Big South
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
134 High Point 28.6%   15   9 - 2 0 - 0 21 - 8 11 - 5 +1.4      +4.3 66 -2.9 267 65.3 273 +4.8 101 0.0 1
181 Winthrop 16.2%   6 - 3 0 - 0 16 - 12 9 - 7 -1.0      -0.3 179 -0.8 193 78.7 15 0.0 169 0.0 1
182 UNC Asheville 16.5%   4 - 4 0 - 0 14 - 12 9 - 7 -1.1      +0.5 152 -1.5 216 68.9 180 -0.8 183 0.0 1
202 Radford 13.3%   8 - 3 0 - 0 17 - 12 9 - 7 -1.8      -0.1 174 -1.8 226 62.0 345 +7.4 88 0.0 1
220 Longwood 9.9%   6 - 3 0 - 0 15 - 13 8 - 8 -2.9      -2.5 240 -0.3 182 69.6 163 +0.7 159 0.0 1
240 Gardner-Webb 7.0%   4 - 7 0 - 0 12 - 17 8 - 8 -4.1      -1.7 218 -2.4 249 72.5 83 -4.1 237 0.0 1
250 Presbyterian 5.4%   4 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 16 7 - 9 -4.9      -1.9 227 -3.0 269 66.3 256 -3.3 226 0.0 1
299 Charleston Southern 2.4%   2 - 9 0 - 0 8 - 21 6 - 10 -7.3      -3.9 285 -3.4 285 70.0 150 -10.1 320 0.0 1
334 South Carolina Upstate 0.7%   1 - 9 0 - 0 6 - 22 4 - 12 -10.4      -5.1 320 -5.3 332 77.4 22 -11.0 328 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 2.4 41.4 22.3 13.9 9.3 6.0 3.7 2.0 1.0 0.3
Winthrop 3.5 21.5 18.9 16.2 13.5 11.2 8.3 5.9 3.3 1.3
UNC Asheville 3.5 21.7 19.0 16.1 13.5 10.7 8.3 6.0 3.4 1.3
Radford 3.8 16.0 17.1 16.3 15.0 12.6 9.9 7.1 4.3 1.7
Longwood 4.3 11.6 13.8 14.4 14.3 14.0 12.1 10.0 6.7 3.2
Gardner-Webb 5.0 6.8 9.9 12.1 13.7 14.8 14.8 13.3 10.0 4.7
Presbyterian 5.4 4.9 7.9 9.9 12.0 14.0 15.3 15.9 13.0 7.0
Charleston Southern 6.6 1.5 3.2 5.0 7.1 10.5 14.0 18.6 23.0 17.1
South Carolina Upstate 7.8 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.8 4.8 7.8 13.5 23.4 45.2




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.1 4.2 7.4 11.3 14.6 17.0 16.3 12.9 8.3 3.6 0.8
Winthrop 9 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.4 6.1 9.5 12.7 14.7 15.2 13.9 10.6 6.6 3.4 1.2 0.2
UNC Asheville 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.5 6.3 9.3 12.3 14.6 15.4 13.5 10.6 6.9 3.5 1.2 0.2
Radford 9 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.2 4.4 7.6 11.1 14.1 15.7 15.1 12.4 8.3 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.1
Longwood 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.7 6.8 10.1 12.8 14.8 15.0 13.1 9.8 6.1 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
Gardner-Webb 8 - 8 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.9 5.9 9.5 12.6 15.2 15.4 13.7 10.4 6.7 3.9 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0
Presbyterian 7 - 9 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.4 7.8 11.5 14.4 15.6 14.3 11.6 8.6 5.2 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
Charleston Southern 6 - 10 0.4 2.0 5.4 9.9 13.9 16.1 15.9 13.6 9.9 6.4 3.5 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 4 - 12 2.5 8.3 14.5 17.7 17.8 14.5 10.7 6.8 3.9 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 41.4% 29.2 9.4 2.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Winthrop 21.5% 13.4 6.1 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
UNC Asheville 21.7% 13.6 6.0 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
Radford 16.0% 9.3 4.9 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
Longwood 11.6% 6.6 3.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0
Gardner-Webb 6.8% 3.6 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Presbyterian 4.9% 2.4 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Charleston Southern 1.5% 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 0.3% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 28.6% 28.6% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.0 0.2 3.2 9.3 10.4 4.9 0.7 71.4 0.0%
Winthrop 16.2% 16.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.7 5.1 5.7 2.2 83.8 0.0%
UNC Asheville 16.5% 16.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.7 2.6 5.1 5.6 2.5 83.5 0.0%
Radford 13.3% 13.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.8 4.4 0.8 86.7 0.0%
Longwood 9.9% 9.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.7 4.0 2.2 90.1 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 3.7 93.0 0.0%
Presbyterian 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.0 94.6 0.0%
Charleston Southern 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.2 97.6 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.7 99.3 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 28.6% 0.1% 28.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 16.2% 0.7% 15.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 16.5% 1.1% 16.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 13.3% 0.2% 13.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 9.9% 0.8% 9.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 7.0% 2.6% 5.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 5.4% 1.9% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 2.4% 2.1% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 95.5% 1.0 4.5 95.5
2nd Round 5.4% 0.1 94.6 5.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0