Preseason Rankings
Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.7#69
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.2#171
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#59
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#78
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 3.7% 3.8% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 7.7% 7.8% 1.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 27.0% 27.3% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 23.7% 24.0% 4.5%
Average Seed 8.0 8.0 8.9
.500 or above 74.2% 74.7% 34.4%
.500 or above in Conference 50.0% 50.4% 22.9%
Conference Champion 3.1% 3.2% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 6.0% 5.8% 18.3%
First Four4.3% 4.4% 0.7%
First Round24.8% 25.0% 5.9%
Second Round13.5% 13.7% 2.7%
Sweet Sixteen5.0% 5.1% 0.6%
Elite Eight2.0% 2.0% 0.3%
Final Four0.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Championship Game0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: N.C. A&T (Home) - 98.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 7
Quad 24 - 46 - 11
Quad 34 - 210 - 12
Quad 47 - 017 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 352   N.C. A&T W 85-62 99%    
  Nov 10, 2023 297   Binghamton W 79-61 95%    
  Nov 13, 2023 159   Florida Gulf Coast W 76-66 83%    
  Nov 17, 2023 246   Jacksonville W 70-55 92%    
  Nov 22, 2023 36   Florida L 71-75 38%    
  Nov 28, 2023 52   Missouri W 76-75 54%    
  Dec 03, 2023 45   Clemson W 73-72 52%    
  Dec 06, 2023 63   @ West Virginia L 71-75 37%    
  Dec 09, 2023 269   Canisius W 80-63 92%    
  Dec 16, 2023 345   South Carolina St. W 89-67 97%    
  Dec 20, 2023 305   Purdue Fort Wayne W 83-64 94%    
  Dec 30, 2023 75   @ Syracuse L 72-74 43%    
  Jan 02, 2024 16   North Carolina L 73-76 40%    
  Jan 06, 2024 124   @ Louisville W 72-70 58%    
  Jan 09, 2024 3   Duke L 66-73 29%    
  Jan 16, 2024 75   Syracuse W 75-71 62%    
  Jan 20, 2024 3   @ Duke L 63-76 15%    
  Jan 23, 2024 98   @ Georgia Tech W 71-70 50%    
  Jan 27, 2024 30   @ Miami (FL) L 72-79 27%    
  Jan 31, 2024 64   Wake Forest W 76-74 58%    
  Feb 03, 2024 133   Notre Dame W 74-65 76%    
  Feb 07, 2024 61   @ North Carolina St. L 73-77 37%    
  Feb 13, 2024 34   @ Virginia L 59-66 29%    
  Feb 17, 2024 124   Louisville W 75-67 75%    
  Feb 20, 2024 64   @ Wake Forest L 73-77 38%    
  Feb 24, 2024 57   Virginia Tech W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 27, 2024 45   @ Clemson L 70-75 33%    
  Mar 02, 2024 103   @ Boston College W 70-69 52%    
  Mar 05, 2024 85   Florida St. W 77-72 65%    
  Mar 09, 2024 61   North Carolina St. W 76-74 56%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.9 1.4 0.3 0.0 7.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.6 1.8 0.2 0.0 8.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 3.8 2.2 0.4 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 3.8 2.7 0.4 0.0 8.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 3.4 3.4 0.8 0.1 8.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.0 3.8 1.2 0.1 0.0 8.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.9 1.7 0.1 0.0 8.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.5 1.9 0.3 0.0 7.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.0 2.1 0.4 0.0 7.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.4 1.8 0.5 0.0 6.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.8 1.4 0.4 0.0 5.1 14th
15th 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.3 15th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.4 3.8 5.5 7.2 8.7 10.1 10.6 10.7 9.9 8.8 7.2 5.3 3.8 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
18-2 91.2% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
17-3 68.4% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.1
16-4 38.6% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 13.6% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
14-6 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 100.0% 34.1% 65.9% 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.2% 100.0% 24.6% 75.4% 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.6% 100.0% 23.2% 76.8% 2.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.3% 100.0% 19.8% 80.2% 3.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 2.3% 98.1% 14.3% 83.8% 4.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.8%
15-5 3.8% 95.8% 10.6% 85.2% 6.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 95.3%
14-6 5.3% 88.2% 8.9% 79.3% 7.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.6 87.0%
13-7 7.2% 70.0% 7.2% 62.8% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.0 2.1 67.7%
12-8 8.8% 49.3% 6.0% 43.3% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.5 46.1%
11-9 9.9% 27.1% 4.5% 22.6% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 7.2 23.7%
10-10 10.7% 13.0% 3.7% 9.3% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 9.3 9.7%
9-11 10.6% 4.2% 3.1% 1.1% 11.9 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.2 1.1%
8-12 10.1% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.9 0.0%
7-13 8.7% 1.6% 1.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.5
6-14 7.2% 1.0% 1.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.1
5-15 5.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.0 5.5
4-16 3.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.8
3-17 2.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.4
2-18 1.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.1
1-19 0.4% 0.4
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 27.0% 4.3% 22.7% 8.0 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.5 3.2 3.6 4.7 3.9 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 73.0 23.7%