Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -7.3 287
Expected Predictive Rating -8.4 302
Pace 71.8 94
Improvement +0.4 169

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- #197 C- D+ D C- C
Defense D #334 F+ D+ D B- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% 352 56% 227 -5.5 343
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 256 33% 333 -2.3 291
Three Pointers 53% 9 34% 164 +6.5 20
1st FG Attempt 0.99 214 -1.3 214
Second Chance 26.1% 302 1.02 183 0.27 274
Turnovers 19.0% 307
Freethrows 0.27 280 77% 27 0.21 214
Total Offense -1.1 197

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 153 66% 348 -3.9 314
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 350 39% 211 +2.4 17
Three Pointers 46% 41 37% 315 -4.8 348
1st FG Attempt 1.15 350 -6.4 350
Second Chance 32.2% 250 1.09 275 0.35 277
Turnovers 14.6% 318
Freethrows 0.28 85 73% 228 0.20 82
Total Defense -6.2 334

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.1 210 +0.9 334
Shot Type Accuracy -1.2 214 +5.2 348
Possession Length 16.9 126 17.0 146
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 193 0.21 313
Improvement +0.8 #137 -0.3 #207

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1% 1% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 15% 27% 3%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 1% 1%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: St. Peter's (Home) - 47.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 410 - 1112 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 108 @Duquesne L 80 - 92 10% -7  3% 0 - 1 D+ -5 C+ +3 D C- B+ D- -7 A F F
 Tue, Nov 11 32 @Villanova L 60 - 94 2% -21  4% 0 - 2 F+ -17 D+ -3 C+ B- F F -15 F D A
 Sat, Nov 15 218 @Queens L 64 - 81 24% -13  1% 0 - 3 F+ -17 F -16 F+ F D C -1 F C A+
 Fri, Nov 21 321 Holy Cross W 79 - 66 71% +9  91% 1 - 3 C -0 C +1 B F C- C -0 F C A+
 Mon, Nov 24 294 @Central Connecticut St. L 106 - 108 OT 40% -2  24% 1 - 4 D+ -7 A +12 A- C+ D F -18 F F D-
 Sat, Nov 29 109 @Penn St. L 59 - 90 10% -21  4% 1 - 5 F -24 F -21 D- F F C -0 D- F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 289 @Mount St. Mary's W 87 - 80 39% +2  69% 2 - 5 1 - 0 C+ +3 A+ +15 D A+ D F -12 F F F
 Sun, Dec 7 247 Iona L 69 - 81 51% -4  19% 2 - 6 1 - 1 F -20 F -10 B F+ F F+ -10 D+ D- D-
 Sat, Dec 13 315 @NJIT W 65 - 49 46% +4  71% 3 - 6 B +10 D -4 D- C+ D+ A+ +16 A B+ C-
 Tue, Dec 16 318 @Umass Lowell L 82 - 87 48% +0  46% 3 - 7 D- -12 C- -1 B+ F+ F F+ -11 F C F
 Fri, Dec 19 240 Dartmouth W 85 - 63 51% +8  92% 4 - 7 A- +15 C +2 F A+ C A +12 A+ D A+
 Mon, Dec 22 172 @Towson L 47 - 72 18% -9  6% 4 - 8 F -23 F -21 F C- F C- -3 F A+ C
 Mon, Dec 29 182 Merrimack L 72 - 80 39% -8  0% 4 - 9 1 - 2 D- -12 C +0 B D C- F -13 F C D
 Fri, Jan 2 335 @Niagara L 61 - 64 54% -9  0% 4 - 10 1 - 3 D- -11 D -5 F C+ F D -7 F B+ D-
 Sun, Jan 4 346 @Canisius L 78 - 82 57% +4  79% 4 - 11 1 - 4 D- -13 C+ +2 C- D+ D F -15 F+ F D-
 Fri, Jan 9 163 Marist L 72 - 76 35% +2  57% 4 - 12 1 - 5 D+ -7 B+ +7 A- B+ D- F -15 F F F+
 Sun, Jan 11 195 Quinnipiac L 60 - 70 42% -0  40% 4 - 13 1 - 6 F+ -15 F -11 D D+ F D+ -5 D A F
 Wed, Jan 14 181 @Siena W 86 - 80 20% +4  97% 5 - 13 2 - 6 B- +8 A+ +14 F A+ A+ D -6 C+ D F
 Mon, Jan 19 354 @Rider W 105 - 85 64% +12  96% 6 - 13 3 - 6 B +9 A +14 A+ F B- D -7 F A- F
 Thu, Jan 22 346 Canisius W 69 - 66 77% -2  29% 7 - 13 4 - 6 D- -12 F -11 C- F D+ C -1 F A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 24 335 Niagara W 71 - 70 75% -5  1% 8 - 13 5 - 6 D- -13 D -6 C+ F B- D- -7 F F B
 Fri, Jan 30 195 @Quinnipiac W 98 - 91 22% +1  56% 9 - 13 6 - 6 B- +8 A+ +18 A- F+ A+ F+ -11 D F+ F
 Sun, Feb 1 182 @Merrimack L 58 - 75 20% -8  3% 9 - 14 6 - 7 F+ -15 F+ -9 D+ F F D- -8 B F F
 Thu, Feb 5 262 Fairfield L 87 - 92 55% -8  0% 9 - 15 6 - 8 D- -14 B- +4 D+ A+ A- F -18 F F C
 Sat, Feb 7 323 @Manhattan L 68 - 80 49% +2  64% 9 - 16 6 - 9 F -19 F -15 F F C D+ -4 D B+ F
 Fri, Feb 13 228 St. Peter's L 74 - 75 47%
 Sun, Feb 15 354 Rider W 80 - 70 82%
 Fri, Feb 20 262 @Fairfield L 76 - 81 32%
 Sun, Feb 22 163 @Marist L 66 - 76 17%
 Fri, Feb 27 289 Mount St. Mary's W 78 - 75 62%
Totals 11 - 19 8 - 12 -7 C- -1 C- D+ D D -6 F+ D+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- D C C- 30% 17% 53% C C- D C D+ D D+ B+ C- D F+ C D D- 40% 14% 46% D F+ C- D+ D+ D B- C- B-
1.07 56% 33% 34% -1 0 0.99 26% 1.0 .27 19% .27 77% .21 1.17 66% 39% 37% +5 +1 1.15 32% 1.1 .35 15% .28 73% .20
Nov
7		 Duquesne C+ A+ F F+ D- 28% 14% 58% B- D B+ F C- B+ A+ D- A+ D- F+ F A+ A+ 42% 5% 53% D+ A F D- F F F B+ F
1.08 75% 0% 28% -6 0 0.91 35% 0.7 .26 15% .73 67% .49 1.24 70% 67% 17% -7 +2 0.93 38% 1.2 .44 9% .58 67% .39
Nov
11		 Villanova D+ C- F A C+ 31% 17% 52% B C+ C A- B- F F C- F F F F F F 20% 6% 74% C- F F+ C D A A+ B+ A+
0.91 53% 13% 40% -1 0 1.00 28% 1.1 .31 26% .06 67% .04 1.43 82% 67% 50% +24 +1 1.52 43% 1.0 .43 20% .11 67% .08
Nov
15		 Queens F F C- C- F 33% 15% 53% C F+ D+ F F D F C- F C C A+ F F 30% 8% 62% C- F C- B- C A+ A+ F A+
0.92 44% 38% 34% -4 0 0.95 30% 0.3 .09 17% .19 73% .14 1.17 60% 25% 48% +13 +1 1.30 32% 1.0 .32 23% .15 88% .13
Nov
21		 Holy Cross C C- A A B 23% 8% 70% C B C- F F C- D- B- D C D+ F D- F+ 33% 13% 53% F F D- A C A+ D+ B- C-
1.18 58% 50% 41% +8 +1 1.19 28% 0.7 .19 15% .21 75% .16 0.99 60% 50% 38% +5 +1 1.13 27% 0.8 .20 24% .29 73% .22
Nov
24		 Central Connecticut St. A C+ A A+ A 39% 16% 44% D+ A- D A C+ D A+ A+ A+ F F D- F F 46% 28% 26% F F C- F F D- F C+ F
1.30 58% 50% 44% +9 +1 1.21 27% 1.2 .33 15% .37 96% .36 1.32 77% 44% 40% +13 0 1.26 28% 1.9 .52 13% .47 76% .35
Nov
29		 Penn St. F F F B- F+ 34% 18% 48% C D- F F F F C A+ B C D- A+ F D- 55% 18% 27% D- D- F F F A+ F A F
0.76 47% 22% 38% -4 0 0.94 18% 0.7 .12 31% .21 91% .19 1.16 68% 11% 50% +7 +2 1.20 41% 1.4 .59 22% .48 66% .31
Dec
3		 Mount St. Mary's A+ D B D- D 18% 20% 61% D- D A+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ F F D C+ F 45% 9% 45% D- F D+ F F F A- B A-
1.29 50% 44% 30% -4 -1 0.91 44% 1.7 .74 16% .50 86% .42 1.19 68% 40% 32% +3 +2 1.13 30% 1.5 .45 15% .24 64% .16
Dec
7		 Iona F C+ F A B 27% 12% 61% C- B C- F F+ F C C+ C+ F+ D F B- C- 35% 7% 57% F+ D+ D- D D- D- D F F
0.98 62% 17% 40% +4 0 1.10 32% 0.7 .24 28% .28 71% .20 1.15 63% 50% 32% +1 +1 1.07 29% 1.1 .32 14% .30 83% .25
Dec
13		 NJIT D D+ F D D- 51% 21% 28% C+ D- C C+ C+ D+ F A- D- A+ C A+ A+ A 27% 18% 55% C- A D- A+ B+ C- B A- B+
1.03 54% 20% 31% -7 +1 0.89 34% 1.1 .38 16% .26 79% .21 0.78 54% 22% 22% -14 -1 0.73 31% 0.5 .17 17% .27 64% .17
Dec
16		 Umass Lowell C- C A+ A+ A 22% 24% 55% F B+ F C+ F+ F F C- F F+ A- F F F 46% 11% 44% F F D- B+ C F B+ A A-
1.12 58% 54% 43% +12 -2 1.22 22% 1.1 .25 19% .19 73% .13 1.19 46% 67% 44% +4 +2 1.14 36% 0.9 .31 12% .25 56% .14
Dec
19		 Dartmouth C D+ A+ F F 40% 10% 50% B- F A+ A+ A+ C D- C- D- A A+ A+ B+ A+ 36% 9% 55% F+ A+ F A D A+ F A D
1.15 54% 50% 20% -11 +1 0.83 43% 1.3 .55 12% .22 71% .15 0.85 41% 0% 31% -12 +1 0.81 39% 0.8 .32 28% .41 64% .26
Dec
22		 Towson F F A+ F F 35% 10% 55% B+ F C D C- F F A+ F C- F F D+ F 31% 19% 50% D- F C- A+ A+ C B+ A+ A-
0.72 44% 60% 18% -16 +1 0.73 26% 0.9 .24 25% .02 100% .02 1.11 81% 50% 35% +10 0 1.21 37% 0.2 .09 17% .22 58% .13
Dec
29		 Merrimack C C+ A B- B+ 30% 21% 49% D+ B D+ D+ D C- D+ C D+ F D+ B F F 35% 6% 59% D+ F B- D- C D F+ A C-
1.09 57% 50% 35% +3 -1 1.06 37% 0.9 .34 20% .32 71% .23 1.21 59% 33% 41% +7 +2 1.18 22% 1.1 .25 14% .40 70% .28
Jan
2		 Niagara D C- F F F 44% 14% 42% B+ F A+ F C+ F A+ B+ A+ D D- D+ F F 37% 12% 51% C- F B A+ B+ D- D+ B C-
1.05 58% 17% 22% -10 +1 0.84 46% 0.8 .37 24% .41 83% .34 1.10 63% 40% 45% +11 +1 1.26 19% 0.6 .12 15% .24 67% .16
Jan
4		 Canisius C+ A+ C D- C- 27% 11% 61% C C- F A+ D+ D A+ A+ A+ F F B- A+ F 35% 23% 43% C F+ B F F D- F F F
1.14 83% 40% 30% +3 0 1.09 21% 1.3 .29 18% .50 86% .43 1.20 79% 33% 24% 0 0 1.00 23% 1.8 .42 16% .64 84% .54
Jan
9		 Marist B+ C F A- B+ 37% 11% 52% A- A- B B B+ D- A A+ A+ F F F B+ F 40% 21% 38% D- F F F F F+ C- A C+
1.13 59% 20% 38% +1 +1 1.07 34% 1.1 .38 22% .44 86% .38 1.20 74% 50% 28% +5 0 1.13 33% 1.4 .48 14% .26 71% .18
Jan
11		 Quinnipiac F A- F C+ D 26% 20% 54% D D D+ D+ D+ F C F D- D+ D- B- F D- 37% 35% 28% A D B A+ A F B A- B+
0.93 67% 0% 36% -3 -1 0.93 31% 0.9 .28 23% .28 57% .16 1.08 65% 32% 40% +3 -2 1.04 28% 0.8 .22 11% .24 64% .16
Jan
14		 Siena A+ F B- C F 27% 24% 49% D+ F C A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ C+ D F B- A C+ 33% 22% 45% D C+ C F D F A+ F A
1.27 31% 43% 34% -6 -1 0.88 32% 1.6 .51 7% .21 100% .21 1.19 70% 38% 26% -1 -1 0.98 30% 1.2 .35 4% .16 90% .14
Jan
19		 Rider A A+ F A+ A+ 41% 13% 46% C- A+ F F F B- A B- A D D+ C+ F F 47% 22% 31% F F A+ C+ A- F B- B B-
1.36 78% 29% 58% +24 +1 1.52 14% 0.8 .10 12% .38 69% .26 1.10 57% 36% 40% +2 0 1.06 22% 0.9 .20 10% .25 65% .16
Jan
22		 Canisius F F F A+ D+ 39% 6% 56% A- C- F F F D+ F F F C A+ F F F 45% 9% 45% F F A- A+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+
1.00 48% 0% 43% +2 +2 1.09 19% 0.6 .11 17% .21 50% .11 0.96 36% 60% 48% +2 +2 1.09 21% 0.3 .05 16% .12 57% .07
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Niagara D A- B- B- B- 25% 22% 53% D C+ F F F B- D+ F D- D- F B- F F 51% 13% 36% D- F C+ F F B A A+ A+
1.08 69% 45% 37% +7 -1 1.14 13% 0.5 .06 14% .28 69% .19 1.06 71% 33% 41% +10 +2 1.26 21% 2.0 .42 21% .13 14% .02
Jan
30		 Quinnipiac A+ C- A+ A A 29% 11% 60% C A- F A- F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F+ D+ F B- D 32% 12% 56% D- D D F+ F+ F F+ C- F+
1.30 56% 50% 42% +8 +1 1.20 20% 1.2 .23 9% .45 81% .36 1.20 61% 57% 31% +1 +1 1.05 35% 1.2 .43 12% .36 71% .26
Feb
1		 Merrimack F+ F+ B+ D- C- 33% 33% 35% F+ D+ F A- F F B- A+ A+ D- C- A+ A+ A- 46% 12% 42% D+ B F F F F C+ F+ C-
0.91 46% 46% 29% -4 -2 0.90 19% 1.2 .23 25% .38 89% .33 1.18 57% 17% 24% -10 +2 0.86 36% 1.3 .46 8% .32 84% .27
Feb
5		 Fairfield B- D- C- B- C- 30% 15% 56% D- D+ C- A+ A+ A- A+ F+ A- F F F F F 43% 11% 45% F F B- F F C C- D- D+
1.22 50% 38% 37% 0 0 1.02 30% 1.6 .49 11% .40 68% .27 1.29 70% 50% 42% +12 +2 1.28 31% 1.4 .45 15% .27 75% .20
Feb
7		 Manhattan F C+ F F F 30% 20% 50% D F F A+ F C C- A+ B- D+ C C- D+ D 39% 21% 40% D+ D A C B+ F D+ F D-
0.96 63% 27% 26% -7 -1 0.87 21% 1.4 .28 15% .23 86% .20 1.13 55% 42% 35% 0 0 1.02 19% 1.0 .19 11% .32 90% .29



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.3 0.4 5th
6th 0.8 5.7 1.4 7.9 6th
7th 0.4 8.4 5.6 0.1 14.4 7th
8th 0.2 5.9 14.7 1.4 22.2 8th
9th 0.2 6.9 22.3 7.3 0.1 36.9 9th
10th 1.7 9.4 5.7 0.3 17.1 10th
11th 0.5 0.5 1.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 13th
Total 2.5 17.0 34.4 31.5 12.8 1.8 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 1.8% 3.3% 3.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 1.7
10-10 12.8% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 12.5
9-11 31.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.4 31.1
8-12 34.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.4 34.0
7-13 17.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 16.9
6-14 2.5% 2.5
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 16.0 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 1.8%