Preseason Rankings
Nebraska
Big Ten
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.0#67
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.2#201
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#63
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#69
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.4% 1.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 4.7% 4.7% 0.8%
Top 6 Seed 9.8% 9.8% 1.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 29.5% 29.7% 8.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 27.2% 27.4% 6.4%
Average Seed 7.6 7.6 8.8
.500 or above 60.9% 61.2% 23.0%
.500 or above in Conference 35.7% 35.9% 12.4%
Conference Champion 2.0% 2.0% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 13.0% 12.8% 31.1%
First Four3.7% 3.7% 1.6%
First Round27.6% 27.8% 6.8%
Second Round15.3% 15.4% 2.8%
Sweet Sixteen5.9% 5.9% 0.6%
Elite Eight2.4% 2.4% 0.0%
Final Four1.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Lindenwood (Home) - 99.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 9
Quad 24 - 37 - 13
Quad 34 - 110 - 14
Quad 47 - 017 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 356   Lindenwood W 84-59 99%    
  Nov 09, 2023 343   Florida A&M W 77-54 98%    
  Nov 13, 2023 230   Rider W 76-61 91%    
  Nov 15, 2023 255   Stony Brook W 74-58 93%    
  Nov 18, 2023 118   Oregon St. W 68-63 68%    
  Nov 22, 2023 94   Duquesne W 75-69 70%    
  Nov 26, 2023 161   Cal St. Fullerton W 72-62 82%    
  Dec 03, 2023 8   Creighton L 69-74 34%    
  Dec 06, 2023 113   @ Minnesota W 69-68 55%    
  Dec 10, 2023 5   Michigan St. L 65-71 32%    
  Dec 17, 2023 32   @ Kansas St. L 70-77 28%    
  Dec 20, 2023 267   North Dakota W 80-63 92%    
  Dec 29, 2023 345   South Carolina St. W 88-65 97%    
  Jan 03, 2024 39   Indiana L 70-71 50%    
  Jan 06, 2024 28   @ Wisconsin L 61-68 26%    
  Jan 09, 2024 2   Purdue L 64-72 27%    
  Jan 12, 2024 42   @ Iowa L 74-80 31%    
  Jan 17, 2024 51   @ Rutgers L 64-69 35%    
  Jan 20, 2024 47   Northwestern W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 23, 2024 38   Ohio St. L 70-71 50%    
  Jan 27, 2024 29   @ Maryland L 64-71 27%    
  Feb 01, 2024 28   Wisconsin L 64-65 45%    
  Feb 04, 2024 21   @ Illinois L 69-77 24%    
  Feb 07, 2024 47   @ Northwestern L 64-69 34%    
  Feb 10, 2024 48   Michigan W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 17, 2024 76   Penn St. W 70-66 63%    
  Feb 21, 2024 39   @ Indiana L 68-74 31%    
  Feb 25, 2024 113   Minnesota W 72-65 73%    
  Feb 29, 2024 38   @ Ohio St. L 67-73 31%    
  Mar 03, 2024 51   Rutgers W 67-66 55%    
  Mar 10, 2024 48   @ Michigan L 69-74 35%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.1 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.5 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 7.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.1 1.9 0.3 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.2 2.8 0.4 0.0 9.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 3.7 3.5 0.7 0.0 9.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.6 4.0 1.0 0.1 10.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.3 3.5 1.3 0.1 0.0 9.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.3 3.0 1.3 0.1 0.0 9.8 13th
14th 0.3 1.0 1.9 2.4 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 8.1 14th
Total 0.3 1.0 2.3 4.3 6.5 8.1 9.7 10.8 10.9 10.4 8.9 8.1 6.3 4.8 3.2 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 88.9% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 67.6% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
16-4 46.2% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 19.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 6.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.4 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 27.8% 72.2% 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.3% 100.0% 18.2% 81.8% 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.6% 100.0% 15.8% 84.2% 2.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.3% 100.0% 12.8% 87.2% 3.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 2.1% 100.0% 11.5% 88.4% 4.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 3.2% 98.4% 9.8% 88.7% 5.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 98.3%
13-7 4.8% 94.5% 6.3% 88.2% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 94.1%
12-8 6.3% 84.6% 5.8% 78.8% 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.0 83.6%
11-9 8.1% 68.7% 4.2% 64.5% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.0 0.0 2.5 67.3%
10-10 8.9% 42.4% 3.7% 38.7% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.1 40.2%
9-11 10.4% 17.3% 2.8% 14.5% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6 15.0%
8-12 10.9% 4.8% 2.1% 2.8% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.3 2.8%
7-13 10.8% 1.9% 1.5% 0.4% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.6 0.4%
6-14 9.7% 1.1% 1.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.6
5-15 8.1% 0.7% 0.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1
4-16 6.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.4
3-17 4.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.3
2-18 2.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.3
1-19 1.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.0
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 29.5% 3.1% 26.4% 7.6 0.6 0.8 1.4 1.9 2.4 2.7 3.4 4.1 3.9 4.3 3.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 70.5 27.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.4 60.0 40.0