Preseason Rankings
Wofford
Southern
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.2#242
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.8#288
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#202
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#284
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 4.9% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 15.1
.500 or above 29.1% 36.3% 13.4%
.500 or above in Conference 43.6% 49.0% 31.6%
Conference Champion 3.9% 4.8% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 8.5% 6.7% 12.6%
First Four1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
First Round3.7% 4.5% 1.8%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Home) - 68.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 63 - 12
Quad 48 - 511 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2023 278   High Point W 78-73 69%    
  Nov 14, 2023 7   @ Tennessee L 54-77 2%    
  Nov 19, 2023 57   @ Virginia Tech L 62-78 7%    
  Nov 24, 2023 269   Canisius W 71-69 56%    
  Nov 25, 2023 170   UNC Asheville L 69-73 34%    
  Nov 26, 2023 184   Lipscomb L 72-75 38%    
  Dec 02, 2023 137   @ Middle Tennessee L 65-74 21%    
  Dec 06, 2023 195   @ Gardner-Webb L 64-70 31%    
  Dec 09, 2023 270   @ Coastal Carolina L 72-73 45%    
  Dec 20, 2023 59   @ Oklahoma St. L 60-76 8%    
  Jan 03, 2024 351   VMI W 76-65 84%    
  Jan 06, 2024 205   @ Western Carolina L 69-74 33%    
  Jan 10, 2024 237   @ Mercer L 65-68 39%    
  Jan 13, 2024 320   @ The Citadel W 71-69 56%    
  Jan 17, 2024 239   East Tennessee St. W 69-66 59%    
  Jan 20, 2024 119   @ UNC Greensboro L 62-72 20%    
  Jan 24, 2024 197   Chattanooga W 72-71 50%    
  Jan 27, 2024 104   Furman L 71-76 33%    
  Jan 31, 2024 165   @ Samford L 68-76 26%    
  Feb 03, 2024 205   Western Carolina W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 07, 2024 239   @ East Tennessee St. L 66-69 40%    
  Feb 10, 2024 320   The Citadel W 74-66 74%    
  Feb 14, 2024 237   @ Mercer L 65-68 39%    
  Feb 17, 2024 119   UNC Greensboro L 65-69 37%    
  Feb 21, 2024 197   @ Chattanooga L 69-75 31%    
  Feb 24, 2024 104   @ Furman L 68-79 18%    
  Feb 28, 2024 165   Samford L 71-73 45%    
  Mar 02, 2024 351   @ VMI W 73-68 67%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.3 1.2 0.3 0.0 6.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.1 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 8.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.4 3.4 1.0 0.1 10.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.2 3.4 0.8 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.0 5.8 3.6 0.7 0.0 13.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 4.1 5.8 3.2 0.5 0.0 14.8 7th
8th 0.3 1.7 4.5 4.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 13.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.3 3.9 2.9 1.2 0.1 0.0 11.1 9th
10th 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.9 10th
Total 0.3 0.8 2.1 3.9 6.5 8.7 10.5 11.6 11.9 11.1 9.9 7.9 6.0 4.0 2.6 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 95.2% 0.6    0.5 0.1
15-3 73.4% 1.0    0.6 0.3 0.0
14-4 47.0% 1.2    0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 16.5% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 2.1 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 68.5% 67.4% 1.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3%
17-1 0.2% 54.8% 54.8% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.6% 36.6% 35.9% 0.7% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0%
15-3 1.3% 24.9% 24.5% 0.3% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 0.5%
14-4 2.6% 17.4% 17.4% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.1
13-5 4.0% 14.9% 14.9% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 3.4
12-6 6.0% 10.9% 10.9% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 5.3
11-7 7.9% 7.5% 7.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 7.3
10-8 9.9% 4.2% 4.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 9.4
9-9 11.1% 2.8% 2.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 10.8
8-10 11.9% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.8
7-11 11.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 11.4
6-12 10.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.5
5-13 8.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.7
4-14 6.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.5
3-15 3.9% 3.9
2-16 2.1% 2.1
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.3 95.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%