South Dakota
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -6.9 281
Expected Predictive Rating -5.7 256
Pace 74.9 34
Improvement +0.2 176

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- #238 D+ C- C- B+ C+
Defense D+ #305 D F+ C- C+ F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 68 54% 271 +0.9 142
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 187 35% 261 -0.6 211
Three Pointers 37% 267 33% 234 -2.8 281
1st FG Attempt 0.97 254 -2.5 251
Second Chance 28.4% 238 0.99 236 0.28 247
Turnovers 17.4% 212
Freethrows 0.35 41 75% 80 0.27 30
Total Offense -2.5 238

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 54% 1 61% 272 -11.0 365
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 318 44% 347 +0.8 119
Three Pointers 30% 363 33% 150 +6.0 5
1st FG Attempt 1.10 310 -4.2 309
Second Chance 32.7% 275 1.24 361 0.40 347
Turnovers 16.3% 214
Freethrows 0.28 87 75% 308 0.21 131
Total Defense -4.4 305

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.4 139 +1.7 365
Shot Type Accuracy -2.8 280 +2.3 274
Possession Length 17.3 180 16.0 19
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 293 0.20 294
Improvement -2.0 #297 +2.2 #68

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 15% 32% 7%
.500 or above in Conference 63% 88% 50%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 2% 2%
First Round2% 2% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Denver (Away) - 34.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 412 - 513 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 203 Utah Tech L 79 - 81 OT 45% -2  21% 0 - 1 D+ -8 F -11 F D C- B- +4 C- A- B-
 Wed, Nov 5 61 @Creighton L 76 - 92 5% -12  4% 0 - 2 C- -4 C +1 C D D D+ -5 A F B+
 Wed, Nov 12 340 Southern Indiana W 89 - 74 77% +9  84% 1 - 2 C +0 D -4 D- B F C+ +2 B+ F C
 Sun, Nov 16 295 Western Michigan W 83 - 78 65% -3  17% 2 - 2 D+ -6 C +1 D+ C- A+ D -7 F F A-
 Thu, Nov 20 48 @Missouri L 68 - 102 4% -14  1% 2 - 3 F -20 D- -6 D+ A F F -12 F F A
 Sun, Nov 23 358 South Carolina St. W 82 - 81 85% +8  93% 3 - 3 F+ -17 C- -2 C D- F F -16 D- F D-
 Sat, Nov 29 349 Air Force W 80 - 63 71% +11  96% 4 - 3 C+ +4 C+ +2 C+ C F B- +3 A+ B- F+
 Wed, Dec 3 142 Portland St. L 71 - 77 31% -5  16% 4 - 4 D+ -8 D- -8 F A D- C +0 C- A- D
 Sat, Dec 6 175 @Northern Colorado L 87 - 89 OT 20% -2  19% 4 - 5 C +0 B- +4 B- C F D+ -4 F D+ B-
 Tue, Dec 9 106 @Wyoming L 79 - 106 10% -15  0% 4 - 6 F -20 C+ +2 C- A D F -20 F F D+
 Sat, Dec 13 336 Prairie View W 97 - 85 76% +9  82% 5 - 6 C- -2 B- +4 D+ C+ B D- -8 F F+ B
 Sat, Dec 20 101 @Kansas St. L 76 - 106 9% -22  1% 5 - 7 F -22 C- -2 D+ D B F -18 F F C
 Wed, Dec 31 146 @North Dakota St. L 61 - 84 16% -10  35% 5 - 8 0 - 1 F -19 D- -8 D- D F F -14 F+ F F+
 Wed, Jan 7 123 @St. Thomas L 86 - 99 13% -15  1% 5 - 9 0 - 2 D+ -8 B+ +8 A C- F+ F -15 F F D
 Sat, Jan 10 257 Denver W 82 - 72 56% +2  60% 6 - 9 1 - 2 C +2 D+ -4 B F C B +5 A D C+
 Thu, Jan 15 357 UMKC W 99 - 83 85% +17  96% 7 - 9 2 - 2 C- -2 A- +10 B A A- F -13 F C+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 288 @North Dakota L 80 - 96 41% -11  3% 7 - 10 2 - 3 F -20 C +0 B- F B- F -21 F F F
 Wed, Jan 21 249 @Nebraska Omaha W 68 - 64 31% -2  27% 8 - 10 3 - 3 C+ +2 F -11 C- F F A+ +13 A- C B
 Sat, Jan 24 123 St. Thomas L 78 - 90 27% -2  30% 8 - 11 3 - 4 D- -13 C+ +2 D+ C A+ F -14 D F C
 Thu, Jan 29 337 Oral Roberts W 77 - 69 76% +1  56% 9 - 11 4 - 4 D+ -6 D -6 F C A+ C -1 D A F+
 Sat, Jan 31 146 North Dakota St. L 84 - 89 OT 32% -7  4% 9 - 12 4 - 5 D+ -7 C+ +2 C+ C A D- -9 F D+ A-
 Wed, Feb 4 357 @UMKC W 82 - 75 OT 69% -2  26% 10 - 12 5 - 5 D+ -5 D- -7 F D- B C+ +1 F B B
 Sat, Feb 7 193 @South Dakota St. W 68 - 67 23% +3  67% 11 - 12 6 - 5 C+ +2 D- -7 C- F B- A- +9 B- A+ D
 Wed, Feb 11 288 North Dakota L 71 - 72 64% +1  52% 11 - 13 6 - 6 D- -11 F+ -8 F D B C- -3 C+ F D-
 Thu, Feb 19 257 @Denver L 83 - 87 34%
 Sat, Feb 21 337 @Oral Roberts W 78 - 77 55%
 Wed, Feb 25 249 Nebraska Omaha W 80 - 79 54%
 Sat, Feb 28 193 South Dakota St. L 78 - 80 44%
Totals 13 - 15 8 - 8 -7 C- -3 D+ C- C- D+ -4 D F+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D+ D+ C- D+ 43% 20% 37% C+ D+ C- C- C- C- B B B+ D+ D+ F+ C+ D+ 54% 16% 30% F D D+ F F+ C- B- D C+
1.05 54% 35% 33% -3 0 0.97 28% 1.0 .28 17% .35 75% .27 1.15 61% 44% 33% +2 +2 1.10 33% 1.2 .40 16% .28 75% .26
Nov
3		 Utah Tech F F+ C- F F 49% 24% 27% C- F C F+ D C- A+ B+ A+ B- C F A+ C+ 54% 8% 38% F C- C+ A+ A- B- B A+ B+
0.96 52% 36% 13% -12 0 0.78 32% 0.9 .27 17% .51 77% .39 0.98 61% 80% 26% 0 +3 1.08 28% 0.6 .16 18% .19 62% .12
Nov
5		 Creighton C C F C C- 54% 20% 25% A C A+ F D D B- D- C D+ C B- A+ A+ 48% 20% 32% D A F F F B+ A F B
1.04 56% 25% 33% -4 +1 0.97 46% 0.5 .22 18% .23 64% .15 1.26 63% 36% 22% -4 +1 0.96 54% 1.5 .83 18% .18 91% .17
Nov
12		 Southern Indiana D B- F F+ D- 61% 24% 14% C+ D- C+ B+ B F A+ A- A+ C+ B+ A+ A+ A 44% 19% 37% D- B+ B+ F F C F F F
1.06 63% 8% 29% -5 +1 0.94 34% 1.1 .37 21% .70 80% .56 0.88 43% 20% 21% -17 +1 0.69 22% 1.6 .34 18% .48 82% .39
Nov
16		 Western Michigan C F A C+ D+ 28% 15% 57% D+ D+ D B C- A+ B- F C- D F D A F 62% 15% 23% F F F F F A- A- F B
1.21 47% 50% 35% 0 0 1.02 27% 1.3 .34 4% .33 64% .21 1.13 69% 43% 27% +5 +2 1.17 41% 1.5 .59 22% .20 82% .17
Nov
20		 Missouri D- A- D- F+ D+ 23% 27% 50% D+ D+ B- A+ A F A F C F F+ F F F 68% 13% 19% F F F B- F A F F F
0.92 64% 31% 29% -4 -2 0.90 32% 1.3 .39 23% .37 57% .21 1.38 72% 50% 56% +17 +3 1.43 50% 1.1 .54 23% .53 80% .42
Nov
23		 South Carolina St. C- C C+ B- C 55% 15% 30% C+ C A+ F D- F A+ F B+ F B- C- D- C 59% 16% 25% F D- F F F D- C- F F
1.16 62% 43% 36% +3 +2 1.13 55% 0.7 .39 25% .53 64% .34 1.15 50% 38% 38% -3 +2 1.00 43% 1.2 .51 18% .33 84% .28
Nov
29		 Air Force C+ B+ A+ F C 45% 20% 35% B- C+ A+ F C F A+ C+ A+ B- B+ A+ A+ A+ 68% 7% 24% F A+ A+ F B- F+ F F F
1.16 68% 60% 24% +4 0 1.10 49% 0.6 .31 20% .46 72% .33 0.92 50% 0% 10% -17 +4 0.76 13% 1.5 .20 17% .62 74% .46
Dec
3		 Portland St. D- F D+ F F 62% 12% 26% A+ F B- A+ A D- A+ F+ A+ C C A+ D B- 75% 9% 15% F C- A- B+ A- D F C F
0.93 39% 33% 23% -17 +3 0.74 33% 1.3 .43 22% .57 68% .38 1.00 58% 0% 38% -3 +4 1.04 25% 0.8 .19 17% .41 69% .28
Dec
6		 Northern Colorado B- C A+ F B- 58% 23% 19% B- B- C C- C F A A+ A+ D+ F D- F F 47% 17% 36% D F A F D+ B- F A+ D-
1.14 58% 58% 20% +1 +1 1.06 27% 1.1 .30 17% .43 93% .39 1.17 72% 44% 42% +12 +1 1.28 21% 1.7 .34 18% .40 56% .22
Dec
9		 Wyoming C+ F B- A C 35% 29% 37% F C- C A+ A D A+ A- A+ F F+ F+ F F 59% 7% 34% F F C- F F D+ C D- C-
1.06 41% 43% 39% -2 -1 0.96 26% 1.4 .37 19% .55 76% .41 1.43 67% 50% 47% +13 +3 1.34 37% 1.4 .52 15% .33 81% .27
Dec
13		 Prairie View B- C- A+ F D 52% 19% 29% B- D+ B C- C+ B A+ B+ A+ D- C F B- D 67% 12% 22% F F F+ D F+ B A- B- A-
1.22 56% 56% 29% 0 +1 1.04 42% 1.0 .42 16% .66 77% .51 1.07 55% 57% 31% -1 +3 1.07 29% 1.1 .31 18% .28 72% .20
Dec
20		 Kansas St. C- C- F A+ D 49% 23% 28% B- D+ D- B- D B B- F D F F+ F F F 60% 3% 36% F F F+ F F C C+ D+ C
1.01 54% 0% 44% -7 0 0.89 27% 1.3 .33 16% .31 55% .17 1.40 71% 50% 48% +16 +4 1.41 41% 1.3 .52 16% .25 75% .19
Dec
31		 North Dakota St. D- F B+ A- D 25% 30% 45% F+ D- D+ F D F B+ A+ A F F F A+ F+ 40% 19% 40% F+ F+ F F F F+ D A- C
0.96 36% 46% 40% +1 -2 1.00 28% 0.7 .19 24% .31 87% .27 1.32 76% 70% 24% +7 0 1.17 41% 1.3 .52 13% .31 65% .20
Jan
7		 St. Thomas B+ C- B- A+ A 38% 20% 42% D+ A C D+ C- F+ B- A+ A F F C+ F F 54% 11% 36% D F C+ F F D C- D- D
1.17 58% 40% 48% +9 0 1.20 30% 1.1 .33 22% .30 94% .28 1.35 77% 33% 45% +15 +2 1.38 19% 1.8 .33 12% .33 76% .25
Jan
10		 Denver D+ B- C A B 49% 15% 36% B- B F F F C B B- B B A F A+ A+ 35% 25% 40% D+ A C F D C+ A F B+
1.17 65% 38% 42% +8 +1 1.21 22% 0.4 .09 13% .36 73% .26 1.02 45% 57% 22% -7 -1 0.86 29% 1.4 .39 16% .22 85% .19
Jan
15		 UMKC A- F+ A+ A+ B 46% 13% 41% B B C+ A+ A A- A+ A+ A+ F D B- D F+ 48% 20% 33% F F C- B C+ F C A+ B
1.30 52% 57% 45% +7 +2 1.19 38% 1.3 .50 13% .38 84% .32 1.09 62% 33% 35% +2 +1 1.07 29% 0.8 .22 10% .26 56% .15
Jan
17		 North Dakota C C+ F A+ B- 44% 10% 46% B- B- F F F B- B A+ A F F C C F 52% 18% 30% D+ F F F F F A+ A+ A+
1.15 62% 20% 45% +8 +2 1.21 23% 0.7 .17 19% .42 83% .35 1.37 66% 36% 33% +3 +1 1.11 38% 1.8 .71 9% .11 57% .06
Jan
21		 Nebraska Omaha F A- F C C 30% 17% 52% D+ C- F A+ F F A- C+ A- A+ F C- A+ A 46% 20% 34% D A- C+ C- C B F A+ C-
0.94 71% 25% 33% +1 0 1.04 11% 1.3 .14 24% .38 76% .29 0.89 70% 40% 6% -9 +1 0.86 24% 1.1 .27 19% .38 59% .22
Jan
24		 St. Thomas C+ C F D D 46% 17% 37% C+ D+ F A+ C A+ A+ B+ A+ F D F D- D- 45% 8% 47% D+ D F D+ F C F F+ F
1.12 60% 22% 30% -4 +1 0.96 20% 1.7 .34 10% .38 79% .30 1.30 68% 50% 39% +9 +2 1.24 36% 1.0 .36 14% .44 77% .34
Jan
29		 Oral Roberts D F+ F F F 67% 8% 25% A F D- A+ C A+ A+ D A+ C A F F+ D 53% 24% 24% C D B A+ A F+ B+ B+ B+
1.09 47% 25% 25% -12 +4 0.85 26% 1.5 .38 7% .56 68% .38 0.97 41% 62% 38% -2 +1 1.00 23% 0.6 .13 14% .25 67% .16
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 North Dakota St. C+ B A+ C- C 35% 13% 52% B- C+ F A+ C A A+ A+ A+ D- C- D F F 50% 13% 38% F F C+ D- D+ A- A F B
1.13 67% 57% 33% +5 +1 1.13 19% 1.3 .26 15% .36 87% .32 1.20 61% 43% 48% +10 +2 1.25 31% 1.1 .34 20% .19 82% .15
Feb
4		 UMKC D- D F F F 44% 15% 41% B- F F A D- B A+ A+ A+ C+ F A C- F 47% 32% 21% D+ F A+ D- B B B+ C- B
1.02 54% 13% 27% -10 +1 0.85 23% 1.3 .29 15% .51 80% .41 0.93 70% 28% 33% +2 -1 1.05 18% 1.0 .18 22% .21 69% .14
Feb
7		 South Dakota St. D- D- C B C 30% 19% 51% C- C- F D+ F B- F F F A- A D+ F C+ 40% 35% 25% A+ B- A+ C A+ D A F B+
0.98 50% 40% 37% 0 0 1.02 16% 1.0 .16 14% .22 62% .13 0.96 45% 42% 43% 0 -2 0.98 12% 1.0 .12 14% .18 82% .15
Feb
11		 North Dakota F+ A D- F F 54% 6% 40% A- F C- D D B F+ B+ D C- A F A- B+ 71% 8% 21% F C+ F D- F D- B+ C+ B
1.06 74% 33% 10% -6 +3 0.96 32% 1.0 .32 18% .31 76% .24 1.08 43% 75% 27% -10 +4 0.90 36% 1.2 .42 12% .27 69% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 1.7 3.0 4.7 3rd
4th 0.6 15.8 18.4 2.8 37.6 4th
5th 0.0 7.9 17.3 1.4 26.7 5th
6th 1.5 14.9 2.9 19.3 6th
7th 7.1 4.7 11.8 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 8.7 28.1 36.0 21.4 5.9 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 5.9% 2.9% 2.9% 15.2 0.1 0.0 5.7
9-7 21.4% 3.3% 3.3% 15.8 0.1 0.6 20.7
8-8 36.0% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.9 35.1
7-9 28.1% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.7 27.4
6-10 8.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 8.5
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 15.9 97.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.7%
Lose Out 6.9%