Youngstown St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -3.4 217
Results Rating -5.6 251
Consistency 0.16 239
Pace 68.3 183
Improvement -2.2 263

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 251 C C- D D B-
Defense C 195 D+ C B- D+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 267 C+ 60% 119 -0.9 214
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 323 D+ 35% 260 -3.4 333
Three Pointers 52% 15 C- 33% 239 +4.5 40
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.8 76 C- -0.7 194
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 163
Second Chance C- 28.7% 230 C 1.02 188 C- 0.29 220
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.6% 292
Other Turnovers D 8.4% 312
Turnovers D 19.0% 319
Freethrows D 0.26 320 C- 71% 228 D 0.19 312
Total Offense C- -2.9 251

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D 40% 301 B 8.4% 47
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 20% 250 F+ 8.6% 338
Three Pointers B- 87% 116 F 2.3% 361
Total C+ 57% 149 C+ 5.3% 147


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 76 D 63% 306 +4.4 326
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 131 B 35% 66 -0.2 170
Three Pointers 35% 332 D+ 36% 267 -2.0 97
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 191 D+ +2.1 267
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 253
Second Chance C- 31.0% 218 C+ 0.99 115 C 0.31 166
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.1% 132
Other Turnovers B- 8.1% 81
Turnovers B- 18.2% 88
Freethrows D+ 0.33 274 D+ 74% 296 D+ 0.25 290
Total Defense C -0.5 195

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 45% 100 C- 10.0% 212
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 104 B- 7.0% 64
Three Pointers C 83% 154 D+ 0.5% 268
Total B- 51% 89 C+ 6.0% 146

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.3 278 16.6 58
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 173 0.23 342
Consistency 0.16 361 0.12 160
Improvement -1.6 267 -0.7 221

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 224 221 217
Results Rating Rank 252 249 245
Conference Record 8 - 12 8 - 12 8 - 12
Conference Finish 8 8 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 21 - 2
Quad 32 - 83 - 10
Quad 49 - 712 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 95 @Pittsburgh L 59 - 74 13% -3  35% 0 - 1 D+ -6 F+ -8 C F C- C+ +1 B F A+
 Fri, Nov 7 62 @Grand Canyon W 90 - 81 8% +3  65% 1 - 1 A +21 A+ +21 A A+ A C -0 B F C+
 Sat, Nov 15 138 @St. Bonaventure L 80 - 84 23% -1  26% 1 - 2 C +0 B- +4 C- A+ D+ D+ -4 F C A
 Wed, Nov 19 150 @Toledo L 75 - 92 25% -8  6% 1 - 3 D- -14 D -6 B- B- F D- -7 F C+ B
 Sun, Nov 23 297 UNC Greensboro L 62 - 68 68% +9  93% 1 - 4 D- -14 F -23 F F F A +9 C B+ A+
 Mon, Nov 24 257 Georgia Southern W 67 - 61 58% +4  83% 2 - 4 C +1 F -11 C- B F A+ +12 B+ A+ A-
 Fri, Nov 28 348 Chicago St. W 87 - 64 88% +21  97% 3 - 4 B- +7 C+ +3 A F+ C+ B +4 B B- C+
 Wed, Dec 3 157 Wright St. W 69 - 68 47% +0  46% 4 - 4 1 - 0 C- -2 F+ -8 D A+ F B+ +7 D+ A- B
 Sat, Dec 6 327 @IU Indianapolis W 78 - 55 67% +13  96% 5 - 4 2 - 0 A- +15 C +1 B C F A+ +16 A+ A B-
 Wed, Dec 17 155 @Robert Morris L 77 - 80 OT 26% +3  76% 5 - 5 2 - 1 C +0 B +6 A+ A F D -6 C- C+ D-
 Sat, Dec 20 307 South Carolina Upstate W 74 - 65 79% +8  97% 6 - 5 C- -3 D -5 B- F D- B- +2 A- C- B-
 Mon, Dec 29 229 Detroit Mercy L 68 - 73 63% -7  20% 6 - 6 2 - 2 D- -12 F -12 F F+ B+ C -0 D- A A-
 Thu, Jan 1 171 Oakland L 83 - 85 52% +4  70% 6 - 7 2 - 3 D+ -6 B +7 D- A A F -13 F C- C-
 Sun, Jan 4 183 @Northern Kentucky L 79 - 94 32% -15  1% 6 - 8 2 - 4 D- -14 D+ -4 F D- A+ D- -8 F F+ C+
 Wed, Jan 7 258 Purdue Fort Wayne L 69 - 71 69% -0  36% 6 - 9 2 - 5 D -10 D- -7 F A+ F D+ -4 D+ C+ B-
 Thu, Jan 15 157 @Wright St. L 83 - 93 26% -5  6% 6 - 10 2 - 6 D+ -7 A +13 C A+ B- F -21 C- F F
 Sat, Jan 17 322 @Cleveland St. L 78 - 80 64% -1  33% 6 - 11 2 - 7 D -9 D -5 F+ F B D+ -4 F C- A-
 Thu, Jan 22 210 Green Bay W 88 - 81 59% +8  93% 7 - 11 3 - 7 C +1 A +12 A+ A- D+ F -10 F B B
 Sat, Jan 24 274 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 64 - 65 71% +1  47% 7 - 12 3 - 8 D -10 F -15 F+ F F B +5 C C+ C+
 Fri, Jan 30 327 IU Indianapolis W 85 - 76 84% -1  28% 8 - 12 4 - 8 C- -5 D+ -3 A- F F C- -2 C F B
 Wed, Feb 4 258 @Purdue Fort Wayne W 90 - 61 46% +15  95% 9 - 12 5 - 8 A+ +27 A+ +23 A+ C C A- +7 D+ A+ C-
 Sat, Feb 7 155 Robert Morris L 66 - 72 47% -2  30% 9 - 13 5 - 9 D -9 D -6 B- D- D D+ -4 B- F B
 Thu, Feb 12 171 @Oakland W 86 - 82 30% +3  76% 10 - 13 6 - 9 B- +6 B+ +8 B- C+ D- C- -2 F B- A-
 Sun, Feb 15 229 @Detroit Mercy L 70 - 76 40% -8  0% 10 - 14 6 - 10 D+ -7 F+ -9 D+ F D- B- +2 C+ B+ F
 Wed, Feb 18 322 Cleveland St. W 106 - 82 82% +14  98% 11 - 14 7 - 10 B +11 A+ +19 A+ A C- D- -8 F+ B+ F
 Sun, Feb 22 183 Northern Kentucky W 64 - 58 55% +10  99% 12 - 14 8 - 10 C +1 F -17 D- F F A+ +18 A+ D+ A+
 Wed, Feb 25 274 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 65 - 78 49% -6  0% 12 - 15 8 - 11 F+ -16 F -12 D F D- D+ -5 F A+ C+
 Sat, Feb 28 210 @Green Bay L 63 - 85 36% -10  1% 12 - 16 8 - 12 F -22 F -11 F F A+ F -12 F F F
 Wed, Mar 4 155 @Robert Morris L 53 - 68 26% -4  26% 12 - 17 D- -12 F -15 F C+ D+ C+ +1 D D+ A+
Totals 12 - 17 8 - 12 -3 C- -3 F C- B- C -1 C- C- D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C+ D+ C- C- 36% 24% 52% B- C C- C C- D D C- D C D B D+ D+ 43% 22% 35% C D+ C- C+ C B- D+ D+ D+
1.05 60% 35% 33% -1 +1 1.02 29% 1.0 .29 19% .26 71% .19 1.09 63% 35% 36% +2 0 1.07 31% 1.0 .31 18% .33 74% .19
Nov
3		 Pittsburgh F+ A+ F C- C 29% 8% 63% B- C D F F C- F F F C+ C+ A+ C- B+ 45% 21% 33% C B F D+ F A+ F F F
0.90 71% 0% 32% -1 +1 1.02 22% 0.5 .11 18% .17 56% .09 1.13 58% 22% 36% -3 0 0.98 52% 1.1 .55 27% .57 81% .46
Nov
7		 Grand Canyon A+ C C+ A A 42% 10% 48% A+ A C+ A+ A+ A A+ A A+ C F A+ A+ B 53% 28% 19% C+ B F D+ F C+ D A C
1.24 55% 40% 39% +3 +2 1.10 26% 1.6 .42 12% .47 80% .38 1.12 79% 20% 0% -4 0 0.94 44% 1.1 .50 18% .37 68% .25
Nov
15		 St. Bonaventure B- B+ F D- D+ 40% 8% 52% A- C- B- A+ A+ D+ B F C D+ F F+ F F 49% 26% 26% D F D+ B C A F A- F+
1.14 65% 25% 31% -1 +2 1.04 31% 1.8 .56 19% .32 67% .21 1.20 70% 50% 50% +15 0 1.32 38% 0.9 .35 21% .36 70% .25
Nov
19		 Toledo D D+ D A C+ 38% 6% 56% B B- C- A B- F C- D D+ D- F A+ F F+ 56% 19% 26% F F F A C+ B F F F
1.01 56% 33% 41% +4 +2 1.15 32% 1.2 .39 30% .23 67% .15 1.23 77% 10% 43% +9 +1 1.22 36% 0.8 .29 17% .42 85% .36
Nov
23		 UNC Greensboro F D D+ F F 23% 30% 47% F F D- F F F F C F+ A F D+ A+ D 22% 45% 33% A+ C B- A+ B+ A+ D C+ D+
0.86 54% 35% 30% -5 -2 0.88 24% 0.6 .14 18% .19 73% .13 0.94 82% 41% 25% +2 -4 0.98 24% 0.8 .19 24% .40 68% .27
Nov
24		 Georgia Southern F D+ A+ C- D+ 39% 10% 51% C+ C- C B+ B F C D C- A+ B F A+ B+ 41% 12% 47% C- B+ B- A+ A+ A- B+ F C
0.99 56% 50% 33% 0 +1 1.05 35% 1.2 .42 28% .37 72% .27 0.90 50% 67% 22% -8 +1 0.88 24% 0.6 .14 19% .27 87% .24
Nov
28		 Chicago St. C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 24% 7% 69% C- A F A- F+ C+ F D- F B D+ B+ A- C+ 27% 51% 22% A+ B D A B- C+ D+ F D-
1.24 77% 75% 42% +16 +1 1.35 23% 1.3 .29 18% .24 71% .17 0.91 57% 31% 27% -6 -5 0.80 32% 0.8 .24 17% .29 82% .24
Dec
3		 Wright St. F+ C- F+ F F+ 52% 14% 34% A- D A+ A- A+ F A F C+ B+ D+ F A+ C- 56% 19% 26% F D+ A+ F A- B F A+ D
1.00 57% 33% 27% -5 +2 0.95 44% 1.2 .53 25% .39 60% .23 0.99 63% 63% 18% +1 +1 1.07 17% 1.6 .27 19% .50 54% .27
Dec
6		 IU Indianapolis C B+ D A B 50% 13% 37% C+ B A- F C F D F F A+ C- A- A+ A+ 33% 28% 39% B A+ D+ A+ A B- F B- F
1.17 70% 33% 41% +9 +2 1.24 45% 0.9 .41 24% .35 61% .22 0.82 60% 31% 17% -12 -1 0.76 30% 0.5 .16 18% .35 68% .24
Dec
17		 Robert Morris B A+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 5% 59% B+ A+ A- A- A F A+ C+ A+ D A+ F+ F C 46% 21% 33% D C- F A+ C+ D- F F F
1.15 77% 100% 45% +20 +2 1.46 37% 1.1 .42 33% .49 77% .38 1.19 42% 45% 47% 0 0 1.04 50% 0.8 .38 15% .37 76% .28
Dec
20		 South Carolina Upstate D B- F+ B+ B 39% 15% 46% C B- D+ F F D- A+ D+ A+ B- C+ A+ A- B+ 36% 34% 30% A A- A- F C- B- F F+ F
1.04 61% 29% 38% +3 +1 1.09 28% 0.6 .17 18% .50 69% .35 0.92 53% 25% 29% -9 -2 0.81 23% 1.3 .29 20% .44 76% .33
Dec
29		 Detroit Mercy F C F F+ F 22% 13% 65% D F C+ F F+ B+ C- D+ D+ C C+ D+ F F 24% 42% 33% A- D- D+ A+ A A- F A- F
0.98 58% 14% 29% -8 0 0.85 33% 0.7 .24 11% .32 70% .23 1.05 55% 42% 47% +7 -4 1.09 33% 0.5 .17 20% .45 72% .32
Jan
1		 Oakland B A+ F D- F+ 31% 12% 58% B- D- A- A A A A B- A F F A+ F F 41% 24% 34% B- F B- F+ C- C- F C+ F
1.26 75% 0% 30% -3 +1 0.98 42% 1.2 .49 11% .34 75% .25 1.29 76% 20% 50% +11 0 1.24 28% 1.3 .36 14% .60 74% .44
Jan
4		 Northern Kentucky D+ F D D- F 35% 15% 50% C F F+ C D- A+ C F D- D- B D F F 54% 10% 37% F F C F F+ C+ F F F
1.01 48% 33% 30% -7 0 0.88 25% 1.2 .29 13% .34 57% .19 1.20 54% 40% 47% +5 +3 1.17 30% 1.3 .40 18% .50 78% .39
Jan
7		 Purdue Fort Wayne D- F F F F 44% 6% 50% B+ F B+ A+ A+ F C B C+ D+ B- A F D- 28% 23% 49% A D+ D A C+ B- F F F
1.04 48% 0% 25% -14 +2 0.79 41% 1.5 .62 24% .28 79% .22 1.07 54% 27% 43% +3 -1 1.06 26% 0.8 .20 17% .40 77% .31
Jan
15		 Wright St. A F A+ B C- 39% 10% 51% B C B+ A+ A+ B- D- B+ D+ F F A+ F D- 46% 42% 12% A+ C- F F F F F F F
1.27 47% 60% 36% 0 +1 1.04 36% 1.6 .58 15% .25 79% .20 1.42 74% 24% 50% +4 -2 1.06 52% 1.3 .69 11% .48 86% .41
Jan
17		 Cleveland St. D A+ A+ F F 29% 7% 64% B- F+ A- F F B D- A+ C- D+ D+ B- F F 44% 9% 47% F F A- F C- A- F C- F
1.13 81% 100% 22% 0 +1 1.04 44% 0.5 .20 13% .27 88% .23 1.16 60% 33% 50% +12 +2 1.29 18% 1.5 .27 22% .72 77% .55
Jan
22		 Green Bay A C+ A+ A A+ 18% 11% 71% C A+ B A- A- D+ B+ A A F D- D F F 53% 18% 29% D F D- A+ B B C F D
1.33 63% 80% 41% +13 0 1.27 34% 1.3 .45 15% .39 82% .32 1.22 65% 44% 43% +9 +1 1.22 28% 0.7 .20 18% .35 84% .29
Jan
24		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee F D- A F F 47% 4% 49% A- F+ B- F F F B+ C+ B+ B B F A- B 56% 8% 36% F C A- F+ C+ C+ C- C- C-
0.95 52% 50% 27% -7 +3 0.93 32% 0.6 .21 24% .39 75% .29 0.96 50% 50% 28% -7 +3 0.94 26% 1.2 .31 16% .28 69% .19
Jan
30		 IU Indianapolis D+ A A+ B+ A 35% 7% 58% C A- D- F F F A+ A+ A+ C- C+ A+ F C 39% 24% 37% C- C C+ F F B C+ F D+
1.16 73% 67% 40% +13 +2 1.30 29% 0.9 .25 23% .52 86% .44 1.04 57% 23% 40% -1 0 1.00 26% 1.7 .43 19% .17 90% .15
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 Purdue Fort Wayne A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 4% 53% B+ A+ F A+ C C F F F A- F D+ B+ D 45% 20% 35% C+ D+ A+ A+ A+ C- B+ D B-
1.42 76% 50% 58% +27 +2 1.61 21% 1.8 .37 19% .12 67% .08 0.96 68% 40% 29% +3 0 1.08 10% 0.0 .00 14% .20 73% .15
Feb
7		 Robert Morris D A+ F F C+ 50% 6% 44% A B- D- D- D- D F C- F D+ D+ A B B 38% 23% 40% C B- F+ F F B A+ F B+
1.02 72% 0% 27% 0 +3 1.08 23% 0.9 .20 19% .15 75% .11 1.12 61% 27% 32% -3 0 0.96 42% 1.5 .65 20% .14 86% .12
Feb
12		 Oakland B+ A+ A+ C- B- 25% 13% 62% C B- A- D- C+ D- A- A+ A+ C- C- F F F 33% 19% 48% B- F A- F+ B- A- B+ A A-
1.23 77% 57% 33% +7 0 1.15 42% 0.9 .36 19% .32 100% .32 1.17 59% 70% 40% +11 0 1.23 24% 1.3 .31 19% .26 67% .18
Feb
15		 Detroit Mercy F+ B- B- F D- 54% 9% 37% A- D+ F B- F D- F D F B- C+ A+ F B- 44% 33% 22% F+ C+ A- C+ B+ F F+ C D-
0.98 62% 40% 20% -5 +3 0.96 17% 1.2 .20 17% .27 69% .18 1.06 54% 28% 42% -3 -1 0.94 25% 0.9 .22 10% .34 77% .26
Feb
18		 Cleveland St. A+ B F A+ A+ 48% 9% 43% A- A+ D+ A+ A C- A+ C A+ D- F F C F+ 16% 9% 75% C F+ C+ A+ B+ F A+ B- A+
1.51 68% 25% 65% +24 +2 1.54 33% 1.6 .54 16% .57 76% .44 1.17 89% 60% 35% +8 0 1.18 23% 0.8 .18 11% .18 73% .13
Feb
22		 Northern Kentucky F A- F F F+ 41% 16% 43% C+ D- F+ F F F A+ D- A A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 43% 6% 51% F+ A+ F B+ D+ A+ D+ A+ B
0.87 67% 14% 26% -5 +1 0.93 25% 0.9 .22 24% .46 65% .30 0.78 32% 33% 23% -20 +2 0.67 37% 0.9 .35 24% .32 56% .18
Feb
25		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee F A+ F F D- 37% 8% 55% B- D F F+ F D- F B F D+ D+ F F F 42% 17% 40% F+ F A+ A+ A+ C+ B- F C-
0.95 74% 25% 25% -3 +2 1.00 21% 1.0 .21 19% .16 78% .13 1.14 59% 56% 43% +9 +1 1.21 18% 0.8 .14 16% .24 79% .19
Feb
28		 Green Bay F F D D- F 48% 16% 36% B+ F F D- F A+ F F F F F F B+ F+ 65% 15% 19% F F B- F F F A F B
0.96 48% 33% 30% -8 +1 0.89 13% 1.0 .13 5% .24 60% .14 1.30 68% 50% 30% +7 +3 1.21 21% 1.8 .38 9% .27 88% .24
Mar
4		 Robert Morris F D F F F 46% 4% 50% A F D+ A C+ D+ F B- F+ C+ D- A+ F D 37% 22% 41% C D D C+ D+ A+ D A C
0.85 52% 0% 13% -20 +3 0.67 26% 1.2 .31 18% .27 79% .21 1.09 65% 20% 42% +4 0 1.09 39% 1.1 .42 24% .27 62% .17



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%