Albany
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -10.0 320
Results Rating -12.1 341
Consistency 0.17 285
Pace 64.5 288
Improvement +2.0 113

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 279 C C- F+ F C+
Defense D- 328 D+ F D C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 151 C 58% 164 +0.7 155
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% 196 B- 41% 93 +0.1 171
Three Pointers 41% 178 D+ 32% 281 -1.4 233
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 172 C- -0.8 203
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 190
Second Chance C+ 31.3% 150 D+ 0.95 299 C- 0.30 204
Opponents' Steals D- 11.5% 333
Other Turnovers D- 8.7% 330
Turnovers F+ 20.2% 343
Freethrows F+ 0.23 355 D 68% 318 F 0.16 363
Total Offense D+ -4.1 279

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 43% 267 C 11.2% 188
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 156 C 5.5% 225
Three Pointers C+ 85% 167 F+ 1.9% 346
Total C- 53% 240 D+ 6.3% 261


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 118 C 58% 183 +1.5 229
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 276 C 38% 156 -1.2 93
Three Pointers 41% 167 D 36% 293 +1.7 270
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 273 C- +1.4 239
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.06 248
Second Chance D- 35.1% 337 F+ 1.18 355 F 0.42 357
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.9% 214
Other Turnovers F+ 5.6% 353
Turnovers D 14.5% 317
Freethrows C- 0.31 209 D 75% 307 C- 0.23 241
Total Defense D- -5.9 328

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 52% 254 C 11.3% 155
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 106 B 7.2% 53
Three Pointers F+ 92% 358 A- 2.1% 23
Total D+ 61% 296 B- 6.8% 84

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.0 330 16.9 105
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 165 0.17 181
Consistency 0.11 67 0.14 313
Improvement +1.5 116 +0.5 168

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 327 321 311
Results Rating Rank 347 345 312
Conference Record 7 - 9 7 - 9 7 - 9
Conference Finish 5 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Four

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5% 11% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four5% 11% 0%
First Round2% 5% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 31 - 81 - 12
Quad 48 - 99 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 79 @Marquette L 53 - 80 4% -13  3% 0 - 1 F+ -17 F -20 F B F B+ +6 B- B+ A-
 Sat, Nov 8 194 @Massachusetts L 62 - 83 15% -7  15% 0 - 2 F -20 F -17 F C F C- -2 A+ F C-
 Fri, Nov 14 130 @Rhode Island L 61 - 80 9% -6  28% 0 - 3 D- -14 D -5 F A+ D- F -10 B+ F F
 Fri, Nov 21 208 @Siena L 63 - 73 16% -8  0% 0 - 4 D -10 D+ -2 A F D+ F+ -9 D F B-
 Fri, Nov 28 252 Colgate L 67 - 69 32% +2  67% 0 - 5 D+ -7 D- -6 B F+ F C -1 D C+ D
 Sat, Nov 29 161 Fordham L 68 - 88 18% -11  0% 0 - 6 F -20 D+ -2 D- B- B+ F -18 F F B+
 Sat, Dec 6 190 @Columbia L 65 - 93 15% -9  18% 0 - 7 F -27 F+ -9 D- F C+ F -19 D- F F+
 Wed, Dec 10 87 Yale L 82 - 93 7% -6  26% 0 - 8 C- -5 C+ +3 A F A+ D- -7 C+ C+ D+
 Sat, Dec 13 125 @Florida Atlantic L 79 - 105 8% -20  0% 0 - 9 F -20 D+ -4 B F+ D F -13 F C+ C-
 Wed, Dec 17 227 @Stony Brook W 71 - 55 19% +8  85% 1 - 9 A- +15 C +1 A+ F D A+ +15 A+ A+ F
 Sun, Dec 21 164 Cornell L 75 - 83 26% +0  42% 1 - 10 D -11 C+ +3 B+ C+ C- F -16 C- F F
 Tue, Dec 30 98 @South Carolina L 67 - 96 5% -16  0% 1 - 11 F -20 C+ +2 F A+ F F -26 F F C
 Sat, Jan 3 311 @Umass Lowell L 71 - 83 35% -10  4% 1 - 12 0 - 1 F -18 D -4 D- B- F+ F -14 C- F F
 Sat, Jan 10 353 Bryant W 71 - 46 75% +13  98% 2 - 12 1 - 1 B- +8 B- +4 A F C- A +10 A+ F+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 357 Binghamton W 69 - 53 81% +5  80% 3 - 12 2 - 1 C- -3 F+ -9 C- D+ F A- +8 A C D-
 Mon, Jan 19 235 Vermont W 75 - 68 39% +3  61% 4 - 12 3 - 1 C -0 C- -2 B- F+ C B- +2 C+ C- B+
 Thu, Jan 22 346 @Maine L 49 - 52 50% +4  79% 4 - 13 3 - 2 D- -13 F -15 F D D- C+ +1 B+ C+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 352 @New Hampshire L 72 - 80 53% -3  33% 4 - 14 3 - 3 F -19 C- -1 B+ C+ F F -19 F F D
 Thu, Jan 29 333 NJIT L 68 - 77 67% -5  9% 4 - 15 3 - 4 F -24 F -10 F C- C F -14 D- F F
 Sat, Jan 31 193 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 65 - 68 32% +3  70% 4 - 16 3 - 5 D+ -8 D -6 D A- F C- -3 D- A+ D+
 Thu, Feb 5 353 @Bryant W 65 - 63 54% -5  1% 5 - 16 4 - 5 D -9 D -5 B+ F D- D+ -4 F D A+
 Sat, Feb 7 311 Umass Lowell L 79 - 89 58% -5  18% 5 - 17 4 - 6 F -22 C- -2 D B- B+ F -20 F F D+
 Sat, Feb 14 357 @Binghamton W 77 - 74 62% +5  96% 6 - 17 5 - 6 D -10 D+ -4 C- D+ F D -6 C- D- F
 Thu, Feb 19 333 @NJIT W 81 - 63 45% +1  44% 7 - 17 6 - 6 B +9 A+ +18 A A+ C D -5 B- F F
 Sat, Feb 21 193 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 62 - 66 15% -1  41% 7 - 18 6 - 7 C- -3 C- -2 A D- F C- -2 C D F+
 Thu, Feb 26 346 Maine L 59 - 70 72% -7  0% 7 - 19 6 - 8 F -27 F+ -10 C- B F F -19 F A F
 Sat, Feb 28 352 New Hampshire W 84 - 61 74% +19  90% 8 - 19 7 - 8 B- +6 B +6 A A F C+ +1 B- D+ C+
 Tue, Mar 3 235 @Vermont L 56 - 69 20% -4  26% 8 - 20 7 - 9 D- -14 F -12 D+ C- F D+ -4 C+ D- D
 Sat, Mar 7 311 @Umass Lowell L 73 - 77 35%
Totals 8 - 21 7 - 9 -10 D+ -4 C- C- C+ D- -6 D+ D F



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C B- D+ C- 39% 36% 41% C+ C C+ D+ C- F+ F+ D F D- C C D C- 41% 18% 41% D+ D+ D- F+ F D C- D C-
1.03 58% 41% 32% -1 0 1.01 31% 1.0 .30 20% .23 68% .16 1.17 58% 38% 36% +1 +1 1.06 35% 1.2 .42 14% .31 75% .17
Nov
3		 Marquette F F F F F 33% 16% 51% C F B+ C+ B F C D+ C- B+ C+ F A+ B 49% 6% 45% C- B- F A+ B+ A- F C- F
0.69 44% 0% 18% -23 0 0.56 39% 0.9 .37 30% .26 71% .19 1.04 57% 100% 24% -4 +3 1.00 38% 0.6 .23 18% .62 69% .43
Nov
8		 Massachusetts F C- F F F 40% 10% 50% B F D A C F B- D C+ C- B- D A+ A+ 44% 14% 42% F+ A+ F F F C- F D F
0.84 58% 20% 21% -12 +1 0.81 24% 1.3 .30 26% .42 70% .29 1.12 55% 43% 19% -10 +1 0.84 42% 1.8 .76 18% .49 70% .34
Nov
14		 Rhode Island D F A+ F F 37% 15% 48% C F A+ A A+ D- F F+ F F B B+ A- A 51% 12% 37% F+ B+ F F F F F F F
0.92 41% 57% 14% -18 +1 0.67 44% 1.2 .54 24% .28 64% .18 1.21 52% 33% 28% -7 +2 0.92 43% 1.3 .54 14% .49 89% .44
Nov
21		 Siena D+ B A- A+ A+ 46% 32% 22% D+ A F F F D+ A F C F+ C- C C- D+ 54% 26% 20% F D F D F B- F F F
1.04 63% 46% 56% +12 -1 1.24 20% 0.6 .12 18% .36 56% .20 1.21 60% 42% 33% +2 0 1.07 38% 1.1 .42 18% .40 90% .36
Nov
28		 Colgate D- C- A A+ B 43% 21% 36% C B D F F+ F F F F C D B F+ D 31% 21% 48% C- D C B C+ D A+ A+ A+
1.04 57% 45% 42% +5 0 1.13 26% 0.8 .19 19% .06 33% .02 1.07 63% 36% 40% +5 -1 1.12 26% 0.9 .24 14% .16 33% .05
Nov
29		 Fordham D+ F A+ F F+ 34% 25% 41% C D- A+ F B- B+ D A C- F F F D F 43% 20% 37% D+ F F F F B+ F B F
1.01 42% 50% 26% -7 -1 0.86 40% 0.8 .33 13% .22 77% .17 1.30 70% 56% 35% +9 0 1.22 42% 2.0 .85 21% .39 67% .26
Dec
6		 Columbia F+ A+ A+ F D 29% 31% 41% F D- C- F F C+ A+ F+ A F F F B- F 35% 25% 40% A D- F F F F+ F+ F F
0.94 71% 60% 10% -4 -2 0.90 28% 0.3 .07 13% .45 67% .30 1.35 72% 54% 33% +8 -1 1.17 52% 1.5 .76 17% .33 84% .28
Dec
10		 Yale C+ C B A+ A 37% 24% 39% C- A F B+ F A+ B- F F D- D+ A+ C- B 60% 10% 31% F C+ F A+ C+ D+ F C F
1.12 59% 43% 48% +10 0 1.20 13% 1.2 .16 10% .29 37% .11 1.27 61% 20% 38% +2 +3 1.12 39% 0.9 .37 14% .54 76% .41
Dec
13		 Florida Atlantic D+ C A B+ B+ 40% 23% 37% D B F C F+ D C F D F D F F F 37% 13% 50% D+ F B- C- C+ C- C- A B-
0.97 57% 46% 38% +3 0 1.09 16% 1.0 .16 18% .30 60% .18 1.29 64% 75% 47% +16 +1 1.37 30% 1.1 .33 16% .31 62% .19
Dec
17		 Stony Brook C A+ F A A+ 43% 9% 48% A- A+ C- F F D B F F A+ A A A+ A+ 42% 18% 40% C- A+ A+ A+ A+ F B- B- B-
1.09 75% 25% 41% +11 +2 1.28 30% 0.4 .12 18% .34 44% .15 0.84 42% 30% 26% -13 +1 0.77 17% 0.4 .07 11% .22 69% .15
Dec
21		 Cornell C+ D+ B+ A+ B+ 47% 22% 31% C- B+ A- F+ C+ C- F C F F A+ A+ F D- 20% 18% 62% A+ C- F F F F B- B- B-
1.24 57% 45% 53% +10 0 1.22 38% 0.9 .34 15% .14 71% .10 1.37 44% 25% 50% +10 -1 1.20 45% 1.4 .65 13% .27 71% .19
Dec
30		 South Carolina C+ C+ D- F F 46% 35% 19% D F A+ A+ A+ F F A+ D- F F C- F F 31% 15% 54% C- F F F F C B- F D+
1.05 59% 29% 0% -12 -1 0.75 47% 1.5 .72 23% .16 88% .14 1.50 87% 43% 50% +23 0 1.48 38% 1.4 .52 14% .31 94% .29
Jan
3		 Umass Lowell D D+ F F+ F 54% 15% 31% B D- C B B- F+ D F F+ F C B- B- C 53% 22% 25% D C- F F F F C+ F+ C-
1.06 55% 25% 29% -6 +2 0.94 31% 1.3 .40 16% .23 62% .14 1.24 56% 36% 31% -3 +1 0.98 50% 1.3 .64 13% .29 71% .21
Jan
10		 Bryant B- A A+ B- A 55% 9% 36% B+ A A- F F C- C F+ D+ A A+ D A+ A+ 23% 12% 65% B A+ F+ D- F+ F F+ A+ C-
1.25 71% 50% 38% +10 +3 1.27 43% 0.4 .18 14% .31 67% .20 0.81 10% 40% 21% -23 0 0.56 33% 1.1 .36 16% .33 63% .21
Jan
15		 Binghamton F+ F+ A A+ C+ 38% 25% 38% D- C- A- F D+ F F A+ D- A- A+ B- B+ A+ 43% 22% 35% D+ A D- A C D- B+ C B
1.09 50% 50% 44% +6 -1 1.13 40% 0.8 .30 21% .20 90% .18 0.84 38% 36% 29% -11 0 0.80 24% 0.6 .15 17% .31 75% .23
Jan
19		 Vermont C- C- D+ A C+ 38% 18% 44% B- B- F+ F F+ C A C+ A B- C- A+ C- B- 41% 14% 45% D C+ B- F+ C- B+ C+ C C
1.10 58% 33% 41% +4 0 1.10 19% 0.8 .16 13% .40 75% .30 1.00 62% 14% 35% -1 +1 1.02 21% 1.1 .24 19% .27 73% .20
Jan
22		 Maine F C C+ F F 40% 11% 49% B F C- D- D D- F F+ F C+ D- A+ A+ A 47% 21% 33% D+ B+ B- C+ C+ F D F F+
0.86 61% 40% 14% -14 +1 0.78 35% 0.9 .32 21% .18 63% .11 0.92 65% 0% 21% -11 +1 0.81 16% 1.0 .16 12% .36 72% .26
Jan
24		 New Hampshire C- A B C- B+ 49% 22% 29% C B+ A F C+ F A+ B- A+ F D+ C+ F F 25% 6% 69% C- F D+ F F D D- F F
1.11 70% 44% 33% +7 +1 1.17 42% 0.8 .33 25% .47 78% .37 1.23 58% 33% 39% +5 +1 1.15 28% 1.8 .48 17% .31 88% .28
Jan
29		 NJIT F F+ F+ F F 44% 13% 43% B F D B C- C F F+ F F C+ F A D- 37% 25% 37% C- D- F F F F B F C
1.01 50% 29% 26% -10 +1 0.85 29% 1.2 .34 15% .24 64% .16 1.14 53% 62% 26% 0 -1 1.00 34% 1.3 .44 13% .27 81% .22
Jan
31		 Maryland Baltimore Co. D C F D- D- 39% 14% 47% C+ D B+ B+ A- F F F F C- B+ F F D 54% 12% 34% F D- B+ A+ A+ D+ F F+ F
1.03 58% 29% 30% -4 +1 0.96 35% 1.2 .41 21% .16 50% .08 1.07 50% 60% 43% +3 +2 1.12 19% 0.0 .00 14% .50 81% .41
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Bryant D B+ F A+ B+ 52% 12% 36% B B+ F F F D- F F F D+ C+ F F F 43% 5% 52% F F C- F D A+ A+ D A+
1.08 65% 17% 44% +7 +2 1.20 26% 0.3 .06 17% .10 60% .06 1.04 53% 50% 43% +6 +2 1.18 28% 1.1 .32 28% .12 80% .09
Feb
7		 Umass Lowell C- D A D D 49% 20% 31% C D D- A+ B- B+ A+ F A- F F A F F 46% 28% 26% B F F F F D+ F F F
1.14 52% 50% 31% -2 +1 1.00 25% 1.6 .41 10% .42 62% .26 1.28 67% 31% 50% +8 0 1.17 38% 1.6 .62 17% .54 71% .38
Feb
14		 Binghamton D+ C- D- B+ C- 42% 13% 44% C+ C- C D- D+ F A+ B+ A+ D C+ C+ D- D+ 32% 28% 40% B+ C- B F D- F F D F
1.12 58% 33% 40% +3 +1 1.11 32% 0.9 .29 19% .54 77% .41 1.08 53% 38% 37% 0 -1 1.00 16% 1.4 .22 16% .50 79% .40
Feb
19		 NJIT A+ D+ D+ A+ A+ 50% 20% 30% C+ A A+ C A+ C C+ A- B D C A- A+ B+ 50% 20% 30% F B- F D- F F C A B
1.36 55% 33% 62% +9 +1 1.23 50% 1.1 .53 15% .36 78% .28 1.06 56% 30% 20% -9 +1 0.86 39% 1.0 .39 12% .30 63% .19
Feb
21		 Maryland Baltimore Co. C- C- A+ A+ A- 53% 13% 34% A- A F+ C- D- F F B+ F C- B A+ F C+ 44% 17% 38% F+ C F B D F+ B- C- B-
1.04 56% 67% 44% +8 +2 1.21 20% 1.0 .20 20% .08 75% .06 1.11 52% 22% 40% -2 +1 1.00 30% 0.9 .27 12% .25 77% .19
Feb
26		 Maine F+ A+ C+ F D+ 40% 13% 48% B C- C+ B+ B F D+ D+ D F D- F F F 43% 13% 43% F+ F A- A+ A F A A- A
0.98 75% 40% 21% -2 +1 1.00 38% 1.2 .46 28% .28 67% .19 1.16 65% 67% 45% +14 +1 1.33 12% 0.7 .08 13% .23 58% .13
Feb
28		 New Hampshire B A- A+ B+ A+ 44% 15% 40% B- A A+ C+ A F F F F C+ B+ A A- B+ 39% 8% 53% D B- F A- D+ C+ F A+ F
1.25 70% 63% 38% +11 +1 1.27 43% 1.1 .46 19% .20 64% .13 0.91 47% 25% 27% -11 +2 0.84 35% 0.7 .26 19% .46 52% .24
Mar
3		 Vermont F A+ F D C- 24% 28% 48% D- D+ C D- C- F F D+ F D+ A- F C C+ 33% 17% 50% C C+ C- F D- D F C+ F
0.92 82% 23% 32% 0 -2 0.98 28% 0.9 .24 21% .15 71% .10 1.13 50% 57% 33% 0 0 1.02 25% 1.3 .31 13% .47 72% .34



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 5.0 95.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 16.0 95.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 5.0% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 7.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 34.9%
Lose Out 52.7%