Cal St. Fullerton
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -2.3 203
Results Rating -1.2 176
Consistency 0.16 208
Pace 79.1 7
Improvement +1.7 127

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 173 C+ D B- C+ C
Defense C- 226 D C B- C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 237 C+ 59% 144 -0.7 207
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 181 C- 36% 228 -0.2 192
Three Pointers 43% 147 B- 36% 105 +2.0 111
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.2 211 C+ +1.2 122
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.04 139
Second Chance D 25.1% 321 C- 0.99 241 D 0.25 314
Opponents' Steals B- 8.6% 101
Other Turnovers C+ 6.8% 122
Turnovers B- 15.4% 99
Freethrows C+ 0.32 135 C- 72% 217 C+ 0.23 145
Total Offense C -0.4 173

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D 40% 302 C- 11.6% 223
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 35% 54 C+ 4.3% 128
Three Pointers B 91% 34 B- 0.5% 94
Total C+ 57% 151 C+ 5.4% 164


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 301 D- 65% 339 -0.2 170
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 322 D 42% 326 -1.1 103
Three Pointers 50% 9 C- 35% 238 +5.4 351
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 220 D +3.8 322
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 318
Second Chance C+ 29.3% 145 C 1.04 192 C 0.30 162
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.0% 145
Other Turnovers B 8.2% 63
Turnovers B- 18.2% 92
Freethrows C 0.30 195 C 73% 203 C 0.22 194
Total Defense C- -1.9 226

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 185 D 7.0% 325
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 29% 264 C+ 5.6% 121
Three Pointers D- 90% 344 B+ 1.8% 42
Total D 62% 312 D+ 4.2% 293

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.0 14 17.3 176
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.25 14 0.18 227
Consistency 0.13 246 0.12 134
Improvement +2.3 77 -0.6 220

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 225 201 175
Results Rating Rank 222 182 155
Conference Record 10 - 10 11 - 9 12 - 8
Conference Finish 7 6 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.8 15.4
.500 or above 11% 20% 3%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round2% 3% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: UC San Diego (Home) - 45.1% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 35 - 96 - 15
Quad 49 - 215 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 100 @Wyoming L 82 - 92 17% -3  14% 0 - 1 C- -2 D+ -4 D F+ F+ B +4 C+ B D-
 Mon, Nov 10 73 @California L 65 - 93 11% -16  0% 0 - 2 F+ -17 F+ -10 C- F+ D+ D+ -4 B C- F
 Sat, Nov 15 126 Pacific L 73 - 85 43% -14  0% 0 - 3 D- -12 F+ -9 F D A+ C- -2 F A A-
 Fri, Nov 21 215 @Portland L 85 - 103 41% -13  2% 0 - 4 F -18 C +1 A F C+ F -18 F F D-
 Sat, Nov 22 111 St. Thomas W 88 - 80 29% -1  39% 1 - 4 B +11 B +6 C+ D- A- B+ +5 A+ D D-
 Sun, Nov 23 149 Northern Colorado L 93 - 97 39% -4  13% 1 - 5 C- -3 B- +5 C+ D- A+ D- -8 C+ F+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 270 Pepperdine W 83 - 69 74% +5  72% 2 - 5 B- +5 C+ +2 C B- B+ B- +2 B+ B C
 Thu, Dec 4 226 Cal Poly L 91 - 94 67% -5  6% 2 - 6 0 - 1 D -10 D -5 C C F D+ -4 F A+ A
 Sat, Dec 6 118 @Hawaii L 59 - 69 21% -9  1% 2 - 7 0 - 2 C- -4 F -12 F F A- A +9 B B- B-
 Sat, Dec 13 244 @Denver W 105 - 86 47% +19  96% 3 - 7 A- +17 A +13 A+ B- D+ B- +2 B+ F B-
 Sun, Dec 21 63 @Oklahoma St. L 89 - 94 10% -10  0% 3 - 8 B- +7 B +7 A+ B+ C C+ +1 F+ B+ A+
 Sun, Dec 28 41 @SMU L 63 - 110 5% -25  0% 3 - 9 F -31 F -13 F D+ F F -14 F D+ C
 Thu, Jan 1 142 UC Santa Barbara W 95 - 84 48% +13  97% 4 - 9 1 - 2 B +9 B+ +9 B+ C B+ C -1 F B- A+
 Sat, Jan 3 123 UC Irvine L 64 - 86 42% -9  16% 4 - 10 1 - 3 F -22 D -5 D C- A- F -17 F F A-
 Thu, Jan 8 133 @UC San Diego W 88 - 71 25% +4  52% 5 - 10 2 - 3 A +22 A+ +18 A+ C A+ B +4 A- F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 168 Cal St. Northridge W 86 - 79 55% -1  32% 6 - 10 3 - 3 C+ +3 C +1 B D B- B- +2 C- B C+
 Thu, Jan 15 175 @UC Davis L 69 - 74 34% -9  0% 6 - 11 3 - 4 C- -3 F+ -9 F C- D+ B+ +7 B- F A+
 Sat, Jan 17 276 @UC Riverside L 72 - 81 54% -9  0% 6 - 12 3 - 5 D- -12 F -10 F D- D- C -1 F A- B+
 Thu, Jan 22 268 Long Beach St. W 71 - 61 74% +11  98% 7 - 12 4 - 5 C +1 D- -7 B+ F D A- +8 C+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 226 @Cal Poly W 93 - 78 44% +8  89% 8 - 12 5 - 5 B+ +14 A +11 A F+ C+ B- +2 D+ F A
 Sat, Jan 31 142 @UC Santa Barbara L 69 - 83 27% -13  0% 8 - 13 5 - 6 D -10 F+ -10 D D F C+ +0 D B+ B+
 Thu, Feb 5 276 UC Riverside W 78 - 72 75% -1  43% 9 - 13 6 - 6 C- -3 D -6 D- F B B- +2 C+ A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 329 Cal St. Bakersfield W 82 - 66 86% +16  97% 10 - 13 7 - 6 C+ +2 D -5 C+ F B B+ +6 B C+ B
 Thu, Feb 12 268 @Long Beach St. W 86 - 82 52% -4  20% 11 - 13 8 - 6 C +1 B- +4 C- B+ A- D+ -4 F A B
 Sat, Feb 14 123 @UC Irvine L 65 - 86 22% -7  31% 11 - 14 8 - 7 F+ -15 D -5 D- C+ A- F+ -9 F C B
 Thu, Feb 19 175 UC Davis W 93 - 92 57% -8  1% 12 - 14 9 - 7 C- -3 A+ +20 A+ C- B F -23 F D+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 329 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 88 - 80 71% -2  32% 13 - 14 10 - 7 C -0 B- +4 A F B D -5 D+ C F
 Sat, Feb 28 118 Hawaii L 85 - 87 41% +3  84% 13 - 15 10 - 8 C- -2 A- +11 B+ B+ A+ F -13 F A C-
 Thu, Mar 5 133 UC San Diego L 77 - 78 45%
 Sat, Mar 7 168 @Cal St. Northridge L 85 - 90 32%
Totals 14 - 16 11 - 9 -2 C +0 D- C+ C C- -2 B- C- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C+ C- B- C+ 37% 38% 43% C C+ D C- D B- C+ C- C+ C- D- D C- D 34% 16% 50% C- D C+ C C B- C C C
1.08 59% 36% 36% +1 0 1.04 25% 1.0 .25 15% .32 72% .23 1.11 65% 42% 35% +4 0 1.10 29% 1.0 .30 18% .30 73% .23
Nov
8		 Wyoming D+ B+ D F D+ 45% 24% 31% D+ D F+ D- F+ F+ A+ B A+ B A- D- D- C+ 44% 11% 46% C- C+ A+ F B D- F A+ F+
0.98 65% 33% 19% -5 0 0.92 18% 0.9 .16 20% .64 72% .46 1.10 48% 50% 38% 0 +2 1.05 25% 1.2 .30 13% .51 59% .30
Nov
10		 California F+ B C- F C- 38% 23% 39% C- C- C- F F+ D+ F F F D+ B+ A+ D A- 36% 15% 49% D- B C- C C- F F F F
0.84 61% 36% 21% -7 0 0.87 27% 0.6 .16 18% .17 45% .08 1.20 52% 22% 38% -2 0 1.00 29% 1.1 .31 10% .43 87% .38
Nov
15		 Pacific F+ F F F F 47% 21% 32% A F C- F D A+ C- A C+ C- D- F F F 46% 26% 28% C+ F A+ B+ A A- C- F D
0.93 42% 29% 24% -14 +1 0.74 23% 0.8 .17 9% .31 77% .24 1.09 65% 54% 50% +14 0 1.30 25% 0.9 .21 24% .29 82% .24
Nov
21		 Portland C B B- A+ A 38% 14% 48% B- A D F F C+ C- F F F F+ F F F 46% 18% 36% D+ F B+ F F D- B B B
1.09 64% 38% 43% +8 +1 1.21 26% 0.6 .16 17% .28 50% .14 1.32 69% 50% 50% +16 +1 1.36 24% 2.5 .60 17% .26 71% .18
Nov
22		 St. Thomas B B+ F C- C+ 39% 9% 52% B- C+ F A- D- A- A+ A+ A+ B+ C C- A+ A+ 41% 13% 46% B- A+ D+ D- D D- B F D-
1.15 67% 20% 32% 0 +2 1.06 19% 1.3 .25 13% .38 92% .35 1.05 64% 38% 21% -6 +1 0.92 23% 1.1 .26 12% .25 94% .24
Nov
23		 Northern Colorado B- C F C C 55% 16% 30% B C+ D D D- A+ A+ F+ B+ D- D- C+ B- C+ 35% 15% 51% C C+ B- F F+ F F F F
1.15 57% 30% 32% -3 +2 1.00 21% 1.0 .21 5% .43 70% .30 1.20 68% 38% 32% +2 +1 1.07 24% 1.5 .36 11% .56 85% .47
Nov
29		 Pepperdine C+ A- C+ D- C+ 37% 17% 46% D+ C C B+ B- B+ F D- F B- D- A- A+ A 36% 15% 49% D B+ A+ F B C F F F
1.18 68% 40% 30% +1 0 1.05 33% 1.2 .41 13% .15 67% .10 0.98 65% 29% 22% -8 +1 0.87 18% 1.2 .21 18% .45 88% .40
Dec
4		 Cal Poly D F+ A- A C+ 41% 22% 37% C- C C- C+ C F A+ D A+ D+ C F F F 27% 4% 69% C+ F A+ A+ A+ A F B+ F
1.06 50% 46% 41% +2 0 1.07 30% 1.1 .33 20% .42 69% .29 1.10 57% 50% 50% +17 +1 1.38 17% 0.0 .00 26% .47 73% .35
Dec
6		 Hawaii F F+ C- F F 54% 14% 32% A- F F+ F F A- D+ D+ D A D+ A+ B B 30% 8% 62% C B D+ A B- B- B+ A A
0.81 45% 38% 17% -15 +2 0.75 18% 0.5 .09 12% .28 67% .19 0.95 63% 0% 30% -5 +1 0.94 33% 0.9 .28 21% .29 65% .19
Dec
13		 Denver A B- A+ A+ A+ 39% 11% 50% B- A+ D+ A+ B- D+ B- B B B- C- A+ A A 42% 16% 42% F B+ D+ F F B- D A+ C+
1.37 64% 50% 50% +15 +1 1.36 31% 1.4 .44 14% .35 74% .26 1.12 58% 22% 29% -5 +1 0.93 32% 1.6 .51 16% .34 64% .22
Dec
21		 Oklahoma St. B B- D A+ A+ 42% 11% 47% B A+ B- B+ B+ C A+ F A C+ C+ D- F F 40% 12% 47% B- F+ C+ A B+ A+ C+ A B+
1.12 59% 33% 44% +7 +1 1.19 31% 1.3 .40 18% .52 50% .26 1.18 57% 43% 48% +10 +1 1.25 31% 0.8 .26 21% .34 67% .22
Dec
28		 SMU F F A+ F F 25% 27% 47% D F B+ F D+ F A+ D A F F A F F 31% 26% 43% B F F A D+ C C C+ C
0.83 31% 50% 25% -10 -2 0.78 36% 0.7 .24 25% .38 68% .26 1.44 84% 31% 54% +19 -1 1.38 50% 0.9 .43 14% .29 74% .21
Jan
1		 UC Santa Barbara B+ A+ A+ F A- 43% 25% 31% C- B+ F A+ C B+ A+ A A+ C F D F F 27% 14% 59% C+ F F+ A+ B- A+ A+ F B+
1.25 77% 54% 25% +8 0 1.18 17% 1.8 .31 13% .56 81% .45 1.10 85% 43% 45% +17 0 1.37 37% 0.8 .30 32% .19 100% .19
Jan
3		 UC Irvine D F F A D+ 28% 31% 41% F+ D D+ C C- A- D- B D F F A+ F F 40% 10% 50% F F F F F A- D- A+ C
0.92 27% 24% 41% -9 -2 0.80 30% 0.9 .28 14% .20 75% .15 1.24 68% 20% 46% +11 +1 1.27 39% 1.5 .61 22% .35 58% .20
Jan
8		 UC San Diego A+ A+ F A+ A+ 29% 21% 50% D+ A+ F A+ C A+ A+ F A- B C- B- A A 27% 6% 67% C A- F F F A+ F F F
1.27 73% 9% 50% +10 -1 1.21 18% 1.7 .30 9% .38 63% .24 1.02 62% 33% 27% -6 +1 0.92 35% 1.3 .44 24% .38 90% .34
Jan
10		 Cal St. Northridge C C+ F A+ B 41% 15% 44% B B D C- D B- A+ F A- B- D+ A+ C- C- 47% 15% 38% C- C- A- C B C+ B+ A+ A+
1.10 59% 25% 42% +4 +1 1.11 23% 1.1 .26 14% .42 68% .28 1.01 61% 22% 35% -1 +1 1.03 26% 1.0 .26 18% .25 38% .09
Jan
15		 UC Davis F+ F F C+ F 40% 17% 42% C- F D+ C+ C- D+ A+ F A+ B+ D+ D+ A+ B+ 47% 11% 42% F B- F C F A+ F A F
0.93 48% 11% 36% -7 +1 0.88 28% 1.0 .28 20% .54 59% .32 0.99 62% 40% 26% -3 +2 1.00 38% 1.0 .38 27% .57 68% .39
Jan
17		 UC Riverside F B- D- F F 39% 21% 39% C- F D- D+ D- D- A+ C A+ C F F D+ F 34% 26% 40% B+ F A- A A- B+ F+ F F
0.93 64% 33% 14% -11 0 0.80 24% 0.9 .21 18% .49 71% .35 1.04 71% 54% 35% +9 -1 1.18 21% 0.7 .14 22% .36 82% .30
Jan
22		 Long Beach St. D- A+ A+ F A- 34% 27% 39% D- B+ F F F D C- B C+ A- D- B- B+ B- 27% 20% 53% D C+ C A+ A+ A+ F+ D+ F+
1.04 73% 75% 24% +9 -1 1.18 19% 0.8 .15 19% .35 79% .27 0.90 67% 33% 29% -3 -1 0.96 26% 0.6 .14 25% .33 76% .25
Jan
24		 Cal Poly A B A+ A A 38% 10% 52% B A B- F F+ C+ A+ A A+ B- B- F C D+ 28% 6% 67% B- D+ F B- F A B- B+ B
1.26 65% 60% 41% +10 +1 1.25 34% 0.7 .24 15% .41 81% .33 1.06 53% 100% 33% +1 +1 1.07 43% 0.9 .40 26% .27 73% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 UC Santa Barbara F+ A- F B- D+ 31% 25% 43% D D F A+ D F D F+ D- C+ F F B D 38% 9% 53% F+ D D A+ B+ B+ C+ F+ C
0.94 69% 15% 36% -1 -1 0.98 15% 1.6 .24 20% .31 67% .21 1.13 75% 60% 32% +7 +1 1.19 34% 0.7 .25 22% .30 82% .24
Feb
5		 UC Riverside D F+ F C F 62% 10% 29% A+ D- F C+ F B A+ A+ A+ B- B C- C+ C+ 34% 21% 45% B- C+ A+ A A+ F B+ A+ A+
1.03 50% 20% 33% -7 +3 0.94 17% 1.0 .17 13% .49 84% .41 0.95 52% 38% 32% -3 0 0.95 14% 0.7 .09 12% .24 56% .14
Feb
7		 Cal St. Bakersfield D F A+ A+ B- 35% 15% 50% C C+ D- F F B C C+ C B+ C+ B- A+ A 42% 17% 40% F B D+ B+ C+ B D- A+ B+
1.11 44% 63% 42% +5 0 1.13 31% 0.5 .15 15% .36 74% .27 0.89 55% 33% 19% -11 +1 0.81 33% 0.9 .28 22% .41 54% .22
Feb
12		 Long Beach St. B- C F B+ D+ 45% 18% 38% B- C- B- A B+ A- C- A C+ D+ F F C F 33% 24% 43% D F A+ F A B F C F
1.16 60% 20% 38% 0 +1 1.04 31% 1.5 .46 13% .34 82% .28 1.11 81% 58% 33% +12 -1 1.24 12% 1.3 .15 20% .39 74% .29
Feb
14		 UC Irvine D F A+ F D 22% 31% 47% F D- F A+ C+ A- F F F F+ F+ F F F 31% 27% 42% B- F B- D C B A+ A A+
0.88 15% 56% 26% -10 -2 0.78 20% 1.7 .34 15% .14 56% .08 1.17 65% 73% 43% +18 -1 1.35 28% 1.1 .32 20% .17 60% .10
Feb
19		 UC Davis A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 32% 21% 47% D- A+ C D- C- B B- A+ A F F C- F F 33% 16% 51% D+ F D C D+ F F C F
1.40 87% 70% 45% +24 -1 1.49 32% 0.9 .27 17% .34 89% .31 1.38 71% 38% 42% +10 0 1.24 30% 1.0 .30 9% .53 75% .40
Feb
21		 Cal St. Bakersfield B- A+ B- A+ A+ 15% 29% 56% F A F B F B D F+ D- D F B A D- 25% 39% 36% A- D+ B D- C F C F D
1.20 75% 44% 48% +16 -3 1.29 19% 1.2 .22 15% .34 67% .22 1.09 86% 32% 25% 0 -3 0.95 28% 1.1 .30 14% .36 83% .30
Feb
28		 Hawaii A- A F A A- 28% 28% 43% F+ B+ D A+ B+ A+ A C A- F F F D+ F 19% 10% 71% B+ F B A+ A C- C+ F D
1.18 67% 27% 39% +3 -2 1.04 22% 1.6 .36 10% .40 69% .28 1.21 90% 60% 35% +9 0 1.21 26% 0.8 .21 18% .34 85% .29



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 15.1 15.1 3rd
4th 1.7 1.7 4th
5th 32.5 32.5 5th
6th 10.1 11.8 21.9 6th
7th 23.5 1.2 24.7 7th
8th 4.1 4.1 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 37.7 47.2 15.1 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 15.1% 5.6% 5.6% 14.5 0.0 0.4 0.5 14.3
11-9 47.2% 2.2% 2.2% 15.0 0.1 0.8 0.1 46.1
10-10 37.7% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.1 0.5 37.2
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 15.0 97.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.9% 100.0% 14.5 2.4 41.2 56.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.9%
Lose Out 21.4%