St. John's
Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +17.5 19
Results Rating +17.7 21
Consistency 0.16 232
Pace 73.8 47
Improvement -0.5 206

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 50 C A- A- A B
Defense A 11 A- B A B- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 17 C 58% 185 +4.2 46
2 Pt. Jumpers 31% 254 C- 36% 243 -2.1 285
Three Pointers 38% 243 C 34% 183 -1.6 235
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.1 42 C -0.6 190
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 153
Second Chance A- 37.5% 18 B+ 1.15 39 A- 0.43 15
Opponents' Steals A- 7.3% 16
Other Turnovers B 6.1% 53
Turnovers A- 13.4% 18
Freethrows A 0.39 5 C+ 74% 154 A 0.29 8
Total Offense B +6.8 50

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 58% 46 C 10.8% 166
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A+ 54% 3 B+ 2.2% 19
Three Pointers C+ 87% 123 B+ 0.1% 11
Total B+ 65% 26 C+ 5.4% 164


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 63 A 47% 9 -2.2 102
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 65 B- 36% 100 +0.9 267
Three Pointers 33% 359 B+ 30% 42 -6.0 3
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 139 A -7.0 10
1st FG Attempt A- 0.88 13
Second Chance B 26.9% 61 B- 0.96 71 B 0.26 43
Turnovers from Steals B+ 11.7% 40
Other Turnovers A 9.4% 9
Turnovers A 21.1% 12
Freethrows B- 0.27 90 C+ 71% 115 B- 0.19 77
Total Defense A +10.7 11

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B+ 40% 38 B 14.5% 55
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 16% 24 B 7.2% 56
Three Pointers B+ 77% 25 A+ 2.6% 11
Total A- 44% 11 A- 8.8% 17

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.1 17 18.5 335
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.26 11 0.13 51
Consistency 0.15 335 0.12 158
Improvement -4.5 346 +4.0 28

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Lock
Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 22 20 15
Results Rating Rank 26 21 12
Conference Record 17 - 3 18 - 2 18 - 2
Conference Finish 2 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed 7 5 3
NCAA Tourney Finish 1st Round 2nd Round Elite 8

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 1% 2% 0%
Top 4 Seed 26% 33% 13%
Top 6 Seed 85% 91% 74%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% 100% 100%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100% 100% 99%
Average Seed 5.2 5.0 5.8
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 69% 100% 14%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round100% 100% 100%
Second Round82% 85% 76%
Sweet Sixteen38% 42% 33%
Elite Eight13% 14% 11%
Final Four5% 5% 4%
Championship Game2% 2% 1%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Seton Hall (Away) - 64.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 32 - 3
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 6
Quad 29 - 114 - 7
Quad 39 - 023 - 7
Quad 43 - 026 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 215 Quinnipiac W 108 - 74 98% +22  99% 1 - 0 A+ +28 A +14 A+ B+ C A- +8 B- A- A+
 Sat, Nov 8 15 Alabama L 96 - 103 58% -4  13% 1 - 1 B +9 B +7 B+ A- C B- +2 B+ C- F
 Sat, Nov 15 139 William & Mary W 93 - 60 95% +15  96% 2 - 1 A+ +31 B- +4 C- B- A A+ +23 A+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 20 330 Bucknell W 97 - 49 99% +17  76% 3 - 1 A+ +34 B+ +9 B+ C+ C A+ +21 A+ A- A+
 Mon, Nov 24 10 Iowa St. L 82 - 83 40% -2  29% 3 - 2 A +19 A+ +19 C A+ A+ C -0 A+ F B-
 Tue, Nov 25 47 Baylor W 96 - 81 72% +12  99% 4 - 2 A+ +27 A+ +21 A+ A+ B+ B+ +5 A+ B- C+
 Wed, Nov 26 37 Auburn L 74 - 85 64% -0  45% 4 - 3 C+ +3 B- +5 D- A+ D C- -3 D F+ A-
 Sat, Dec 6 74 Mississippi W 63 - 58 88% +7  89% 5 - 3 B +10 F -12 F A+ F A+ +21 A+ B A+
 Sat, Dec 13 241 Iona W 91 - 64 98% +8  78% 6 - 3 A +20 B +6 A B+ F A+ +11 A+ C+ C-
 Tue, Dec 16 84 DePaul W 79 - 66 90% +10  95% 7 - 3 1 - 0 A- +17 B+ +8 B+ C A+ A- +8 A+ C- C
 Sat, Dec 20 22 Kentucky L 66 - 78 56% -1  53% 7 - 4 C+ +4 C- -1 F A+ C B+ +5 A- D A+
 Tue, Dec 23 153 Harvard W 85 - 59 96% +10  65% 8 - 4 A+ +23 A +13 A- A+ C- A +11 B- A+ B+
 Wed, Dec 31 80 @Georgetown W 95 - 83 75% +6  67% 9 - 4 2 - 0 A +22 A+ +25 A+ A+ C+ C- -2 D B- B+
 Sat, Jan 3 61 Providence L 71 - 77 85% +5  90% 9 - 5 2 - 1 C +0 F -11 F A D+ A+ +11 A+ F B-
 Tue, Jan 6 79 @Butler W 84 - 70 75% +4  53% 10 - 5 3 - 1 A+ +25 A- +10 B C+ A+ A+ +14 D- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 72 @Creighton W 90 - 73 73% +13  83% 11 - 5 4 - 1 A+ +28 A+ +22 A+ C A+ B+ +6 C- A+ C-
 Tue, Jan 13 87 Marquette W 92 - 68 90% +11  99% 12 - 5 5 - 1 A+ +27 A +14 B A+ A A+ +12 D+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 38 @Villanova W 86 - 79 53% +5  81% 13 - 5 6 - 1 A+ +24 A+ +17 B+ A- A+ B+ +6 C C- A
 Tue, Jan 20 53 Seton Hall W 65 - 60 82% -4  14% 14 - 5 7 - 1 B+ +13 B- +5 F A+ A A +9 B B- A
 Sat, Jan 24 86 @Xavier W 88 - 83 78% -3  34% 15 - 5 8 - 1 B+ +15 B+ +8 C A+ A- B+ +6 C- A+ A-
 Wed, Jan 28 79 Butler W 92 - 70 88% +13  97% 16 - 5 9 - 1 A+ +27 A+ +28 A+ A+ A+ C+ +1 A- A F
 Tue, Feb 3 84 @DePaul W 68 - 56 77% +4  66% 17 - 5 10 - 1 A +22 B- +5 F A+ A+ A+ +17 A+ B- A+
 Fri, Feb 6 8 Connecticut W 81 - 72 50% +3  72% 18 - 5 11 - 1 A+ +27 A+ +16 A A+ A A +11 D+ A A+
 Mon, Feb 9 86 Xavier W 87 - 82 OT 90% +0  52% 19 - 5 12 - 1 B +9 C- -2 C F+ A A +10 A C- D+
 Sat, Feb 14 61 @Providence W 79 - 69 69% +7  90% 20 - 5 13 - 1 A +22 C- -1 F B+ A+ A+ +22 A+ A+ A-
 Wed, Feb 18 87 @Marquette W 76 - 70 78% +3  75% 21 - 5 14 - 1 A- +15 B+ +8 C A- B+ A- +8 A- C C
 Sat, Feb 21 72 Creighton W 81 - 52 87% +16  99% 22 - 5 15 - 1 A+ +34 C +1 C+ C- C+ A+ +31 A+ A+ A+
 Wed, Feb 25 8 @Connecticut L 40 - 72 28% -18  1% 22 - 6 15 - 2 D -8 F -16 F F+ A+ C+ +1 A C+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 38 Villanova W 89 - 57 75% +19  94% 23 - 6 16 - 2 A+ +43 A+ +15 A A A+ A+ +26 A+ A A+
 Tue, Mar 3 80 Georgetown W 72 - 69 89% -4  19% 24 - 6 17 - 2 B- +7 C- -1 D- A- A- A +9 B- A- A+
 Fri, Mar 6 53 @Seton Hall W 70 - 66 64%
Totals 25 - 6 18 - 2 +17 B +7 D C B A +11 C C+ A



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B C C- C C 46% 31% 38% B C A- B+ A- A- A C+ A A A B- B+ A 43% 24% 33% C A- B B- B A B- C+ B-
1.18 58% 36% 34% -1 +1 1.03 37% 1.2 .43 13% .39 74% .29 0.93 47% 36% 30% -7 0 0.88 27% 1.0 .26 21% .27 71% .28
Nov
3		 Quinnipiac A B+ F A+ A+ 64% 7% 29% A+ A+ A C- B+ C A+ F A+ A- A D- B B- 42% 30% 28% B- B- C- A+ A- A+ C- C C-
1.29 65% 25% 47% +9 +4 1.28 43% 1.0 .43 17% .49 65% .32 0.89 46% 41% 31% -5 -1 0.89 33% 0.7 .23 26% .31 68% .21
Nov
8		 Alabama B B- A F B+ 48% 26% 26% B+ B+ C- A+ A- C A+ B- A+ B- C- D A- B+ 39% 17% 43% B+ B+ B F C- F B+ A+ A+
1.14 57% 47% 27% -1 0 1.00 26% 1.5 .38 14% .55 70% .39 1.22 63% 50% 30% +1 0 1.06 30% 1.4 .41 8% .28 64% .18
Nov
15		 William & Mary B- C+ A+ F D+ 50% 10% 40% A- C- A D B- A B D+ C+ A+ A+ A A A+ 34% 14% 52% B+ A+ D+ F F A+ A+ A+ A+
1.16 61% 67% 24% -2 +2 1.03 39% 0.9 .37 14% .32 68% .22 0.75 41% 29% 27% -13 +1 0.78 29% 1.5 .42 30% .21 42% .09
Nov
20		 Bucknell B+ A+ B- C- B 47% 13% 40% A B+ A+ F C+ C A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ 41% 17% 41% C- A+ B+ A A- A+ F A F
1.28 76% 43% 33% +9 +2 1.23 49% 0.8 .37 17% .45 75% .33 0.65 32% 25% 21% -21 +1 0.61 21% 0.9 .18 32% .42 68% .29
Nov
24		 Iowa St. A+ D- F B- D+ 46% 19% 35% A C A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ C A+ A+ F A+ 43% 24% 33% B A+ F F F B- F F F
1.20 50% 22% 35% -6 +1 0.92 42% 1.2 .50 15% .51 77% .39 1.21 43% 25% 44% -5 0 0.92 45% 1.3 .58 16% .43 80% .35
Nov
25		 Baylor A+ C+ C- A+ A 48% 15% 37% A+ A+ C A+ A+ B+ A+ F+ A- B+ A+ C B+ A+ 42% 22% 36% F A+ F A+ B- C+ B F C-
1.34 62% 38% 45% +8 +1 1.20 29% 1.9 .55 14% .36 68% .24 1.13 43% 42% 30% -8 0 0.87 51% 0.8 .39 15% .28 88% .25
Nov
26		 Auburn B- D+ F F F 44% 10% 46% A D- A+ A+ A+ D A+ C+ A+ C- F B F D- 49% 24% 27% B D F C F+ A- D- F F
1.11 52% 20% 27% -9 +2 0.88 45% 1.3 .57 21% .53 75% .40 1.28 73% 36% 42% +10 0 1.22 48% 1.1 .52 18% .46 84% .38
Dec
6		 Mississippi F F F F F 40% 13% 48% A F A B+ A+ F A+ C+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 43% 28% 28% F A+ F+ A+ B A+ F D- F
0.88 31% 20% 21% -22 +1 0.60 39% 1.2 .47 28% .68 71% .48 0.81 55% 23% 15% -13 -1 0.74 36% 0.8 .28 28% .39 80% .31
Dec
13		 Iona B C+ A+ A A- 42% 8% 50% A- A C+ A+ B+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ A A- A+ A+ 52% 21% 26% D A+ D+ B+ C+ C- A+ C- A+
1.20 62% 50% 40% +7 +2 1.20 34% 1.2 .41 22% .42 84% .36 0.84 44% 31% 25% -13 +1 0.79 27% 0.9 .25 17% .11 71% .08
Dec
16		 DePaul B+ D+ D A+ B- 47% 12% 41% A+ B+ C+ C- C A+ B A+ A A- A+ D- A+ A+ 36% 22% 41% C+ A+ B F C- C A+ F A+
1.13 50% 33% 43% +1 +2 1.08 29% 0.9 .26 14% .35 81% .28 0.94 38% 46% 25% -11 0 0.79 28% 1.4 .38 17% .09 100% .09
Dec
20		 Kentucky C- F+ F F F 31% 29% 40% C- F B+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ F C+ A- 45% 30% 26% B+ A- F A- D A+ F+ F F
0.95 46% 17% 24% -16 -2 0.67 32% 1.2 .38 17% .56 84% .47 1.13 43% 57% 33% -1 -1 0.98 48% 1.0 .48 23% .41 82% .34
Dec
23		 Harvard A D+ A+ A+ B 57% 2% 42% A+ A- A+ C A+ C- A- B+ A- A F A- A+ C+ 35% 27% 38% A- B- A A+ A+ B+ B C- B
1.25 53% 100% 41% +3 +4 1.15 47% 1.0 .47 18% .32 78% .25 0.87 82% 31% 22% 0 -1 1.00 19% 0.3 .06 22% .21 82% .17
Dec
31		 Georgetown A+ D F+ A+ A+ 29% 21% 50% C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ B A+ C- A- D- F D- 40% 26% 34% C+ D D- A+ B- B+ D- D F+
1.36 50% 30% 50% +8 -1 1.17 42% 1.6 .70 16% .44 77% .34 1.19 50% 46% 47% +6 -1 1.12 39% 0.9 .33 17% .40 78% .31
Jan
3		 Providence F F C+ F F 40% 18% 42% B F A+ D A D+ A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 52% 19% 29% C- A+ D+ F F B- F B- F
0.95 32% 40% 17% -21 0 0.62 46% 0.9 .41 16% .59 65% .38 1.03 48% 10% 27% -14 +1 0.77 37% 1.5 .56 16% .44 75% .33
Jan
6		 Butler A- B C+ A- B+ 37% 33% 30% F+ B F+ A+ C+ A+ C B- C+ A+ F B+ F F 38% 27% 36% A+ D- A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ F D
1.18 64% 40% 39% +5 -2 1.08 20% 1.4 .29 7% .23 73% .17 0.98 71% 33% 44% +9 -1 1.18 22% 0.7 .15 29% .36 83% .30
Jan
10		 Creighton A+ B- C+ A+ A+ 28% 33% 39% D- A+ B+ F C A+ A D A- B+ D C- D- D+ 27% 20% 53% B+ C- A+ A+ A+ C- F F F
1.34 60% 39% 57% +14 -2 1.26 33% 0.8 .28 9% .29 67% .20 1.09 69% 40% 38% +7 -1 1.14 7% 0.0 .00 13% .34 85% .29
Jan
13		 Marquette A B- A+ F B- 54% 16% 30% A- B A- A A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ F D+ C- 64% 5% 32% F D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F B+ F
1.23 61% 56% 24% 0 +2 1.05 41% 1.2 .47 16% .38 88% .34 0.91 57% 50% 36% +1 +4 1.11 21% 0.4 .09 25% .49 63% .31
Jan
17		 Villanova A+ B+ C B- B+ 45% 27% 29% B- B+ A- B+ A- A+ A+ D+ A+ B+ A- D- F C- 28% 20% 52% B+ C A F C- A F D F
1.21 64% 38% 36% +3 0 1.08 36% 1.1 .39 13% .50 68% .34 1.11 54% 44% 42% +6 -1 1.13 27% 1.4 .38 20% .42 75% .32
Jan
20		 Seton Hall B- D+ F F F 58% 21% 21% B F A+ B- A+ A A+ C A+ A A+ D+ F A 60% 12% 28% F B F A+ B- A F+ A+ B-
1.02 48% 22% 11% -16 +1 0.72 47% 1.0 .44 19% .58 70% .40 0.94 38% 40% 42% -8 +3 0.91 46% 0.7 .33 20% .39 55% .22
Jan
24		 Xavier B+ D B+ B C 40% 32% 28% D C B+ A+ A+ A- A- D- B B+ A- D F C- 38% 29% 34% C C- A+ A A+ A- D F F+
1.15 52% 44% 38% +1 -1 1.02 33% 1.2 .40 13% .35 65% .23 1.09 52% 44% 47% +6 -1 1.13 16% 0.8 .13 16% .29 84% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Butler A+ A A- A+ A+ 40% 21% 38% C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A B C+ A+ F F A 54% 13% 33% D- A- B A A F F A+ C
1.47 71% 45% 45% +13 0 1.29 42% 1.2 .52 8% .24 79% .19 1.12 40% 50% 40% -5 +2 0.96 32% 0.9 .29 10% .53 50% .27
Feb
3		 DePaul B- F F D F 53% 13% 34% A+ F A- A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ 35% 26% 40% B A+ D A B- A+ F+ D- F
1.04 32% 17% 31% -18 +2 0.70 37% 1.3 .46 11% .49 69% .34 0.85 60% 18% 24% -11 -1 0.79 34% 0.9 .31 23% .39 75% .30
Feb
6		 Connecticut A+ B- A+ D- A 48% 13% 39% A A B+ A+ A+ A A+ C- A+ A A F F C- 53% 11% 36% F+ D+ A+ F A A+ A A+ A+
1.18 55% 67% 28% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.8 .55 15% .53 71% .37 1.05 52% 80% 47% +8 +2 1.23 21% 1.5 .31 22% .22 42% .09
Feb
9		 Xavier C- B F F C- 57% 22% 20% B+ C B F F+ A A+ C- A+ A A+ F B+ A+ 45% 35% 20% C+ A A- F C- D+ B- A+ A
1.05 65% 25% 27% -1 +1 1.02 30% 0.4 .12 12% .56 68% .38 0.99 40% 52% 31% -4 -1 0.91 22% 1.3 .29 11% .23 53% .12
Feb
14		 Providence C- D- F F F 42% 28% 30% C- F D+ A+ B+ A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ 33% 33% 35% A+ A+ C A+ A+ A- D F+ F+
1.04 48% 24% 22% -14 -1 0.73 25% 1.5 .36 7% .42 70% .30 0.91 50% 22% 26% -12 -2 0.75 35% 0.8 .26 18% .39 83% .32
Feb
18		 Marquette B+ F A+ D+ C 38% 17% 46% C+ C B A A- B+ A+ F A+ A- A- D- A- B+ 45% 21% 34% A A- B+ F C C B- F C
1.11 44% 63% 32% -3 0 0.98 36% 1.2 .42 18% .42 67% .28 1.02 50% 45% 28% -5 0 0.92 26% 1.2 .32 15% .27 75% .21
Feb
21		 Creighton C B A- F B- 44% 33% 24% C- C+ C+ D- C- C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ 42% 16% 42% D A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ C-
1.08 63% 44% 23% 0 -1 1.00 29% 0.9 .26 15% .36 87% .31 0.70 43% 13% 29% -14 +1 0.76 13% 0.8 .10 24% .32 67% .21
Feb
25		 Connecticut F F F F F 34% 30% 36% D F A- F F+ A+ C+ B+ B- C+ D+ F A+ A+ 48% 18% 34% C A A F C+ F A+ F A-
0.69 40% 0% 25% -22 -1 0.55 33% 0.4 .13 14% .34 76% .26 1.24 67% 56% 18% -1 +1 1.02 30% 1.3 .40 9% .21 82% .17
Feb
28		 Villanova A+ B- D+ A+ A 43% 31% 26% C- A C- A+ A A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ 41% 16% 43% C- A+ A+ F A A+ B- A B
1.23 61% 35% 50% +7 -1 1.13 28% 1.5 .41 11% .37 71% .26 0.79 45% 13% 29% -13 +1 0.78 14% 1.8 .24 22% .28 63% .18
Mar
3		 Georgetown C- D F F F 48% 13% 39% A+ D- B+ B+ A- A- B- C+ B- A A F B B 46% 23% 31% D+ B- A+ F+ A- A+ A- A A
1.03 50% 29% 24% -11 +2 0.83 36% 1.1 .40 13% .31 74% .23 0.99 46% 58% 31% -2 0 0.98 22% 1.3 .28 20% .27 67% .18



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 5.1 64.0 69.1 1st
2nd 30.9 30.9 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 36.0 64.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 64.0    9.6 54.5
17-3 14.2% 5.1    5.1
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 69.1% 69.1 9.6 59.6



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 64.0% 99.9% 33.3% 66.6% 5.0 0.0 1.0 6.6 13.8 21.0 16.1 5.0 0.4 0.1 99.8%
17-3 36.0% 99.6% 26.2% 73.4% 5.8 0.1 1.2 3.5 9.4 12.4 7.2 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.1 99.5%
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 99.8% 30.8% 69.0% 5.2 0.2 99.7%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 21.3% 100.0% 4.2 0.1 4.1 20.6 34.5 31.0 8.9 0.7 0.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 22.6% 99.8% 5.2 0.4 6.2 17.9 36.3 31.0 7.6 0.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 11.0% 99.7% 5.5 0.1 4.2 12.7 31.7 35.1 14.9 1.0
Lose Out 6.3% 99.1% 6.5 0.7 2.1 13.2 34.0 33.4 12.5 2.9 0.2