IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Lamar
Southland
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.9	#283
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.1	#128
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.8	#265

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.1	#278

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.1%	10.5%	3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.1	14.3	15.2

.500 or above	36.5%	70.5%	35.7%
.500 or above in Conference	58.9%	80.7%	58.3%
Conference Champion	3.5%	11.2%	3.3%
Last Place in Conference	3.6%	0.3%	3.7%

First Four	1.0%	0.8%	1.0%
First Round	3.5%	9.6%	3.4%
Second Round	0.2%	1.0%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M (Away) - 2.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 10
Quad 4	11 - 6	13 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 11, 2024	19	@ Texas A&M	L	61-83	2%
Nov 17, 2024	119	Sam Houston St.	L	69-75	30%
Nov 22, 2024	131	@ Akron	L	64-75	16%
Nov 23, 2024	293	Alabama St.	W	70-69	53%
Nov 24, 2024	302	Nebraska Omaha	W	73-72	54%
Dec 05, 2024	219	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	69-75	30%
Dec 07, 2024	284	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	76-79	40%
Dec 14, 2024	156	@ Louisiana	L	68-77	21%
Dec 17, 2024	236	@ Southern Miss	L	69-74	32%
Dec 21, 2024	21	@ Texas Tech	L	61-83	3%
Jan 04, 2025	357	Houston Christian	W	83-72	83%
Jan 06, 2025	329	Incarnate Word	W	79-72	72%
Jan 11, 2025	164	Stephen F. Austin	L	72-75	40%
Jan 13, 2025	346	New Orleans	W	81-72	77%
Jan 18, 2025	99	@ McNeese St.	L	64-78	11%
Jan 20, 2025	215	@ Nicholls St.	L	68-74	30%
Jan 25, 2025	355	Texas A&M - Commerce	W	75-64	82%
Jan 27, 2025	333	Northwestern St.	W	76-68	74%
Feb 01, 2025	164	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	69-78	23%
Feb 03, 2025	292	@ SE Louisiana	L	68-70	43%
Feb 08, 2025	284	UT Rio Grande Valley	W	79-76	59%
Feb 10, 2025	219	TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	72-73	50%
Feb 15, 2025	355	@ Texas A&M - Commerce	W	72-67	66%
Feb 17, 2025	333	@ Northwestern St.	W	73-71	55%
Feb 22, 2025	357	@ Houston Christian	W	80-75	67%
Feb 24, 2025	329	@ Incarnate Word	W	76-75	53%
Mar 01, 2025	99	McNeese St.	L	67-75	24%
Mar 03, 2025	215	Nicholls St.	L	71-72	49%
Projected Record						12 - 16	10 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	1.0	0.7	0.3	0.1		3.5	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.8	2.0	2.7	1.9	0.6	0.1				8.2	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	1.6	3.6	3.5	1.6	0.3	0.0					11.0	3rd
4th										0.0	0.5	2.3	4.6	3.6	1.2	0.1	0.0						12.3	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	2.9	5.0	3.2	0.8	0.1								12.5	5th
6th								0.0	0.6	3.2	4.9	2.9	0.6	0.0									12.3	6th
7th							0.0	0.5	3.0	4.7	2.6	0.5	0.0										11.3	7th
8th						0.0	0.5	2.6	4.0	2.1	0.4	0.0											9.7	8th
9th					0.0	0.5	2.3	3.1	1.5	0.3	0.0												7.8	9th
10th				0.0	0.5	1.6	2.1	1.1	0.2	0.0													5.6	10th
11th			0.1	0.6	1.3	1.3	0.5	0.1															3.8	11th
12th	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.0																2.0	12th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.7	1.2	2.3	3.7	5.5	7.4	9.3	10.9	11.3	11.0	10.2	8.8	6.8	4.9	3.1	1.7	0.7	0.3	0.1			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
19-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
18-2	87.2%	0.7		0.5	0.1
17-3	60.9%	1.0		0.6	0.4	0.0
16-4	28.5%	0.9		0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0
15-5	9.7%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	1.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	3.5%	3.5		1.9	1.2	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.1%		36.5%	33.0%	3.5%	12.4												0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0		5.2%
19-1	0.3%		43.7%	43.7%		13.3												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.2
18-2	0.7%		38.1%	38.1%		13.9													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.5
17-3	1.7%		28.2%	28.2%		14.4													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	1.2
16-4	3.1%		24.0%	24.0%		14.9													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.2	2.4
15-5	4.9%		15.1%	15.1%		15.3														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	4.1
14-6	6.8%		9.4%	9.4%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	6.2
13-7	8.8%		5.2%	5.2%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.3	8.3
12-8	10.2%		2.6%	2.6%		15.9																0.0	0.2	9.9
11-9	11.0%		1.7%	1.7%		15.9																0.0	0.2	10.8
10-10	11.3%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	11.3
9-11	10.9%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	10.8
8-12	9.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.3
7-13	7.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.4
6-14	5.5%																							5.5
5-15	3.7%																							3.7
4-16	2.3%																							2.3
3-17	1.2%																							1.2
2-18	0.7%																							0.7
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		4.1%	4.1%	0.0%	15.1												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.2	1.9	95.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%