Preseason Rankings
Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.8#287
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.4#255
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#305
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#254
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 4.4% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 13.5 14.9
.500 or above 14.6% 49.6% 14.4%
.500 or above in Conference 18.3% 43.4% 18.2%
Conference Champion 0.8% 4.4% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 30.1% 13.2% 30.2%
First Four0.4% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round0.9% 4.4% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston (Away) - 0.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 72 - 12
Quad 46 - 58 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 4   @ Houston L 51-78 1%    
  Nov 11, 2023 323   @ Central Michigan L 67-68 48%    
  Nov 16, 2023 120   Louisiana Tech L 64-71 27%    
  Nov 26, 2023 101   @ SMU L 63-77 10%    
  Nov 28, 2023 337   Northwestern St. W 72-65 73%    
  Dec 12, 2023 117   @ Sam Houston St. L 57-70 13%    
  Dec 14, 2023 341   @ Lamar W 68-66 55%    
  Dec 18, 2023 246   @ Jacksonville L 57-62 33%    
  Dec 30, 2023 153   @ Appalachian St. L 59-70 17%    
  Jan 03, 2024 135   Marshall L 71-77 31%    
  Jan 06, 2024 229   Georgia Southern L 66-67 49%    
  Jan 11, 2024 152   Southern Miss L 67-72 34%    
  Jan 13, 2024 193   Texas St. L 62-65 41%    
  Jan 18, 2024 121   @ James Madison L 66-79 15%    
  Jan 20, 2024 180   @ Old Dominion L 60-69 22%    
  Jan 25, 2024 177   South Alabama L 64-68 39%    
  Jan 27, 2024 198   Arkansas St. L 63-65 42%    
  Jan 31, 2024 176   @ Louisiana L 65-75 21%    
  Feb 03, 2024 198   @ Arkansas St. L 60-68 24%    
  Feb 07, 2024 270   Coastal Carolina W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 15, 2024 152   @ Southern Miss L 64-75 18%    
  Feb 17, 2024 218   @ Troy L 64-71 27%    
  Feb 22, 2024 176   Louisiana L 68-72 38%    
  Feb 24, 2024 218   Troy L 67-68 46%    
  Feb 27, 2024 193   @ Texas St. L 59-68 24%    
  Mar 01, 2024 177   @ South Alabama L 61-71 22%    
Projected Record 8 - 18 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.6 0.9 0.1 3.2 5th
6th 0.2 1.8 1.7 0.2 0.0 4.0 6th
7th 0.2 1.6 2.6 0.5 0.0 4.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 3.1 1.4 0.1 0.0 5.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.2 2.4 0.3 0.0 6.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.1 3.7 0.8 0.0 8.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.2 4.6 1.9 0.1 10.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.7 5.5 2.6 0.2 12.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 2.0 5.1 5.7 3.1 0.5 0.0 16.8 13th
14th 1.8 4.5 6.3 5.1 2.4 0.4 0.0 20.6 14th
Total 1.8 4.9 8.3 11.1 12.4 12.9 11.6 10.3 8.3 6.7 4.6 3.1 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 99.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 77.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 49.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 16.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 31.5% 20.5% 11.0% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.8%
16-2 0.1% 36.0% 32.0% 4.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.9%
15-3 0.2% 14.7% 14.7% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.5% 6.0% 6.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.0% 9.9% 9.9% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
12-6 2.0% 8.0% 8.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.8
11-7 3.1% 5.0% 5.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.0
10-8 4.6% 3.2% 3.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.4
9-9 6.7% 1.6% 1.6% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.6
8-10 8.3% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 8.2
7-11 10.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.2
6-12 11.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.6
5-13 12.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.9
4-14 12.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.4
3-15 11.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.1
2-16 8.3% 8.3
1-17 4.9% 4.9
0-18 1.8% 1.8
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 98.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%