St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -3.8 230
Results Rating -2.7 212
Consistency 0.15 160
Pace 64.1 297
Improvement +2.7 83

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 265 D- C+ D+ C+ C-
Defense C 178 C+ D- B F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 266 D- 51% 335 -4.2 324
2 Pt. Jumpers 41% 142 C- 37% 204 +0.5 148
Three Pointers 42% 163 D 30% 313 -1.8 241
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 242 D- -5.0 339
1st FG Attempt D- 0.91 337
Second Chance B 34.8% 55 D+ 0.96 285 C+ 0.34 119
Opponents' Steals C 9.4% 181
Other Turnovers D- 8.8% 334
Turnovers D+ 18.2% 275
Freethrows C+ 0.31 150 B- 74% 120 C+ 0.23 125
Total Offense D+ -3.6 265

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 46% 225 F+ 14.8% 345
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 97 C- 5.7% 244
Three Pointers C+ 85% 159 A- 0.1% 8
Total C 56% 173 D+ 6.6% 298


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 69 C+ 56% 123 +1.8 237
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 231 B- 36% 102 -1.0 108
Three Pointers 38% 264 C+ 33% 146 -1.9 101
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 270 C+ -1.6 117
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 139
Second Chance F+ 36.0% 348 C 1.05 211 D- 0.38 325
Turnovers from Steals A- 12.7% 18
Other Turnovers D+ 6.6% 273
Turnovers B 19.3% 44
Freethrows F 0.41 361 D+ 74% 300 F 0.30 362
Total Defense C -0.2 178

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 265 C+ 12.2% 121
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 199 D+ 3.1% 284
Three Pointers D 89% 324 C+ 1.3% 90
Total C- 59% 255 C+ 6.3% 122

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.9 328 17.0 129
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 66 0.20 269
Consistency 0.09 4 0.13 209
Improvement +0.8 142 +1.9 81

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 240 228 206
Results Rating Rank 219 210 161
Conference Record 14 - 6 14 - 6 14 - 6
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14% 21% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four2% 3% 0%
First Round13% 20% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 33 - 33 - 6
Quad 414 - 617 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 52 @Seton Hall L 50 - 77 6% -16  2% 0 - 1 D- -13 D -6 F C D+ F -12 C+ F D-
 Sat, Nov 8 337 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93 - 83 85% +7  95% 1 - 1 D+ -5 B- +5 B C+ C F -11 F F A+
 Wed, Nov 12 50 @Virginia Commonwealth L 61 - 78 6% -10  9% 1 - 2 C- -3 D- -7 F B- F+ B +4 D- A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 275 @Delaware L 70 - 81 48% -14  0% 1 - 3 D- -14 D -5 C F B F+ -10 F C+ B+
 Sat, Nov 22 311 Umass Lowell W 68 - 66 79% +2  72% 2 - 3 D -10 F -15 F B+ F+ B +4 F C+ A+
 Sat, Nov 29 267 Dartmouth L 61 - 87 69% -7  16% 2 - 4 F -35 F -14 F C+ D- F -22 F F F+
 Fri, Dec 5 338 Canisius W 69 - 57 86% +6  74% 3 - 4 1 - 0 C- -3 D -5 F A C- B- +3 A+ F+ C+
 Sun, Dec 7 334 Niagara W 71 - 43 84% +13  99% 4 - 4 2 - 0 B+ +13 C- -1 D A C A+ +18 A+ D+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 80 @Georgetown L 68 - 76 OT 10% -7  0% 4 - 5 C+ +2 D+ -4 D- F+ C B+ +6 C+ D A+
 Mon, Dec 29 265 @Fairfield W 70 - 66 46% -1  31% 5 - 5 3 - 0 C +1 D -5 F F+ C+ B+ +6 A- F+ B-
 Fri, Jan 2 202 Marist W 69 - 59 56% +3  69% 6 - 5 4 - 0 C+ +5 D+ -3 F A+ B- A- +8 A+ A- B-
 Fri, Jan 9 273 @Mount St. Mary's L 65 - 70 48% -1  27% 6 - 6 4 - 1 D -8 D- -7 F D D- C -1 A F D
 Sun, Jan 11 174 Merrimack W 76 - 63 51% +9  92% 7 - 6 5 - 1 B +9 A- +10 A A F+ C+ +1 A+ F A-
 Wed, Jan 14 216 @Quinnipiac W 74 - 70 36% +4  72% 8 - 6 6 - 1 C+ +4 C +1 B F D B- +3 C D+ D
 Sat, Jan 17 356 Rider W 69 - 58 90% +4  77% 9 - 6 7 - 1 D+ -7 D -6 D- B+ C C +0 C+ F A+
 Mon, Jan 19 242 Iona W 77 - 63 64% +3  53% 10 - 6 8 - 1 B- +6 C +1 B D D- B+ +5 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 174 @Merrimack L 59 - 67 29% -11  0% 10 - 7 8 - 2 D+ -6 F+ -8 F B- F C+ +1 C+ F+ B-
 Fri, Jan 30 273 Mount St. Mary's W 66 - 58 70% +1  52% 11 - 7 9 - 2 C -1 C- -2 D+ C+ C C+ +1 B D B+
 Sun, Feb 1 356 @Rider L 78 - 81 79% +6  94% 11 - 8 9 - 3 F+ -15 C+ +3 F+ A+ B F -18 F A C
 Thu, Feb 5 324 @Manhattan W 80 - 75 64% +7  97% 12 - 8 10 - 3 C- -3 B+ +8 F B A+ F -10 C F B+
 Sat, Feb 7 208 Siena W 70 - 65 57% +3  81% 13 - 8 11 - 3 C -1 D- -6 C A- F B+ +6 B A D+
 Fri, Feb 13 289 @Sacred Heart L 71 - 78 52% -5  4% 13 - 9 11 - 4 D -11 D+ -2 F A+ B+ F+ -9 F F+ D+
 Sun, Feb 15 265 Fairfield W 83 - 74 69% +14  98% 14 - 9 12 - 4 C +0 B- +4 A D- F D+ -4 C F A+
 Fri, Feb 20 242 @Iona L 64 - 72 OT 41% -2  21% 14 - 10 12 - 5 D -10 F -16 F C F B+ +7 A F A+
 Sun, Feb 22 208 @Siena L 63 - 72 34% -10  0% 14 - 11 12 - 6 D -9 D+ -3 F C- B- D -6 C- F B-
 Fri, Feb 27 324 Manhattan W 75 - 65 82% +13  98% 15 - 11 13 - 6 C- -4 C- -1 C+ C- F+ C -1 A+ F D+
 Sun, Mar 1 202 @Marist W 63 - 56 33% +1  51% 16 - 11 14 - 6 B- +8 C- -1 B- C F A +9 B- A+ B-
Totals 16 - 11 14 - 6 -4 D+ -4 A D- C- C +0 D B- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D- C- D D- 36% 41% 42% C- D- B D+ C+ D+ C+ B- C+ C C+ B- C+ C+ 43% 19% 38% D+ C+ F+ C D- B F D+ F
1.03 51% 37% 30% -5 0 0.91 35% 1.0 .34 18% .31 74% .23 1.09 56% 36% 33% -2 +1 1.00 36% 1.0 .38 19% .41 74% .23
Nov
3		 Seton Hall D F F D F 27% 24% 49% D- F A- F C D+ A+ B- A+ F C- A+ C C+ 45% 16% 39% D C+ D F F D- F F F
0.83 36% 10% 30% -16 -1 0.68 38% 0.7 .26 25% .49 73% .35 1.28 59% 17% 33% -3 +1 0.97 39% 1.4 .54 13% .69 83% .57
Nov
8		 Fairleigh Dickinson B- A+ F A+ B 37% 19% 44% C B B D+ C+ C A B+ A+ F F+ F F F 38% 10% 52% F F D+ F F A+ F A+ C
1.25 79% 20% 43% +10 0 1.23 32% 0.9 .29 15% .43 78% .33 1.12 67% 60% 40% +10 +1 1.25 33% 1.5 .48 24% .36 55% .20
Nov
12		 Virginia Commonwealth D- F A+ F F 33% 22% 44% D F A F+ B- F+ B+ A+ A+ B C- C F F+ 44% 12% 44% C- D- D- A+ A+ A+ F C F
0.89 27% 50% 20% -17 -1 0.67 40% 0.8 .33 20% .35 89% .31 1.14 61% 40% 44% +8 +1 1.22 39% 0.3 .12 25% .68 74% .51
Nov
18		 Delaware D F A- A- C 28% 19% 53% C C F C- F B F A+ F F+ F F F F 30% 26% 43% B+ F F A+ C+ B+ F A F
1.04 44% 45% 40% +2 -1 1.05 19% 1.0 .19 12% .10 100% .10 1.21 71% 58% 50% +20 -1 1.39 30% 0.5 .15 21% .38 70% .26
Nov
22		 Umass Lowell F F B- F F 35% 13% 53% C F D+ A+ B+ F+ F+ B- D- B F D+ A+ F 58% 18% 24% F F F A+ C+ A+ F A F
0.95 37% 43% 24% -15 +1 0.75 29% 1.6 .45 17% .20 75% .15 0.93 73% 43% 22% +5 +2 1.16 41% 0.8 .31 34% .61 55% .34
Nov
29		 Dartmouth F F B F F 50% 13% 37% B F B+ D- C+ D- B- A+ A F D+ D F F 41% 11% 48% F+ F F C+ F F+ F F F
0.93 42% 43% 21% -14 +2 0.77 36% 0.9 .31 15% .31 88% .27 1.32 61% 40% 43% +8 +1 1.20 41% 1.1 .45 15% .50 86% .43
Dec
5		 Canisius D F A+ F F 42% 12% 47% B F C+ A+ A C- A+ A A+ B- A- A+ A+ A+ 40% 17% 43% F+ A+ F B F+ C+ F A F
1.07 39% 60% 20% -15 +1 0.74 33% 1.3 .44 16% .48 81% .39 0.89 41% 14% 22% -18 +1 0.67 40% 0.8 .33 20% .55 64% .35
Dec
7		 Niagara C- F A+ B+ D- 40% 20% 40% C+ D C A+ A C D+ C+ C- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 23% 38% A- A+ F B D+ A+ F F F
1.17 39% 56% 39% -1 0 1.00 33% 1.5 .50 15% .27 79% .21 0.71 53% 11% 20% -16 0 0.69 30% 0.8 .23 30% .33 86% .28
Dec
13		 Georgetown D+ C+ A+ F F+ 29% 20% 51% C+ D- D+ F F+ C A+ F A+ B+ C- A+ A B+ 55% 10% 36% F C+ D C- D A+ F A F
0.96 57% 50% 20% -9 -1 0.84 26% 0.7 .19 17% .49 66% .32 1.07 61% 25% 27% -4 +3 1.00 38% 1.2 .44 21% .64 67% .43
Dec
29		 Fairfield D C+ F F F 57% 10% 33% B+ F A F F+ C+ F A F+ B+ A+ B+ A- A+ 48% 12% 40% F A- B F F+ B- F D F
1.04 61% 0% 21% -9 +3 0.90 42% 0.6 .23 15% .19 82% .16 0.98 40% 33% 29% -13 +2 0.81 30% 1.4 .41 18% .34 74% .25
Jan
2		 Marist D+ F+ F F F 36% 22% 42% C+ F B A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ A- A+ C- A+ A+ 42% 24% 34% D- A+ B- A+ A- B- F F F
1.00 50% 20% 21% -15 0 0.71 35% 1.3 .45 17% .49 79% .39 0.85 33% 42% 18% -18 0 0.66 24% 0.8 .18 19% .41 87% .36
Jan
9		 Mount St. Mary's D- F B- F F 27% 16% 58% C F A F D D- A+ C- A+ C A+ A+ B A+ 46% 12% 41% D+ A D F F D F F F
0.95 33% 43% 27% -12 0 0.78 40% 0.6 .24 18% .51 72% .37 1.02 42% 20% 29% -12 +2 0.80 33% 1.4 .45 20% .59 81% .48
Jan
11		 Merrimack A- A- D A+ A+ 38% 38% 24% F A A C+ A F+ A+ D+ A+ C+ C F A+ A+ 43% 17% 39% C+ A+ F F+ F A- F C- F
1.23 64% 36% 56% +9 -2 1.16 52% 1.1 .55 23% .63 70% .44 1.02 55% 50% 11% -13 +1 0.78 35% 1.2 .41 19% .42 81% .34
Jan
14		 Quinnipiac C D- A A+ B+ 41% 25% 34% D+ B D F F D A+ A A+ B- B- B- D C- 40% 27% 33% C+ C B+ F D+ D F A- D-
1.06 50% 45% 47% +5 0 1.11 28% 0.7 .20 19% .46 81% .37 1.00 53% 31% 38% -2 -1 0.96 27% 1.3 .36 14% .40 63% .25
Jan
17		 Rider D B- A+ F D+ 33% 33% 33% F D- A+ D+ B+ C D+ F F C B- C+ A+ C+ 43% 43% 13% B C+ F C+ F A+ D D+ D
1.11 63% 56% 25% +3 -2 1.04 46% 0.9 .43 14% .26 50% .13 0.93 50% 35% 17% -8 -3 0.80 53% 0.9 .47 27% .31 71% .22
Jan
19		 Iona C C- C A+ B 49% 19% 33% B- B D D+ D D- A+ B A+ B+ A+ F B+ A+ 33% 8% 59% D- A+ A F D+ F F A+ D+
1.13 57% 38% 43% +4 +1 1.12 29% 0.9 .26 19% .65 75% .49 0.92 29% 50% 30% -12 +1 0.80 17% 1.7 .29 13% .37 55% .20
Jan
24		 Merrimack F+ F F F F 36% 22% 42% C- F A+ F B- F A+ D+ A+ C+ A+ A+ F B 56% 7% 37% F C+ C- F F+ B- F F F
0.93 44% 30% 16% -18 0 0.64 60% 0.8 .47 25% .51 71% .36 1.06 39% 0% 47% -6 +3 0.95 25% 1.3 .32 17% .48 88% .42
Jan
30		 Mount St. Mary's C- D+ F B D+ 33% 24% 43% C- D+ A- F C+ C B- C B- C+ F+ A+ A- B 38% 15% 46% C+ B F A D B+ F B F
1.07 53% 17% 36% -5 -1 0.90 38% 0.9 .33 15% .36 74% .27 0.94 67% 0% 28% -7 +1 0.90 42% 0.8 .35 26% .42 63% .26
Feb
1		 Rider C+ F C+ B D- 31% 24% 45% F F+ B A+ A+ B D+ D+ D F F+ D- F F 30% 37% 33% B F B A+ A C F F F
1.20 44% 42% 39% 0 -1 1.00 39% 1.4 .53 12% .26 67% .17 1.24 62% 44% 64% +18 -3 1.33 27% 0.6 .15 17% .44 92% .41
Feb
5		 Manhattan B+ F A+ F F 38% 22% 40% C- F B+ C B A+ B+ A+ A F C D B+ C 27% 22% 51% B- C F F F B+ F C- F
1.28 47% 55% 25% -6 0 0.90 44% 1.1 .49 6% .31 83% .26 1.20 55% 44% 29% -4 -1 0.93 46% 1.3 .57 19% .52 81% .42
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Siena D- A+ B- F B- 28% 35% 38% F C B+ B A- F A+ F A+ B+ C D A+ A- 44% 22% 34% F+ B A+ C A D+ F+ C F+
1.03 82% 43% 27% +4 -3 1.05 38% 1.1 .41 21% .67 61% .41 0.96 59% 45% 18% -6 0 0.90 19% 1.0 .19 15% .36 76% .28
Feb
13		 Sacred Heart D+ F F F F 48% 17% 35% C+ F A- A+ A+ B+ B- D+ C+ F+ A B+ F F 31% 17% 52% C F B- F F+ D+ F D+ F
1.11 48% 22% 28% -11 +1 0.83 40% 1.4 .55 11% .28 69% .19 1.22 46% 29% 50% +7 0 1.17 24% 1.5 .36 17% .55 79% .43
Feb
15		 Fairfield B- C- C A+ A+ 45% 20% 35% D+ A C+ F D- F A+ A+ A+ D+ C A+ D- C+ 58% 24% 18% D- C F F F A+ F D F
1.21 56% 38% 57% +11 +1 1.25 32% 0.8 .25 22% .61 85% .52 1.08 54% 27% 38% -4 +1 0.96 41% 1.2 .50 22% .50 74% .37
Feb
20		 Iona F F A+ F F+ 27% 25% 47% F+ F C- C+ C F F A F+ B+ C- B A+ A+ 37% 18% 45% C A F D F A+ F F+ F
0.84 40% 50% 27% -7 -1 0.85 32% 1.0 .32 24% .17 80% .14 0.95 58% 33% 22% -9 0 0.84 36% 1.1 .41 24% .36 76% .28
Feb
22		 Siena D+ F F C- F 40% 23% 38% C F D+ C C- B- B- B B D D+ A C- C 57% 27% 16% F C- F F F B- F F+ F
1.03 47% 27% 33% -7 0 0.88 29% 1.0 .29 15% .31 75% .23 1.17 62% 30% 33% 0 0 1.03 36% 1.2 .44 18% .67 82% .56
Feb
27		 Manhattan C- B+ D+ A B- 35% 24% 41% D C+ A F C- F+ C+ F D+ C A+ F A+ A+ 43% 20% 37% D- A+ F F F D+ F C- F
1.19 69% 36% 42% +8 -1 1.17 48% 0.8 .39 19% .26 62% .16 1.04 30% 78% 12% -17 0 0.70 37% 1.3 .47 14% .48 81% .39
Mar
1		 Marist C- A- D D- B- 42% 27% 31% C B- B+ F+ C F D+ F D- A A F A B- 32% 36% 32% A- B- F A+ A+ B- C A+ B
0.99 68% 33% 29% +1 -1 1.02 36% 0.8 .29 27% .32 60% .19 0.88 44% 50% 25% -5 -2 0.88 38% 0.3 .12 19% .23 67% .15



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 13.7% 13.7% 15.5 0.5 5.7 7.6 86.3
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 13.7% 13.7% 0.0% 15.5 86.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 13.7% 100.0% 15.5 3.3 41.7 55.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 18.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 32.5%
Lose Out 35.8%