Columbia
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.5 200
Expected Predictive Rating -0.4 168
Pace 68.8 178
Improvement -8.3 365

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C #168 C+ C F D+ B
Defense C- #241 C+ C+ F+ C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 41 57% 202 +2.7 91
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 260 36% 250 -1.9 275
Three Pointers 39% 218 37% 43 +1.2 137
1st FG Attempt 1.06 110 +2.1 109
Second Chance 36.0% 44 0.90 328 0.32 145
Turnovers 21.6% 360
Freethrows 0.28 274 73% 167 0.20 251
Total Offense -0.5 168

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 32 55% 97 -2.2 259
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 113 39% 200 -0.8 252
Three Pointers 33% 352 34% 206 +3.7 43
1st FG Attempt 1.00 155 +0.7 156
Second Chance 29.5% 138 0.98 102 0.29 104
Turnovers 13.1% 347
Freethrows 0.31 205 73% 237 0.23 217
Total Defense -2.0 241

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.9 63 +0.2 209
Shot Type Accuracy +1.1 128 -0.9 144
Possession Length 18.4 290 16.4 40
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 284 0.21 297
Improvement -2.8 #319 -5.5 #360

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 4% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.1 14.1 14.2
.500 or above 98% 100% 97%
.500 or above in Conference 28% 51% 15%
Conference Champion 0% 1% 0%
Last Place in Conference 9% 3% 11%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round2% 4% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Penn (Away) - 35.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 34 - 45 - 8
Quad 410 - 315 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 334 @New Haven W 71 - 53 71% +16  97% 1 - 0 B +10 C- -1 A+ F F A +12 A+ C C-
 Mon, Nov 10 7 @Connecticut L 62 - 89 2% -16  8% 1 - 1 C- -3 C+ +2 C C+ C D -6 D- B+ F
 Thu, Nov 13 318 Umass Lowell W 86 - 72 83% +1  40% 2 - 1 C +1 B- +5 B- B F D+ -4 D- A+ C-
 Tue, Nov 18 275 Boston University W 54 - 49 75% +12  98% 3 - 1 C- -4 F -20 F+ F F A+ +17 A+ B+ F
 Fri, Nov 21 306 @Lehigh W 82 - 67 61% +9  97% 4 - 1 B +10 B +6 B+ A+ F B- +3 C+ C+ F
 Sun, Nov 23 261 Longwood W 95 - 70 72% +13  96% 5 - 1 A- +16 A +14 A A C- C+ +2 F A+ C+
 Wed, Nov 26 262 @Fairfield W 106 - 77 50% +18  99% 6 - 1 A+ +26 A+ +26 A+ A+ C+ C -0 C+ C D+
 Wed, Dec 3 117 Hofstra W 72 - 70 41% +6  99% 7 - 1 C+ +2 C -0 A- F F+ C+ +2 B+ C- D+
 Sat, Dec 6 325 Albany W 93 - 65 84% +9  78% 8 - 1 A- +15 A +12 B+ A+ D- B- +3 B A+ F
 Tue, Dec 9 213 @Stony Brook L 73 - 77 OT 40% -8  0% 8 - 2 C- -4 F -10 D F+ F B+ +6 A F B
 Sun, Dec 21 73 @California L 56 - 74 11% -11  0% 8 - 3 D+ -7 F -12 B F F B- +4 B A- F
 Sun, Dec 28 345 @North Florida W 90 - 82 74% +1  62% 9 - 3 C -1 C+ +2 A F D- C- -3 C- A F
 Mon, Jan 5 159 @Cornell W 104 - 99 30% +1  44% 10 - 3 1 - 0 B- +8 B +7 A D- F C +0 B D+ D-
 Sat, Jan 10 153 Harvard L 54 - 79 51% -13  0% 10 - 4 1 - 1 F -28 F -14 F C- F F -18 F D D-
 Sat, Jan 17 278 @Brown L 80 - 86 OT 55% +1  53% 10 - 5 1 - 2 D -10 B- +4 D A+ C- F -14 F B+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 81 @Yale L 74 - 91 13% -9  7% 10 - 6 1 - 3 D+ -7 B- +5 C- A+ F+ F -14 F+ F+ D
 Sat, Jan 24 240 @Dartmouth W 79 - 69 46% +4  64% 11 - 6 2 - 3 B +9 C +1 C- D+ F B+ +7 A- C- F+
 Fri, Jan 30 185 Penn W 72 - 67 58% +5  95% 12 - 6 3 - 3 C +0 D+ -3 A- C- F B- +3 B+ B F
 Sat, Jan 31 221 Princeton L 68 - 80 64% -1  40% 12 - 7 3 - 4 F -18 C- -1 C- D A F -19 F D D
 Sat, Feb 7 159 Cornell L 67 - 88 53% -12  7% 12 - 8 3 - 5 F -24 F -13 F+ B- F F -13 B- F D
 Fri, Feb 13 185 @Penn L 74 - 78 36%
 Sat, Feb 14 221 @Princeton L 70 - 72 41%
 Sat, Feb 21 240 Dartmouth W 80 - 75 68%
 Fri, Feb 27 278 Brown W 72 - 65 75%
 Sat, Feb 28 81 Yale L 74 - 80 28%
 Fri, Mar 6 153 @Harvard L 67 - 73 30%
Totals 15 - 11 6 - 8 -3 C +0 C+ C F C- -2 C+ C+ F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C- C- B C+ 44% 17% 39% B C+ B D- C F D+ C D+ C- B- C C- C+ 44% 22% 33% C- C+ C+ C+ C+ F+ C C- C-
1.08 57% 36% 37% +1 +1 1.06 36% 0.9 .32 22% .28 73% .20 1.12 55% 39% 34% -1 0 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 13% .31 73% .20
Nov
7		 New Haven C- A- D A+ A+ 52% 14% 34% B A+ C+ F F F C+ F D+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 22% 37% D+ A+ C C C C- D- F F
1.08 70% 33% 47% +12 +2 1.30 31% 0.6 .19 24% .28 64% .18 0.81 45% 18% 22% -16 0 0.69 21% 0.9 .19 18% .30 81% .24
Nov
10		 Connecticut C+ C+ B F C+ 40% 26% 34% C C B- C C+ C B B B D D- D- F D 47% 8% 45% D- D- A+ F B+ F F A- F
0.93 53% 42% 19% -9 0 0.83 29% 0.9 .26 20% .37 75% .28 1.34 70% 50% 41% +11 +2 1.29 25% 1.4 .36 9% .48 66% .31
Nov
13		 Umass Lowell B- F+ A+ A+ B- 57% 14% 29% B+ B- A+ F B F A+ D- A+ D+ C+ A+ F D- 55% 22% 24% D- D- B- A+ A+ C- B+ C B
1.24 50% 57% 50% +5 +2 1.16 61% 0.7 .42 24% .50 69% .34 1.04 53% 25% 54% +2 +1 1.07 29% 0.6 .17 20% .25 64% .16
Nov
18		 Boston University F F A+ D+ F 51% 7% 42% A+ F+ D+ F F F F B+ F+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ 59% 8% 33% F A+ C A+ B+ F C C+ C
0.91 45% 67% 33% -5 +3 0.98 27% 0.7 .18 22% .19 78% .15 0.82 47% 0% 12% -21 +3 0.67 25% 0.7 .18 8% .29 69% .20
Nov
21		 Lehigh B A+ F B+ B 49% 14% 37% A- B+ A+ A- A+ F B- F C- B- C- F+ B C 23% 33% 44% A C+ C+ C C+ F F A+ C+
1.20 71% 14% 39% +6 +2 1.16 50% 1.2 .60 22% .36 63% .22 0.98 58% 47% 30% +1 -3 0.98 20% 1.0 .20 13% .35 52% .18
Nov
23		 Longwood A D D A+ A+ 28% 16% 56% D A A- A- A C- F B F C+ A+ F F F 44% 27% 29% C F A+ A+ A+ C+ B- A+ B+
1.31 56% 33% 53% +15 0 1.32 37% 1.1 .40 19% .21 75% .15 0.97 43% 64% 47% +6 0 1.13 19% 0.2 .03 21% .30 65% .19
Nov
26		 Fairfield A+ B- F A+ A+ 63% 2% 35% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ D+ A+ B C A- D C+ C+ 38% 24% 38% C+ C+ D B C D+ C- C+ C-
1.49 62% 0% 53% +12 +4 1.33 46% 1.9 .88 14% .26 94% .25 1.08 45% 43% 32% -5 0 0.91 37% 0.8 .30 14% .26 69% .18
Dec
3		 Hofstra C C+ D+ A+ A 29% 24% 47% C- A- C+ F F F+ C- B- C C+ A+ F+ D+ A 50% 18% 32% F B+ A- F C- D+ F A D-
1.09 57% 33% 43% +5 -1 1.10 31% 0.6 .20 18% .30 75% .22 1.06 40% 44% 38% -6 +1 0.92 29% 1.4 .40 15% .39 68% .27
Dec
6		 Albany A A+ A+ C- A- 35% 25% 40% D- B+ A+ A A+ D- B- A B+ B- F F A+ B- 29% 31% 41% A+ B B- A+ A+ F F C- F
1.35 72% 54% 33% +9 -1 1.17 52% 1.5 .76 17% .33 84% .28 0.94 71% 60% 10% -4 -2 0.90 28% 0.3 .07 13% .45 67% .30
Dec
9		 Stony Brook F C- F D+ D- 43% 11% 46% B+ D A- F F+ F C+ A- B B+ A+ D- C A 46% 19% 35% C- A C- F F B F B D-
0.92 57% 17% 32% -4 +2 0.96 40% 0.4 .16 23% .31 79% .25 0.97 35% 45% 35% -9 +1 0.86 30% 1.2 .36 20% .33 67% .22
Dec
21		 California F C- A+ F+ C 64% 6% 30% A+ B D F F F D- F F B- F+ A+ C B 33% 29% 38% B B B A A- F D- C- D-
0.84 53% 67% 27% -5 +4 1.00 24% 0.1 .03 22% .23 50% .12 1.10 71% 27% 35% +1 -1 1.02 24% 0.9 .21 9% .39 79% .31
Dec
28		 North Florida C+ B- B+ A+ A 51% 12% 37% B+ A F C F D- A- A+ A+ C- A- F D- C- 42% 10% 48% D- C- A B+ A F B F C+
1.25 65% 50% 47% +13 +2 1.31 20% 1.2 .24 15% .35 81% .28 1.14 48% 67% 38% +2 +2 1.08 17% 1.0 .17 11% .19 92% .17
Jan
5		 Cornell B D A+ A+ A- 48% 13% 38% B A C F D- F A+ A+ A+ C A+ D+ F B 42% 14% 44% C+ B D C D+ D- C+ F D
1.26 56% 71% 50% +13 +2 1.31 31% 0.9 .28 19% .50 85% .42 1.20 44% 44% 46% +3 +1 1.11 35% 1.1 .40 15% .28 90% .26
Jan
10		 Harvard F F+ D F F 54% 20% 26% B- F A- F C- F D+ A+ B- F C- C- F F 50% 11% 39% F F F A- D D- B F C-
0.90 48% 33% 17% -13 +1 0.78 39% 0.7 .28 23% .24 91% .22 1.31 61% 40% 56% +14 +2 1.35 38% 0.8 .31 15% .21 100% .21
Jan
17		 Brown B- D- F+ D D- 47% 16% 36% B D A A+ A+ C- B- F D- F F C A+ F 58% 18% 24% D- F C A+ B+ F F F F
1.09 50% 33% 30% -7 +1 0.91 40% 1.2 .50 18% .35 57% .20 1.18 76% 33% 8% 0 +2 1.06 28% 0.8 .22 12% .53 79% .42
Jan
19		 Yale B- A+ C F C- 37% 24% 39% C- C- B- A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ F C- B F F+ 43% 16% 41% D+ F+ F C+ F+ D C- F D-
1.15 80% 40% 19% 0 -1 1.00 32% 1.5 .48 19% .48 84% .40 1.41 59% 38% 52% +12 +1 1.27 44% 1.1 .50 12% .34 89% .30
Jan
24		 Dartmouth C C- F A C 30% 23% 47% D- C- C- D+ D+ F A+ C- A+ B+ A+ B- D A 30% 22% 48% B A- A F C- F+ C B C+
1.10 56% 17% 40% -1 -1 0.98 29% 0.9 .26 17% .47 71% .34 0.96 31% 33% 38% -6 -1 0.89 18% 1.6 .28 15% .31 68% .21
Jan
30		 Penn D+ A- F A+ A 48% 22% 30% C+ A- C+ D- C- F F C F B- C A+ F B 32% 41% 27% A+ B+ A- C B F A+ A+ A+
1.07 71% 27% 47% +10 +1 1.22 32% 0.8 .25 27% .12 67% .08 1.00 56% 22% 47% -2 -3 0.91 25% 1.0 .25 12% .19 55% .10
Jan
31		 Princeton C- D- B- C D+ 49% 14% 37% B+ C- A+ F D A C F F F C- D F F 51% 16% 33% F F C+ F D D F D+ F
1.10 52% 43% 32% -4 +2 0.98 43% 0.6 .24 10% .30 41% .12 1.29 57% 43% 53% +10 +2 1.24 25% 1.3 .33 15% .40 76% .30
Feb
7		 Cornell F F D- B- F 60% 6% 34% A+ F+ C+ B- B- F C+ F D- F F F A+ C+ 47% 23% 30% B+ B- F F F D F F F
1.02 46% 33% 38% -5 +3 0.98 32% 1.3 .41 23% .34 53% .18 1.34 73% 55% 21% +5 0 1.13 46% 1.4 .65 15% .43 92% .39



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.3 1st
2nd 0.2 2.0 0.6 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 4.7 4.1 0.1 9.0 3rd
4th 0.0 2.9 10.4 0.8 14.1 4th
5th 0.8 13.8 4.1 0.0 18.7 5th
6th 0.4 11.0 12.3 0.3 23.9 6th
7th 1.1 11.0 14.6 2.0 28.6 7th
8th 1.1 1.4 0.1 2.6 8th
Total 2.1 12.8 26.5 31.1 19.7 6.9 1.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 31.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
8-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 1.0% 18.0% 18.0% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8
8-6 6.9% 14.1% 14.1% 13.8 0.3 0.6 0.1 5.9
7-7 19.7% 5.0% 5.0% 14.5 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 18.7
6-8 31.1% 0.2% 0.2% 14.6 0.0 0.0 31.0
5-9 26.5% 26.5
4-10 12.8% 12.8
3-11 2.1% 2.1
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 14.1 97.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.6%
Lose Out 2.1%