TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -1.8 188
Results Rating -1.7 190
Consistency 0.11 11
Pace 66.9 222
Improvement +1.4 133

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 261 D D+ C- C C+
Defense C+ 127 C C+ B+ F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 16 D 52% 322 +1.5 119
2 Pt. Jumpers 49% 58 D+ 35% 287 +0.0 182
Three Pointers 31% 348 C- 33% 218 -5.3 336
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 150 D -4.0 316
1st FG Attempt D 0.94 299
Second Chance C- 29.2% 210 D+ 0.95 302 D+ 0.28 255
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.1% 147
Other Turnovers D 8.5% 318
Turnovers C- 17.6% 238
Freethrows B- 0.33 92 D- 67% 340 C 0.22 176
Total Offense D+ -3.4 261

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D 39% 312 D 13.8% 329
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 24% 184 D+ 6.4% 273
Three Pointers C- 82% 226 C- 1.1% 260
Total D- 47% 329 F 8.2% 356


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 62 C- 60% 247 +3.8 304
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 200 C+ 37% 128 -0.6 138
Three Pointers 37% 292 C+ 33% 117 -2.7 63
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 257 C +0.0 185
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 191
Second Chance C+ 28.9% 126 C 1.03 174 C+ 0.30 140
Turnovers from Steals B 11.5% 45
Other Turnovers B 8.4% 50
Turnovers B+ 19.9% 30
Freethrows F 0.41 363 C 72% 155 F 0.30 360
Total Defense C+ +1.6 127

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 95 D+ 8.9% 258
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 187 C 4.8% 186
Three Pointers D- 90% 335 D 0.3% 305
Total C+ 53% 134 C- 4.9% 224

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.2 263 16.9 106
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 156 0.18 222
Consistency 0.11 102 0.13 197
Improvement +2.7 60 -1.3 254

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 207 191 172
Results Rating Rank 207 188 168
Conference Record 13 - 9 13 - 9 13 - 9
Conference Finish 4 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4% 6% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.0 15.0 n/a
.500 or above 17% 26% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round4% 6% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 8
Quad 31 - 42 - 12
Quad 412 - 314 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 41 @SMU L 58 - 69 6% -2  30% 0 - 1 B- +5 F -12 F D- B A+ +17 A+ A+ D+
 Sat, Nov 8 220 @Tarleton St. L 77 - 85 45% -13  0% 0 - 2 D -9 B- +5 D C B+ F -13 F F C-
 Tue, Nov 11 20 @Kansas L 46 - 77 3% -19  0% 0 - 3 D -11 F -18 F F+ D+ A- +8 F+ B A+
 Sun, Nov 16 63 @Oklahoma St. L 69 - 85 10% -9  4% 0 - 4 C- -4 F+ -10 F D- C A- +7 B- D+ A+
 Fri, Nov 28 86 @Xavier L 67 - 88 15% -12  11% 0 - 5 D- -11 F -10 F D A- C +0 C+ B+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 245 @Lamar W 57 - 49 49% +1  55% 1 - 5 1 - 0 B- +6 D- -8 F+ C F A+ +15 B+ B+ B-
 Wed, Dec 17 101 @Stephen F. Austin L 60 - 69 18% -1  44% 1 - 6 1 - 1 C -1 D -5 D- B- D B- +3 C- C+ A-
 Mon, Dec 29 249 Nicholls St. L 71 - 76 72% -3  29% 1 - 7 1 - 2 D- -13 C -0 B+ C- D- F -13 F F B
 Wed, Dec 31 196 New Orleans W 83 - 69 63% +6  67% 2 - 7 2 - 2 B +9 B- +5 F A+ B- B +4 B B A-
 Sat, Jan 3 143 @UT Rio Grande Valley W 63 - 59 29% +1  59% 3 - 7 3 - 2 B- +8 D+ -3 D- A D- A+ +12 A+ A C
 Mon, Jan 5 288 @Houston Christian W 81 - 65 59% +8  80% 4 - 7 4 - 2 B+ +12 B- +5 C- B+ B A- +7 B D A+
 Sat, Jan 10 277 @Northwestern St. L 78 - 79 56% +7  91% 4 - 8 4 - 3 C- -4 B- +5 C+ D- A- F+ -9 F F A+
 Mon, Jan 12 306 @East Texas A&M W 61 - 50 65% +5  88% 5 - 8 5 - 3 B- +5 F -12 F B- F A+ +18 A+ C- B+
 Sat, Jan 17 287 SE Louisiana W 68 - 56 79% +14  99% 6 - 8 6 - 3 C+ +2 F+ -10 D+ C+ F A+ +12 C+ B A+
 Mon, Jan 19 82 McNeese St. L 53 - 69 29% -6  13% 6 - 9 6 - 4 D- -12 F+ -10 D F A D -5 B F A
 Sat, Jan 24 262 @Incarnate Word W 79 - 71 54% +10  94% 7 - 9 7 - 4 B- +5 C +1 C A- F B +4 F+ B+ A+
 Mon, Jan 26 143 UT Rio Grande Valley L 55 - 64 50% -3  26% 7 - 10 7 - 5 D -11 F -16 F F+ F+ B +4 A- D- B+
 Sat, Jan 31 288 Houston Christian W 73 - 71 79% +0  45% 8 - 10 8 - 5 D -8 B- +4 B F C F -12 F A+ B
 Mon, Feb 2 262 Incarnate Word L 69 - 71 75% -4  5% 8 - 11 8 - 6 D -11 F+ -9 D- F C- C- -2 F A+ B
 Sat, Feb 7 249 @Nicholls St. W 83 - 76 50% +2  74% 9 - 11 9 - 6 B- +5 A- +10 A- C B- D+ -4 D+ F+ D+
 Mon, Feb 9 196 @New Orleans L 78 - 84 OT 40% +1  52% 9 - 12 9 - 7 D+ -5 F -13 F D F A +9 B- A A+
 Sat, Feb 14 245 Lamar W 76 - 63 71% +12  94% 10 - 12 10 - 7 B- +5 C+ +2 D+ C- A+ B +4 C+ A+ A
 Mon, Feb 16 101 Stephen F. Austin L 68 - 78 36% -13  0% 10 - 13 10 - 8 D -8 D+ -3 D D+ C D -6 D- A+ F+
 Sat, Feb 21 82 @McNeese St. L 54 - 70 14% -5  22% 10 - 14 10 - 9 D+ -6 F -12 B F F B +5 B- D+ B
 Mon, Feb 23 287 @SE Louisiana W 73 - 68 59% +6  95% 11 - 14 11 - 9 C +1 B- +5 C+ A+ F D+ -3 F D+ B
 Sat, Feb 28 277 Northwestern St. W 71 - 59 77% +5  62% 12 - 14 12 - 9 C+ +3 C+ +3 C D- A+ C+ +1 A F B+
 Mon, Mar 2 306 East Texas A&M W 84 - 71 82% +1  54% 13 - 14 13 - 9 C +1 B+ +8 A+ C D D -6 F C+ B-
Totals 13 - 14 13 - 9 -2 D+ -3 F D C+ C+ +2 C- D- C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D D+ C- D 46% 49% 31% C+ D C- D+ D+ C- B- D- C C+ C- C+ C+ C 43% 20% 37% D+ C C+ C C+ B+ F C F
1.04 52% 35% 33% -4 0 0.94 29% 0.9 .28 18% .33 67% .22 1.06 60% 37% 33% 0 0 1.03 29% 1.0 .30 20% .41 72% .24
Nov
6		 SMU F F+ F D+ F 29% 23% 48% C F C+ F D- B B D- B- A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 40% 30% 30% B- A+ A- A+ A+ D+ F F F
0.84 47% 8% 32% -12 -1 0.77 31% 0.6 .19 16% .31 67% .21 1.00 53% 29% 29% -7 -1 0.85 31% 0.5 .17 13% .47 82% .38
Nov
8		 Tarleton St. B- F C- B+ D- 45% 17% 38% B- D B D- C B+ A+ F B F A+ F F F 37% 29% 34% B- F D F F C- F D F
1.11 48% 38% 39% -2 +1 1.00 38% 0.9 .35 19% .52 62% .32 1.23 40% 58% 50% +8 -1 1.15 35% 1.4 .50 19% .66 78% .52
Nov
11		 Kansas F D F F F 55% 22% 24% A- F F C F+ D+ C F D A- F F+ B- F 30% 21% 49% C+ F+ A- D B A+ F A+ D-
0.65 47% 17% 8% -20 +1 0.64 14% 0.8 .12 17% .22 54% .12 1.08 92% 44% 33% +11 -1 1.23 26% 1.3 .33 25% .41 68% .28
Nov
16		 Oklahoma St. F+ F+ F F F 55% 13% 33% A- F D- C D- C A+ A- A+ A- F D+ A+ B- 47% 10% 43% C- B- C D D+ A+ F F F
0.88 47% 14% 22% -15 +2 0.76 21% 1.1 .23 18% .41 77% .31 1.09 79% 40% 18% 0 +2 1.06 32% 1.1 .35 22% .44 81% .36
Nov
28		 Xavier F F+ D F F 48% 30% 22% C F C F D A- B- F D+ C B+ A+ F B- 36% 20% 44% D- C+ B- A B+ F F A+ C-
0.89 48% 33% 23% -10 -1 0.82 26% 0.6 .16 13% .31 55% .17 1.17 55% 25% 44% +3 0 1.08 25% 0.8 .20 7% .34 58% .20
Dec
6		 Lamar D- F+ B- D D- 35% 25% 40% D F+ F A+ C F C+ C- C A+ B+ A C B+ 28% 39% 33% B B+ A+ F B+ B- B B- B
0.95 50% 40% 31% -4 -1 0.93 21% 1.5 .32 22% .40 68% .28 0.81 46% 28% 33% -8 -3 0.80 21% 1.1 .24 18% .18 67% .12
Dec
17		 Stephen F. Austin D F+ F D- F 50% 17% 33% B D- A F+ B- D A+ F A B- D+ A+ F C- 45% 29% 26% D+ C- B+ D C+ A- F A+ F
0.94 48% 29% 29% -10 +1 0.86 38% 0.9 .35 19% .48 56% .27 1.08 59% 18% 50% +1 -1 1.03 28% 1.1 .31 17% .72 55% .40
Dec
29		 Nicholls St. C C- B- A+ B+ 45% 16% 39% C+ B+ C- C+ C- D- F+ C- F+ F B+ F F F+ 50% 7% 43% F F D+ F F B D- F F
1.12 60% 43% 47% +9 +1 1.23 32% 1.1 .36 24% .27 77% .21 1.20 50% 67% 42% +3 +3 1.14 28% 1.7 .48 19% .33 88% .29
Dec
31		 New Orleans B- F F+ C F 60% 23% 17% B F A+ B A+ B- B+ B- A- B B+ C- B B- 36% 34% 30% A- B C+ B B A- F A+ F
1.21 41% 33% 33% -12 +1 0.81 50% 1.1 .56 13% .42 76% .32 1.00 50% 40% 31% -4 -2 0.91 33% 0.9 .31 23% .55 66% .36
Jan
3		 UT Rio Grande Valley D+ F F A+ F 58% 24% 18% B D- B A+ A D- A+ F B+ A+ A- F A+ A+ 40% 22% 38% B- A+ C+ A+ A C F C- F
1.00 42% 27% 50% -8 +1 0.89 36% 1.1 .39 19% .47 63% .29 0.94 50% 60% 12% -11 0 0.80 26% 0.7 .17 17% .42 77% .33
Jan
5		 Houston Christian B- C+ A+ D C 46% 23% 31% D+ C- A+ D- B+ B D+ C D+ A- D- B+ A+ B 35% 20% 45% C+ B D D D A+ F D- F
1.17 63% 50% 31% +4 0 1.10 45% 1.0 .45 16% .26 73% .19 0.94 65% 30% 23% -7 0 0.88 32% 1.0 .32 25% .36 74% .27
Jan
10		 Northwestern St. B- A- A D B- 40% 26% 34% D C+ D- C D- A- A+ F A F+ D- D- F F 55% 21% 24% F F D F F A+ F D- F
1.15 68% 50% 31% +6 0 1.13 26% 1.1 .29 13% .48 64% .31 1.16 61% 44% 50% +9 +1 1.21 28% 1.4 .40 24% .46 79% .37
Jan
12		 East Texas A&M F F B F F 36% 32% 32% F F D A+ B- F A+ D- A+ A+ B+ C- A+ A+ 48% 16% 36% D- A+ D- B C- B+ F A- F
0.91 44% 43% 21% -10 -2 0.80 28% 1.4 .41 22% .46 67% .31 0.75 50% 38% 0% -22 +1 0.60 29% 0.8 .24 21% .42 59% .25
Jan
17		 SE Louisiana F+ F A+ A F+ 60% 12% 28% A+ D+ C- B C+ F A F B A+ B A+ D- B 57% 19% 23% F C+ A- D+ B A+ A- A- A-
0.97 38% 80% 42% -4 +3 1.00 30% 1.2 .37 26% .46 67% .31 0.80 52% 11% 36% -8 +2 0.89 21% 1.0 .21 27% .25 62% .16
Jan
19		 McNeese St. F+ B C+ F D+ 30% 35% 35% F D F F F A A+ F A- D C B+ A+ B+ 51% 24% 24% C B F F F A F B+ F
0.90 64% 38% 23% -4 -2 0.89 17% 0.8 .13 20% .51 67% .34 1.17 58% 33% 22% -6 0 0.92 50% 1.4 .68 19% .54 69% .38
Jan
24		 Incarnate Word C F A A+ C 55% 20% 25% C+ C B+ B- A- F A+ F A+ B C- D- D- F+ 39% 18% 43% D- F+ D+ A+ B+ A+ D+ A+ C+
1.15 50% 50% 50% +4 +1 1.13 39% 1.2 .45 22% .67 58% .39 1.03 58% 44% 38% +4 0 1.10 33% 0.7 .22 25% .29 60% .17
Jan
26		 UT Rio Grande Valley F F F F F 41% 38% 21% F F B- F F+ F+ A+ F A+ B F C- A+ A- 29% 20% 51% B A- F C+ D- B+ F B F
0.86 38% 27% 25% -16 -2 0.67 36% 0.4 .14 20% .81 63% .51 1.01 83% 38% 19% -4 -1 0.93 34% 1.0 .34 20% .49 72% .36
Jan
31		 Houston Christian B- A- F B+ B 60% 13% 28% A- B B- F F C A+ F+ A F C- D+ F F 29% 24% 46% B+ F F+ A+ A+ B F F F
1.20 71% 17% 38% +7 +3 1.21 37% 0.5 .19 18% .42 67% .28 1.17 58% 40% 53% +13 -1 1.27 34% 0.2 .07 20% .41 85% .35
Feb
2		 Incarnate Word F+ C F C+ D- 43% 28% 30% D- D- F F F C- B+ C+ B+ C- F+ A+ F F 52% 18% 30% F F A+ A+ A+ B F C F
1.05 60% 31% 36% 0 -1 1.00 22% 0.7 .16 17% .42 74% .31 1.08 65% 25% 46% +7 +1 1.18 20% 0.5 .10 18% .45 71% .32
Feb
7		 Nicholls St. A- B B A+ A 53% 19% 28% C+ A- F A+ C B- A B+ A D+ F C- A D+ 39% 16% 45% C- D+ B+ F F+ D+ F+ C D-
1.23 68% 44% 46% +12 +1 1.28 25% 1.5 .38 19% .42 83% .35 1.12 70% 38% 26% -1 +1 1.02 21% 1.7 .35 15% .35 65% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
9		 New Orleans F B+ F F F 47% 19% 34% C+ F D D D F A+ D+ A+ A C C+ A+ B 56% 24% 20% F+ B- A+ C+ A A+ F C F
0.90 64% 10% 17% -11 +1 0.81 30% 0.9 .28 22% .54 70% .38 0.96 56% 36% 22% -5 +1 0.93 23% 1.0 .23 25% .86 75% .65
Feb
14		 Lamar C+ F+ F+ A D- 58% 16% 27% A- D+ C- C- C- A+ A+ C- A+ B C- C- A+ B- 39% 37% 24% C- C+ A A+ A+ A F F F
1.13 50% 29% 42% -3 +2 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 10% .58 69% .40 0.94 56% 40% 20% -5 -2 0.88 26% 0.5 .13 22% .52 85% .44
Feb
16		 Stephen F. Austin D+ D- A+ F D- 44% 16% 40% B- D C+ F D+ C F+ C+ D- D C+ C- F D 48% 20% 32% F D- A- A+ A+ F+ F C- F
1.01 50% 56% 23% -7 +1 0.89 30% 0.9 .27 16% .21 75% .16 1.16 54% 40% 44% +3 +1 1.10 27% 0.7 .19 9% .43 69% .29
Feb
21		 McNeese St. F F A+ A+ B- 40% 5% 55% A B F D+ F F F F F B C- A A+ B+ 51% 14% 35% F+ B- C+ F+ D+ B F B- F
0.82 44% 50% 41% +1 +2 1.08 21% 1.0 .21 34% .18 63% .11 1.07 60% 29% 24% -6 +2 0.94 32% 1.2 .38 15% .40 73% .29
Feb
23		 SE Louisiana B- F+ A+ A+ C+ 54% 32% 15% C C+ B+ A+ A+ F B C B D+ F F A F 27% 34% 39% A F D C+ D+ B F C+ F
1.13 50% 54% 50% +4 0 1.10 38% 1.5 .58 25% .41 75% .31 1.05 82% 50% 25% +5 -3 1.07 31% 0.9 .28 20% .52 67% .35
Feb
28		 Northwestern St. C+ C F A C- 41% 14% 45% B- C D D- D- A+ C+ F D+ C+ A+ A+ F A+ 51% 27% 22% F+ A C F F B+ F F+ F
1.17 60% 14% 41% +2 +1 1.08 28% 1.0 .28 8% .34 63% .22 0.98 38% 18% 44% -12 0 0.78 24% 1.6 .38 20% .43 81% .35
Mar
2		 East Texas A&M B+ A+ F A+ A+ 53% 11% 36% B+ A+ A+ F C D B+ A A D F F F F 40% 13% 48% D F B D C+ B- F A+ D+
1.25 75% 20% 44% +12 +2 1.31 48% 0.8 .37 19% .37 80% .29 1.06 68% 50% 39% +9 +1 1.23 21% 1.0 .21 19% .39 48% .18



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9 0.0%
12-10
11-11
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9 100.0% 4.1% 4.1% 15.0 0.4 3.4 0.2 95.9
12-10
11-11
10-12
9-13
8-14
7-15
6-16
5-17
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 15.0 95.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.1% 100.0% 15.0 10.1 84.5 5.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 12.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 48.7%
Lose Out 34.6%