UC San Diego
Big West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +1.9 133
Results Rating +2.8 122
Consistency 0.15 167
Pace 68.1 188
Improvement -4.9 338

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 199 C+ D+ C+ D B
Defense B- 84 B- C+ C- B C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 104 C+ 60% 117 +2.5 91
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 290 D+ 35% 264 -2.8 310
Three Pointers 44% 108 C 34% 165 +2.0 114
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.0 56 C +0.5 147
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 122
Second Chance D+ 26.2% 296 C 1.02 204 D+ 0.27 280
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.2% 158
Other Turnovers C+ 6.9% 127
Turnovers C+ 16.1% 139
Freethrows D 0.27 290 D 68% 315 D 0.18 320
Total Offense C- -1.3 199

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 42% 287 C 10.9% 172
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 95 C 5.4% 221
Three Pointers B 90% 55 C+ 0.8% 160
Total C+ 57% 148 C 5.6% 195


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 292 B- 55% 99 -3.3 71
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 239 C 39% 210 -0.6 136
Three Pointers 47% 32 B 31% 63 +1.1 243
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 156 B- -2.7 71
1st FG Attempt B- 0.96 81
Second Chance B- 28.1% 96 C 1.04 199 C+ 0.29 128
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.3% 118
Other Turnovers D- 5.7% 351
Turnovers C- 16.0% 225
Freethrows B 0.26 63 B- 71% 84 B 0.18 53
Total Defense B- +3.2 84

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 312 D+ 8.8% 266
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 302 D 2.5% 312
Three Pointers C 84% 172 D+ 0.5% 257
Total D 61% 307 D 3.8% 319

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.8 111 17.9 269
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 121 0.18 214
Consistency 0.15 332 0.13 211
Improvement -8.0 365 +3.1 48

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 152 133 115
Results Rating Rank 157 127 106
Conference Record 11 - 9 12 - 8 13 - 7
Conference Finish 6 4 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 13
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11% 13% 9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.0 13.3
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round11% 13% 9%
Second Round1% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Cal St. Fullerton (Away) - 54.9% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 21 - 2
Quad 39 - 511 - 8
Quad 411 - 321 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 288 Houston Christian W 78 - 60 87% +13  76% 1 - 0 B- +8 C- -2 B F+ C+ A +10 C- A- A
 Wed, Nov 12 129 @Fresno St. W 78 - 73 38% +4  74% 2 - 0 B +10 B +6 A B- F B +4 C+ B- B
 Sat, Nov 15 181 Idaho W 75 - 67 73% -3  25% 3 - 0 C+ +4 D+ -3 C+ D- C- B+ +6 A C C-
 Mon, Nov 24 165 Temple W 91 - 76 59% +9  88% 4 - 0 B+ +14 A+ +16 A+ F A+ C -1 B+ F D-
 Tue, Nov 25 110 Bradley W 87 - 77 44% +3  68% 5 - 0 B+ +13 A +13 C+ A+ A+ C+ +0 B F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 167 Towson W 87 - 73 60% +13  96% 6 - 0 B+ +13 A+ +22 A+ C+ A- D- -7 C+ D+ D
 Tue, Dec 2 81 @Nevada L 70 - 76 21% -4  7% 6 - 1 C+ +4 B- +5 F+ A- A+ C- -2 D+ D D+
 Sat, Dec 6 268 @Long Beach St. W 80 - 74 68% +4  75% 7 - 1 1 - 0 C+ +3 B +6 A F C+ C- -3 D+ B F
 Sat, Dec 13 184 Tulane W 93 - 67 64% +16  90% 8 - 1 A+ +24 B+ +8 A- C- B A+ +14 A B+ A-
 Tue, Dec 16 158 @Loyola Marymount W 67 - 57 45% +3  65% 9 - 1 B+ +13 D -6 B- C F A+ +19 B A+ A+
 Fri, Dec 19 238 San Diego L 80 - 82 81% -7  6% 9 - 2 D -9 B+ +8 C+ C+ A F -17 C+ F D
 Thu, Jan 1 226 @Cal Poly L 65 - 67 60% +2  77% 9 - 3 1 - 1 C- -3 F+ -8 F B+ C- B+ +6 A D+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 118 Hawaii W 83 - 73 57% +7  72% 10 - 3 2 - 1 B +10 A +14 B+ A A D+ -3 B- F+ D
 Thu, Jan 8 203 Cal St. Fullerton L 71 - 88 75% -4  45% 10 - 4 2 - 2 F -22 D- -7 F A F F -15 F D F
 Sat, Jan 10 276 @UC Riverside W 69 - 66 69% -1  41% 11 - 4 3 - 2 C -0 C- -1 B- C- F+ C+ +1 A- F B-
 Thu, Jan 15 168 Cal St. Northridge L 79 - 84 70% -2  22% 11 - 5 3 - 3 D -9 C -0 D- B- A+ D- -8 B F F
 Sat, Jan 17 329 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 83 - 62 83% +13  89% 12 - 5 4 - 3 B+ +13 C+ +2 D+ D+ A+ A +10 B- A+ B
 Thu, Jan 22 175 @UC Davis W 80 - 74 50% +1  58% 13 - 5 5 - 3 B- +8 C +1 B D- D B+ +7 A B D-
 Sat, Jan 24 123 UC Irvine L 59 - 61 58% -1  26% 13 - 6 5 - 4 C- -2 F -11 C+ F A+ A +9 A- A- F+
 Thu, Jan 29 142 UC Santa Barbara L 48 - 62 64% -9  4% 13 - 7 5 - 5 F+ -16 F -27 D F F A +10 A A- C
 Sat, Jan 31 168 @Cal St. Northridge L 64 - 81 48% -7  10% 13 - 8 5 - 6 D- -15 F -14 F D B- C+ +1 C- D- A-
 Thu, Feb 5 268 Long Beach St. W 77 - 74 84% -1  32% 14 - 8 6 - 6 D+ -6 D- -8 D+ C F C+ +1 D+ A+ D+
 Sat, Feb 7 118 @Hawaii L 67 - 72 35% -4  22% 14 - 9 6 - 7 C +1 D -6 C F B- A- +7 B B- C
 Thu, Feb 12 175 UC Davis W 68 - 51 72% +11  80% 15 - 9 7 - 7 B+ +13 F+ -10 A- F F A+ +22 A A+ C+
 Sat, Feb 14 276 UC Riverside W 72 - 66 85% +5  87% 16 - 9 8 - 7 C- -3 D- -7 D- F+ C+ B +4 A- B D-
 Sat, Feb 21 123 @UC Irvine W 71 - 69 35% +5  89% 17 - 9 9 - 7 B- +8 A +12 A+ D+ A D+ -4 C D+ F
 Thu, Feb 26 329 Cal St. Bakersfield W 84 - 72 92% +11  97% 18 - 9 10 - 7 C- -2 C -0 D A+ C+ C- -2 D- A+ C-
 Sat, Feb 28 226 Cal Poly W 80 - 64 79% +9  87% 19 - 9 11 - 7 B +9 C -0 C F A+ A +9 B B+ C+
 Thu, Mar 5 203 @Cal St. Fullerton W 78 - 77 55%
 Sat, Mar 7 142 @UC Santa Barbara L 70 - 72 41%
Totals 20 - 10 12 - 8 +2 C- -1 A+ C B B- +3 C D D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C+ D+ C C 41% 28% 44% B C+ D+ C D+ C+ D D D B- B- C B B- 35% 19% 47% C B- B- C C+ C- B B- B
1.07 60% 35% 34% +1 +1 1.05 26% 1.0 .27 16% .27 68% .18 1.04 55% 39% 31% -3 0 0.96 28% 1.0 .29 16% .26 71% .19
Nov
8		 Houston Christian C- B C A B+ 36% 16% 48% C- B D- D- F+ C+ D- B D A D- A C+ D+ 34% 22% 44% B- C- A+ B- A- A C+ A+ A+
1.12 67% 38% 42% +9 0 1.20 27% 1.0 .27 17% .23 77% .17 0.86 65% 27% 32% -2 0 0.98 19% 0.9 .16 23% .26 36% .09
Nov
12		 Fresno St. B A+ A+ D+ A 27% 10% 63% B- A B+ D+ B- F C F F B A- D- C- B- 41% 18% 41% C- C+ F+ A+ B- B F C- F+
1.10 86% 60% 30% +6 +1 1.15 34% 1.0 .34 25% .24 46% .11 1.03 50% 44% 35% -2 0 1.00 35% 0.7 .24 20% .37 76% .28
Nov
15		 Idaho D+ A- F D- C 50% 15% 35% A+ C+ F A+ D- C- A+ B A+ B+ A+ B+ C- A 24% 14% 62% B- A B- D C C- D- C+ D
1.07 67% 29% 29% 0 +2 1.06 13% 1.5 .19 16% .48 79% .37 0.96 25% 29% 35% -8 0 0.86 26% 1.1 .29 16% .34 70% .24
Nov
24		 Temple A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 18% 44% C+ A+ F F F A+ C+ F F C C- A A+ A- 38% 19% 43% D+ B+ B- F F D- F+ C+ D
1.33 76% 70% 50% +23 0 1.49 7% 0.5 .04 7% .32 45% .14 1.11 60% 30% 26% -6 0 0.91 26% 1.5 .39 10% .42 73% .31
Nov
25		 Bradley A D- D A- C- 41% 12% 47% A+ C+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ C+ A D- C+ B+ 31% 14% 55% D B F F F A+ B+ C+ B+
1.24 50% 33% 39% 0 +1 1.04 27% 1.7 .45 13% .51 74% .38 1.10 47% 43% 33% -3 0 0.96 37% 1.5 .55 20% .27 73% .20
Nov
26		 Towson A+ A- D+ A+ A+ 31% 22% 47% D+ A+ F+ A+ C+ A- C F F D- C+ B- C+ C 25% 33% 42% B+ C+ D C- D+ D D+ F F+
1.36 67% 36% 65% +24 -1 1.49 20% 1.4 .28 11% .26 47% .12 1.14 54% 35% 32% -3 -3 0.90 39% 0.9 .34 14% .31 82% .25
Dec
2		 Nevada B- D- C+ F F 56% 9% 35% A+ F+ B- A A- A+ F B- F C- D D- B+ C- 46% 20% 35% F+ D+ F+ C D D+ C- A+ A-
1.09 47% 40% 20% -14 +3 0.81 30% 1.4 .42 6% .18 73% .13 1.18 62% 44% 31% +2 +1 1.07 39% 1.1 .42 12% .39 59% .23
Dec
6		 Long Beach St. B B+ D- A+ A 45% 13% 43% B+ A F F F C+ A C+ A C- C- F C D+ 29% 23% 48% D+ D+ C+ A- B F A+ B A+
1.18 67% 33% 45% +10 +1 1.26 18% 0.8 .14 16% .44 76% .33 1.09 63% 46% 33% +3 -1 1.05 25% 0.9 .22 13% .17 70% .12
Dec
13		 Tulane B+ B F A- B 53% 5% 42% A+ A- B+ F C- B F D+ F+ A+ C C A+ A 42% 25% 33% B- A B- A+ B+ A- B- A B+
1.19 63% 0% 40% +4 +3 1.17 40% 0.8 .30 15% .24 69% .17 0.86 58% 36% 16% -10 0 0.82 20% 0.9 .17 19% .35 68% .24
Dec
16		 Loyola Marymount D A- F F C 57% 16% 27% A+ B- B+ F C F B+ F D- A+ A- F B B+ 24% 20% 57% C B A- A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+
0.95 64% 25% 23% -3 +2 1.00 37% 0.8 .31 23% .35 47% .16 0.80 50% 50% 31% -2 -1 0.96 21% 0.5 .11 25% .19 40% .08
Dec
19		 San Diego B+ B- A+ D C- 44% 6% 50% A- C+ D- A+ C+ A D- B- D F B+ F C B- 38% 15% 47% F+ C+ F F F D B- F F+
1.26 65% 67% 31% +2 +2 1.12 28% 1.4 .38 14% .29 75% .22 1.29 52% 50% 35% 0 +1 1.04 39% 1.1 .45 16% .21 109% .22
Jan
1		 Cal Poly F+ F F F F 32% 15% 53% C- F B- B+ B+ C- D- A+ C- B+ C A+ A A 26% 7% 67% B A F+ B- D+ F B+ A A
0.98 41% 25% 25% -15 0 0.74 35% 1.2 .42 17% .23 85% .20 1.01 57% 0% 28% -9 +1 0.85 36% 0.9 .33 14% .24 71% .17
Jan
3		 Hawaii A D- A+ D+ B 45% 13% 42% B+ B+ B A+ A A F+ A+ C D+ C+ F A+ B 46% 9% 46% D- B- A F F+ D C+ F D
1.23 48% 86% 30% -1 +2 1.04 31% 1.3 .41 12% .25 87% .22 1.08 57% 75% 24% -4 +2 0.98 23% 1.7 .40 16% .34 84% .28
Jan
8		 Cal St. Fullerton D- C D- F F 27% 6% 67% B- F B+ A A F A A+ A+ F F A+ F F 29% 21% 50% B- F A F D F D- A+ C-
1.02 62% 33% 27% -6 +1 0.92 35% 1.3 .44 24% .38 90% .34 1.27 73% 9% 50% +10 -1 1.21 18% 1.7 .30 9% .38 63% .24
Jan
10		 UC Riverside C- A+ C F C+ 49% 12% 39% B+ B- C D C- F+ A+ D+ A+ C+ B- D A+ B+ 27% 24% 49% A A- F+ F F B- F F F
1.07 75% 40% 25% +3 +2 1.12 31% 0.9 .28 19% .47 68% .32 1.02 54% 42% 25% -7 -1 0.86 33% 1.2 .38 20% .39 85% .33
Jan
15		 Cal St. Northridge C D C+ F F+ 38% 17% 45% B- D- D- A+ B- A+ C- C- C- D- B+ F A- B 48% 20% 31% B- B D F F F F C F
1.09 52% 40% 26% -7 +1 0.88 21% 1.7 .36 8% .29 74% .21 1.16 50% 45% 29% -5 +1 0.94 36% 1.2 .44 10% .44 66% .29
Jan
17		 Cal St. Bakersfield C+ F+ F A D 43% 14% 43% B- D+ F A+ D+ A+ D- D+ D- A A A- C- B- 29% 29% 43% C- B- C A+ A+ B F B F
1.17 50% 25% 42% 0 +1 1.04 23% 1.4 .33 11% .32 70% .22 0.87 43% 29% 33% -8 -2 0.84 31% 0.4 .12 21% .48 70% .34
Jan
22		 UC Davis C A- A+ D- B 45% 8% 47% B+ B B- F D- D A+ D A+ B+ A+ B- F A+ 38% 16% 47% D A B- B B D- C+ A B
1.08 68% 75% 30% +5 +2 1.16 34% 0.6 .22 22% .46 70% .33 0.99 27% 33% 41% -8 +1 0.88 24% 0.9 .22 15% .33 67% .22
Jan
24		 UC Irvine F C- C- D+ C+ 31% 19% 50% C+ C+ F F F A+ F D- F A A- C+ A- B+ 40% 35% 25% B+ A- A+ D A- F+ A A+ A+
0.84 50% 36% 31% -5 0 0.91 18% 0.0 .00 13% .15 67% .10 0.87 45% 37% 29% -8 -2 0.84 20% 1.1 .23 14% .22 54% .12
Jan
29		 UC Santa Barbara F D F B+ F+ 57% 12% 31% A+ D C- F F F F F F A A+ A D- A 24% 24% 51% A A A+ D A- C F+ A- D+
0.73 54% 0% 38% -5 +2 0.98 26% 0.0 .00 29% .26 58% .15 0.95 36% 27% 39% -4 -1 0.91 21% 1.1 .24 18% .37 70% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Cal St. Northridge F F F D F 43% 16% 41% B F C+ F D B- D+ F F C+ C+ F C+ C- 48% 17% 35% C C- F C D- A- F F F
0.85 42% 22% 30% -12 +1 0.80 29% 0.9 .25 15% .28 44% .12 1.08 56% 44% 33% 0 +1 1.04 40% 1.0 .40 21% .39 78% .30
Feb
5		 Long Beach St. D- F C A D 47% 11% 43% A- D+ B- F+ C F A+ D+ A+ C+ F B D D 28% 36% 36% B+ D+ A+ F A+ D+ D- F F
1.03 45% 40% 40% -2 +2 1.02 32% 1.1 .35 24% .51 72% .37 0.99 73% 32% 37% +4 -3 1.04 3% 2.0 .06 16% .32 85% .27
Feb
7		 Hawaii D C+ C+ D- C 38% 18% 45% C C F A+ F B- D+ F F+ A- D- F A+ B+ 42% 8% 50% D B D A B- C D+ A C+
0.90 57% 40% 28% -4 0 0.95 5% 2.0 .11 15% .28 56% .16 0.97 67% 50% 20% -6 +2 0.94 33% 0.8 .28 19% .38 65% .25
Feb
12		 UC Davis F+ B- A+ A A- 50% 15% 35% B- A- F C+ F F F B F A+ A A- B A+ 41% 25% 34% C+ A A A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+
0.97 63% 57% 41% +9 +2 1.23 17% 1.0 .17 30% .18 78% .14 0.73 48% 29% 32% -8 0 0.86 20% 0.2 .04 18% .12 14% .02
Feb
14		 UC Riverside D- B B- F F+ 45% 14% 41% B D- F+ F F+ C+ C- B+ C B B+ A+ A- A 36% 13% 51% D A- A+ F+ B D- B F C-
1.01 65% 43% 19% -5 +1 0.94 23% 0.8 .18 14% .33 75% .25 0.93 50% 14% 29% -10 +1 0.84 18% 1.0 .18 15% .27 88% .23
Feb
21		 UC Irvine A A F A+ A+ 33% 25% 42% C- A+ C D- D+ A D- A+ C- D+ A B F C+ 47% 23% 30% D- C D- C+ D+ F A+ D A+
1.12 63% 25% 45% +5 -1 1.10 33% 0.8 .27 14% .20 82% .17 1.09 44% 33% 44% -3 0 0.96 36% 1.0 .36 13% .13 71% .09
Feb
26		 Cal St. Bakersfield C D A D D- 39% 18% 43% C D D+ A+ A+ C+ A+ D A+ C- F F A+ D- 30% 28% 41% D+ D- A+ F A+ C- F D F
1.18 53% 50% 32% -1 0 1.00 33% 1.8 .61 17% .59 69% .40 1.01 79% 54% 16% -1 -2 0.98 13% 1.3 .17 18% .55 78% .43
Feb
28		 Cal Poly C A- F C C 40% 19% 41% C C F+ F F A+ D F F+ A D+ F A- B- 25% 8% 67% B+ B A+ F+ B+ C+ A+ F A+
1.14 70% 27% 33% +2 0 1.07 24% 0.8 .20 9% .25 63% .16 0.91 62% 50% 29% -4 +1 0.96 19% 1.1 .22 21% .14 100% .14



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 1.7 1.7 2nd
3rd 23.9 21.5 45.3 3rd
4th 26.0 26.0 4th
5th 17.3 17.3 5th
6th 8.7 8.7 6th
7th 1.1 1.1 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 27.0 49.9 23.1 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 23.1% 17.6% 17.6% 12.8 0.0 1.4 2.1 0.6 19.1
12-8 49.9% 10.8% 10.8% 13.2 0.6 3.1 1.6 0.0 44.5
11-9 27.0% 7.3% 7.3% 13.4 0.1 0.9 0.8 0.1 25.0
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 11.4% 11.4% 0.0% 13.1 88.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.1% 100.0% 12.8 0.2 33.8 51.2 14.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 7.0%
Lose Out 10.3%