Penn
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -0.3 162
Results Rating +0.8 146
Consistency 0.12 35
Pace 71.8 92
Improvement +3.3 63

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 210 C C C C+ D
Defense C+ 136 C C+ C A- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 250 D- 51% 325 -3.9 317
2 Pt. Jumpers 48% 70 C 37% 199 +2.2 70
Three Pointers 37% 260 A- 39% 13 +1.0 152
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.0 304 C +0.3 155
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 193
Second Chance C 30.8% 166 C- 0.98 262 C 0.30 191
Opponents' Steals C 9.7% 215
Other Turnovers C+ 7.0% 150
Turnovers C 16.8% 185
Freethrows B- 0.33 98 D+ 69% 274 C+ 0.23 147
Total Offense C- -1.6 210

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 44% 255 D 13.7% 327
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A- 42% 19 C+ 4.1% 120
Three Pointers C- 83% 218 C 0.9% 190
Total C+ 57% 153 D+ 6.4% 272


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 65 D+ 62% 290 +4.4 322
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 149 D+ 41% 284 +0.9 265
Three Pointers 36% 328 B+ 30% 42 -4.6 18
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 214 C +0.4 197
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 196
Second Chance C 30.5% 195 B 0.94 53 C+ 0.29 104
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.2% 277
Other Turnovers B 8.2% 66
Turnovers C 16.4% 196
Freethrows B 0.26 46 A+ 65% 1 A- 0.17 15
Total Defense C+ +1.2 136

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 138 C- 9.3% 235
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 22% 108 D 2.4% 314
Three Pointers B- 81% 95 D- -0.1% 358
Total B 50% 64 D+ 4.5% 263

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.2 62 17.5 219
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 319 0.18 230
Consistency 0.10 30 0.09 3
Improvement -2.2 291 +5.5 9

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 180 162 140
Results Rating Rank 173 146 114
Conference Record 8 - 6 9 - 5 9 - 5
Conference Finish 3 3 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14% 15% 13%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.9 14.6
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round14% 15% 13%
Second Round0% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Brown (Away) - 63.3% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 35 - 55 - 10
Quad 410 - 215 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sun, Nov 9 254 @American L 78 - 84 57% -3  13% 0 - 1 D -8 D -5 D+ D- F C- -3 D- C+ C+
 Tue, Nov 11 72 @Providence L 81 - 106 14% -10  5% 0 - 2 D- -14 D+ -2 F+ C+ B F+ -8 F+ F A-
 Mon, Nov 17 112 Saint Joseph's W 83 - 74 47% +1  55% 1 - 2 B +9 B +6 A D F+ B- +3 D A+ C
 Fri, Nov 21 214 @Drexel W 84 - 68 49% +9  98% 2 - 2 A- +16 A+ +15 B+ A+ C- C+ +1 B C- F
 Fri, Nov 28 174 Merrimack W 77 - 65 64% +4  60% 3 - 2 B- +8 C+ +3 B C B+ B+ +6 A C+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 209 La Salle W 73 - 71 70% -3  28% 4 - 2 C- -4 C+ +3 B A C D- -7 A+ F D
 Sun, Nov 30 104 Hofstra L 60 - 77 44% -4  32% 4 - 3 F+ -16 F -12 F B+ C D+ -5 F F+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 35 Villanova L 63 - 90 9% -15  0% 4 - 4 D- -13 C- -2 C- B- C- F -13 F B C+
 Mon, Dec 8 325 Lafayette W 74 - 72 89% +6  96% 5 - 4 D- -12 F+ -9 D- F+ B- C- -2 F A B-
 Sat, Dec 20 108 @Rutgers L 69 - 70 25% +4  89% 5 - 5 B- +6 C- -1 F A+ D- A- +7 B- A+ F
 Sun, Dec 28 105 @George Mason L 79 - 83 23% -3  21% 5 - 6 C+ +3 B+ +8 A+ D- A- D -5 D F F
 Wed, Dec 31 333 NJIT W 80 - 61 90% +6  52% 6 - 6 C+ +4 C -0 A F+ C- B +5 B- B+ B
 Mon, Jan 5 239 @Princeton L 76 - 78 54% +1  61% 6 - 7 0 - 1 C- -3 C+ +4 F+ A+ F D- -7 F A- D
 Sat, Jan 10 283 Brown W 81 - 73 81% +1  57% 7 - 7 1 - 1 C- -2 B +7 B+ F+ A F+ -9 D- D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 267 @Dartmouth W 84 - 74 60% +1  44% 8 - 7 2 - 1 B- +7 B- +5 C+ B- A+ B- +2 B C- C-
 Mon, Jan 19 154 @Harvard L 63 - 64 36% -1  27% 8 - 8 2 - 2 C+ +2 C- -1 C- F C- B- +3 C- B C+
 Sat, Jan 24 87 Yale L 60 - 77 36% -5  15% 8 - 9 2 - 3 D- -14 F -14 D- D- D+ C -0 B C+ A
 Fri, Jan 30 190 @Columbia L 67 - 72 45% -5  2% 8 - 10 2 - 4 C- -4 D -5 D C- B C+ +1 F A- A
 Sat, Jan 31 164 @Cornell W 91 - 81 39% +11  97% 9 - 10 3 - 4 B+ +13 B+ +8 A+ F F B +4 C A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 239 Princeton W 61 - 60 75% +5  90% 10 - 10 4 - 4 D+ -6 D- -6 C- D B- C +0 B B F
 Fri, Feb 13 190 Columbia W 76 - 67 67% -2  7% 11 - 10 5 - 4 C+ +4 C- -2 C C C B+ +6 C- B A+
 Sat, Feb 14 164 Cornell W 82 - 76 62% +3  72% 12 - 10 6 - 4 C+ +3 D- -8 F D+ B A +10 A- D+ B+
 Sat, Feb 21 87 @Yale L 70 - 74 18% +2  56% 12 - 11 6 - 5 B- +5 C- -1 C F+ B- B+ +6 A+ C+ C
 Fri, Feb 27 267 Dartmouth W 80 - 71 79% -3  23% 13 - 11 7 - 5 C +0 C +1 C+ D C+ C -1 D+ A+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 154 Harvard W 64 - 61 59% -2  27% 14 - 11 8 - 5 C +0 F -12 D- C D+ A+ +12 A B- A+
 Fri, Mar 6 283 @Brown W 71 - 68 63%
Totals 15 - 11 9 - 5 +0 C- -2 B C D C+ +1 A- D+ C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D- C A- C 36% 48% 37% D C C C- C C B- D+ C+ C+ D+ D+ B+ C 43% 21% 36% C- C C B C+ C B A+ A-
1.06 51% 37% 39% 0 -1 1.01 31% 1.0 .30 17% .33 69% .23 1.07 62% 41% 30% 0 0 1.03 31% 0.9 .29 16% .26 65% .21
Nov
9		 American D C F A+ C- 31% 27% 42% F+ D+ F+ C D- F A+ A- A+ C- C F B- D- 41% 9% 50% D D- C- B+ C+ C+ F A+ D
1.01 60% 15% 45% +1 -1 1.02 23% 1.0 .23 23% .54 78% .42 1.09 57% 100% 32% +3 +2 1.13 27% 0.8 .22 17% .36 65% .23
Nov
11		 Providence D+ F F A+ D- 23% 36% 41% F F+ D+ A- C+ B A- A A F+ F+ A+ F F+ 43% 16% 41% C F+ F F F A- C- F F
1.02 29% 23% 44% -6 -3 0.84 26% 1.2 .30 13% .35 79% .27 1.34 71% 22% 48% +11 +1 1.27 44% 1.4 .59 19% .36 91% .33
Nov
17		 Saint Joseph's B C- C A+ A 47% 22% 31% B+ A B- F D F+ A+ A+ A+ B- D- C- C+ D 36% 14% 50% C+ D D A+ A+ C B- A B+
1.11 54% 36% 50% +5 0 1.14 33% 0.7 .22 19% .38 83% .31 0.99 67% 38% 31% +1 +1 1.05 36% 0.4 .16 17% .24 67% .16
Nov
21		 Drexel A+ D+ A+ B- A- 36% 21% 43% C B+ B+ A+ A+ C- A+ B- A+ C+ C- A- B+ B 49% 26% 25% C B D C+ C- F D+ A+ A-
1.25 53% 60% 35% +3 0 1.09 37% 1.4 .50 16% .50 79% .39 1.01 58% 29% 31% -4 0 0.94 33% 0.9 .28 13% .29 41% .12
Nov
28		 Merrimack C+ C A+ F B+ 46% 29% 25% D+ B D+ B C B+ B+ F D- B+ D D- A+ A+ 40% 16% 44% C+ A C B C+ F A+ A- A+
1.13 55% 64% 25% +3 -1 1.06 37% 1.2 .43 16% .40 52% .21 0.96 61% 44% 12% -12 +1 0.79 23% 0.9 .21 7% .24 73% .17
Nov
29		 La Salle C+ D- B+ A+ A- 31% 31% 38% F B C A+ A C A- D B D- B+ C+ A+ A 28% 36% 36% A+ A+ F F F D A+ A+ A+
1.14 50% 43% 47% +6 -2 1.11 30% 1.6 .47 17% .32 65% .21 1.11 47% 37% 21% -11 -3 0.75 46% 1.5 .68 16% .15 63% .09
Nov
30		 Hofstra F F F F F 27% 50% 23% F F B- A- B+ C C C- C D+ F B- B- F 43% 29% 29% C- F C- F F+ A+ D- F F
0.90 29% 23% 25% -19 -5 0.56 33% 1.2 .40 15% .30 71% .21 1.15 83% 33% 33% +9 -1 1.19 35% 1.3 .43 22% .35 94% .33
Dec
6		 Villanova C- F F A+ C+ 27% 37% 37% F C- B- B- B- C- C F F F C- F F F 32% 15% 53% C+ F C+ A- B C+ A B- A-
0.96 46% 28% 44% -1 -3 0.94 32% 1.0 .32 21% .23 33% .08 1.36 65% 50% 54% +19 0 1.42 33% 0.9 .30 15% .23 69% .16
Dec
8		 Lafayette F+ C+ D- F D- 46% 29% 25% C D- C F F+ B- C+ F C- C- D A+ F F 55% 13% 32% F+ F B+ A+ A B- A- F B-
1.03 62% 31% 29% -2 0 0.96 31% 0.8 .24 13% .30 63% .19 1.01 62% 14% 41% +2 +2 1.11 20% 0.5 .10 18% .22 77% .17
Dec
20		 Rutgers C- B- B+ F F 37% 28% 35% D+ F B A+ A+ D- A+ D+ A+ A- A F A+ B- 32% 34% 34% B- B- A+ A+ A+ F F A- F
1.01 63% 42% 7% -12 -1 0.77 36% 1.7 .61 20% .46 72% .33 1.02 44% 65% 18% -4 -2 0.90 21% 0.6 .13 9% .50 68% .34
Dec
28		 George Mason B+ B- A- A+ A+ 32% 28% 40% D+ A+ D+ F D- A- C F D D F F A+ D 48% 26% 26% C D F D F F F A+ B
1.15 61% 44% 48% +11 -1 1.21 24% 0.7 .16 12% .25 53% .13 1.21 75% 69% 8% +6 0 1.14 38% 1.1 .41 10% .45 50% .23
Dec
31		 NJIT C B+ A A+ A+ 23% 21% 56% F+ A D+ F F+ C- D+ F F+ B B+ C+ B C+ 32% 36% 32% A- B- D A+ B+ B A F B+
1.15 67% 45% 41% +10 -1 1.19 31% 0.8 .26 16% .32 58% .19 0.87 47% 37% 29% -6 -2 0.85 29% 0.5 .16 20% .21 83% .18
Jan
5		 Princeton C+ F A+ B+ F 52% 24% 24% C+ F+ A+ A A+ F B+ A+ A+ D- F+ F F F 53% 11% 36% F F A- B+ A- D F A+ D
1.14 33% 55% 36% -8 +1 0.87 43% 1.3 .57 20% .36 100% .36 1.17 64% 60% 41% +9 +2 1.26 21% 0.8 .18 15% .41 65% .27
Jan
10		 Brown B F A+ A+ A 31% 40% 29% F B+ B- F F+ A A+ C+ A+ F+ D B C- F+ 48% 19% 33% C- D- C+ F+ D+ F B B B+
1.20 40% 58% 50% +9 -3 1.15 34% 0.5 .19 13% .49 76% .37 1.08 62% 30% 33% 0 +1 1.04 27% 1.2 .33 16% .21 67% .14
Jan
17		 Dartmouth B- F C- A+ C+ 44% 20% 35% C C+ B- C B- A+ A+ F A+ B- A- F A- B+ 31% 11% 57% D B D B C- C- F C+ F
1.16 46% 36% 47% +1 0 1.06 32% 1.0 .32 7% .46 61% .28 1.02 47% 67% 29% -5 +1 0.94 27% 1.0 .27 18% .44 73% .32
Jan
19		 Harvard C- F+ A C C 40% 21% 38% D+ C- C F F C- A- B A B- F+ A+ B C 47% 10% 43% F C- C+ A- B C+ A A+ A+
1.01 47% 50% 33% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.5 .15 18% .33 76% .25 1.03 67% 20% 32% +1 +2 1.08 26% 0.8 .19 19% .16 50% .08
Jan
24		 Yale F F A D D 29% 24% 47% D D- D F+ D- D+ A- F C+ C C- A+ F+ B+ 56% 19% 25% D- B F A+ C+ A B- F C-
0.90 43% 50% 30% -4 -1 0.92 24% 0.9 .22 17% .32 61% .20 1.16 59% 22% 42% +1 +2 1.06 42% 0.9 .36 20% .30 88% .26
Jan
30		 Columbia D C- F A+ C- 32% 41% 27% F D D+ C+ C- B F F F C+ F A F F 48% 22% 30% B- F B A A- A A+ B+ A+
1.00 56% 22% 47% -2 -3 0.91 25% 1.0 .25 12% .19 55% .10 1.07 71% 27% 47% +9 +1 1.22 32% 0.8 .25 27% .12 67% .08
Jan
31		 Cornell B+ A+ C- A+ A+ 49% 17% 34% C+ A+ B- F F F A+ B- A+ B B+ C F C 35% 9% 56% C+ C A- A+ A+ F C- A+ B+
1.26 74% 38% 50% +16 +1 1.36 35% 0.6 .19 19% .52 73% .38 1.12 53% 40% 43% +6 +1 1.17 25% 0.8 .19 12% .30 58% .17
Feb
7		 Princeton D- C D- B C 37% 33% 30% F C- B F D B- C- D D+ C B- F A+ B+ 49% 17% 34% F+ B D+ A+ B F C A+ B
1.05 59% 33% 36% 0 -2 0.98 33% 0.8 .25 12% .29 67% .19 1.03 52% 50% 25% -5 +1 0.94 29% 0.7 .21 12% .31 63% .19
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
13		 Columbia C- F B+ A- C 37% 24% 39% D+ C C- C+ C C C- C- C- B+ D A+ B- C 52% 10% 38% F+ C- B B- B A+ C+ A+ A-
1.08 45% 46% 38% -1 -1 1.00 28% 1.0 .28 14% .30 72% .22 0.95 64% 20% 33% +1 +2 1.08 32% 0.9 .29 28% .26 54% .14
Feb
14		 Cornell D- D A+ F F 49% 21% 30% C F C F+ D+ B A+ D- A+ A B- F A A+ 55% 4% 41% F A- D+ C D+ B+ D- A+ B+
1.08 54% 55% 13% -8 +1 0.87 31% 0.9 .28 12% .61 66% .40 1.00 57% 50% 29% -3 +3 1.02 33% 1.1 .38 21% .35 48% .17
Feb
21		 Yale C- F F+ A+ C+ 39% 25% 35% C- C D+ F F+ B- C- C C- B+ C+ F A+ A+ 27% 29% 44% A+ A+ C C+ C+ C C C- C
1.05 45% 31% 50% +1 -1 1.04 26% 0.8 .20 14% .24 71% .17 1.11 57% 53% 22% -4 -2 0.90 32% 1.2 .37 15% .32 78% .25
Feb
27		 Dartmouth C B+ F B C+ 42% 20% 38% C- C+ B+ F D C+ A+ F A+ C D- B+ D D+ 38% 20% 42% C D+ A+ A+ A+ F F A+ C+
1.16 67% 20% 37% +2 0 1.06 35% 0.7 .23 12% .60 59% .36 1.03 63% 30% 38% +3 0 1.08 15% 0.8 .12 14% .42 56% .24
Feb
28		 Harvard F F F B+ F+ 52% 17% 31% B- D- D A C D+ F F F A+ C- C+ A+ A+ 42% 15% 42% D A B C+ B- A+ A- B A
0.89 44% 22% 38% -8 +1 0.88 26% 1.2 .31 18% .17 60% .10 0.85 59% 38% 23% -7 +1 0.90 24% 0.9 .21 27% .17 78% .13



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 19.1 19.1 2nd
3rd 36.7 44.2 80.9 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 36.7 63.3 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 0.0%
8-6 0.0%
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 63.3% 15.0% 15.0% 13.9 0.1 2.7 5.3 1.4 0.1 53.8
8-6 36.7% 13.4% 13.4% 14.6 0.2 1.9 2.8 0.1 31.7
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 14.5% 14.5% 0.0% 14.1 85.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 9.5% 100.0% 13.9 1.4 27.9 55.3 14.7 0.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 21.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 31.9%