St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -3.8 229
Results Rating -2.6 210
Consistency 0.15 163
Pace 64.1 298
Improvement +2.9 77

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 264 D- C+ D+ C+ C-
Defense C 175 C+ D- B F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 267 D- 51% 334 -4.2 325
2 Pt. Jumpers 41% 144 C- 37% 204 +0.5 147
Three Pointers 42% 163 D 30% 312 -1.7 241
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 242 D- -5.0 338
1st FG Attempt D- 0.91 337
Second Chance B 34.8% 56 D+ 0.96 283 C+ 0.34 121
Opponents' Steals C 9.4% 178
Other Turnovers D- 8.8% 333
Turnovers D+ 18.2% 276
Freethrows C+ 0.31 151 B- 74% 118 C+ 0.23 125
Total Offense D+ -3.6 264

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 46% 225 F+ 14.8% 344
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 97 C- 5.7% 238
Three Pointers C+ 85% 158 A- 0.1% 7
Total C 56% 172 D+ 6.6% 297


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 70 C+ 56% 125 +1.7 236
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 228 B- 36% 103 -1.0 108
Three Pointers 38% 264 C+ 33% 142 -1.9 102
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 268 C+ -1.6 117
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 136
Second Chance F+ 36.0% 347 C 1.05 208 D- 0.38 325
Turnovers from Steals A- 12.7% 16
Other Turnovers D+ 6.6% 274
Turnovers B 19.3% 44
Freethrows F 0.41 361 D+ 74% 296 F 0.30 362
Total Defense C -0.2 175

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 266 C+ 12.2% 122
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 196 D+ 3.1% 285
Three Pointers D 89% 324 B- 1.3% 92
Total C- 59% 251 C+ 6.3% 120

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.9 328 17.0 131
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 66 0.20 267
Consistency 0.09 5 0.13 209
Improvement +0.9 141 +2.0 84

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 240 227 205
Results Rating Rank 220 210 161
Conference Record 14 - 6 14 - 6 14 - 6
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14% 22% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four2% 3% 0%
First Round13% 21% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 33 - 33 - 6
Quad 414 - 617 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 53 @Seton Hall L 50 - 77 6% -16  2% 0 - 1 D- -13 D -6 F C D+ F -12 C+ F D-
 Sat, Nov 8 336 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93 - 83 85% +7  95% 1 - 1 D+ -5 B- +5 B C+ C F -10 F F A+
 Wed, Nov 12 49 @Virginia Commonwealth L 61 - 78 6% -10  9% 1 - 2 C- -3 D- -7 F B- F+ B +4 D- A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 274 @Delaware L 70 - 81 48% -14  0% 1 - 3 D- -14 D -5 C F B F+ -10 F C+ B+
 Sat, Nov 22 311 Umass Lowell W 68 - 66 79% +2  72% 2 - 3 D -10 F -15 F B+ F+ B +4 F C+ A+
 Sat, Nov 29 267 Dartmouth L 61 - 87 69% -7  16% 2 - 4 F -35 F -14 F C+ D- F -22 F F F+
 Fri, Dec 5 338 Canisius W 69 - 57 86% +6  74% 3 - 4 1 - 0 C- -3 D -5 F A C- B- +3 A+ F+ C+
 Sun, Dec 7 333 Niagara W 71 - 43 84% +13  99% 4 - 4 2 - 0 B+ +13 C- -0 D A C A+ +18 A+ D+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 80 @Georgetown L 68 - 76 OT 10% -7  0% 4 - 5 C+ +2 D+ -4 D- F+ C B+ +6 C+ D A+
 Mon, Dec 29 264 @Fairfield W 70 - 66 46% -1  31% 5 - 5 3 - 0 C +1 D -5 F F+ C+ B+ +6 A- F+ B-
 Fri, Jan 2 201 Marist W 69 - 59 56% +3  69% 6 - 5 4 - 0 C+ +5 D+ -3 F A+ B- A- +8 A+ A- B-
 Fri, Jan 9 272 @Mount St. Mary's L 65 - 70 48% -1  27% 6 - 6 4 - 1 D -8 D- -7 F D D- C -1 A F D
 Sun, Jan 11 173 Merrimack W 76 - 63 51% +9  92% 7 - 6 5 - 1 B +9 A- +10 A A F+ C+ +1 A+ F A-
 Wed, Jan 14 215 @Quinnipiac W 74 - 70 36% +4  72% 8 - 6 6 - 1 C+ +4 C +1 B F D B- +3 C D+ D
 Sat, Jan 17 356 Rider W 69 - 58 90% +4  77% 9 - 6 7 - 1 D+ -7 D -6 D- B+ C C+ +0 C+ F A+
 Mon, Jan 19 241 Iona W 77 - 63 64% +3  53% 10 - 6 8 - 1 B- +7 C +1 B D D- B+ +5 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 173 @Merrimack L 59 - 67 29% -11  0% 10 - 7 8 - 2 D+ -6 F+ -8 F B- F C+ +1 C+ F+ B-
 Fri, Jan 30 272 Mount St. Mary's W 66 - 58 70% +1  52% 11 - 7 9 - 2 C -1 C- -2 D+ C+ C C+ +2 B D B+
 Sun, Feb 1 356 @Rider L 78 - 81 79% +6  94% 11 - 8 9 - 3 F+ -15 C+ +3 F+ A+ B F -18 F A C
 Thu, Feb 5 323 @Manhattan W 80 - 75 64% +7  97% 12 - 8 10 - 3 C- -3 B+ +8 F B A+ F -10 C F A-
 Sat, Feb 7 208 Siena W 70 - 65 57% +3  81% 13 - 8 11 - 3 C -0 D -6 C A- F B+ +6 B A D+
 Fri, Feb 13 287 @Sacred Heart L 71 - 78 52% -5  4% 13 - 9 11 - 4 D -11 D+ -2 F A+ B+ F+ -9 F F+ D+
 Sun, Feb 15 264 Fairfield W 83 - 74 69% +14  98% 14 - 9 12 - 4 C +0 B- +4 A D- F D+ -4 C F A+
 Fri, Feb 20 241 @Iona L 64 - 72 OT 41% -2  21% 14 - 10 12 - 5 D -9 F -16 F C F B+ +7 A F A+
 Sun, Feb 22 208 @Siena L 63 - 72 34% -10  0% 14 - 11 12 - 6 D -8 D+ -3 F C- B- D -6 C- F B-
 Fri, Feb 27 323 Manhattan W 75 - 65 82% +13  98% 15 - 11 13 - 6 C- -4 C- -1 C+ C- F+ C -1 A+ F D+
 Sun, Mar 1 201 @Marist W 63 - 56 33% +1  51% 16 - 11 14 - 6 B- +8 C- -1 B- C F A +9 B- A+ B-
Totals 16 - 11 14 - 6 -4 D+ -4 D+ D- C- C +0 D B- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D- C- D D- 36% 41% 42% C- D- B D+ C+ D+ C+ B- C+ C C+ B- C+ C+ 43% 19% 38% D+ C+ F+ C D- B F D+ F
1.03 51% 37% 30% -5 0 0.91 35% 1.0 .34 18% .31 74% .23 1.09 56% 36% 33% -2 +1 1.00 36% 1.0 .38 19% .41 74% .23
Nov
3		 Seton Hall D F F D F 27% 24% 49% D- F A- F C D+ A+ B- A+ F C- A+ C C+ 45% 16% 39% D C+ D F F D- F F F
0.83 36% 10% 30% -16 -1 0.68 38% 0.7 .26 25% .49 73% .35 1.28 59% 17% 33% -3 +1 0.97 39% 1.4 .54 13% .69 83% .57
Nov
8		 Fairleigh Dickinson B- A+ F A+ B 37% 19% 44% C B B D+ C+ C A A- A+ F F+ F F F 38% 10% 52% F+ F C- F F A+ F A+ C
1.25 79% 20% 43% +10 0 1.23 32% 0.9 .29 15% .43 78% .33 1.12 67% 60% 40% +10 +1 1.25 33% 1.5 .48 24% .36 55% .20
Nov
12		 Virginia Commonwealth D- F A+ F F 33% 22% 44% D F A F+ B- F+ B+ A+ A+ B C- C+ F F+ 44% 12% 44% C- D- D- A+ A+ A+ F C F
0.89 27% 50% 20% -17 -1 0.67 40% 0.8 .33 20% .35 89% .31 1.14 61% 40% 44% +8 +1 1.22 39% 0.3 .12 25% .68 74% .51
Nov
18		 Delaware D F A- A- C 28% 19% 53% C C F C- F B F A+ F F+ F F F F 30% 26% 43% B+ F F A+ C+ B+ F A F
1.04 44% 45% 40% +2 -1 1.05 19% 1.0 .19 12% .10 100% .10 1.21 71% 58% 50% +20 -1 1.39 30% 0.5 .15 21% .38 70% .26
Nov
22		 Umass Lowell F F B- F F 35% 13% 53% C F D+ A+ B+ F+ F+ B- D- B F D+ A+ F 58% 18% 24% F+ F F A+ C+ A+ F A F
0.95 37% 43% 24% -15 +1 0.75 29% 1.6 .45 17% .20 75% .15 0.93 73% 43% 22% +5 +2 1.16 41% 0.8 .31 34% .61 55% .34
Nov
29		 Dartmouth F F B F F 50% 13% 37% B F B+ D- C+ D- B- A+ A F D+ D F F 41% 11% 48% F+ F F C+ F F+ F F F
0.93 42% 43% 21% -14 +2 0.77 36% 0.9 .31 15% .31 88% .27 1.32 61% 40% 43% +8 +1 1.20 41% 1.1 .45 15% .50 86% .43
Dec
5		 Canisius D F A+ F F 42% 12% 47% B F C+ A+ A C- A+ A A+ B- A- A+ A+ A+ 40% 17% 43% F+ A+ F B F+ C+ F A F
1.07 39% 60% 20% -15 +1 0.74 33% 1.3 .44 16% .48 81% .39 0.89 41% 14% 22% -18 +1 0.67 40% 0.8 .33 20% .55 64% .35
Dec
7		 Niagara C- F A+ B+ D- 40% 20% 40% C+ D C A+ A C D+ C+ C- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 23% 38% A- A+ F B D+ A+ F F F
1.17 39% 56% 39% -1 0 1.00 33% 1.5 .50 15% .27 79% .21 0.71 53% 11% 20% -16 0 0.69 30% 0.8 .23 30% .33 86% .28
Dec
13		 Georgetown D+ C+ A+ F F+ 29% 20% 51% C+ D- D+ F F+ C A+ F A+ B+ C- A+ A B+ 55% 10% 36% F C+ D D+ D A+ F A F
0.96 57% 50% 20% -9 -1 0.84 26% 0.7 .19 17% .49 66% .32 1.07 61% 25% 27% -4 +3 1.00 38% 1.2 .44 21% .64 67% .43
Dec
29		 Fairfield D C+ F F F 57% 10% 33% B+ F A F F+ C+ F A F+ B+ A+ B+ A- A+ 48% 12% 40% F A- B F F+ B- F D F
1.04 61% 0% 21% -9 +3 0.90 42% 0.6 .23 15% .19 82% .16 0.98 40% 33% 29% -13 +2 0.81 30% 1.4 .41 18% .34 74% .25
Jan
2		 Marist D+ F+ F F F 36% 22% 42% C+ F B A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ A- A+ C- A+ A+ 42% 24% 34% D- A+ B- A+ A- B- F F F
1.00 50% 20% 21% -15 0 0.71 35% 1.3 .45 17% .49 79% .39 0.85 33% 42% 18% -18 0 0.66 24% 0.8 .18 19% .41 87% .36
Jan
9		 Mount St. Mary's D- F B- F F 27% 16% 58% C F A F D D- A+ C- A+ C A+ A+ B A+ 46% 12% 41% D+ A D F F D F F F
0.95 33% 43% 27% -12 0 0.78 40% 0.6 .24 18% .51 72% .37 1.02 42% 20% 29% -12 +2 0.80 33% 1.4 .45 20% .59 81% .48
Jan
11		 Merrimack A- A- D A+ A+ 38% 38% 24% F A A C+ A F+ A+ D+ A+ C+ C F A+ A+ 43% 17% 39% C+ A+ F F+ F A- F C- F
1.23 64% 36% 56% +9 -2 1.16 52% 1.1 .55 23% .63 70% .44 1.02 55% 50% 11% -13 +1 0.78 35% 1.2 .41 19% .42 81% .34
Jan
14		 Quinnipiac C D- A A+ B+ 41% 25% 34% D+ B D F F D A+ A A+ B- B- B- D C- 40% 27% 33% C+ C B+ F D+ D F A- D-
1.06 50% 45% 47% +5 0 1.11 28% 0.7 .20 19% .46 81% .37 1.00 53% 31% 38% -2 -1 0.96 27% 1.3 .36 14% .40 63% .25
Jan
17		 Rider D B- A+ F D+ 33% 33% 33% F D- A+ D+ B+ C D+ F F C+ B- C+ A+ C+ 43% 43% 13% B C+ F C+ F A+ D D+ D
1.11 63% 56% 25% +3 -2 1.04 46% 0.9 .43 14% .26 50% .13 0.93 50% 35% 17% -8 -3 0.80 53% 0.9 .47 27% .31 71% .22
Jan
19		 Iona C C- C A+ B 49% 19% 33% B- B D D+ D D- A+ B A+ B+ A+ F B+ A+ 33% 8% 59% D- A+ A F D+ F F A+ D+
1.13 57% 38% 43% +4 +1 1.12 29% 0.9 .26 19% .65 75% .49 0.92 29% 50% 30% -12 +1 0.80 17% 1.7 .29 13% .37 55% .20
Jan
24		 Merrimack F+ F F F F 36% 22% 42% C- F A+ F B- F A+ D+ A+ C+ A+ A+ F B 56% 7% 37% F C+ C- F F+ B- F F F
0.93 44% 30% 16% -18 0 0.64 60% 0.8 .47 25% .51 71% .36 1.06 39% 0% 47% -6 +3 0.95 25% 1.3 .32 17% .48 88% .42
Jan
30		 Mount St. Mary's C- D+ F B D+ 33% 24% 43% C- D+ A- F C+ C B- C B- C+ F+ A+ A- B 38% 15% 46% C+ B F A D B+ F B F
1.07 53% 17% 36% -5 -1 0.90 38% 0.9 .33 15% .36 74% .27 0.94 67% 0% 28% -7 +1 0.90 42% 0.8 .35 26% .42 63% .26
Feb
1		 Rider C+ F C+ B D- 31% 24% 45% F F+ B A+ A+ B D+ D+ D F F+ D- F F 30% 37% 33% B F B A+ A C F F F
1.20 44% 42% 39% 0 -1 1.00 39% 1.4 .53 12% .26 67% .17 1.24 62% 44% 64% +18 -3 1.33 27% 0.6 .15 17% .44 92% .41
Feb
5		 Manhattan B+ F A+ F F 38% 22% 40% C- F B+ C B A+ B+ A+ A F C D B+ C 27% 22% 51% B- C F F+ F A- F C- F
1.28 47% 55% 25% -6 0 0.90 44% 1.1 .49 6% .31 83% .26 1.20 55% 44% 29% -4 -1 0.93 46% 1.3 .57 19% .52 81% .42
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Siena D A+ B- F B- 28% 35% 38% F C B+ B A- F A+ F A+ B+ C D A+ A- 44% 22% 34% F+ B A+ C A D+ F+ C F+
1.03 82% 43% 27% +4 -3 1.05 38% 1.1 .41 21% .67 61% .41 0.96 59% 45% 18% -6 0 0.90 19% 1.0 .19 15% .36 76% .28
Feb
13		 Sacred Heart D+ F F F F 48% 17% 35% C+ F A- A+ A+ B+ B- D+ C+ F+ A B+ F F 31% 17% 52% C F B- F F+ D+ F D+ F
1.11 48% 22% 28% -11 +1 0.83 40% 1.4 .55 11% .28 69% .19 1.22 46% 29% 50% +7 0 1.17 24% 1.5 .36 17% .55 79% .43
Feb
15		 Fairfield B- C- C A+ A+ 45% 20% 35% D+ A C+ F D- F A+ A+ A+ D+ C A+ D- C+ 58% 24% 18% D- C F F F A+ F D F
1.21 56% 38% 57% +11 +1 1.25 32% 0.8 .25 22% .61 85% .52 1.08 54% 27% 38% -4 +1 0.96 41% 1.2 .50 22% .50 74% .37
Feb
20		 Iona F F A+ F F+ 27% 25% 47% F+ F C- C+ C F F A F+ B+ C- B A+ A+ 37% 18% 45% C A F D F A+ F F+ F
0.84 40% 50% 27% -7 -1 0.85 32% 1.0 .32 24% .17 80% .14 0.95 58% 33% 22% -9 0 0.84 36% 1.1 .41 24% .36 76% .28
Feb
22		 Siena D+ F F C- F 40% 23% 38% C F D+ C C- B- B- B B D D+ A C- C 57% 27% 16% F C- F F F B- F F+ F
1.03 47% 27% 33% -7 0 0.88 29% 1.0 .29 15% .31 75% .23 1.17 62% 30% 33% 0 0 1.03 36% 1.2 .44 18% .67 82% .56
Feb
27		 Manhattan C- B+ D+ A B- 35% 24% 41% D C+ A F C- F+ C+ F D+ C A+ F A+ A+ 43% 20% 37% D- A+ F F F D+ F C- F
1.19 69% 36% 42% +8 -1 1.17 48% 0.8 .39 19% .26 62% .16 1.04 30% 78% 12% -17 0 0.70 37% 1.3 .47 14% .48 81% .39
Mar
1		 Marist C- A- D D- B- 42% 27% 31% C B- B+ F+ C F D+ F D- A A F A B- 32% 36% 32% A- B- F A+ A+ B- C A+ B
0.99 68% 33% 29% +1 -1 1.02 36% 0.8 .29 27% .32 60% .19 0.88 44% 50% 25% -5 -2 0.88 38% 0.3 .12 19% .23 67% .15



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 14.2% 14.2% 15.5 0.0 0.6 6.1 7.4 85.8
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 14.2% 14.2% 0.0% 15.5 85.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 14.2% 100.0% 15.5 0.0 4.4 43.2 52.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 17.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 31.6%
Lose Out 36.7%