Howard
Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -1.6 182
Results Rating -5.6 250
Consistency 0.16 202
Pace 71.9 91
Improvement +7.5 9

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 281 D+ B F+ B- B-
Defense B- 105 C+ D B C- D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% 11 F+ 49% 354 +0.8 151
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 104 C- 37% 201 -0.7 217
Three Pointers 33% 328 C 34% 169 -3.7 302
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.8 82 D -4.2 318
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.95 289
Second Chance B 35.1% 49 C+ 1.06 122 B 0.37 59
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.1% 146
Other Turnovers F 11.1% 365
Turnovers F+ 20.2% 346
Freethrows B- 0.33 91 C+ 74% 149 B- 0.24 93
Total Offense D+ -4.2 281

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 58% 42 F 15.6% 355
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 35% 47 C+ 4.6% 164
Three Pointers B- 88% 108 C 1.0% 207
Total B 62% 53 F 8.6% 363


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 47 C 57% 160 +2.8 278
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 335 A- 32% 13 -2.9 8
Three Pointers 41% 188 B 31% 57 -1.9 102
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.0 345 B- -2.9 64
1st FG Attempt C+ 0.98 120
Second Chance D+ 32.7% 281 D 1.11 292 D 0.36 307
Turnovers from Steals B 11.2% 55
Other Turnovers C+ 7.8% 109
Turnovers B 19.0% 56
Freethrows D+ 0.33 272 B 70% 62 C- 0.23 238
Total Defense B- +2.5 105

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 58 C- 10.1% 205
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 29% 256 A- 9.0% 27
Three Pointers C- 86% 240 C 0.9% 160
Total C+ 53% 136 C+ 6.2% 132

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.1 141 16.4 33
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 128 0.20 282
Consistency 0.14 309 0.10 21
Improvement +4.3 21 +3.2 44

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 212 188 168
Results Rating Rank 267 237 224
Conference Record 10 - 4 11 - 3 11 - 3
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None 16 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 72% 75% 68%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four25% 21% 33%
First Round63% 67% 55%
Second Round0% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Norfolk St. (Away) - 66.8% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 31 - 02 - 4
Quad 416 - 718 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 46 Missouri L 67 - 88 17% -14  0% 0 - 1 D- -12 D- -8 D+ D C D+ -4 D F A
 Sun, Nov 9 308 Grambling St. L 70 - 73 83% -1  29% 0 - 2 F+ -15 C- -2 A- A+ F F -14 F F A
 Thu, Nov 13 351 Alcorn St. W 72 - 64 91% +5  82% 1 - 2 D -9 D- -8 C- A+ F C -0 D A+ D
 Wed, Nov 19 309 @Stetson L 60 - 64 67% -10  0% 1 - 3 D -10 F -19 F F C A +9 A- B- A
 Sat, Nov 22 334 Niagara W 80 - 70 83% -4  21% 2 - 3 C -2 D- -7 F+ C+ F B +4 B- F A+
 Sun, Nov 23 1 @Duke L 56 - 93 1% -29  0% 2 - 4 D+ -7 D -5 F+ C+ B C- -2 F+ B C+
 Sat, Nov 29 273 @Mount St. Mary's L 75 - 79 56% -5  0% 2 - 5 D+ -7 C +0 F A- A+ D- -8 F D D+
 Tue, Dec 9 281 N.C. A&T W 73 - 69 69% +8  99% 3 - 5 C- -3 D -5 B F F B- +2 A+ F B+
 Sat, Dec 13 263 Hampton W 61 - 57 66% +3  77% 4 - 5 C- -2 F -14 F+ F D- A+ +12 A+ B C
 Tue, Dec 16 214 @Drexel W 74 - 66 44% +7  95% 5 - 5 B- +8 B- +5 B- A F B- +3 C- C+ B-
 Sat, Dec 20 106 @UNC Wilmington W 67 - 66 20% +4  65% 6 - 5 B- +8 C- -2 D+ A- F A +10 A+ F A-
 Tue, Dec 30 66 @Northwestern L 60 - 80 11% -5  11% 6 - 6 D+ -8 D+ -4 C- B- D- D -6 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 359 @South Carolina St. L 57 - 58 86% -7  1% 6 - 7 0 - 1 D- -14 F -23 F C D+ A +9 C F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 350 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 57 - 69 80% +2  62% 6 - 8 0 - 2 F -22 F -24 F D+ F C+ +2 D+ C C+
 Mon, Jan 12 361 Delaware St. W 84 - 58 95% +14  86% 7 - 8 1 - 2 C+ +5 A- +11 C+ A A- D+ -4 C- D- A-
 Sat, Jan 17 347 @NC Central W 83 - 69 79% +5  71% 8 - 8 2 - 2 C+ +4 C+ +3 F+ A+ C- C+ +1 F+ B B
 Sat, Jan 24 349 Morgan St. L 77 - 78 91% +3  76% 8 - 9 2 - 3 F+ -17 F -18 F A+ F C+ +1 A F B+
 Sat, Jan 31 313 Norfolk St. W 88 - 60 84% +15  98% 9 - 9 3 - 3 A- +16 B +7 B A+ F A +9 A- A B-
 Mon, Feb 2 362 @Coppin St. W 72 - 53 90% +8  90% 10 - 9 4 - 3 C+ +4 C +1 F+ A F B +5 A- D D+
 Sat, Feb 7 359 South Carolina St. W 85 - 57 94% +15  98% 11 - 9 5 - 3 B +9 D+ -4 C C F A +11 A- A- B-
 Mon, Feb 9 87 Yale L 81 - 87 OT 31% -2  28% 11 - 10 C- -3 C +1 C A- C D+ -4 A- F A+
 Sat, Feb 14 350 Maryland Eastern Shore W 79 - 53 91% +13  94% 12 - 10 6 - 3 B +10 B- +5 D+ B A- B+ +6 C- A A+
 Mon, Feb 16 361 @Delaware St. W 91 - 59 89% +22  98% 13 - 10 7 - 3 A- +17 A- +11 A C D+ B+ +5 D+ B B
 Sat, Feb 21 347 NC Central W 100 - 67 91% +17  99% 14 - 10 8 - 3 A- +17 A +14 A+ A C B- +2 A F B-
 Sat, Feb 28 349 @Morgan St. W 84 - 59 80% +10  89% 15 - 10 9 - 3 B+ +15 C -0 D- A- F+ A+ +14 A+ F+ F
 Mon, Mar 2 362 Coppin St. W 90 - 70 96% +16  99% 16 - 10 10 - 3 C -1 B- +5 B+ B F D- -7 F C- B-
 Thu, Mar 5 313 @Norfolk St. W 75 - 70 67%
Totals 17 - 10 11 - 3 -2 D+ -4 D- D B- B- +3 C C+ B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ F+ C- C D 47% 44% 33% B- D+ B C+ B F+ B- C+ B- B- C A- B B- 44% 16% 41% D- C+ D+ D D B D+ B C-
1.03 49% 37% 34% -4 +1 0.95 35% 1.1 .37 20% .33 74% .24 1.05 57% 32% 31% -3 +1 0.98 33% 1.1 .36 19% .33 70% .23
Nov
3		 Missouri D- F F A D 34% 15% 51% B+ D+ D F+ D C C- D- D+ D+ B A+ F C- 57% 6% 37% F D F D F A C A+ A
0.93 33% 25% 41% -5 0 0.92 24% 0.7 .17 18% .27 69% .19 1.23 57% 0% 50% +6 +3 1.20 47% 1.3 .59 22% .38 48% .18
Nov
9		 Grambling St. C- F+ A+ A+ A 50% 18% 33% C+ A- A B+ A+ F C+ A B F C A+ F F 48% 10% 43% F F F F F A F B D-
1.08 50% 57% 54% +9 +1 1.23 43% 1.2 .52 29% .35 81% .28 1.13 55% 0% 44% +2 +2 1.10 37% 1.4 .52 26% .40 68% .27
Nov
13		 Alcorn St. D- A D+ F C 46% 27% 27% D- C- B- A+ A+ F B D- C+ C D B B- D 45% 19% 36% F+ D B A+ A+ D B- F C-
1.08 74% 36% 27% +4 0 1.10 42% 1.6 .67 25% .38 68% .26 0.96 63% 30% 32% -1 +1 1.02 21% 0.3 .07 16% .21 83% .18
Nov
19		 Stetson F F F F F 40% 20% 40% C- F C- F F C C- C+ C A A A B- A 37% 17% 46% D A- A+ F B- A F F+ F
0.88 40% 30% 25% -14 0 0.74 30% 0.8 .24 15% .27 75% .21 0.93 47% 29% 32% -7 0 0.88 16% 1.4 .23 23% .53 75% .40
Nov
22		 Niagara D- F A+ C- F 45% 12% 43% A- F+ C- B C+ F A+ F A+ B A- F A+ B 60% 15% 26% F+ B- F F F A+ F B F
1.06 42% 60% 33% -5 +2 0.95 32% 1.2 .38 20% .71 70% .50 0.93 46% 71% 25% -5 +2 0.96 31% 1.3 .41 29% .54 69% .37
Nov
23		 Duke D F D- D+ F 39% 20% 41% B F+ D+ A C+ B A+ B- A+ C- F F B+ D- 52% 2% 46% D- F+ A D B C+ C- A+ B-
0.79 26% 30% 30% -16 0 0.69 19% 1.0 .19 17% .36 71% .26 1.32 85% 100% 30% +13 +3 1.34 33% 1.3 .44 16% .37 64% .23
Nov
29		 Mount St. Mary's C F+ C- F F 33% 28% 40% D F C- A+ A- A+ C- D+ C- D- D A+ F F 51% 14% 35% D F C+ F D D+ C+ F D
1.06 47% 38% 22% -11 -1 0.78 28% 1.5 .43 8% .32 71% .23 1.12 64% 14% 47% +6 +2 1.18 29% 1.3 .36 21% .29 81% .23
Dec
9		 N.C. A&T D F+ A+ A+ C+ 64% 9% 27% A+ B B+ F F F A+ C- A+ B- C+ A- A+ A+ 40% 32% 28% C A+ F F+ F B+ A- C A-
1.07 50% 75% 50% +5 +3 1.18 34% 0.2 .06 21% .52 68% .35 1.01 55% 31% 14% -12 -1 0.76 45% 1.2 .55 22% .28 73% .21
Dec
13		 Hampton F D+ F F F 66% 7% 27% A+ F+ D- F F D- A+ D- A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ 43% 17% 40% F A+ C- A B C F B F
0.90 59% 0% 17% -9 +4 0.91 23% 0.1 .03 19% .60 64% .38 0.84 50% 14% 6% -25 +1 0.55 33% 0.7 .24 18% .77 70% .54
Dec
16		 Drexel B- D- F A+ C 60% 17% 24% A B- B+ A A F A+ A+ A+ B- F A- C D+ 18% 16% 66% B C- A F C+ B- F B+ D-
1.11 48% 29% 50% -2 +2 1.02 38% 1.2 .46 24% .49 92% .45 0.99 75% 29% 34% +2 -1 1.05 21% 1.1 .24 21% .36 63% .23
Dec
20		 UNC Wilmington C- D F A+ C- 33% 39% 27% F+ D+ A C A- F D+ A C A C+ B+ A+ A+ 36% 28% 36% C+ A+ D- F F A- C- C- C-
1.00 53% 25% 43% -3 -3 0.90 35% 1.1 .38 21% .23 83% .19 0.98 56% 29% 17% -13 -1 0.74 39% 1.3 .49 19% .37 70% .26
Dec
30		 Northwestern D+ F C+ B- C 30% 28% 43% D C- C+ B B- D- C- F D D F A+ F F 41% 25% 34% C F F+ A+ A+ F F A+ F
0.94 43% 38% 35% -4 -2 0.91 34% 1.0 .34 22% .26 62% .16 1.26 83% 27% 40% +11 0 1.23 36% 0.5 .19 8% .58 65% .38
Jan
3		 South Carolina St. F F F+ F F 50% 7% 43% B- F F A+ C D+ A+ F A A C- D+ A C- 30% 41% 30% B+ C D F F A+ F D+ F
0.82 41% 33% 16% -21 +3 0.66 26% 1.8 .45 19% .58 64% .37 0.83 55% 40% 27% -3 -3 0.89 33% 1.3 .44 30% .41 70% .29
Jan
10		 Maryland Eastern Shore F F F C F 54% 16% 30% B F D B- D+ F F F F C+ B- A+ D- C 46% 13% 41% F D+ A+ F C C+ F F F
0.77 44% 0% 33% -14 +2 0.78 28% 1.2 .33 30% .21 64% .14 0.93 52% 17% 37% -4 +1 0.98 16% 1.6 .25 24% .39 82% .32
Jan
12		 Delaware St. A- A+ F F C 60% 18% 22% B C+ A+ D+ A A- A+ B+ A+ D+ A+ B D C- 27% 32% 41% C+ C- D- F+ D- A- F F F
1.31 81% 13% 20% +5 +2 1.16 48% 1.1 .52 14% .49 78% .38 0.91 36% 31% 35% -7 -2 0.83 29% 0.9 .26 23% .43 76% .33
Jan
17		 NC Central C+ C+ A F F 48% 12% 40% B+ F+ A- A+ A+ C- D+ C C- C+ B- F C- F+ 41% 12% 47% F F+ D+ A+ B B B- A+ A-
1.21 64% 50% 24% -2 +2 1.02 46% 1.2 .57 19% .27 73% .20 1.01 50% 67% 35% +1 +1 1.06 30% 0.7 .22 20% .27 60% .16
Jan
24		 Morgan St. F F F+ F F 51% 24% 25% D F A+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ B C A+ 48% 22% 30% F A F F F B+ F D F
0.95 32% 31% 14% -22 0 0.58 53% 1.2 .66 21% .63 80% .50 0.96 28% 31% 33% -17 +1 0.70 40% 1.4 .58 21% .45 79% .36
Jan
31		 Norfolk St. B C- F A+ B- 50% 9% 41% B B A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ D A+ 51% 16% 33% F A- A- A A B- D- F+ F
1.26 59% 25% 44% +6 +2 1.18 59% 1.3 .77 27% .57 86% .49 0.86 40% 13% 38% -12 +1 0.82 24% 0.8 .18 20% .39 73% .29
Feb
2		 Coppin St. C D C+ D+ F 38% 12% 50% C+ F+ A+ C A F A C A- B C+ C+ A+ A 41% 26% 33% D+ A- F A+ D D+ D- A- C-
1.17 56% 40% 33% -1 +1 1.02 47% 1.1 .53 23% .44 76% .33 0.86 53% 33% 13% -14 -1 0.74 44% 0.8 .33 21% .37 61% .23
Feb
7		 South Carolina St. D+ F+ A+ A+ C- 66% 7% 27% A C D+ B+ C F A+ B+ A+ A B A+ A A 37% 21% 42% F A- B- A+ A- B- C A+ B+
1.13 52% 100% 42% +3 +4 1.16 34% 1.3 .45 21% .61 78% .47 0.76 47% 18% 27% -12 0 0.77 27% 0.7 .20 23% .33 53% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
9		 Yale C F A+ A+ C- 47% 16% 37% B+ C C- A+ A- C B+ D B- D+ C A- A A 49% 13% 38% F+ A- F D+ F A+ F B F
1.12 29% 75% 47% 0 +1 1.04 28% 1.5 .42 15% .31 68% .21 1.21 59% 33% 29% -3 +2 1.00 49% 1.2 .60 21% .60 74% .44
Feb
14		 Maryland Eastern Shore B- D- A- D+ D+ 41% 22% 37% C- D+ A+ F B A- B A A B+ C A+ C- C+ 58% 21% 21% F C- C+ A+ A A+ C- C- C-
1.23 52% 45% 32% -2 0 0.98 45% 0.9 .42 12% .39 82% .32 0.82 56% 22% 33% -5 +1 0.95 28% 0.5 .14 30% .24 73% .18
Feb
16		 Delaware St. A- A A+ F+ A 54% 15% 30% B A A- F C D+ A+ A A+ B+ A- D C D+ 32% 30% 38% D+ D+ A B- B B D A C
1.27 76% 71% 29% +12 +2 1.30 40% 0.9 .36 19% .52 80% .41 0.82 44% 40% 32% -5 -2 0.88 18% 0.7 .12 22% .32 61% .20
Feb
21		 NC Central A A+ F A+ A+ 48% 12% 40% B+ A+ B A A C B+ B- B+ B- C B+ A+ A+ 55% 20% 25% F A F F F B- D+ A+ B
1.40 79% 17% 55% +20 +2 1.46 43% 1.2 .50 18% .34 75% .26 0.94 54% 30% 8% -14 +1 0.76 34% 1.9 .66 20% .33 58% .19
Feb
28		 Morgan St. C F A B- F 65% 8% 27% A D- A D+ A- F+ A- D- B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 37% 20% 43% D- A+ D- F+ F+ F F B F
1.17 47% 50% 36% -6 +4 0.98 47% 1.2 .53 18% .49 66% .32 0.82 35% 18% 9% -29 0 0.44 33% 1.0 .33 12% .44 71% .32
Mar
2		 Coppin St. B- B A A+ B+ 44% 13% 44% B- B+ A+ F B F B+ C- B D- D- D C- F 54% 29% 17% D- F C- C- C- B- B- A+ A-
1.27 67% 50% 43% +11 +1 1.27 50% 0.9 .46 21% .41 74% .30 0.99 61% 40% 33% +2 0 1.06 29% 1.0 .29 24% .30 56% .17



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 33.2 66.8 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 33.2 66.8 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 66.8    66.8
10-4 100.0% 33.2    7.3 25.9
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 74.1 25.9



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 66.8% 74.9% 74.9% 15.6 0.0 2.1 15.0 33.1 16.8
10-4 33.2% 67.5% 67.5% 15.8 0.3 3.1 19.0 10.8
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 72.5% 72.5% 0.0% 15.7 27.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 50.1% 100.0% 15.6 0.0 4.1 29.9 66.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 6.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 10.1%
Lose Out 1.4%