Big Sky
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
137 Northern Colorado 31.7%   15   20 - 8 15 - 3 20 - 8 15 - 3 +1.3      +2.9 99 -1.6 220 72.0 74 +3.3 119 +4.7 2
178 Montana 20.7%   19 - 9 15 - 3 19 - 9 15 - 3 -0.9      +2.1 114 -3.0 258 67.3 201 +3.9 110 +5.1 1
185 Montana St. 14.3%   13 - 17 9 - 9 13 - 17 9 - 9 -1.4      -0.6 196 -0.8 196 65.7 247 -3.9 226 -4.5 5
200 Portland St. 14.1%   16 - 12 11 - 7 16 - 12 11 - 7 -2.0      -4.3 289 +2.3 104 70.1 120 -1.6 187 -1.6 3
205 Idaho St. 10.3%   12 - 14 10 - 8 12 - 14 10 - 8 -2.4      -0.3 182 -2.1 229 64.9 273 -4.2 235 -3.0 4
244 Northern Arizona 3.0%   13 - 14 8 - 10 13 - 14 8 - 10 -4.8      -1.1 206 -3.7 285 67.0 212 -4.6 244 -5.4 7
271 Idaho 3.4%   11 - 18 8 - 10 11 - 18 8 - 10 -6.1      +0.7 155 -6.7 346 65.4 257 -5.6 257 -5.3 6
283 Weber St. 1.5%   8 - 21 5 - 13 8 - 21 5 - 13 -7.0      -3.5 262 -3.5 279 64.4 279 -8.2 302 -9.6 9
291 Eastern Washington 0.8%   8 - 21 6 - 12 8 - 21 6 - 12 -7.3      -3.1 253 -4.2 295 68.2 180 -7.7 295 -8.0 8
335 Sacramento St. 0.2%   4 - 24 3 - 15 4 - 24 3 - 15 -11.1      -7.9 345 -3.3 267 64.0 294 -13.7 348 -12.7 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Northern Colorado 1.0 100.0
Montana 1.0 100.0
Montana St. 5.0 100.0
Portland St. 3.0 100.0
Idaho St. 4.0 100.0
Northern Arizona 6.0 100.0
Idaho 6.0 100.0
Weber St. 9.0 100.0
Eastern Washington 8.0 100.0
Sacramento St. 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Northern Colorado 15 - 3 100.0
Montana 15 - 3 100.0
Montana St. 9 - 9 100.0
Portland St. 11 - 7 100.0
Idaho St. 10 - 8 100.0
Northern Arizona 8 - 10 100.0
Idaho 8 - 10 100.0
Weber St. 5 - 13 100.0
Eastern Washington 6 - 12 100.0
Sacramento St. 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Northern Colorado 100.0% 100.0
Montana 100.0% 100.0
Montana St.
Portland St.
Idaho St.
Northern Arizona
Idaho
Weber St.
Eastern Washington
Sacramento St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Northern Colorado 31.7% 31.7% 0.0% 15   0.5 9.4 17.8 3.9 68.3 0.0%
Montana 20.7% 20.7% 0.0% 0.1 2.5 11.7 6.3 0.1 79.3 0.0%
Montana St. 14.3% 14.3% 0.0% 0.4 13.9 85.7 0.0%
Portland St. 14.1% 14.1% 0.0% 1.0 8.7 4.5 85.9 0.0%
Idaho St. 10.3% 10.3% 0.0% 3.1 7.2 89.7 0.0%
Northern Arizona 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 0.6 2.4 97.0 0.0%
Idaho 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 3.4 96.6 0.0%
Weber St. 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 1.5 98.5 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.8 99.2 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Northern Colorado 31.7% 0.0% 31.7% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana 20.7% 0.0% 20.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana St. 14.3% 9.9% 10.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St. 14.1% 0.7% 13.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho St. 10.3% 2.9% 9.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Arizona 3.0% 1.1% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho 3.4% 3.4% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Weber St. 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 91.9% 0.9 8.1 91.9
2nd Round 2.7% 0.0 97.3 2.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0