IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Utah Tech
Western Athletic
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.4	#253
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	77.6	#17
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-15.3	#363

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+10.8	#1

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.2%	0.4%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	15.3	15.5

.500 or above	29.8%	58.6%	24.3%
.500 or above in Conference	33.3%	54.8%	29.3%
Conference Champion	2.6%	6.5%	1.9%
Last Place in Conference	17.4%	7.2%	19.4%

First Four	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
First Round	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Nevada (Away) - 16.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 3	2 - 7	3 - 12
Quad 4	8 - 5	11 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	126	@ Nevada	L	61-72	16%
Nov 12, 2022	311	Cal St. Northridge	W	64-56	76%
Nov 14, 2022	89	@ Washington	L	57-71	11%
Nov 17, 2022	12	@ Arizona	L	58-81	2%
Nov 19, 2022	342	@ Idaho	W	67-62	67%
Nov 25, 2022	322	@ North Dakota	W	65-63	58%
Nov 26, 2022	191	Cal St. Fullerton	L	58-62	38%
Dec 01, 2022	76	@ Utah St.	L	54-69	10%
Dec 03, 2022	208	@ Weber St.	L	62-68	32%
Dec 22, 2022	355	Lindenwood	W	70-55	89%
Dec 29, 2022	303	UT Rio Grande Valley	W	68-61	71%
Dec 31, 2022	156	@ Utah Valley	L	56-64	26%
Jan 05, 2023	193	@ California Baptist	L	59-66	30%
Jan 12, 2023	166	Stephen F. Austin	L	62-64	45%
Jan 14, 2023	175	Sam Houston St.	L	57-58	46%
Jan 18, 2023	116	@ Grand Canyon	L	54-65	19%
Jan 21, 2023	111	New Mexico St.	L	58-63	34%
Jan 26, 2023	245	@ Tarleton St.	L	54-58	38%
Jan 28, 2023	147	@ Abilene Christian	L	60-69	24%
Feb 02, 2023	156	Utah Valley	L	59-61	44%
Feb 04, 2023	177	Southern Utah	L	65-66	47%
Feb 08, 2023	173	@ Seattle	L	60-67	28%
Feb 11, 2023	245	Tarleton St.	W	57-55	57%
Feb 17, 2023	177	@ Southern Utah	L	62-69	29%
Feb 23, 2023	303	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	W	65-64	53%
Feb 25, 2023	248	@ Texas Arlington	L	57-61	39%
Mar 01, 2023	173	Seattle	L	63-64	46%
Mar 03, 2023	116	Grand Canyon	L	57-62	35%
Projected Record						11 - 17	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Western Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0		0.1	0.4	0.7	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0		2.6	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	0.8	1.3	1.0	0.3	0.1	0.0			3.7	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	1.1	2.0	1.0	0.3	0.0					4.6	3rd
4th										0.1	1.3	2.5	1.2	0.2	0.0						5.5	4th
5th									0.1	1.1	2.9	1.8	0.2	0.0							6.1	5th
6th								0.0	0.9	3.2	2.4	0.3	0.0								6.8	6th
7th							0.0	0.6	3.2	3.1	0.7	0.0									7.6	7th
8th						0.0	0.5	3.0	4.1	1.1	0.1										8.8	8th
9th					0.0	0.4	2.7	4.4	1.8	0.1											9.4	9th
10th				0.0	0.4	2.7	4.7	2.3	0.3	0.0											10.4	10th
11th			0.0	0.7	2.9	4.5	2.6	0.4	0.0												11.2	11th
12th		0.1	1.3	3.6	4.5	2.3	0.4	0.0													12.3	12th
13th	0.9	2.4	3.3	3.0	1.3	0.3	0.0														11.2	13th

Total	0.9	2.6	4.6	7.3	9.1	10.3	10.8	10.7	10.3	8.8	7.5	5.9	4.4	2.9	2.0	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.0			Total

Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	95.5%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	87.1%	0.5		0.4	0.1
15-3	66.4%	0.7		0.4	0.2	0.0
14-4	37.9%	0.7		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	12.7%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	2.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%	0.0							0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.6%	2.6		1.4	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.2%																							0.2
16-2	0.6%																							0.6
15-3	1.1%																							1.1
14-4	2.0%		0.1%	0.1%		13.0														0.0				2.0
13-5	2.9%		0.1%	0.1%		14.0															0.0			2.9
12-6	4.4%		0.5%	0.5%		14.1														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	4.3
11-7	5.9%		0.3%	0.3%		15.0														0.0		0.0	0.0	5.9
10-8	7.5%		0.4%	0.4%		15.5															0.0	0.0	0.0	7.5
9-9	8.8%		0.2%	0.2%		15.6																0.0	0.0	8.8
8-10	10.3%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	10.3
7-11	10.7%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.7
6-12	10.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.8
5-13	10.3%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.3
4-14	9.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.1
3-15	7.3%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	7.3
2-16	4.6%																							4.6
1-17	2.6%																							2.6
0-18	0.9%																							0.9

Total	100%		0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	15.4														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	99.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%