St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.7#326
Expected Predictive Rating-9.4#300
Pace63.6#322
Improvement-0.9#250

Offense
Total Offense-6.0#329
First Shot-7.6#356
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#83
Layup/Dunks-7.1#352
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#239
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#171
Freethrows+0.4#157
Improvement-1.9#323

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#293
First Shot-2.8#266
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#247
Layups/Dunks-2.3#264
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#41
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#101
Freethrows-4.7#358
Improvement+1.0#107
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.2% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 11.3% 14.7% 4.5%
.500 or above in Conference 26.4% 32.6% 13.9%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 10.1% 5.8% 18.8%
First Four0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
First Round0.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Niagara (Home) - 66.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 49 - 910 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 64 @Seton Hall L 50-77 3%     0 - 1 -15.4 -6.6 -13.2
  Sat, Nov 8 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93-83 78%     1 - 1 -7.8 +4.8 -13.2
  Wed, Nov 12 42 @Virginia Commonwealth L 61-78 2%     1 - 2 -2.4 -1.4 -1.4
  Tue, Nov 18 296 @Delaware L 70-81 31%     1 - 3 -15.5 -2.0 -13.9
  Sat, Nov 22 317 Umass Lowell W 68-66 58%     2 - 3 -9.7 -12.1 +2.3
  Sat, Nov 29 268 Dartmouth L 61-87 46%     2 - 4 -34.6 -12.1 -24.2
  Fri, Dec 5 355 Canisius W 69-57 73%     3 - 4 1 - 0 -4.2 -4.3 +1.1
  Sun, Dec 7 342 Niagara W 67-62 67%    
  Sat, Dec 13 86 @Georgetown L 61-80 4%    
  Mon, Dec 29 290 @Fairfield L 67-72 31%    
  Fri, Jan 2 158 Marist L 58-64 28%    
  Fri, Jan 9 304 @Mount St. Mary's L 66-71 33%    
  Sun, Jan 11 283 Merrimack L 65-66 50%    
  Wed, Jan 14 154 @Quinnipiac L 66-79 12%    
  Sat, Jan 17 336 Rider W 69-65 64%    
  Mon, Jan 19 176 Iona L 71-76 31%    
  Sat, Jan 24 283 @Merrimack L 62-68 29%    
  Fri, Jan 30 304 Mount St. Mary's W 69-68 55%    
  Sun, Feb 1 336 @Rider L 66-68 43%    
  Thu, Feb 5 308 @Manhattan L 70-75 34%    
  Sat, Feb 7 156 Siena L 63-69 28%    
  Fri, Feb 13 256 @Sacred Heart L 71-78 26%    
  Sun, Feb 15 290 Fairfield W 70-69 52%    
  Fri, Feb 20 176 @Iona L 68-79 16%    
  Sun, Feb 22 156 @Siena L 60-72 13%    
  Fri, Feb 27 308 Manhattan W 73-72 55%    
  Sun, Mar 1 158 @Marist L 55-67 14%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.2 4th
5th 0.2 1.3 2.7 1.7 0.4 0.0 6.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.8 2.6 0.6 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 4.4 3.2 0.7 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.8 4.3 0.9 0.0 11.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 4.8 5.2 1.4 0.1 12.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.7 5.6 1.8 0.2 0.0 13.7 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 4.2 4.8 1.8 0.2 12.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.4 3.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 10.6 12th
13th 0.2 0.9 1.8 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.3 13th
Total 0.3 1.2 3.4 6.4 9.9 12.4 14.0 13.9 12.2 9.5 7.1 4.6 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 93.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 54.3% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 21.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 5.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 9.4% 9.4% 15.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.3% 9.9% 9.9% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-5 0.6% 7.1% 7.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
14-6 1.5% 8.7% 8.7% 15.6 0.1 0.1 1.3
13-7 2.7% 5.9% 5.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.6
12-8 4.6% 3.7% 3.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 4.4
11-9 7.1% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.0
10-10 9.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 9.3
9-11 12.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.1
8-12 13.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.8
7-13 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.9
6-14 12.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.4
5-15 9.9% 9.9
4-16 6.4% 6.4
3-17 3.4% 3.4
2-18 1.2% 1.2
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%