Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -9.0 308
Results Rating -10.1 322
Consistency 0.13 87
Pace 68.4 182
Improvement -5.0 340

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F+ 353 D D+ F C+ C
Defense C 181 D+ D+ B D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 156 D+ 54% 291 -1.3 230
2 Pt. Jumpers 45% 99 D- 32% 343 -0.8 223
Three Pointers 38% 231 D 31% 300 -3.0 279
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.2 212 D- -4.8 331
1st FG Attempt D 0.92 331
Second Chance D+ 27.8% 253 C- 0.99 249 D+ 0.27 266
Opponents' Steals F+ 11.8% 350
Other Turnovers F+ 9.2% 345
Turnovers F 21.0% 356
Freethrows C+ 0.31 153 C 72% 187 C+ 0.23 150
Total Offense F+ -8.8 353

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 201 F 16.7% 361
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 21% 231 D- 7.8% 326
Three Pointers F+ 74% 346 C+ 0.7% 143
Total D+ 50% 292 F 8.6% 364


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 74 D+ 61% 272 +3.9 310
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 311 B- 36% 97 -2.0 36
Three Pointers 41% 186 C- 35% 231 +0.6 211
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 330 C- +1.6 245
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 262
Second Chance D 33.7% 312 C- 1.06 237 D+ 0.36 293
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.5% 107
Other Turnovers A- 9.0% 22
Turnovers B 19.5% 38
Freethrows D+ 0.33 280 C- 73% 240 D+ 0.25 283
Total Defense C -0.3 181

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 56% 326 D 7.5% 315
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 229 C- 4.1% 216
Three Pointers B- 81% 101 B- 1.4% 72
Total D+ 60% 284 D+ 4.5% 264

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.3 161 17.3 178
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 124 0.21 312
Consistency 0.12 193 0.10 35
Improvement -6.5 361 +1.5 107

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 318 310 299
Results Rating Rank 325 321 310
Conference Record 6 - 12 6 - 12 7 - 11
Conference Finish 11 11 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Alabama St. (Away) - 41.1% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 49 - 1310 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 10 @Iowa St. L 62 - 102 1% -16  1% 0 - 1 F+ -17 D -5 C D- D F+ -9 D D- B-
 Sun, Nov 9 182 @Howard W 73 - 70 17% +1  52% 1 - 1 C+ +4 B+ +7 B+ A F C- -3 F F A+
 Thu, Nov 13 225 Southern Miss W 75 - 70 41% +6  84% 2 - 1 C- -2 C- -1 A D- F C -1 A+ F D-
 Tue, Nov 18 238 @San Diego L 68 - 78 23% -7  1% 2 - 2 D -11 F -13 F C- D B- +2 B- A+ A-
 Fri, Nov 21 134 @California Baptist L 59 - 72 10% -13  1% 2 - 3 D -8 D -6 C F F C- -3 F C+ A+
 Mon, Nov 24 276 @UC Riverside L 74 - 83 29% +1  53% 2 - 4 D- -12 C- -0 F+ C- A- F -12 F D B-
 Tue, Dec 2 184 @Tulane L 63 - 65 17% -0  32% 2 - 5 C -1 D+ -3 D+ A- F C+ +2 B D+ F+
 Mon, Dec 8 225 @Southern Miss L 60 - 68 21% +1  64% 2 - 6 D -9 F -12 D+ F F B- +3 D C A+
 Thu, Dec 18 313 Norfolk St. W 80 - 68 51% +14  99% 3 - 6 C+ +3 D+ -4 C+ F A B+ +6 A- D C-
 Fri, Dec 19 263 Hampton W 81 - 72 38% +7  95% 4 - 6 C+ +3 B+ +8 B A+ F D+ -5 F A+ A
 Tue, Dec 23 28 @Ohio St. L 63 - 89 1% -13  1% 4 - 7 D+ -8 D+ -3 D- B+ F D -6 F A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 323 Prairie View W 76 - 72 67% +4  92% 5 - 7 1 - 0 D -10 F+ -10 C- D F C +0 C D- A+
 Mon, Jan 5 299 Texas Southern W 84 - 67 59% +9  87% 6 - 7 2 - 0 B- +6 C+ +3 B+ A- D+ B- +2 A+ F A
 Sat, Jan 10 237 @Bethune-Cookman L 65 - 74 23% -8  11% 6 - 8 2 - 1 D -10 F -13 D+ F F B +4 C+ F+ A
 Mon, Jan 12 319 @Florida A&M L 84 - 91 41% -3  24% 6 - 9 2 - 2 D- -14 B- +5 C- A- B- F -19 F F B
 Sat, Jan 17 278 Southern L 53 - 71 52% -11  0% 6 - 10 2 - 3 F -27 F -26 F C- F C -1 D- A+ B
 Sat, Jan 31 345 @Jackson St. W 69 - 66 53% +3  73% 7 - 10 3 - 3 D+ -7 D- -8 D F D C+ +1 C C C-
 Mon, Feb 2 351 @Alcorn St. W 74 - 50 56% +13  96% 8 - 10 4 - 3 B+ +13 C+ +2 D+ B+ D- A+ +14 A+ C+ F
 Wed, Feb 4 332 Arkansas Pine Bluff L 64 - 67 70% -4  4% 8 - 11 4 - 4 F+ -18 F -17 F D D C -0 B F C+
 Sat, Feb 7 316 Alabama St. W 57 - 47 63% +3  62% 9 - 11 5 - 4 C- -2 F -17 F F D+ A+ +15 A+ B+ C
 Mon, Feb 9 302 Alabama A&M L 58 - 66 60% -10  0% 9 - 12 5 - 5 F -20 F -21 F C- D- C+ +1 C- C A
 Sat, Feb 14 299 @Texas Southern L 79 - 82 36% -2  29% 9 - 13 5 - 6 D -8 C +1 B F D- F+ -9 F F A-
 Mon, Feb 16 323 @Prairie View L 63 - 68 44% -3  29% 9 - 14 5 - 7 D- -13 F -16 F A F B- +3 B+ F D+
 Sat, Feb 21 278 @Southern L 73 - 87 29% -17  1% 9 - 15 5 - 8 F+ -17 D- -8 F B+ D+ F+ -9 F D A+
 Mon, Feb 23 365 Mississippi Valley W 83 - 62 93% +9  95% 10 - 15 6 - 8 C- -4 F -11 C- D+ F B +4 C- A B+
 Thu, Feb 26 237 Bethune-Cookman L 71 - 76 43% +2  53% 10 - 16 6 - 9 D- -12 F -12 D D F C -0 C+ F A+
 Sat, Feb 28 319 Florida A&M L 59 - 66 64% -7  0% 10 - 17 6 - 10 F -20 F -18 F D D+ C- -2 D+ F B+
 Tue, Mar 3 302 @Alabama A&M L 63 - 77 37% -9  21% 10 - 18 6 - 11 F -20 F+ -10 F A+ F F -11 F D+ D
 Thu, Mar 5 316 @Alabama St. L 69 - 72 41%
Totals 10 - 19 6 - 12 -9 F+ -9 D- D- C C +0 D C C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F+ D+ D- D D- 39% 45% 38% C D D+ C- D+ F C+ C C+ C D+ B- C- C- 43% 16% 41% D D+ D C- D+ B D+ C- D+
0.96 54% 32% 31% -5 0 0.92 28% 1.0 .27 21% .31 72% .23 1.09 61% 36% 35% +2 +1 1.07 34% 1.1 .36 19% .33 73% .23
Nov
6		 Iowa St. D C D D C 42% 36% 22% C- C F B+ D- D A+ C A+ F+ C F F D 42% 9% 49% D- D F+ C D- B- F A- F+
0.83 58% 31% 30% -4 -2 0.91 16% 1.2 .19 25% .41 70% .29 1.36 64% 60% 42% +10 +2 1.26 44% 1.1 .47 16% .46 62% .29
Nov
9		 Howard B+ C- F A+ B+ 48% 10% 43% B B+ B A+ A F A- C- B+ C- B- F F F 50% 18% 33% D+ F F D- F A+ C- F D-
1.13 55% 0% 44% +2 +2 1.10 37% 1.4 .52 26% .40 68% .27 1.08 50% 57% 54% +9 +1 1.23 43% 1.2 .52 29% .35 81% .28
Nov
13		 Southern Miss C- B- A+ A A 54% 6% 40% A+ A F+ C- D- F D- A- D+ C A+ A- A+ A+ 57% 14% 29% F A+ F F F D- F A+ D-
1.08 62% 67% 42% +8 +3 1.25 21% 1.0 .21 24% .30 75% .23 1.00 43% 29% 14% -19 +2 0.69 44% 1.2 .54 16% .49 62% .31
Nov
18		 San Diego F F+ F+ F F 45% 32% 23% D- F B F+ C- D A+ F A- B- F A+ C+ B- 22% 18% 60% C+ B- D+ A+ A+ A- F F F
0.92 52% 33% 18% -10 -1 0.81 38% 0.9 .33 20% .53 58% .31 1.05 90% 0% 33% 0 -1 1.00 30% 0.4 .12 22% .55 97% .53
Nov
21		 California Baptist D B+ B F C 40% 18% 43% B- C F F F F A+ A+ A+ C- F F F+ F 61% 7% 32% F F B- C C+ A+ F+ C+ D-
0.91 63% 43% 24% -4 +1 0.95 17% 0.0 .00 22% .46 91% .42 1.12 68% 67% 38% +10 +3 1.29 35% 0.9 .30 28% .37 71% .26
Nov
24		 UC Riverside C- F A+ D+ F+ 41% 27% 33% D F+ F+ A+ C- A- A+ C- A+ F F B- F F 50% 20% 30% D F B F D B- F D F
1.07 40% 54% 31% -5 -1 0.92 23% 1.3 .29 12% .54 70% .38 1.20 73% 33% 46% +12 +1 1.27 24% 1.2 .28 20% .56 77% .43
Dec
2		 Tulane D+ A+ B F D+ 26% 17% 57% C- D+ C- A+ A- F A+ C- A C+ B A+ C B+ 38% 22% 40% B- B F A+ D+ F+ C- C C-
1.02 73% 43% 25% -3 0 0.95 32% 1.3 .43 24% .43 70% .30 1.05 53% 20% 33% -6 0 0.89 31% 0.9 .29 11% .38 76% .29
Dec
8		 Southern Miss F D- F A+ D+ 49% 22% 29% C+ D+ A+ F F F A+ F A B- F D A+ D 45% 26% 30% D- D D B+ C A+ A D- A-
0.87 50% 0% 58% -2 +1 1.00 42% 0.4 .16 31% .52 60% .31 0.99 76% 42% 14% 0 0 1.02 34% 0.9 .31 25% .27 79% .21
Dec
18		 Norfolk St. D+ A F A B- 41% 19% 41% D+ C+ F C- F A D+ A- C B+ C- A+ A+ A 46% 26% 28% D A- D- C D C- F+ A+ B+
1.08 73% 10% 41% +5 0 1.13 7% 1.0 .07 12% .34 77% .26 0.92 57% 23% 21% -10 0 0.82 34% 1.0 .34 18% .41 44% .18
Dec
19		 Hampton B+ A- A+ F B- 61% 15% 24% A B B+ A+ A+ F A+ A A+ D+ F B F F 39% 28% 33% C F F A+ A+ A F D- F
1.22 72% 50% 20% +5 +2 1.17 36% 1.3 .48 23% .58 77% .45 1.08 72% 31% 40% +6 -1 1.13 42% 0.4 .16 23% .45 78% .35
Dec
23		 Ohio St. D+ F B- F D- 33% 26% 41% C+ D- B+ B B+ F A+ C+ A+ D F F D+ F 44% 20% 36% F+ F F A+ A+ A+ F F F
0.94 40% 42% 26% -10 -1 0.80 33% 1.1 .36 22% .44 74% .33 1.33 85% 78% 38% +22 +1 1.47 43% 0.6 .24 21% .47 84% .40
Jan
3		 Prairie View F+ A F A+ B- 33% 37% 30% F C- D+ D D F A+ F A+ C B A D C+ 33% 31% 35% C- C F B+ D- A+ F D+ F
1.02 71% 25% 46% +5 -3 1.07 33% 1.0 .33 27% .64 66% .42 0.96 50% 27% 35% -6 -2 0.88 34% 0.9 .32 24% .48 78% .37
Jan
5		 Texas Southern C+ A F A+ A 25% 18% 57% D- B+ A C- A- D+ A+ D B+ B- A+ B A- A+ 34% 30% 36% B A+ D- F F A A- F C
1.20 73% 25% 44% +10 -1 1.20 43% 1.1 .46 17% .47 67% .31 0.96 41% 33% 28% -11 -2 0.78 30% 2.1 .63 23% .22 92% .20
Jan
10		 Bethune-Cookman F A- C+ F D+ 41% 20% 39% D+ D+ D+ F F F A- A- A B B- A D+ B- 48% 24% 28% C- C+ D- D- F+ A F+ C D-
0.87 65% 40% 21% -4 0 0.94 29% 0.2 .06 24% .39 77% .30 0.99 54% 25% 36% -4 0 0.94 33% 1.2 .38 23% .38 68% .26
Jan
12		 Florida A&M B- C+ D- B- C- 50% 18% 32% B- C- D+ A+ A- B- A+ A A+ F F F C- F 28% 21% 51% C+ F F F F B F F F
1.16 60% 33% 38% +2 +1 1.08 28% 1.4 .40 17% .43 85% .36 1.26 77% 70% 33% +11 -1 1.23 37% 1.3 .48 23% .47 81% .38
Jan
17		 Southern F F D F F 53% 9% 38% A F B- F+ C- F A+ F A+ C B D D- D+ 46% 10% 44% F D- C+ A+ A+ B F+ A+ C-
0.76 28% 33% 23% -23 +3 0.62 35% 1.0 .35 33% .68 69% .47 1.02 50% 40% 38% -1 +2 1.04 28% 0.6 .17 19% .39 59% .23
Jan
31		 Jackson St. D- F F A+ D+ 29% 17% 54% D+ D C F F D F D F C+ D+ B B+ C- 27% 27% 47% C+ C C+ C C C- F B- F
1.05 50% 13% 42% 0 0 1.02 38% 0.7 .25 18% .26 71% .19 1.00 58% 33% 29% -5 -2 0.89 26% 1.0 .26 18% .56 73% .41
Feb
2		 Alcorn St. C+ C+ F C+ D+ 43% 15% 43% C- D+ C- A+ B+ D- F C+ F A+ A A+ A+ A+ 49% 17% 34% F A+ B D+ C+ F F A- D-
1.18 65% 29% 35% +2 +1 1.09 36% 1.5 .54 21% .24 75% .18 0.80 43% 0% 25% -18 +1 0.68 22% 1.0 .22 14% .35 63% .22
Feb
4		 Arkansas Pine Bluff F C+ A F F 40% 19% 40% C- F C F D D F D+ F C C+ A B+ B+ 39% 24% 37% D+ B C- F F C+ F B D-
0.95 62% 50% 10% -11 0 0.81 37% 0.9 .34 18% .27 73% .20 0.99 56% 27% 29% -6 0 0.89 26% 1.4 .38 19% .38 71% .27
Feb
7		 Alabama St. F F D+ C- F 32% 7% 61% B- F F D F D+ C- C- C- A+ A+ A+ A A+ 44% 15% 41% F A+ D- A+ B+ C A A+ A+
0.90 43% 33% 33% -6 +1 0.93 18% 1.0 .18 19% .35 72% .25 0.74 29% 13% 27% -21 +1 0.63 35% 0.6 .19 17% .19 50% .10
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
9		 Alabama A&M F F+ F F F 40% 11% 49% B- F D B C- D- A+ A+ A+ C+ A- C- D- C+ 45% 18% 36% F C- C C+ C A F B- F
0.87 50% 0% 18% -19 +1 0.67 26% 1.1 .29 18% .49 89% .44 0.99 45% 38% 38% -4 +1 0.95 25% 1.0 .25 21% .46 71% .32
Feb
14		 Texas Southern C A- A+ C- B 37% 10% 53% C+ B F F F D- B- C- C+ F+ F B F F 46% 13% 41% F F B- F F A- F B F
1.12 68% 60% 33% +5 +1 1.16 23% 0.7 .16 18% .40 70% .28 1.17 71% 33% 47% +14 +1 1.33 23% 1.8 .42 21% .49 67% .33
Feb
16		 Prairie View F F F A+ F 40% 38% 23% F F C+ A+ A F F A+ F B- D A A+ A- 42% 38% 21% C B+ D+ F F D+ F D F
0.89 32% 28% 45% -10 -2 0.77 38% 1.4 .53 24% .21 91% .19 0.96 60% 28% 10% -11 -2 0.77 26% 1.6 .42 14% .48 79% .38
Feb
21		 Southern D- A F F F 38% 32% 30% F+ F C A+ B+ D+ A- D+ B+ F+ F C+ F F 42% 27% 31% D+ F A+ F D A+ F F F
0.98 72% 20% 21% -6 -1 0.87 32% 1.5 .47 20% .44 73% .32 1.17 79% 33% 43% +12 -1 1.24 13% 2.7 .35 23% .40 83% .33
Feb
23		 Mississippi Valley F C+ C C- D+ 52% 22% 26% C+ C- F A+ D+ F A+ D A B B- D+ B C 32% 30% 38% F C- C- A+ A B+ C+ A+ A-
1.05 63% 40% 33% +2 +1 1.09 23% 1.9 .43 25% .53 71% .37 0.79 50% 41% 29% -5 -2 0.89 24% 0.4 .10 24% .25 53% .13
Feb
26		 Bethune-Cookman F D F C+ D- 46% 18% 36% C D B- F D F F F F C C A+ A B 65% 12% 22% F C+ F F F A+ C+ B B-
0.93 50% 20% 35% -6 +1 0.91 36% 0.9 .31 21% .22 54% .12 1.00 59% 0% 27% -6 +3 0.96 42% 1.3 .55 26% .30 65% .20
Feb
28		 Florida A&M F F F B- F 33% 29% 39% F F C- F D D+ F A F+ C- C F A+ D 38% 32% 30% B D+ F F+ F B+ B+ F C+
0.87 31% 29% 37% -10 -1 0.80 30% 0.8 .23 19% .24 85% .20 0.98 58% 56% 20% -1 -2 0.98 38% 1.0 .38 24% .23 75% .17
Mar
3		 Alabama A&M F+ F A- F F 38% 20% 42% D+ F C A+ A+ F D- A- D+ F D B+ F F 39% 28% 33% C F D C+ D+ D F F+ F
0.99 35% 44% 26% -12 0 0.78 31% 1.5 .49 20% .28 79% .22 1.21 61% 31% 53% +9 -1 1.17 29% 1.0 .29 14% .46 80% .37



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 19.2 19.2 9th
10th 21.9 21.9 10th
11th 58.9 58.9 11th
12th 12th
Total 58.9 41.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 41.1% 41.1
6-12 58.9% 58.9
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 41.1%
Lose Out 58.9%