 1 D -10 B+ +8 C- A+ B- F -19 F D- D-
 Fri, Nov 21 210 Green Bay W 73 - 67 81% +6  94% 4 - 1 C+ +3 C+ +3 C+ B- C- C+ +1 A+ F D-
 Sun, Nov 23 144 College of Charleston W 74 - 63 70% +9  99% 5 - 1 B+ +12 B +6 A D+ B A- +7 B A+ D
 Mon, Nov 24 71 Akron W 97 - 94 42% +6  91% 6 - 1 B+ +11 A+ +29 A+ A A+ F -17 F F C+
 Sun, Nov 30 235 @Vermont W 77 - 74 76% +3  66% 7 - 1 C+ +2 A- +11 C+ C+ A+ F+ -9 F C B
 Sun, Dec 7 114 Illinois-Chicago W 80 - 66 72% +4  58% 8 - 1 B+ +14 A +12 D- A+ A+ B- +3 A A- F
 Wed, Dec 10 320 Albany W 93 - 82 93% +6  67% 9 - 1 C +1 B+ +8 B- D+ C+ D- -7 F A+ F
 Mon, Dec 29 16 @Alabama L 78 - 102 9% -19  1% 9 - 2 C- -2 A- +10 C+ A+ B+ F -13 C+ F F
 Mon, Jan 5 283 @Brown W 70 - 53 83% +3  49% 10 - 2 1 - 0 B+ +13 D+ -3 C+ B- F+ A+ +16 A+ B+ D
 Sat, Jan 10 239 @Princeton L 60 - 76 77% -2  23% 10 - 3 1 - 1 F+ -17 F -12 F B+ B- D- -7 F D C+
 Sat, Jan 17 164 Cornell W 102 - 68 82% +21  91% 11 - 3 2 - 1 A+ +31 A+ +17 A+ A A+ A+ +13 A+ A+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 190 Columbia W 91 - 74 85% +9  87% 12 - 3 3 - 1 B+ +12 A+ +21 A+ A+ B- D- -8 B- F D
 Sat, Jan 24 162 @Penn W 77 - 60 64% +5  75% 13 - 3 4 - 1 A +20 B+ +8 C+ B+ D- A+ +12 B A- C
 Fri, Jan 30 267 Dartmouth W 83 - 68 92% +3  58% 14 - 3 5 - 1 B- +6 A- +11 A+ C+ D+ D+ -3 C- B+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 154 Harvard L 65 - 67 80% -3  29% 14 - 4 5 - 2 C- -5 B- +4 C+ D A+ F+ -9 D- A- F
 Fri, Feb 6 283 Brown W 81 - 69 93% +1  51% 15 - 4 6 - 2 C+ +2 A- +10 A+ F C+ D- -7 C- C F
 Mon, Feb 9 182 @Howard W 87 - 81 OT 69% +2  66% 16 - 4 B- +7 A +13 C+ A+ D+ D -6 D D+ F
 Fri, Feb 13 267 @Dartmouth W 83 - 70 81% +9  93% 17 - 4 7 - 2 B +10 B+ +9 A C- A+ C+ +2 B- F A
 Sat, Feb 14 154 @Harvard W 76 - 75 OT 62% -4  6% 18 - 4 8 - 2 C+ +4 A- +9 D A+ B- D -5 C- C+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 162 Penn W 74 - 70 82% -2  43% 19 - 4 9 - 2 C +1 C+ +2 D- B+ B- C -1 C- A D-
 Fri, Feb 27 164 @Cornell L 69 - 72 64% -7  0% 19 - 5 9 - 3 C -0 D -5 C+ F B- B +4 C- D- C+
 Sat, Feb 28 190 @Columbia W 60 - 54 70% +7  99% 20 - 5 10 - 3 B- +7 D -6 A+ F F A+ +14 A+ B- B-
 Sat, Mar 7 239 Princeton W 78 - 64 91%
Totals 21 - 5 11 - 3 +6 B +7 A+ B+ C+ C +0 A B+ B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B C B+ A B+ 42% 38% 38% C+ B+ C+ A- B B- C+ B+ B- C C- C- C+ C 36% 20% 44% C C C+ C- C D+ B C+ B
1.18 58% 45% 40% +5 0 1.13 32% 1.2 .38 15% .32 77% .25 1.09 59% 39% 33% 0 0 1.03 29% 1.1 .31 15% .26 72% .23
Nov
7		 Navy A+ C D A+ A 39% 16% 45% A- A B- A+ A+ A A+ A A+ A+ F A- A+ C 41% 30% 30% B- C+ A+ D- A- A+ F C- F
1.28 59% 33% 44% +6 +1 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 13% .35 83% .29 0.90 72% 31% 23% -1 -1 0.98 19% 1.2 .23 25% .49 75% .37
Nov
11		 Quinnipiac A+ B A+ A+ A+ 48% 19% 33% B- A+ A+ A A+ D+ D A- D+ A+ F A A+ B 35% 23% 42% C+ B D B C A+ A B+ A
1.36 64% 60% 59% +19 +1 1.42 46% 1.3 .58 18% .24 79% .19 0.84 67% 25% 23% -7 -1 0.87 35% 0.9 .32 24% .20 64% .13
Nov
15		 Stony Brook A+ C- D+ A+ A+ 40% 23% 38% C- A+ A- C B C A+ A+ A+ F F D+ F F 33% 16% 51% C F B+ F F+ C+ F C+ F+
1.35 56% 33% 60% +13 0 1.28 40% 0.9 .36 16% .61 85% .52 1.24 73% 43% 43% +13 0 1.29 23% 1.5 .35 19% .33 71% .23
Nov
18		 Rhode Island B+ D+ B+ D D+ 52% 15% 33% B+ C- A A+ A+ B- B+ A+ A+ F A F F F 46% 14% 40% D F F C D- D- C- D+ C-
1.16 52% 43% 31% -4 +2 0.98 42% 1.3 .55 20% .41 86% .36 1.29 48% 71% 50% +10 +1 1.24 40% 0.9 .37 17% .36 75% .27
Nov
21		 Green Bay C+ D- A+ A- C+ 41% 26% 33% C- C+ C- A+ B- C- B- C- C+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ 29% 16% 56% B A+ F F F D- F A+ C-
1.18 53% 50% 40% +4 -1 1.09 29% 1.4 .39 15% .36 74% .27 1.09 38% 71% 24% -9 0 0.84 34% 1.4 .49 13% .45 63% .28
Nov
23		 College of Charleston B D- B+ A+ A 39% 29% 33% C- A D+ D+ D+ B A F B A- C+ A A+ A- 42% 17% 42% D- B C+ A+ A+ D F A D+
1.14 53% 43% 50% +7 -1 1.14 29% 0.9 .26 12% .32 61% .19 0.97 60% 25% 25% -7 +1 0.90 29% 0.5 .14 14% .43 67% .29
Nov
24		 Akron A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 22% 33% C A+ B+ A- A A+ A A+ A+ F F F F F 43% 17% 40% C F C- F F C+ A A+ A+
1.47 77% 64% 50% +22 0 1.47 39% 1.1 .44 12% .36 100% .36 1.42 74% 56% 48% +18 +1 1.40 35% 1.9 .65 17% .16 67% .11
Nov
30		 Vermont A- C+ B+ D+ C 44% 25% 31% C+ C+ D+ A+ C+ A+ B+ B A- F+ F F D+ F 28% 14% 58% C F F A+ C B F D F
1.24 62% 42% 33% +2 0 1.06 23% 1.3 .30 5% .37 77% .29 1.19 83% 50% 36% +10 0 1.23 31% 0.8 .23 18% .43 77% .33
Dec
7		 Illinois-Chicago A F+ F A- D- 35% 27% 38% D D- B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ B- A+ A- F+ A+ 37% 27% 37% B+ A C A+ A- F B- F D
1.23 47% 15% 39% -7 -1 0.85 38% 1.5 .56 14% .50 82% .41 1.01 28% 31% 39% -10 -1 0.80 36% 0.8 .27 12% .30 88% .26
Dec
10		 Albany B+ B- F B C 60% 10% 31% A B- B F D+ C+ A+ B- A+ D- C D+ F F 37% 24% 39% B F A+ F A+ F D- A+ B+
1.27 61% 20% 38% +2 +3 1.12 39% 0.9 .37 14% .54 76% .41 1.12 59% 43% 48% +10 0 1.20 13% 1.2 .16 10% .29 37% .11
Dec
29		 Alabama A- F A A- C 40% 21% 40% B+ C+ A- A+ A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ F B- D D- C+ 23% 3% 73% C+ C+ F B- F F A B- A
1.13 33% 45% 38% -6 0 0.91 36% 1.4 .51 12% .43 73% .31 1.48 57% 50% 39% +5 +1 1.15 47% 1.1 .51 7% .25 75% .19
Jan
5		 Brown D+ D+ A+ D+ C 47% 19% 34% B- C+ D+ A+ B- F+ B- F D A+ A+ A A+ A+ 41% 15% 44% C- A+ C+ A B+ D A A+ A
1.01 55% 56% 31% 0 +1 1.04 28% 1.2 .34 22% .37 60% .22 0.76 41% 25% 21% -18 +1 0.69 27% 0.8 .23 19% .18 60% .11
Jan
10		 Princeton F F A+ F F 29% 25% 46% F+ F B- A- B+ B- D F F+ D- D- D+ F F 26% 16% 58% C+ F D- C- D C+ F F F
0.92 33% 85% 13% -10 -1 0.79 32% 1.2 .39 12% .26 60% .16 1.17 64% 43% 40% +7 0 1.16 32% 1.0 .32 18% .43 91% .40
Jan
17		 Cornell A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 21% 40% D+ A+ D A+ A A+ D- D D- A+ A- A+ A A+ 25% 7% 68% B A+ B A+ A+ F B+ C+ B
1.44 74% 58% 43% +16 0 1.34 26% 1.9 .48 7% .27 67% .18 0.96 50% 25% 28% -9 +1 0.86 27% 0.8 .21 13% .24 73% .18
Jan
19		 Columbia A+ C+ C- A+ A+ 43% 16% 41% B- A+ A+ A A+ B- B- A+ A D- F D+ A+ C+ 37% 24% 39% A B- B F F D F F F
1.41 59% 38% 52% +12 +1 1.27 44% 1.1 .50 12% .34 89% .30 1.15 80% 40% 19% 0 -1 1.00 32% 1.5 .48 19% .48 84% .40
Jan
24		 Penn B+ C F A+ C 56% 19% 25% B+ C+ A+ D+ B+ D- B A+ A+ A+ A F A- B+ 29% 24% 47% C+ B A- B A- C C A B
1.16 59% 22% 42% +1 +2 1.06 42% 0.9 .36 20% .30 88% .26 0.90 43% 50% 30% -4 -1 0.92 24% 0.9 .22 17% .32 61% .20
Jan
30		 Dartmouth A- A+ D A+ A+ 47% 18% 35% C+ A+ C- B+ C+ D+ F A+ D D+ C+ F C- C- 33% 16% 51% C- C- D A+ B+ D- A+ A+ A+
1.29 75% 33% 44% +13 +1 1.29 27% 1.1 .31 14% .16 100% .16 1.06 56% 44% 36% +2 0 1.05 27% 0.7 .18 16% .13 57% .07
Jan
31		 Harvard B- F A A+ C+ 48% 13% 40% B C+ D+ D- D A+ D A C- F+ F+ C+ F F 36% 26% 38% B+ D- B A+ A- F F D+ F
1.12 43% 50% 42% -1 +2 1.04 27% 0.9 .24 10% .21 82% .17 1.16 67% 36% 44% +8 -1 1.17 23% 0.7 .15 14% .36 83% .30
Feb
6		 Brown A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 14% 53% C+ A+ F F F C+ A+ F A D- C+ A+ C- C- 44% 11% 44% D C- A+ F C F A+ F B
1.24 71% 67% 52% +23 0 1.49 20% 0.0 .00 17% .52 61% .31 1.06 54% 17% 33% -5 +2 0.96 18% 1.7 .30 14% .16 89% .14
Feb
9		 Howard A C+ C- D C 49% 13% 38% B- C+ A+ B+ A+ D+ A+ B A+ D A+ F F D- 47% 16% 37% D+ D A F D+ F B- B+ B
1.21 59% 33% 29% -3 +2 1.00 49% 1.2 .60 21% .60 74% .44 1.12 29% 75% 47% 0 +1 1.04 28% 1.5 .42 15% .31 68% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
13		 Dartmouth B+ C+ B+ A+ A 58% 17% 25% B+ A F A+ C- A+ A- F B- C+ D+ A+ C+ B 47% 16% 37% D- B- C F F A A F B
1.22 61% 44% 46% +7 +2 1.21 17% 1.6 .28 7% .35 64% .22 1.02 61% 13% 33% -3 +1 0.98 23% 1.7 .40 23% .25 85% .21
Feb
14		 Harvard A- F F+ A D+ 32% 25% 43% F+ D B A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ D F D A+ D+ 37% 28% 35% A- C- B+ D C+ F A+ F+ A
1.16 41% 31% 39% -4 -1 0.92 34% 1.5 .51 15% .36 85% .31 1.14 76% 44% 25% +4 -1 1.07 23% 1.0 .23 12% .14 88% .12
Feb
21		 Penn C+ D+ A+ F D 27% 29% 44% F D- C+ A B+ B- A- A+ A+ C A- B+ F C- 39% 25% 35% D+ C- B+ A A D- A D+ A-
1.11 57% 53% 22% -4 -2 0.90 32% 1.2 .37 15% .32 78% .25 1.05 45% 31% 50% +1 -1 1.04 26% 0.8 .20 14% .24 71% .17
Feb
27		 Cornell D B- D- B- C 53% 11% 36% B+ C+ F+ F F B- F F F B C- F D- D+ 29% 4% 67% C C- B F D- C+ A+ A+ A+
1.07 64% 33% 37% +4 +2 1.15 23% 0.4 .10 12% .18 60% .11 1.12 62% 50% 40% +8 +1 1.20 28% 1.5 .41 19% .19 60% .11
Feb
28		 Columbia D A+ A+ C A+ 47% 19% 33% B- A+ F F F F B+ D+ B A+ D A+ A+ A+ 42% 16% 42% C A+ C- B+ B- B- A F B-
0.99 76% 57% 33% +12 +1 1.28 19% 0.5 .10 23% .36 71% .26 0.89 63% 14% 16% -13 +1 0.78 37% 0.8 .31 23% .19 89% .17



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 9.5 90.5 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 9.5 90.5 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 90.5    90.5
10-4 100.0% 9.5    2.9 6.6
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 93.4 6.6



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 90.5% 56.3% 56.3% 12.1 3.0 37.9 9.9 0.1 39.6
10-4 9.5% 50.5% 50.5% 12.5 0.0 2.5 2.1 0.1 4.7
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 55.7% 55.7% 0.0% 12.2 44.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 51.0% 100.0% 12.1 5.9 74.5 19.4 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 17.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 22.1%