IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
New Hampshire
America East
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.8	#288
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	61.8	#331
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.9	#314

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.9	#232

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.2%	8.1%	2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.1	14.5	15.2

.500 or above	28.6%	56.8%	26.9%
.500 or above in Conference	43.4%	61.3%	42.3%
Conference Champion	4.1%	9.1%	3.7%
Last Place in Conference	14.5%	6.2%	15.0%

First Four	0.9%	1.0%	0.9%
First Round	2.7%	7.6%	2.4%
Second Round	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Syracuse (Away) - 5.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 5	2 - 9
Quad 4	10 - 8	11 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	75	@ Syracuse	L	59-76	6%
Nov 14, 2023	185	Brown	L	65-68	39%
Nov 18, 2023	238	@ George Washington	L	67-73	30%
Nov 21, 2023	272	Marist	W	64-62	58%
Nov 24, 2023	257	@ Fairfield	L	60-65	34%
Nov 27, 2023	6	@ Connecticut	L	53-79	1%
Nov 30, 2023	301	@ Sacred Heart	L	68-70	41%
Dec 03, 2023	303	Columbia	W	70-66	63%
Dec 06, 2023	243	@ Dartmouth	L	64-69	32%
Dec 11, 2023	350	Stonehill	W	70-61	77%
Dec 21, 2023	190	@ Rhode Island	L	60-69	22%
Dec 31, 2023	40	@ Iowa St.	L	50-71	4%
Jan 06, 2024	179	Umass Lowell	L	66-69	39%
Jan 11, 2024	264	@ Maine	L	62-66	36%
Jan 13, 2024	208	Bryant	L	71-73	45%
Jan 18, 2024	339	@ NJIT	W	65-64	54%
Jan 20, 2024	292	@ Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	66-69	41%
Jan 25, 2024	297	Binghamton	W	67-63	62%
Jan 27, 2024	318	Albany	W	69-64	66%
Feb 03, 2024	179	@ Umass Lowell	L	63-72	22%
Feb 08, 2024	208	@ Bryant	L	68-76	26%
Feb 10, 2024	264	Maine	W	65-63	56%
Feb 15, 2024	108	@ Vermont	L	57-71	13%
Feb 22, 2024	339	NJIT	W	68-61	72%
Feb 24, 2024	292	Maryland Baltimore Co.	W	69-66	60%
Feb 29, 2024	318	@ Albany	L	66-67	47%
Mar 02, 2024	297	@ Binghamton	L	64-66	42%
Mar 05, 2024	108	Vermont	L	60-68	26%
Projected Record						11 - 17	7 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected America East Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.1	0.5	1.0	1.3	0.8	0.3	0.1		4.1	1st
2nd									0.0	0.4	1.8	2.8	2.3	0.8	0.1				8.3	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.9	3.6	4.4	2.1	0.4	0.0					11.5	3rd
4th							0.1	1.4	4.9	5.1	1.9	0.2							13.4	4th
5th						0.1	1.9	5.8	5.0	1.4	0.1								14.2	5th
6th					0.2	2.1	6.3	5.0	1.1	0.1									14.7	6th
7th			0.0	0.3	2.4	5.7	4.0	0.8	0.0										13.2	7th
8th		0.1	0.7	2.8	4.7	2.8	0.5	0.0											11.7	8th
9th	0.4	1.5	2.8	2.8	1.2	0.2	0.0												8.9	9th

Total	0.4	1.6	3.5	5.9	8.5	11.0	12.8	13.1	11.8	10.5	8.3	5.6	3.8	2.1	0.8	0.3	0.1			Total

America East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
14-2	89.5%	0.8		0.6	0.1	0.0
13-3	61.8%	1.3		0.7	0.5	0.1	0.0
12-4	27.3%	1.0		0.4	0.5	0.1	0.0
11-5	8.7%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1
10-6	1.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	4.1%	4.1		2.2	1.4	0.4	0.1		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.1%		59.1%	59.1%		12.5												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
15-1	0.3%		42.7%	42.7%		13.6												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.2
14-2	0.8%		31.7%	31.7%		13.9												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.6
13-3	2.1%		16.9%	16.9%		14.4													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.7
12-4	3.8%		14.0%	14.0%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	3.2
11-5	5.6%		8.1%	8.1%		15.2														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	5.2
10-6	8.3%		6.2%	6.2%		15.4														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	7.8
9-7	10.5%		3.6%	3.6%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.3	10.1
8-8	11.8%		1.9%	1.9%		15.9																0.0	0.2	11.6
7-9	13.1%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																0.0	0.2	12.9
6-10	12.8%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	12.7
5-11	11.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.9
4-12	8.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.5
3-13	5.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.9
2-14	3.5%																							3.5
1-15	1.6%																							1.6
0-16	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		3.2%	3.2%	0.0%	15.1												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.9	1.4	96.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%