Bucknell
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -10.2 324
Expected Predictive Rating -9.4 313
Pace 67.7 209
Improvement -2.8 295

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- #336 D- D+ D- C C+
Defense D+ #287 D D+ C C- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 238 54% 284 -2.8 278
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 258 28% 363 -3.2 329
Three Pointers 47% 59 30% 329 -0.1 180
1st FG Attempt 0.90 339 -6.1 340
Second Chance 25.5% 316 1.07 113 0.27 263
Turnovers 20.0% 338
Freethrows 0.28 252 77% 45 0.22 190
Total Offense -6.7 336

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 274 62% 293 +0.2 169
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 160 43% 328 -1.1 272
Three Pointers 43% 102 37% 306 -3.0 311
1st FG Attempt 1.10 307 -3.9 300
Second Chance 33.1% 289 1.07 261 0.36 292
Turnovers 17.3% 161
Freethrows 0.32 228 73% 233 0.23 238
Total Defense -3.5 287

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.3 145 -0.3 118
Shot Type Accuracy -6.2 350 +4.3 330
Possession Length 17.8 232 16.9 114
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 319 0.17 184
Improvement -0.3 #202 -2.5 #305

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 11% 28% 4%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 18% 6% 22%
First Four2% 3% 2%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Boston University (Away) - 25.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 80 - 12
Quad 411 - 1011 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 279 Delaware W 78 - 70 48% +6  92% 1 - 0 C- -2 D+ -3 C B+ F+ C+ +1 A+ F D+
 Fri, Nov 7 289 @Mount St. Mary's W 73 - 62 29% +4  80% 2 - 0 B- +7 C+ +2 B F A+ B +5 B B+ C+
 Tue, Nov 11 221 @Princeton L 63 - 73 17% -5  4% 2 - 1 D -10 F -10 C- F F C -0 D+ C- C
 Fri, Nov 14 117 Hofstra L 77 - 83 17% -2  35% 2 - 2 D+ -6 D -4 D+ A+ F C -2 F+ A+ C-
 Mon, Nov 17 99 @Pittsburgh L 50 - 84 5% -17  10% 2 - 3 F -26 F -18 F F+ F F+ -11 F F A-
 Thu, Nov 20 20 @St. John's L 49 - 97 1% -17  22% 2 - 4 F -27 F -20 F D- F D+ -4 F A- B+
 Mon, Nov 24 158 Bowling Green L 66 - 71 17% -7  6% 2 - 5 D+ -5 D- -6 B+ D F C+ +1 C D A
 Wed, Nov 26 202 Buffalo L 71 - 73 23% -2  33% 2 - 6 C- -5 C+ +2 B- C C- D -7 D+ A- D-
 Sun, Nov 30 159 Cornell L 72 - 101 25% -14  6% 2 - 7 F -32 F -16 F A F F -15 F F A-
 Wed, Dec 3 72 @Akron L 77 - 97 4% -11  8% 2 - 8 D -9 B +6 B- D- A+ F -16 F+ C- F
 Sat, Dec 6 259 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66 - 73 44% -1  39% 2 - 9 F+ -16 F+ -8 F C+ C- D- -8 F C- B
 Tue, Dec 9 354 @Rider W 51 - 38 53% +8  99% 3 - 9 C+ +2 F -23 F F F A+ +27 B A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 20 25 Iowa L 39 - 94 2% -23  13% 3 - 10 F -39 F -27 D F F F -16 F+ F C-
 Wed, Dec 31 321 @Holy Cross L 58 - 65 38% -4  9% 3 - 11 0 - 1 D- -14 F -14 D- F F C -1 D+ C- C+
 Sat, Jan 3 306 Lehigh W 72 - 65 55% -3  33% 4 - 11 1 - 1 C- -4 F -12 F B- C- B+ +7 B F A+
 Wed, Jan 7 166 @Navy L 55 - 76 12% -7  38% 4 - 12 1 - 2 F -18 F -13 F F D D -7 D- F B
 Sat, Jan 10 312 Loyola Maryland W 70 - 67 57% +1  51% 5 - 12 2 - 2 D -9 F -10 F A- F C+ +1 D- A- A-
 Wed, Jan 14 319 Lafayette W 76 - 69 61% +1  53% 6 - 12 3 - 2 D+ -6 C +1 B A+ F D -6 D- D+ C
 Sat, Jan 17 209 @Colgate L 76 - 95 17% -14  0% 6 - 13 3 - 3 F -19 C- -1 D D+ C F -17 F F D
 Wed, Jan 21 341 Army L 84 - 87 OT 68% -2  31% 6 - 14 3 - 4 F -18 C +0 B- F+ B- F -18 F D+ C-
 Sat, Jan 24 312 @Loyola Maryland L 62 - 67 34% -2  22% 6 - 15 3 - 5 D -11 F -10 F C C+ C -1 C+ F A-
 Wed, Jan 28 319 @Lafayette L 79 - 81 38% +4  84% 6 - 16 3 - 6 D -9 B+ +8 C- B C- F -17 F F F+
 Sat, Jan 31 275 Boston University W 103 - 97 2OT 47% +3  62% 7 - 16 4 - 6 C- -3 A- +10 B+ B- B F -14 B F F
 Wed, Feb 4 258 @American W 60 - 59 23% -2  21% 8 - 16 5 - 6 C -2 D -5 F+ B- F B- +4 B D+ B-
 Sat, Feb 7 209 Colgate L 59 - 78 34% -14  0% 8 - 17 5 - 7 F -25 F -22 F D+ D C- -2 C+ C D
 Mon, Feb 9 166 Navy L 60 - 76 26% -9  9% 8 - 18 5 - 8 F -19 F -14 F D B- D -6 C+ F C
 Sat, Feb 14 275 @Boston University L 68 - 75 26%
 Wed, Feb 18 258 American L 70 - 72 45%
 Sun, Feb 22 321 Holy Cross W 71 - 68 60%
 Wed, Feb 25 341 @Army L 72 - 73 45%
 Sat, Feb 28 306 @Lehigh L 68 - 73 33%
Totals 10 - 21 7 - 11 -10 D- -7 D- D+ D- D+ -4 D D+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- D+ F D- F+ 36% 17% 47% C+ D- D C+ D+ D- D+ B C D+ D+ D- D D- 36% 21% 43% C+ D D+ C- D+ C C- C- C-
0.99 54% 28% 30% -6 0 0.90 26% 1.1 .27 20% .28 77% .22 1.14 62% 43% 37% +4 0 1.10 33% 1.1 .36 17% .32 73% .21
Nov
3		 Delaware D+ C- F A C- 37% 20% 43% B- C B B+ B+ F+ D A- C- C+ A- A+ A A+ 40% 13% 47% D- A+ F F F D+ F+ A+ C-
1.10 58% 20% 41% +1 0 1.04 35% 1.1 .38 18% .24 86% .21 0.98 48% 14% 28% -11 +1 0.81 29% 1.6 .45 17% .30 61% .19
Nov
7		 Mount St. Mary's C+ B+ D- B- B 42% 17% 42% B- B D- F F A+ B F C B F C+ A+ B+ 40% 7% 52% D- B D- A+ B+ C+ F D F
1.12 64% 33% 36% +3 +1 1.09 23% 0.3 .08 6% .37 65% .24 0.95 71% 33% 18% -8 +2 0.90 33% 0.6 .21 23% .50 72% .36
Nov
11		 Princeton F F A+ D+ D 48% 10% 42% A- C- F F F F A- C- A- C C F+ C- D- 19% 27% 54% A+ D+ C- D+ C- C F A F
0.92 48% 60% 30% -5 +2 0.96 18% 0.5 .09 19% .38 71% .27 1.07 56% 46% 35% +2 -2 1.02 27% 1.1 .30 18% .51 66% .34
Nov
14		 Hofstra D A F F D 31% 19% 50% B- D+ C+ A+ A+ F B+ A+ A+ C C- F+ F F 20% 33% 47% A F+ B+ A+ A+ C- F A+ F
1.03 67% 22% 25% -7 0 0.88 32% 1.6 .53 23% .36 86% .31 1.11 60% 44% 43% +9 -3 1.14 29% 0.8 .24 16% .51 66% .34
Nov
17		 Pittsburgh F F F F F 37% 17% 46% C+ F C+ F F+ F A+ B- A+ F+ B F F F 35% 20% 45% B F F D+ F A- C+ B- B-
0.77 33% 14% 26% -18 0 0.66 27% 0.5 .14 25% .47 78% .37 1.30 53% 60% 50% +14 0 1.29 44% 1.1 .47 20% .27 64% .17
Nov
20		 St. John's F F F F F 41% 17% 41% B- F F+ C- D- F A+ D+ A+ D+ F D C+ F 47% 13% 40% C- F F A+ A- B+ D- C- D-
0.65 32% 25% 21% -21 +1 0.61 21% 0.9 .18 32% .42 68% .29 1.28 76% 43% 33% +9 +2 1.23 49% 0.8 .37 17% .45 75% .33
Nov
24		 Bowling Green D- B F A+ B+ 44% 12% 44% B B+ F A+ D F A- B- A C+ A+ D+ F C 42% 11% 47% C- C A+ F D A F B F
0.96 63% 0% 42% +3 +2 1.12 15% 1.5 .23 26% .39 75% .29 1.03 42% 40% 43% 0 +1 1.04 16% 1.8 .28 22% .48 69% .33
Nov
26		 Buffalo C+ B+ F B C+ 40% 9% 51% B B- A- F+ C C- D+ F F+ D B- F F+ D+ 35% 8% 56% D D+ D- A+ A- D- C- C C-
1.17 68% 25% 38% +6 +2 1.17 41% 0.8 .31 18% .24 58% .14 1.20 53% 50% 41% +5 +1 1.15 31% 0.6 .19 13% .36 74% .26
Nov
30		 Cornell F F B+ F F 33% 22% 45% D F C+ A+ A F A+ B- A+ F F F F 43% 0% 57% F F A F F A- A+ D A+
0.98 38% 45% 23% -13 -1 0.76 32% 1.6 .51 23% .46 73% .33 1.37 73% 62% +30 +3 1.69 24% 2.0 .47 22% .16 78% .12
Dec
3		 Akron B C+ F B+ B- 29% 14% 58% C B- C F D- A+ F C- F F F F F+ F 40% 15% 45% C- F+ B F C- F F A+ D-
1.12 59% 25% 38% +2 0 1.07 34% 0.7 .25 13% .12 71% .08 1.41 73% 50% 40% +12 +1 1.27 29% 1.6 .45 7% .36 65% .24
Dec
6		 Maryland Baltimore Co. F+ C- F F F 38% 20% 42% C- F B D- C+ C- A B- A D- D F+ F F 37% 28% 35% B F D+ C C- B C- F+ D+
1.02 58% 20% 29% -7 0 0.88 35% 0.9 .33 14% .31 71% .22 1.13 65% 46% 44% +10 -1 1.20 23% 1.0 .23 19% .29 80% .23
Dec
9		 Rider F D+ F F F 46% 8% 46% B- F F F F F F A F A+ A+ D A+ B 34% 34% 32% C+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+
0.84 55% 25% 23% -10 +2 0.85 19% 0.8 .16 18% .16 75% .12 0.62 36% 43% 23% -11 -2 0.76 17% 0.7 .11 25% .20 33% .07
Dec
20		 Iowa F A+ F F D 31% 15% 54% C+ D F F F F F D- F F D- F F F+ 49% 16% 35% D+ F+ F D+ F C- A+ F A
0.60 75% 17% 24% -6 0 0.90 12% 0.7 .08 38% .15 67% .10 1.44 70% 67% 42% +15 +1 1.35 50% 1.2 .58 14% .21 83% .18
Dec
31		 Holy Cross F D+ D C+ D 27% 27% 45% F D- C F F F F F F C C- F A+ D+ 48% 35% 18% C- D+ F A C- C+ F C- F
0.93 57% 36% 35% 0 -2 0.98 30% 0.5 .16 21% .10 40% .04 1.04 58% 57% 14% +1 -1 1.03 30% 0.8 .22 18% .51 77% .39
Jan
3		 Lehigh F F F C- F 39% 22% 39% C F D+ A+ B- C- D+ A+ B+ B+ B F A+ B- 33% 33% 33% B+ B A- F F A+ F F F
0.98 29% 25% 33% -15 0 0.72 31% 1.3 .40 16% .29 94% .28 0.89 50% 57% 21% -3 -2 0.93 15% 2.3 .35 29% .40 81% .33
Jan
7		 Navy F C+ F F F 27% 17% 56% B- F F F F D C+ B B- D D- A+ F F+ 37% 24% 39% C D- F F+ F B C- D D+
0.84 62% 13% 26% -10 0 0.81 19% 0.7 .14 20% .27 79% .21 1.16 65% 18% 44% +4 -1 1.09 38% 1.3 .47 21% .35 78% .27
Jan
10		 Loyola Maryland F C- F F F 44% 16% 40% B F C+ A+ A- F C C+ C+ C+ D+ A+ F F 25% 12% 63% B- D- D A+ A- A- A F B+
1.02 59% 25% 25% -7 +1 0.90 33% 1.5 .50 20% .29 75% .22 0.98 62% 17% 39% +4 0 1.10 31% 0.5 .17 22% .17 78% .13
Jan
14		 Lafayette C D+ F A+ B- 45% 16% 39% B+ B D A+ A+ F C- A+ B- D C A+ F F+ 33% 17% 50% B- D- B+ F D+ C B F C+
1.15 55% 29% 47% +5 +1 1.14 27% 2.0 .54 23% .27 86% .24 1.05 56% 13% 42% +1 0 1.04 21% 1.3 .26 17% .24 77% .18
Jan
17		 Colgate C- B+ F F D- 41% 8% 51% A- D F A+ D+ C A- A+ A+ F F F+ F F 33% 19% 48% D+ F F F F D F B F+
1.06 67% 25% 23% -6 +2 0.94 16% 1.6 .26 15% .40 92% .36 1.33 76% 50% 44% +16 0 1.33 34% 1.4 .48 14% .36 68% .24
Jan
21		 Army C B C C+ C+ 44% 15% 41% B B- C- F F+ B- B- B+ B+ F D- A- F F 37% 8% 56% D+ F F B D+ C- F F F
1.20 67% 38% 36% +5 +1 1.15 30% 0.9 .27 13% .38 78% .30 1.24 63% 25% 41% +7 +2 1.19 38% 0.8 .31 17% .36 90% .33
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Loyola Maryland F C+ F F F 43% 10% 47% A- F D A C C+ F C- F+ C F F A- D+ 18% 28% 55% A+ C+ D F F A- F F F
0.98 64% 20% 17% -11 +2 0.82 27% 1.4 .38 14% .20 73% .15 1.06 71% 45% 27% -1 -2 0.95 31% 1.2 .38 22% .45 91% .41
Jan
28		 Lafayette B+ B+ B- C+ B- 20% 42% 38% F C- C A- B C- A+ C+ A+ F F D+ C+ F 32% 18% 50% B F F F F F+ F F+ F
1.21 67% 42% 35% +4 -4 1.02 32% 1.3 .42 15% .58 75% .43 1.24 79% 38% 32% +5 0 1.11 34% 1.1 .38 12% .54 74% .40
Jan
31		 Boston University A- F A+ A+ B+ 39% 24% 37% D+ B+ C- A+ B- B A+ A+ A+ F D A B- B 37% 17% 46% C B D- F F F F F F
1.34 43% 62% 55% +12 0 1.24 28% 1.3 .38 10% .48 85% .41 1.26 64% 30% 33% 0 0 1.03 30% 1.3 .40 9% .42 83% .34
Feb
4		 American D F B- C- F+ 38% 18% 45% C F+ F A+ B- F C- A+ A- B- A D+ C+ B 23% 11% 66% B- B F A D+ B- B- A+ B+
1.01 47% 43% 33% -4 0 0.95 22% 1.7 .37 24% .38 88% .33 1.00 45% 40% 32% -4 0 0.94 39% 0.7 .27 19% .23 64% .15
Feb
7		 Colgate F D C F F 31% 22% 47% D F F A+ D+ D A+ C+ A+ C- C F+ B+ C+ 36% 26% 38% C C+ C+ C- C D F+ B+ D
0.80 53% 36% 13% -16 -1 0.67 19% 1.3 .24 18% .45 74% .33 1.06 58% 50% 30% +1 -1 1.02 26% 1.0 .26 14% .33 67% .22
Feb
9		 Navy F B+ F F F 35% 11% 55% A F F B+ D B- F A+ D- D C D B+ C 38% 33% 29% A- C+ F F F C C+ D C-
0.87 68% 17% 17% -13 +1 0.78 20% 1.1 .23 16% .14 100% .14 1.10 56% 44% 29% -1 -2 0.96 39% 1.3 .52 19% .32 78% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 3.1 1.5 4.6 3rd
4th 2.8 4.7 0.0 7.5 4th
5th 0.5 10.4 1.1 12.0 5th
6th 5.9 8.8 0.1 14.9 6th
7th 1.8 17.1 2.3 21.2 7th
8th 0.2 12.1 9.8 0.1 22.2 8th
9th 2.7 9.6 0.4 12.7 9th
10th 3.8 1.0 4.8 10th
Total 6.7 24.5 33.7 24.5 9.1 1.5 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 1.5% 10.6% 10.6% 16.0 0.2 1.4
9-9 9.1% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.4 8.7
8-10 24.5% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.8 23.8
7-11 33.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.4 33.3
6-12 24.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.2 24.4
5-13 6.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 6.7
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 16.0 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%
Lose Out 3.8%