Lindenwood
Ohio Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -6.1 269
Results Rating -5.9 253
Consistency 0.15 142
Pace 79.4 6
Improvement -1.6 244

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 318 D- C+ D D+ C+
Defense C 177 C- C- C+ D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 25 D+ 55% 256 +2.5 89
2 Pt. Jumpers 49% 60 F 29% 363 -1.5 260
Three Pointers 33% 335 F 28% 363 -7.1 352
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 149 F+ -6.2 352
1st FG Attempt D- 0.90 344
Second Chance C 30.6% 174 B- 1.09 92 C+ 0.33 120
Opponents' Steals D- 11.5% 334
Other Turnovers C 7.3% 198
Turnovers D 18.8% 310
Freethrows C 0.30 186 D- 67% 339 D+ 0.20 244
Total Offense D -5.9 318

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 172 C- 11.8% 230
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 29% 116 C- 5.8% 246
Three Pointers C 84% 192 C+ 0.7% 133
Total C- 54% 216 D 6.8% 309


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 21 C- 60% 220 +4.6 328
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 223 B 34% 54 -1.3 81
Three Pointers 36% 325 C- 35% 213 -2.4 76
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.7 292 C +0.2 191
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 208
Second Chance C- 31.9% 256 C 1.04 193 C- 0.33 238
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.9% 74
Other Turnovers D+ 6.6% 278
Turnovers C+ 17.4% 136
Freethrows D+ 0.34 291 B- 71% 90 D+ 0.24 266
Total Defense C -0.2 177

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 45% 106 C- 9.6% 223
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 98 A 11.0% 7
Three Pointers D- 89% 334 C- 0.6% 224
Total C+ 53% 137 B- 6.6% 96

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.6 31 16.7 77
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 42 0.20 298
Consistency 0.12 115 0.11 90
Improvement -2.4 302 +0.8 149

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 279 267 244
Results Rating Rank 274 268 203
Conference Record 11 - 9 11 - 9 11 - 9
Conference Finish 6 6 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9% 21% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four4% 11% 0%
First Round6% 15% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 415 - 916 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 12 @Texas Tech L 60 - 98 1% -19  9% 0 - 1 F+ -16 F -11 F+ F+ D+ C -1 B A- F
 Mon, Nov 10 25 @Saint Louis L 66 - 109 2% -22  0% 0 - 2 F -24 F+ -10 C+ B+ F F+ -9 F F A+
 Fri, Nov 14 250 Charleston Southern W 83 - 77 46% -6  18% 1 - 2 C +1 D+ -3 C+ D- D B +4 C- B+ B-
 Sun, Nov 16 302 @Alabama A&M L 65 - 74 48% -2  27% 1 - 3 D- -15 F -12 F C F C- -3 F+ F+ B
 Thu, Nov 20 39 @Indiana L 53 - 73 3% -14  0% 1 - 4 C- -3 F -16 F B F+ A+ +13 A+ C- D
 Mon, Nov 24 363 UMKC W 80 - 67 92% +6  69% 2 - 4 D -8 F+ -9 C- F D+ C -1 D+ B A+
 Tue, Dec 2 339 @Northern Illinois W 99 - 64 63% +22  94% 3 - 4 A+ +26 A+ +16 F A+ B+ A- +8 C- A+ B
 Sat, Dec 6 321 @Eastern Illinois W 82 - 74 54% -1  43% 4 - 4 1 - 0 C +1 B- +4 D A B D+ -4 B+ F F
 Thu, Dec 18 364 Western Illinois W 92 - 76 92% +13  97% 5 - 4 2 - 0 D+ -6 C +0 C- B+ D+ D- -7 F+ D- D
 Tue, Dec 23 205 @Missouri St. L 65 - 70 26% -5  15% 5 - 5 C- -4 F+ -9 F D- A- B +5 B D- F+
 Thu, Jan 1 282 Morehead St. W 77 - 64 64% +6  96% 6 - 5 3 - 0 C+ +3 D -5 A F C A- +8 B+ C+ C+
 Sat, Jan 3 336 Southern Indiana W 83 - 80 81% +5  88% 7 - 5 4 - 0 D- -12 C +1 F+ A+ D+ F -13 F C- B
 Tue, Jan 6 256 @SIU Edwardsville L 62 - 66 36% -2  23% 7 - 6 4 - 1 D+ -6 F -10 F A D- B +4 B- C B+
 Sat, Jan 10 301 Arkansas Little Rock L 74 - 82 70% -5  10% 7 - 7 4 - 2 F -19 D -5 C- B- F F -14 F F C+
 Thu, Jan 15 224 @Southeast Missouri St. W 88 - 76 30% +17  98% 8 - 7 5 - 2 B +11 C+ +3 C- A+ D A- +7 B+ F C
 Sat, Jan 17 231 @Tennessee Martin L 55 - 69 31% -10  2% 8 - 8 5 - 3 F+ -15 F -17 F C- F B- +2 D+ C B
 Thu, Jan 22 312 Tennessee Tech W 89 - 68 72% +19  97% 9 - 8 6 - 3 B +9 C +0 B- A+ F A- +7 A B+ B
 Sat, Jan 24 199 Tennessee St. L 86 - 96 46% -5  9% 9 - 9 6 - 4 F+ -15 C- -2 C- C- D+ F -13 F C- B
 Thu, Jan 29 336 @Southern Indiana W 73 - 60 62% +8  90% 10 - 9 7 - 4 C+ +4 F -12 F D+ F A+ +14 A D- A+
 Sat, Jan 31 282 @Morehead St. W 79 - 78 41% -2  30% 11 - 9 8 - 4 C- -3 D+ -3 B- C- F C+ +1 C+ A- F
 Tue, Feb 3 256 SIU Edwardsville L 72 - 78 59% +4  79% 11 - 10 8 - 5 D- -14 D- -6 D C- D- D- -8 F C B
 Thu, Feb 5 301 @Arkansas Little Rock W 79 - 74 48% +0  49% 12 - 10 9 - 5 C -0 B- +4 D- B- B- D+ -4 B+ F F
 Thu, Feb 12 231 Tennessee Martin W 75 - 74 53% -0  47% 13 - 10 10 - 5 D+ -6 C +2 A+ D- F D- -7 F C- B+
 Sat, Feb 14 224 Southeast Missouri St. L 61 - 73 52% -2  33% 13 - 11 10 - 6 F -19 F -17 F F+ A- C -1 C A+ C
 Thu, Feb 19 199 @Tennessee St. L 80 - 89 25% +2  48% 13 - 12 10 - 7 D+ -8 D -5 D+ C- F C- -2 B+ F D+
 Sat, Feb 21 312 @Tennessee Tech L 57 - 72 50% -3  13% 13 - 13 10 - 8 F -21 F -18 F F F+ D+ -4 D+ D- D
 Thu, Feb 26 321 Eastern Illinois L 67 - 71 75% -5  6% 13 - 14 10 - 9 F+ -17 F -11 F C+ D+ D- -7 F A+ C+
 Sat, Feb 28 364 @Western Illinois W 91 - 69 83% +16  95% 14 - 14 11 - 9 B- +6 B+ +8 D+ A+ A+ C- -3 C- F C
 Wed, Mar 4 301 Arkansas Little Rock W 72 - 62 59% +8  95% 15 - 14 C +2 F -14 F C A+ A+ +15 B+ A+ B
 Thu, Mar 5 224 Southeast Missouri St. L 75 - 77 41%
Totals 15 - 15 11 - 9 -6 D -6 A+ F+ C+ C +0 F D- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D+ F F F+ 45% 49% 33% C+ D- C B- C+ D C D- D+ C C- B C- C 45% 19% 36% D+ C- C- C C- C+ D+ B- D+
1.00 55% 29% 28% -6 0 0.90 31% 1.1 .33 19% .30 67% .20 1.09 60% 34% 35% 0 +1 1.04 32% 1.0 .33 17% .34 71% .21
Nov
4		 Texas Tech F F+ F F F 32% 30% 38% C+ F+ C- F F+ D+ A+ D+ A+ C B+ C+ D- B+ 28% 15% 57% C- B F+ A+ A- F F+ A D+
0.78 47% 25% 25% -13 -2 0.74 23% 0.5 .13 18% .42 65% .27 1.28 56% 40% 41% +5 0 1.12 42% 0.7 .29 9% .33 65% .22
Nov
10		 Saint Louis F+ B+ D- F C+ 42% 27% 31% C C+ B- A B+ F A+ F B- F+ F A+ F F 58% 2% 40% F+ F F F F A+ F B- F
0.81 60% 31% 27% -5 -1 0.92 28% 1.1 .31 30% .46 54% .25 1.35 76% 0% 50% +19 +4 1.48 48% 1.7 .83 25% .51 71% .36
Nov
14		 Charleston Southern D+ D+ C+ B C+ 40% 32% 28% D+ C+ D+ F D- D A+ D+ A B F F A- C 41% 4% 55% F+ C- B A B+ B- C D+ C-
1.06 52% 39% 38% -1 -1 0.98 27% 0.8 .23 14% .46 68% .31 0.99 70% 50% 29% +1 +2 1.09 25% 0.7 .18 20% .26 69% .18
Nov
16		 Alabama A&M F A- C F F 43% 17% 40% C F D+ B- C F A- F C+ C- D- A+ F F+ 36% 20% 44% D F+ D+ F F+ B F D+ F
0.96 70% 38% 16% -6 +1 0.91 29% 1.1 .32 21% .39 62% .24 1.09 63% 22% 40% +2 0 1.07 28% 1.3 .34 19% .46 76% .35
Nov
20		 Indiana F F F F F 40% 30% 30% C F A D- B F+ B+ A- A- A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 36% 18% 46% A- A+ B- F+ C- D F+ A- D
0.75 19% 25% 13% -29 -1 0.42 37% 0.9 .35 20% .35 80% .28 1.03 39% 33% 30% -10 0 0.82 28% 1.3 .35 11% .40 72% .29
Nov
24		 UMKC F+ B- F C+ D+ 60% 13% 27% A- C- D F F D+ A+ B A+ C D A+ C- C- 54% 26% 20% F+ D+ A- C+ B A+ F F F
1.06 65% 14% 36% +1 +2 1.10 31% 0.5 .14 19% .44 74% .32 0.89 60% 17% 33% -5 0 0.93 21% 0.9 .18 25% .46 77% .35
Dec
2		 Northern Illinois A+ F F C- F 59% 13% 28% B+ F A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ C- A A- A+ F F C 57% 9% 35% F C- D- A+ A+ B F A+ D-
1.33 47% 29% 33% -8 +2 0.91 50% 1.7 .83 13% .44 71% .31 0.86 38% 50% 44% -5 +3 0.98 35% 0.3 .09 24% .53 50% .27
Dec
6		 Eastern Illinois B- B+ F F D- 53% 14% 33% B D B- A+ A B A- C+ A- D+ B- A+ A+ A 61% 27% 12% F B+ F F F F C- B- C
1.14 67% 29% 18% -5 +2 0.96 38% 1.4 .53 17% .39 78% .30 1.03 50% 19% 14% -14 +1 0.76 33% 1.2 .40 13% .29 72% .21
Dec
18		 Western Illinois C C F A- C- 52% 19% 29% C+ C- B B- B+ D+ A+ F A D- F+ A+ A+ D+ 62% 15% 24% F F+ B F D- D F A+ D
1.21 63% 30% 40% +4 +1 1.12 39% 1.3 .49 16% .53 56% .30 1.00 62% 13% 23% -5 +2 0.96 21% 1.5 .32 15% .43 54% .23
Dec
23		 Missouri St. F+ B+ C F F 29% 27% 44% B- F C F D- A- A+ F B B F A+ A+ B+ 36% 20% 44% D B C F D- F+ D A+ B
0.94 71% 38% 14% -9 -1 0.81 31% 0.8 .24 13% .52 58% .30 1.02 78% 10% 23% -6 0 0.90 33% 1.3 .43 13% .38 52% .20
Jan
1		 Morehead St. D C+ A+ A+ A- 55% 8% 37% A A F F F C B F D- A- C- B A+ A- 40% 24% 36% D+ B+ B D+ C+ C+ B A- B+
1.11 61% 75% 42% +9 +3 1.25 15% 0.4 .06 14% .37 50% .19 0.92 60% 33% 22% -7 0 0.88 31% 1.0 .31 19% .27 67% .18
Jan
3		 Southern Indiana C D+ F D+ F 70% 19% 11% A- F+ A+ A+ A+ D+ F C+ F F F D- B+ F 46% 21% 32% D- F D- C+ C- B A- F C-
1.16 54% 10% 33% -8 +2 0.91 46% 1.5 .69 17% .20 75% .15 1.12 69% 42% 28% +3 0 1.09 33% 0.8 .27 20% .24 86% .21
Jan
6		 SIU Edwardsville F D- F F F 43% 23% 34% B- F B- A+ A D- D- F+ F+ B C+ A+ F C+ 32% 36% 32% B+ B- B- D C B+ F F+ F
0.89 48% 17% 11% -21 0 0.60 36% 1.3 .44 19% .26 67% .18 0.95 53% 24% 40% -4 -2 0.89 26% 1.1 .29 21% .40 73% .29
Jan
10		 Arkansas Little Rock D B A+ D C- 43% 12% 45% C+ C- C- A- B- F D+ A C F F D B F 42% 34% 25% D+ F F B- F C+ D+ F F
1.08 67% 50% 32% +4 +1 1.12 34% 1.1 .38 23% .27 79% .21 1.19 77% 39% 31% +7 -2 1.13 47% 0.9 .43 19% .25 86% .22
Jan
15		 Southeast Missouri St. C+ C F D- D- 61% 4% 35% A+ C- A- A+ A+ D A+ F B+ A- A+ A- C+ A 50% 12% 38% F B+ D F F C F+ B- D
1.08 57% 0% 29% -5 +4 1.00 35% 1.5 .51 20% .53 66% .35 0.93 41% 29% 32% -11 +2 0.84 31% 1.4 .44 17% .39 65% .25
Jan
17		 Tennessee Martin F F C- F F 18% 47% 36% F F D+ C+ C- F A+ F A+ B- D B- C- D 35% 26% 39% B D+ C C- C B A+ F+ A-
0.77 50% 33% 13% -15 -5 0.62 29% 1.0 .29 24% .50 63% .31 0.97 63% 36% 33% +1 -1 1.02 34% 0.9 .31 24% .20 73% .15
Jan
22		 Tennessee Tech C A D+ F C 61% 6% 33% A+ B- B+ A+ A+ F B+ B A- A- A+ C- A- A+ 51% 27% 22% D+ A F+ A+ B+ B F B F
1.17 71% 33% 24% +2 +3 1.14 37% 1.7 .63 24% .34 80% .27 0.89 36% 38% 27% -13 0 0.76 35% 0.7 .23 21% .50 73% .36
Jan
24		 Tennessee St. C- D+ B B+ C 38% 28% 34% F C- D- A C- D+ C- A+ A- F D F F F 56% 23% 21% F F C+ D C- B A+ A- A+
1.10 55% 47% 39% +4 -1 1.08 24% 1.3 .31 20% .35 91% .32 1.23 63% 64% 46% +12 +1 1.29 31% 1.1 .34 19% .16 70% .11
Jan
29		 Southern Indiana F A F F F 44% 35% 21% F F C D D+ F A+ B A+ A+ A+ D B A+ 49% 19% 32% F A F B D- A+ F A- D+
0.94 70% 17% 18% -7 -1 0.85 33% 0.9 .29 19% .43 78% .34 0.77 23% 40% 29% -19 +1 0.66 41% 0.8 .31 27% .39 59% .23
Jan
31		 Morehead St. D+ A+ F A+ B 30% 20% 50% D- B- F+ A- C- F A+ D+ A+ C+ D- C+ A+ C 41% 33% 27% B- C+ A+ C+ A- F F D+ F
1.09 77% 0% 45% +6 -1 1.14 29% 1.1 .32 22% .51 69% .35 1.08 65% 38% 23% -2 -1 0.96 26% 0.9 .23 12% .47 77% .36
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
3		 SIU Edwardsville D- D D+ D+ D 40% 31% 29% D+ D A F C- D- C F D- D- F A+ F F 47% 27% 27% F+ F C C+ C B F C F
0.99 50% 35% 31% -5 -1 0.89 42% 0.7 .29 19% .32 58% .19 1.07 70% 8% 54% +5 0 1.12 27% 1.0 .27 21% .36 67% .24
Feb
5		 Arkansas Little Rock B- F F A+ D- 45% 25% 29% D D- B C B- B- A- D- B D+ B- F+ A+ A 34% 26% 40% D- B+ F+ F F F F F+ F
1.17 48% 23% 53% 0 0 1.02 41% 0.9 .38 16% .37 67% .25 1.09 56% 43% 19% -8 -1 0.83 36% 1.4 .51 13% .31 72% .22
Feb
12		 Tennessee Martin C A+ C- D+ A+ 59% 13% 28% A+ A+ C- F D- F F+ A D+ D- F A+ F F 42% 11% 47% F F C+ D- C- B+ F A+ C-
1.08 78% 33% 31% +10 +2 1.26 31% 0.8 .23 25% .27 79% .21 1.07 68% 0% 43% +6 +1 1.18 33% 1.0 .33 25% .40 52% .21
Feb
14		 Southeast Missouri St. F F A F F 46% 23% 31% C- F F C+ F+ A- C F F C F A+ A+ C+ 55% 15% 30% F C C+ A+ A+ C F C- F
0.84 42% 50% 19% -12 0 0.79 17% 1.1 .20 14% .40 56% .22 1.01 69% 0% 21% -5 +2 0.96 26% 0.6 .15 17% .66 70% .46
Feb
19		 Tennessee St. D C- D A- D+ 49% 22% 29% D+ D+ D+ C+ C- F B+ C- B C- C B- A+ B+ 38% 38% 25% B B+ F F F D+ F B+ F
1.01 56% 36% 40% +1 +1 1.06 28% 1.1 .31 24% .41 72% .30 1.12 57% 33% 21% -7 -2 0.84 41% 1.4 .57 15% .46 71% .33
Feb
21		 Tennessee Tech F F+ F C F 31% 25% 44% D F F C- F F+ F C- F D+ A F D+ D+ 33% 25% 42% B- D+ B+ F D- D C F D
0.86 50% 15% 35% -8 -1 0.85 16% 1.2 .19 18% .15 75% .11 1.09 44% 50% 35% -1 -1 0.98 24% 1.6 .38 17% .29 88% .25
Feb
26		 Eastern Illinois F F F D F 52% 8% 40% A- F A- D- C+ D+ F+ F+ F D- D+ A+ F F 39% 43% 18% A- F C A+ A+ C+ F C- F
0.97 42% 0% 30% -14 +3 0.80 43% 0.9 .40 20% .25 71% .18 1.03 59% 21% 75% +4 -3 1.05 26% 0.3 .06 19% .59 76% .45
Feb
28		 Western Illinois B+ D+ F+ A D+ 47% 23% 30% D+ D+ B+ A+ A+ A+ F F F C- A- F A- C- 32% 24% 44% C- C- C+ F F C F+ C- D-
1.29 59% 31% 41% +2 0 1.07 40% 1.6 .66 9% .23 60% .14 0.98 44% 50% 27% -6 -1 0.88 23% 1.9 .43 17% .36 67% .24
Mar
4		 Arkansas Little Rock F F F F F 57% 17% 26% B F D B+ C A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ D+ D- A+ B 29% 45% 25% A B+ D A+ A+ B F A+ D-
0.93 43% 11% 14% -21 +2 0.64 31% 1.1 .33 12% .63 65% .41 0.80 63% 40% 14% -5 -4 0.84 33% 0.4 .15 21% .36 55% .20



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 8.6% 8.6% 15.9 1.2 7.4 91.4
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 15.9 91.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 8.6% 100.0% 15.9 13.7 86.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 13.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 19.5%
Lose Out 58.9%