Preseason Rankings
Davidson
Atlantic 10
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#149
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.9#287
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#165
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#139
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.8% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.0% 10.3% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.0% 3.6% 0.6%
Average Seed 12.0 11.0 12.4
.500 or above 51.9% 76.0% 47.7%
.500 or above in Conference 45.1% 61.9% 42.2%
Conference Champion 3.7% 7.3% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 9.1% 4.1% 10.0%
First Four0.8% 1.8% 0.7%
First Round4.7% 9.5% 3.8%
Second Round1.2% 3.3% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 1.2% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland (Neutral) - 14.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 42 - 7
Quad 35 - 56 - 12
Quad 47 - 214 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 29   Maryland L 60-71 15%    
  Nov 17, 2023 239   @ East Tennessee St. W 67-65 58%    
  Nov 21, 2023 313   Boston University W 71-58 88%    
  Nov 24, 2023 26   @ St. Mary's L 55-69 10%    
  Nov 29, 2023 156   @ Charlotte L 59-62 41%    
  Dec 02, 2023 131   Wright St. W 75-73 56%    
  Dec 06, 2023 294   Campbell W 71-60 84%    
  Dec 09, 2023 260   Miami (OH) W 74-64 79%    
  Dec 21, 2023 273   South Carolina Upstate W 73-63 81%    
  Dec 30, 2023 127   Ohio L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 03, 2024 72   Dayton L 61-64 39%    
  Jan 09, 2024 190   Rhode Island W 69-64 67%    
  Jan 13, 2024 238   @ George Washington W 73-71 58%    
  Jan 17, 2024 162   @ Fordham L 67-69 42%    
  Jan 20, 2024 129   Richmond W 67-65 56%    
  Jan 24, 2024 102   @ Saint Louis L 68-74 31%    
  Jan 27, 2024 82   Virginia Commonwealth L 66-68 43%    
  Feb 04, 2024 96   @ Loyola Chicago L 63-70 29%    
  Feb 07, 2024 94   @ Duquesne L 66-73 28%    
  Feb 10, 2024 139   George Mason W 67-65 58%    
  Feb 13, 2024 199   La Salle W 72-66 68%    
  Feb 17, 2024 78   @ St. Bonaventure L 61-70 24%    
  Feb 20, 2024 162   Fordham W 70-66 62%    
  Feb 24, 2024 129   @ Richmond L 64-68 37%    
  Feb 27, 2024 72   @ Dayton L 58-67 23%    
  Mar 02, 2024 192   Massachusetts W 74-69 67%    
  Mar 06, 2024 96   Loyola Chicago L 66-67 47%    
  Mar 09, 2024 136   @ Saint Joseph's L 68-72 38%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 3.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 1.8 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.8 2.2 0.4 0.0 6.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.6 2.8 0.6 0.0 6.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 3.9 1.2 0.1 7.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.0 2.3 0.2 7.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.2 3.3 0.5 0.0 7.4 8th
9th 0.2 2.1 4.3 1.1 0.0 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 4.3 2.4 0.1 8.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.4 3.2 0.4 0.0 7.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.9 1.1 0.0 8.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.3 1.6 0.1 7.6 13th
14th 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.6 1.4 0.2 6.8 14th
15th 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.2 15th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.2 4.0 6.2 8.2 10.5 11.3 11.4 10.9 10.1 8.1 6.5 4.2 2.8 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 98.3% 0.3    0.2 0.0
16-2 91.0% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-3 69.2% 1.0    0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 38.1% 1.1    0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.4% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.7% 3.7 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 98.8% 38.1% 60.7% 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.1%
17-1 0.3% 76.4% 34.4% 42.1% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 64.1%
16-2 0.7% 61.5% 27.3% 34.2% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 47.0%
15-3 1.5% 38.6% 21.1% 17.4% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 22.1%
14-4 2.8% 22.5% 15.3% 7.3% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.2 8.6%
13-5 4.2% 14.9% 11.8% 3.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.6 3.5%
12-6 6.5% 9.5% 9.2% 0.3% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 5.9 0.4%
11-7 8.1% 6.4% 6.3% 0.1% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 7.6 0.1%
10-8 10.1% 4.7% 4.7% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.6
9-9 10.9% 3.0% 3.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.6
8-10 11.4% 2.2% 2.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.2
7-11 11.3% 1.4% 1.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.1
6-12 10.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.4
5-13 8.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.1
4-14 6.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.2
3-15 4.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.0
2-16 2.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.1
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 5.0% 4.0% 1.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.4 95.0 1.0%