St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#297
Expected Predictive Rating-8.0#291
Pace62.6#341
Improvement+1.9#69

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#323
First Shot-7.3#357
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#68
Layup/Dunks-6.8#352
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#208
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#231
Freethrows+1.4#99
Improvement-0.9#243

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#225
First Shot-1.1#208
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#241
Layups/Dunks-2.7#283
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#16
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#68
Freethrows-4.0#355
Improvement+2.8#29
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 3.6% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 24.4% 39.1% 16.4%
.500 or above in Conference 47.6% 65.8% 37.7%
Conference Champion 1.5% 2.9% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 0.6% 3.1%
First Four1.0% 1.2% 0.9%
First Round1.9% 3.0% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairfield (Away) - 35.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 411 - 812 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 54 @Seton Hall L 50-77 4%     0 - 1 -14.5 -5.2 -13.6
  Sat, Nov 8 357 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93-83 83%     1 - 1 -7.5 +5.1 -13.2
  Wed, Nov 12 47 @Virginia Commonwealth L 61-78 3%     1 - 2 -2.9 -3.5 +0.2
  Tue, Nov 18 284 @Delaware L 70-81 36%     1 - 3 -14.6 -0.9 -14.1
  Sat, Nov 22 304 Umass Lowell W 68-66 64%     2 - 3 -9.0 -12.4 +3.4
  Sat, Nov 29 247 Dartmouth L 61-87 53%     2 - 4 -33.9 -11.0 -24.7
  Fri, Dec 5 347 Canisius W 69-57 77%     3 - 4 1 - 0 -3.2 -2.5 +0.4
  Sun, Dec 7 352 Niagara W 71-43 80%     4 - 4 2 - 0 +11.8 +2.5 +13.6
  Sat, Dec 13 99 @Georgetown L 68-76 OT 8%     4 - 5 +0.4 -2.5 +3.0
  Mon, Dec 29 277 @Fairfield L 66-70 35%    
  Fri, Jan 2 157 Marist L 61-66 34%    
  Fri, Jan 9 300 @Mount St. Mary's L 66-69 40%    
  Sun, Jan 11 263 Merrimack W 64-63 55%    
  Wed, Jan 14 160 @Quinnipiac L 65-75 17%    
  Sat, Jan 17 344 Rider W 67-59 76%    
  Mon, Jan 19 165 Iona L 70-74 36%    
  Sat, Jan 24 263 @Merrimack L 61-66 34%    
  Fri, Jan 30 300 Mount St. Mary's W 69-66 62%    
  Sun, Feb 1 344 @Rider W 64-62 56%    
  Thu, Feb 5 313 @Manhattan L 71-72 44%    
  Sat, Feb 7 179 Siena L 64-67 39%    
  Fri, Feb 13 250 @Sacred Heart L 68-73 32%    
  Sun, Feb 15 277 Fairfield W 69-67 57%    
  Fri, Feb 20 165 @Iona L 67-77 19%    
  Sun, Feb 22 179 @Siena L 61-70 21%    
  Fri, Feb 27 313 Manhattan W 74-69 66%    
  Sun, Mar 1 157 @Marist L 58-69 18%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.1 1.7 0.5 0.0 5.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.2 2.8 0.7 0.0 8.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 4.4 3.8 0.9 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.4 4.5 1.1 0.1 13.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 5.1 5.1 1.3 0.1 13.0 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 4.8 5.3 1.7 0.1 13.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.0 5.2 1.9 0.2 12.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.2 4.4 1.6 0.2 0.0 10.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 6.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 13th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.9 4.2 7.4 10.7 13.2 14.3 13.9 11.6 9.1 6.3 3.5 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 97.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 79.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 58.2% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-5 20.8% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 4.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 27.3% 27.3% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.3% 13.5% 13.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
16-4 0.9% 16.8% 16.8% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
15-5 1.9% 10.0% 10.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.7
14-6 3.5% 8.7% 8.7% 15.5 0.1 0.2 3.2
13-7 6.3% 6.6% 6.6% 15.6 0.1 0.3 5.9
12-8 9.1% 4.8% 4.8% 15.9 0.0 0.4 8.6
11-9 11.6% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.3 11.2
10-10 13.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 13.7
9-11 14.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 14.2
8-12 13.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.2
7-13 10.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.7
6-14 7.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.4
5-15 4.2% 4.2
4-16 1.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.9
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 97.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%