IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Gardner-Webb
Big South
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.2	#237
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.7	#161
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.2	#296

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.0	#142

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.5%	23.0%	10.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.4%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.4	13.6	14.6

.500 or above	57.0%	87.0%	53.9%
.500 or above in Conference	69.9%	89.3%	67.9%
Conference Champion	13.8%	29.4%	12.2%
Last Place in Conference	3.5%	0.6%	3.8%

First Four	1.9%	1.4%	1.9%
First Round	10.6%	22.3%	9.3%
Second Round	0.7%	2.2%	0.5%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.5%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Colorado St. (Away) - 9.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 8
Quad 4	12 - 5	14 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	78	@ Colorado St.	L	61-75	9%
Nov 10, 2022	166	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	67-73	28%
Nov 15, 2022	2	@ North Carolina	L	61-86	1%
Nov 18, 2022	181	@ Wofford	L	63-69	30%
Nov 19, 2022	270	N.C. A&T	W	70-67	58%
Nov 26, 2022	340	@ NC Central	W	71-65	70%
Nov 30, 2022	268	@ Western Carolina	L	71-72	48%
Dec 03, 2022	130	Chattanooga	L	64-67	40%
Dec 10, 2022	186	@ Old Dominion	L	61-67	32%
Dec 17, 2022	340	NC Central	W	74-62	84%
Dec 29, 2022	335	Charleston Southern	W	76-65	82%
Dec 31, 2022	255	@ High Point	L	66-68	45%
Jan 04, 2023	256	@ Campbell	L	62-63	45%
Jan 07, 2023	293	Radford	W	68-60	73%
Jan 11, 2023	310	@ Presbyterian	W	66-63	59%
Jan 14, 2023	211	UNC Asheville	W	71-69	55%
Jan 18, 2023	152	@ Longwood	L	65-72	28%
Jan 21, 2023	174	@ Winthrop	L	67-73	32%
Jan 25, 2023	345	South Carolina Upstate	W	76-63	85%
Jan 28, 2023	255	High Point	W	69-65	64%
Feb 01, 2023	335	@ Charleston Southern	W	73-68	66%
Feb 04, 2023	310	Presbyterian	W	69-60	75%
Feb 08, 2023	293	@ Radford	W	65-63	55%
Feb 11, 2023	256	Campbell	W	65-60	64%
Feb 15, 2023	174	Winthrop	W	71-70	50%
Feb 18, 2023	211	@ UNC Asheville	L	68-72	36%
Feb 22, 2023	152	Longwood	L	68-69	47%
Feb 25, 2023	345	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	73-66	70%
Projected Record						14 - 14	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.4	2.9	3.8	3.3	1.7	0.5		13.8	1st
2nd										0.0	0.1	0.7	2.8	4.9	4.0	1.6	0.3				14.4	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	1.4	4.0	5.0	2.9	0.7	0.0					14.1	3rd
4th									0.2	1.8	4.8	5.0	1.9	0.2	0.0						13.9	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.2	4.7	3.9	1.2	0.1								12.3	5th
6th						0.0	0.4	2.2	4.3	3.0	0.6	0.0									10.5	6th
7th					0.0	0.5	2.2	3.3	2.1	0.4	0.0										8.6	7th
8th				0.1	0.6	1.8	2.4	1.0	0.2	0.0											6.2	8th
9th		0.0	0.2	0.7	1.3	1.3	0.5	0.1													4.1	9th
10th	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0														2.0	10th

Total	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.4	2.4	3.8	5.5	6.9	9.0	9.9	10.8	10.9	10.1	9.5	7.6	5.4	3.6	1.7	0.5			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.5		0.5
17-1	100.0%	1.7		1.6	0.1
16-2	91.6%	3.3		2.8	0.5	0.0
15-3	69.9%	3.8		2.4	1.2	0.1
14-4	38.6%	2.9		1.3	1.2	0.4	0.0
13-5	14.9%	1.4		0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1
12-6	2.6%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	13.8%	13.8		8.9	3.7	1.0	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.5%		69.0%	63.6%	5.4%	11.6						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.2		14.8%
17-1	1.7%		54.8%	53.7%	1.1%	12.8									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0		0.8		2.4%
16-2	3.6%		40.6%	40.5%	0.1%	13.4											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0	2.1		0.1%
15-3	5.4%		32.4%	32.4%		14.0												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.4	0.1	3.7
14-4	7.6%		23.5%	23.5%		14.4													0.0	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.2	5.8
13-5	9.5%		17.3%	17.3%		14.7													0.0	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.4	7.8
12-6	10.1%		12.1%	12.1%		15.1														0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	8.9
11-7	10.9%		8.4%	8.4%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	10.0
10-8	10.8%		6.1%	6.1%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.5	10.2
9-9	9.9%		4.3%	4.3%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.4	9.5
8-10	9.0%		2.6%	2.6%		16.0																0.0	0.2	8.8
7-11	6.9%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	6.8
6-12	5.5%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	5.5
5-13	3.8%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	3.8
4-14	2.4%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	2.4
3-15	1.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.4
2-16	0.7%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	0.7
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		11.5%	11.5%	0.0%	14.4						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	1.8	2.8	2.9	3.0	88.5		0.1%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%