Ivy League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
87 Yale 49.1%   13   9 - 6 3 - 0 17 - 9 11 - 3 +6.5      +4.5 66 +2.0 114 70.0 138 +2.2 131 +12.2 2
127 Princeton 22.3%   12 - 4 3 - 0 19 - 8 10 - 4 +2.3      +2.0 123 +0.3 160 68.1 195 +6.1 92 +12.2 1
143 Cornell 16.3%   8 - 6 2 - 1 15 - 10 9 - 5 +1.4      +4.9 57 -3.5 277 77.1 20 -0.1 173 +1.4 3
203 Columbia 3.4%   9 - 5 0 - 3 15 - 10 6 - 8 -2.1      +2.2 118 -4.3 298 70.4 129 -0.1 172 -13.6 8
207 Brown 5.2%   8 - 7 1 - 2 13 - 13 6 - 8 -2.2      -0.9 203 -1.4 219 64.3 292 -1.1 190 -2.7 4
235 Harvard 1.8%   5 - 10 1 - 2 9 - 17 5 - 9 -4.2      -3.1 253 -1.2 213 67.3 218 -6.5 271 -7.0 7
267 Penn 1.0%   5 - 11 1 - 2 9 - 18 5 - 9 -6.0      -1.6 221 -4.3 299 64.5 286 -7.5 287 -5.7 6
274 Dartmouth 0.9%   5 - 9 1 - 2 9 - 16 5 - 9 -6.4      -4.8 301 -1.6 228 75.1 38 -7.1 278 -5.5 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.3 75.0 18.5 5.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
Princeton 2.2 27.5 40.9 20.2 7.6 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0
Cornell 2.9 12.7 30.0 32.6 14.6 6.1 2.7 0.9 0.4
Columbia 5.2 0.4 3.8 11.9 20.4 21.3 17.7 13.9 10.6
Brown 4.5 1.8 8.9 18.6 25.6 19.3 13.5 7.6 4.7
Harvard 5.6 0.4 2.7 8.1 14.8 20.4 21.2 18.0 14.4
Penn 6.1 0.2 1.1 4.6 10.7 15.8 21.6 24.5 21.5
Dartmouth 6.0 0.2 1.6 6.1 11.7 16.6 19.8 21.4 22.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 11 - 3 0.0 0.3 1.0 3.0 7.1 14.5 22.2 25.0 19.5 7.4
Princeton 10 - 4 0.1 0.9 3.2 7.7 14.0 20.1 21.4 17.9 10.0 4.0 0.7
Cornell 9 - 5 0.0 0.2 0.8 3.5 7.9 15.2 20.2 21.4 16.9 9.6 3.7 0.5
Columbia 6 - 8 0.2 0.8 3.4 8.4 14.8 20.1 20.8 15.9 9.8 4.4 1.3 0.1
Brown 6 - 8 0.2 1.4 3.8 9.3 15.4 20.7 19.7 15.7 9.0 3.6 1.1 0.2
Harvard 5 - 9 1.1 5.3 12.6 18.6 21.9 18.4 12.6 6.2 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
Penn 5 - 9 2.2 8.4 18.0 23.4 20.3 15.0 8.6 3.1 0.9 0.2 0.0
Dartmouth 5 - 9 2.4 9.3 16.2 21.1 20.7 15.1 8.7 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 75.0% 60.7 12.5 1.7 0.1
Princeton 27.5% 16.4 9.4 1.6 0.1
Cornell 12.7% 6.1 5.2 1.4 0.1
Columbia 0.4% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
Brown 1.8% 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1
Harvard 0.4% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
Penn 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1
Dartmouth 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 49.1% 49.1% 0.0% 13   0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 4.4 20.4 18.3 5.0 0.6 0.0 50.9 0.0%
Princeton 22.3% 22.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 6.1 9.7 5.5 0.6 0.0 77.7 0.0%
Cornell 16.3% 16.3% 0.0% 0.1 2.1 5.5 6.1 2.4 0.1 83.7 0.0%
Columbia 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.6 0.5 96.6 0.0%
Brown 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 0.1 0.4 1.7 2.6 0.4 94.8 0.0%
Harvard 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.1 0.4 1.4 98.2 0.0%
Penn 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.1 0.9 99.0 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.7 99.1 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 49.1% 0.0% 49.1% 8.7% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 22.3% 0.0% 22.3% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 16.3% 0.0% 16.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 3.4% 0.0% 3.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 5.2% 0.1% 5.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 1.8% 1.0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 1.0% 0.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.9% 0.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 99.0% 1.0 1.0 99.0 0.0
2nd Round 12.5% 0.1 87.5 12.5
Sweet Sixteen 2.6% 0.0 97.5 2.6
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0