Holy Cross
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#286
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#223
Pace65.1#295
Improvement+2.2#44

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#253
First Shot+2.5#108
After Offensive Rebound-5.7#364
Layup/Dunks-3.8#308
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#16
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#109
Freethrows-1.2#248
Improvement+1.7#52

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#308
First Shot-8.2#363
After Offensive Rebounds+4.4#5
Layups/Dunks-8.2#363
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#201
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#256
Freethrows+1.8#74
Improvement+0.5#144
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 7.4% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 29.5% 38.3% 18.5%
.500 or above in Conference 53.6% 58.5% 47.5%
Conference Champion 6.3% 7.5% 4.7%
Last Place in Conference 9.2% 7.3% 11.5%
First Four3.4% 3.4% 3.4%
First Round4.5% 5.4% 3.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dartmouth (Home) - 55.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 412 - 913 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 65 @Providence L 79-89 5%     0 - 1 +1.6 +1.5 +1.1
  Sat, Nov 8 9 @BYU L 53-98 1%     0 - 2 -22.5 -11.7 -9.6
  Mon, Nov 10 114 @Utah L 69-87 11%     0 - 3 -11.6 -1.5 -10.3
  Sun, Nov 16 208 Hampton W 67-61 35%     1 - 3 +2.8 +4.9 -1.0
  Tue, Nov 18 226 @Brown L 49-68 27%     1 - 4 -19.8 -13.1 -9.5
  Fri, Nov 21 256 @Sacred Heart L 66-79 32%     1 - 5 -15.2 -7.8 -8.0
  Mon, Nov 24 156 Siena L 69-73 36%     1 - 6 -7.3 +0.9 -8.5
  Wed, Dec 3 228 Northeastern W 76-59 50%     2 - 6 +10.1 +5.5 +5.5
  Sat, Dec 6 229 @Fordham W 70-69 28%     3 - 6 +0.1 +3.3 -3.2
  Tue, Dec 16 268 Dartmouth W 75-73 56%    
  Sat, Dec 20 202 @Harvard L 65-72 24%    
  Wed, Dec 31 316 Bucknell W 74-69 66%    
  Sat, Jan 3 197 Navy L 69-71 44%    
  Wed, Jan 7 307 @Lehigh L 69-71 43%    
  Sat, Jan 10 242 @American L 69-75 31%    
  Wed, Jan 14 340 Army W 75-68 74%    
  Sat, Jan 17 327 @Lafayette L 69-70 49%    
  Wed, Jan 21 197 @Navy L 66-74 24%    
  Sat, Jan 24 242 American W 73-72 52%    
  Wed, Jan 28 179 @Colgate L 66-75 22%    
  Sat, Jan 31 340 @Army W 72-71 54%    
  Mon, Feb 2 253 Boston University W 71-70 54%    
  Sat, Feb 7 307 Lehigh W 72-68 64%    
  Wed, Feb 11 179 Colgate L 69-72 41%    
  Sun, Feb 15 321 @Loyola Maryland L 72-73 47%    
  Wed, Feb 18 327 Lafayette W 73-67 69%    
  Sun, Feb 22 316 @Bucknell L 71-72 45%    
  Wed, Feb 25 253 @Boston University L 68-73 32%    
  Sat, Feb 28 321 Loyola Maryland W 75-70 67%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.7 2.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.1 2.7 0.5 0.0 11.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.5 6.0 2.7 0.4 0.0 13.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.3 6.2 2.9 0.3 0.0 13.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.5 6.1 3.1 0.3 0.0 12.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.5 3.3 0.4 11.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.2 3.1 0.5 0.0 9.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.6 3.0 2.3 0.4 0.0 7.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 1.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.8 3.5 6.0 9.0 11.8 13.6 13.6 12.5 10.5 7.7 4.8 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 99.2% 0.4    0.4 0.0
15-3 89.5% 1.1    0.8 0.2 0.0
14-4 68.3% 1.9    1.2 0.6 0.1
13-5 35.0% 1.7    0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0
12-6 12.0% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.7% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.3% 6.3 3.3 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 31.3% 31.3% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 38.1% 38.1% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.2% 23.3% 23.3% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.9
14-4 2.7% 21.6% 21.6% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 2.2
13-5 4.8% 16.8% 16.8% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 4.0
12-6 7.7% 14.0% 14.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 6.6
11-7 10.5% 10.0% 10.0% 15.9 0.1 0.9 9.4
10-8 12.5% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 0.0 0.9 11.6
9-9 13.6% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7 12.9
8-10 13.6% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4 13.2
7-11 11.8% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 11.5
6-12 9.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 8.9
5-13 6.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.9
4-14 3.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.5
3-15 1.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.8
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.1 5.1 93.6 0.0%