Oral Roberts
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -11.4 337
Expected Predictive Rating -13.6 348
Pace 69.1 170
Improvement -6.4 356

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D #328 D D D+ C B-
Defense D #316 D+ D D C- D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 182 51% 329 -2.7 276
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 279 37% 196 -1.8 272
Three Pointers 45% 91 30% 316 -0.2 186
1st FG Attempt 0.92 321 -4.8 321
Second Chance 26.2% 301 0.97 274 0.25 306
Turnovers 18.2% 265
Freethrows 0.30 207 72% 190 0.22 201
Total Offense -6.3 328

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 48% 4 55% 96 -4.3 321
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 279 44% 346 +0.2 175
Three Pointers 34% 341 37% 316 +1.9 102
1st FG Attempt 1.06 255 -2.3 257
Second Chance 32.6% 269 1.15 326 0.37 316
Turnovers 14.8% 309
Freethrows 0.33 266 71% 116 0.23 244
Total Defense -5.0 316

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.6 104 +1.1 353
Shot Type Accuracy -5.2 335 +1.1 224
Possession Length 17.2 164 16.5 49
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 146 0.16 132
Improvement -4.2 #347 -2.2 #300

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 52% 40% 87%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: UMKC (Home) - 73.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 32 - 82 - 14
Quad 44 - 105 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 59 @Oklahoma St. L 71 - 95 2% -9  3% 0 - 1 D- -12 F -12 F D+ C- B +5 A- F B
 Wed, Nov 12 70 Tulsa L 87 - 88 7% +2  67% 0 - 2 C+ +4 B +7 A C+ B C- -3 A- C- B-
 Sat, Nov 15 78 Belmont L 60 - 83 8% -6  27% 0 - 3 F -19 F -20 F F C+ B- +3 C F A+
 Thu, Nov 20 54 @Oklahoma L 71 - 95 2% -19  0% 0 - 4 D -11 C- -1 D A+ F F+ -9 B- F F
 Mon, Nov 24 243 @Florida Gulf Coast L 88 - 93 18% -0  40% 0 - 5 D+ -7 B +7 A+ C+ F F -13 F F D+
 Tue, Nov 25 154 Kennesaw St. W 91 - 83 14% -1  39% 1 - 5 B +8 B +7 A+ F F C+ +1 C- C+ B
 Wed, Nov 26 220 Rice L 62 - 81 21% -10  9% 1 - 6 F -22 F+ -8 F A- D F -16 F F D+
 Wed, Dec 3 232 @Weber St. L 66 - 92 16% -17  2% 1 - 7 F -27 F -15 D- F F+ F+ -10 F C+ F+
 Sat, Dec 6 162 Montana St. W 72 - 68 22% -6  12% 2 - 7 C +1 C+ +2 D- C D C -1 D B- A
 Tue, Dec 16 179 @Missouri St. L 62 - 63 11% -2  18% 2 - 8 C +1 D- -6 F+ D- C+ B+ +7 C+ A D+
 Thu, Dec 18 50 @TCU L 53 - 72 2% -15  0% 2 - 9 D+ -5 D -4 B F D- D+ -4 B F D
 Mon, Dec 22 169 Texas Arlington L 57 - 69 23% -6  5% 2 - 10 F+ -16 F -15 F D F+ C -1 D+ D- C+
 Thu, Jan 1 288 @North Dakota L 61 - 72 25% -10  0% 2 - 11 0 - 1 F+ -15 F -18 F D- B+ B- +2 C D+ A
 Sat, Jan 3 146 @North Dakota St. L 77 - 79 2OT 9% +0  40% 2 - 12 0 - 2 C+ +2 D+ -3 D- C C+ B +5 A F A
 Sat, Jan 10 123 St. Thomas L 71 - 82 16% -2  21% 2 - 13 0 - 3 D- -12 C- -2 C D- A F+ -11 C+ C F
 Wed, Jan 14 257 @Denver L 87 - 98 20% -6  13% 2 - 14 0 - 4 D- -13 B- +5 C+ D A F -18 F D- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 249 Nebraska Omaha L 62 - 73 37% -6  1% 2 - 15 0 - 5 F -19 F -16 F D- F+ D+ -4 D- A+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 288 North Dakota L 62 - 79 46% -8  6% 2 - 16 0 - 6 F -27 F -17 F B F F -12 D+ F F
 Sat, Jan 24 146 North Dakota St. L 58 - 86 19% -19  3% 2 - 17 0 - 7 F -30 F -13 D+ C- D- F -21 F F+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 281 @South Dakota L 69 - 77 24% -1  36% 2 - 18 0 - 8 D- -12 F -10 D F B C- -2 B+ F F
 Sat, Jan 31 193 @South Dakota St. L 72 - 95 13% -14  2% 2 - 19 0 - 9 F -22 D- -6 F D- A- F -15 F F D
 Sat, Feb 7 123 @St. Thomas L 75 - 92 7% -5  28% 2 - 20 0 - 10 D- -12 D+ -4 F+ C+ B D -6 D B+ F
 Thu, Feb 12 357 UMKC W 76 - 69 74%
 Sat, Feb 14 193 South Dakota St. L 71 - 77 28%
 Wed, Feb 18 249 @Nebraska Omaha L 70 - 79 19%
 Sat, Feb 21 281 South Dakota L 77 - 78 45%
 Thu, Feb 26 257 Denver L 79 - 82 39%
 Sat, Feb 28 357 @UMKC W 73 - 72 52%
Totals 5 - 23 3 - 13 -11 D -6 D D D+ D -5 D+ D D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- C- D D- 39% 16% 45% B- D D D+ D D+ C- C C D B- F+ D C- 48% 17% 34% D- D+ D+ D- D D D+ C+ C-
1.00 51% 37% 30% -5 +1 0.92 26% 1.0 .25 18% .30 72% .22 1.16 55% 44% 37% +1 +1 1.06 33% 1.2 .37 15% .33 71% .21
Nov
4		 Oklahoma St. F B- F F F 38% 8% 54% B F D C+ D+ C- B D+ B- B A F C+ A 55% 10% 35% D A- D- F F B F D+ F
0.83 61% 0% 18% -15 +2 0.75 23% 1.1 .25 19% .32 68% .22 1.11 45% 50% 33% -6 +3 0.95 37% 1.3 .46 18% .43 77% .33
Nov
12		 Tulsa B A+ F A+ A 31% 13% 56% C+ A F+ A+ C+ B B F C+ C- B+ A+ C- A 51% 9% 40% D+ A- D+ C+ C- B- F C+ F
1.20 76% 0% 42% +8 0 1.18 19% 1.7 .31 14% .32 65% .21 1.21 50% 25% 37% -3 +2 1.00 34% 1.3 .43 16% .59 78% .46
Nov
15		 Belmont F C- A+ F F 33% 15% 52% B- F F D F C+ A+ C+ A+ B- B- C F C 45% 16% 39% B- C F+ F F A+ C A+ A
0.80 53% 50% 11% -18 0 0.67 23% 0.9 .20 17% .42 77% .32 1.10 59% 38% 47% +8 +1 1.20 35% 1.5 .52 25% .30 47% .14
Nov
20		 Oklahoma C- F D+ C- D 30% 26% 45% C- D B+ A+ A+ F C A- C+ F+ C D B+ B- 43% 22% 34% C+ B- B- F F F D+ B+ C
1.01 43% 33% 33% -6 -1 0.87 37% 1.4 .51 26% .29 80% .23 1.35 60% 46% 30% +1 0 1.03 32% 1.8 .57 4% .34 70% .24
Nov
24		 Florida Gulf Coast B B- B- A+ A+ 46% 10% 44% B+ A+ C B C+ F A C+ A F F F B- F 36% 30% 34% C F F D- F D+ F C+ F
1.19 64% 40% 48% +12 +2 1.29 31% 1.1 .35 24% .45 76% .34 1.26 82% 50% 31% +11 -1 1.21 41% 1.2 .48 16% .55 71% .39
Nov
25		 Kennesaw St. B A F A+ A+ 44% 11% 44% B A+ F C F F A A+ A+ C+ B- F B D+ 38% 22% 40% A- C- C+ C+ C+ B F B F
1.17 65% 20% 60% +19 +2 1.42 17% 1.0 .17 26% .49 86% .42 1.07 53% 55% 30% -1 0 1.00 33% 0.9 .31 19% .56 66% .37
Nov
26		 Rice F+ F A+ F F 37% 14% 49% A F C A+ A- D F F F F A F F F 37% 27% 37% D- F F+ F F D+ A- F C-
1.00 39% 57% 25% -11 +1 0.82 33% 1.4 .45 18% .20 60% .12 1.31 44% 54% 56% +11 -1 1.22 43% 1.4 .61 16% .23 92% .21
Dec
3		 Weber St. F F D A- D- 36% 11% 53% C+ D- F F F F+ C- D D+ F+ F A+ C- F 65% 11% 25% F F C+ C C+ F+ A- F B-
0.89 37% 33% 39% -4 +1 0.96 16% 0.5 .08 20% .32 68% .22 1.25 73% 17% 36% +8 +3 1.25 30% 1.0 .30 12% .28 78% .22
Dec
6		 Montana St. C+ D C F F+ 51% 21% 28% C+ D- A F C D A+ A+ A+ C F F+ B- D+ 37% 12% 51% F D F A+ B- A C B+ C+
1.12 50% 40% 23% -8 +1 0.87 41% 0.8 .32 19% .50 92% .46 1.06 67% 50% 32% +3 +1 1.10 40% 0.6 .26 22% .26 69% .18
Dec
16		 Missouri St. D- B+ F A D- 16% 40% 44% F F+ F A+ D- C+ A A+ A+ B+ F F+ A C 18% 31% 51% A C+ A- A A D+ D D- D-
0.98 71% 17% 40% -2 -4 0.89 15% 1.8 .27 17% .44 87% .38 0.99 88% 43% 26% +1 -3 0.98 26% 0.9 .23 16% .39 71% .28
Dec
18		 TCU D D+ F A+ B 41% 16% 43% B B C+ F F D- F F+ F D+ C+ B- A A- 62% 13% 24% F B F C- F D F+ B+ D+
0.88 50% 29% 42% +1 +1 1.05 28% 0.2 .06 23% .17 63% .11 1.20 57% 33% 27% -4 +3 1.00 47% 1.1 .53 13% .40 67% .27
Dec
22		 Texas Arlington F D- D+ F F 46% 19% 35% A- F B- F D F+ A A+ A+ C A+ A+ F C 57% 2% 41% F D+ A F D- C+ D+ A C+
0.85 50% 33% 12% -16 +1 0.71 32% 0.8 .24 21% .47 84% .39 1.03 40% 0% 44% -5 +4 1.00 29% 1.4 .42 21% .38 65% .24
Jan
1		 North Dakota F F A+ F F 41% 14% 45% C F F A D- B+ D- F F+ B- A+ B+ F C+ 51% 16% 33% D+ C F B D+ A F C+ F
0.88 45% 57% 18% -13 +1 0.78 23% 1.3 .30 17% .33 63% .21 1.04 41% 29% 43% -6 +1 0.93 36% 0.9 .33 20% .62 68% .42
Jan
3		 North Dakota St. D+ D F C- F+ 31% 12% 57% B- D- C+ C- C C+ D A C- B A A- B+ A+ 39% 24% 37% D+ A F B F A F A+ F
1.03 56% 29% 33% -2 +1 0.98 33% 0.8 .28 19% .21 85% .18 1.05 48% 31% 30% -8 0 0.85 52% 0.9 .45 21% .53 61% .32
Jan
10		 St. Thomas C- A D- D- C 37% 20% 43% D+ C D- C- D- A A+ F C+ F+ D C+ A+ B 60% 6% 33% F C+ F A+ C F F D F
1.07 72% 30% 29% 0 0 1.02 24% 1.1 .26 14% .39 55% .21 1.24 69% 33% 25% +2 +3 1.13 31% 0.6 .19 9% .52 74% .38
Jan
14		 Denver B- B+ B- C- C+ 49% 9% 42% B+ C+ C F D A C F D- F B- F F F 32% 25% 43% C- F D- D+ D- D+ F F F
1.24 68% 40% 33% +5 +2 1.16 35% 0.9 .32 9% .31 55% .17 1.40 53% 62% 48% +13 -1 1.26 34% 1.2 .41 13% .43 85% .36
Jan
17		 Nebraska Omaha F F A+ F F 43% 7% 50% A- F F+ C D- F+ A+ C+ A+ D+ A- F F D 52% 13% 35% F D- A+ B A+ F C- A+ B-
0.92 42% 100% 23% -11 +2 0.84 21% 1.0 .21 18% .45 76% .34 1.09 48% 57% 44% +3 +2 1.12 13% 1.0 .13 12% .30 61% .19
Jan
22		 North Dakota F D F F F 55% 3% 43% A F B C+ B F A+ C A+ F A+ C+ F C 63% 12% 25% F D+ D+ F F F B- F D-
0.94 55% 0% 18% -13 +4 0.83 39% 1.2 .45 27% .57 70% .40 1.20 39% 33% 54% -5 +3 0.98 30% 1.4 .42 9% .30 89% .27
Jan
24		 North Dakota St. F D+ C- C D 40% 17% 43% B- D+ F+ B+ C- D- F+ F F F D F F F 53% 8% 40% F F C+ F F+ F A+ F B+
0.93 58% 38% 35% +1 +1 1.04 23% 1.0 .23 22% .19 67% .12 1.38 64% 50% 43% +10 +3 1.26 31% 1.3 .41 10% .16 89% .14
Jan
29		 South Dakota F F A+ A- D 53% 24% 24% D D F F F B D+ F D- C- A- A+ A+ A+ 67% 8% 25% F B+ B- F F F F A F
0.97 41% 62% 38% -2 +1 1.00 23% 0.6 .13 14% .25 67% .16 1.09 47% 25% 25% -12 +4 0.85 26% 1.5 .38 7% .56 68% .38
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 South Dakota St. D- F A C- F 26% 14% 60% C F D D- D- A- A+ D A F B+ F F F 57% 12% 31% F F C- F F D A A+ A
0.98 20% 50% 32% -10 0 0.82 24% 0.9 .22 12% .42 70% .30 1.30 52% 71% 56% +10 +2 1.28 30% 1.6 .48 14% .19 58% .11
Feb
7		 St. Thomas D+ D- A+ F F+ 30% 14% 56% C- F+ B D C+ B C F D+ D D- F C+ D 54% 12% 35% D D A D+ B+ F F A F
1.00 53% 50% 25% -7 0 0.88 34% 1.1 .36 16% .27 65% .17 1.23 71% 50% 33% +8 +2 1.23 12% 1.0 .12 5% .53 63% .34



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 0.3 1.4 7th
8th 17.9 27.8 16.3 3.9 0.1 66.0 8th
9th 3.5 16.0 11.2 1.5 0.0 32.3 9th
Total 3.5 16.0 29.1 29.3 16.4 5.0 0.6 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 0.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
5-11 5.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 4.9
4-12 16.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 16.3
3-13 29.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 29.3
2-14 29.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 29.1
1-15 16.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 16.0
0-16 3.5% 3.5
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.8%