Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.8#280
Expected Predictive Rating-8.8#309
Pace72.5#62
Improvement+2.4#85

Offense
Total Offense-8.1#350
First Shot-6.7#340
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#268
Layup/Dunks-7.1#354
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#10
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#282
Freethrows-1.7#281
Improvement-2.3#288

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#134
First Shot+2.5#94
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#284
Layups/Dunks+5.3#32
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#143
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#327
Freethrows+0.6#130
Improvement+4.7#18
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.8% 13.6% 11.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four12.7% 13.4% 11.1%
First Round6.7% 7.2% 5.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Prairie View (Away) - 70.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 20 - 7
Quad 30 - 30 - 10
Quad 413 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 38   @ Xavier L 69-78 3%     0 - 1 +6.3 +1.6 +5.0
  Nov 10, 2024 35   @ Georgia L 64-92 3%     0 - 2 -12.0 -1.8 -9.3
  Nov 12, 2024 92   @ Georgia Tech L 62-81 9%     0 - 3 -10.6 -8.5 -1.0
  Nov 17, 2024 113   @ Samford L 82-97 12%     0 - 4 -9.3 +4.2 -12.4
  Nov 24, 2024 40   @ New Mexico L 68-99 3%     0 - 5 -16.1 -2.7 -10.2
  Dec 01, 2024 198   Texas St. L 59-72 42%     0 - 6 -17.7 -15.0 -3.7
  Dec 07, 2024 176   @ Sam Houston St. L 71-87 20%     0 - 7 -14.1 +0.9 -15.8
  Dec 14, 2024 77   @ Nevada L 73-105 7%     0 - 8 -22.1 +2.3 -23.4
  Dec 17, 2024 51   @ Boise St. L 51-82 4%     0 - 9 -17.1 -18.2 +2.7
  Dec 21, 2024 211   @ Abilene Christian L 65-69 26%     0 - 10 -4.0 -9.9 +6.3
  Jan 04, 2025 227   Southern L 58-67 48%     0 - 11 0 - 1 -15.2 -15.2 +0.0
  Jan 06, 2025 332   Grambling St. W 71-66 OT 74%     1 - 11 1 - 1 -8.5 -15.4 +6.3
  Jan 13, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 82-53 96%     2 - 11 2 - 1 +1.9 -2.4 +4.2
  Jan 18, 2025 317   Alcorn St. W 66-57 69%     3 - 11 3 - 1 -3.0 -7.7 +5.3
  Jan 20, 2025 255   Jackson St. W 81-73 54%     4 - 11 4 - 1 +0.1 +4.1 -4.1
  Jan 25, 2025 358   @ Alabama A&M W 82-78 OT 71%     5 - 11 5 - 1 -8.5 -8.6 -0.6
  Jan 27, 2025 305   @ Alabama St. W 80-69 45%     6 - 11 6 - 1 +5.5 +3.8 +1.6
  Feb 01, 2025 359   Prairie View W 79-63 86%     7 - 11 7 - 1 -2.4 +3.0 -4.3
  Feb 04, 2025 363   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 68-69 81%     7 - 12 7 - 2 -17.2 -17.0 -0.1
  Feb 08, 2025 324   Florida A&M L 64-66 71%     7 - 13 7 - 3 -14.5 -13.4 -1.2
  Feb 10, 2025 288   Bethune-Cookman L 77-80 62%     7 - 14 7 - 4 -12.9 +2.3 -15.3
  Feb 15, 2025 332   @ Grambling St. W 67-60 55%     8 - 14 8 - 4 -1.1 -7.1 +6.1
  Feb 17, 2025 227   @ Southern L 57-66 28%     8 - 15 8 - 5 -9.8 -17.3 +8.1
  Feb 22, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 79-38 98%     9 - 15 9 - 5 +8.5 -9.8 +17.3
  Feb 24, 2025 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 81-56 91%     10 - 15 10 - 5 +3.4 -2.3 +5.9
  Mar 01, 2025 255   @ Jackson St. L 52-67 34%     10 - 16 10 - 6 -17.5 -21.3 +4.0
  Mar 03, 2025 317   @ Alcorn St. W 75-59 49%     11 - 16 11 - 6 +9.5 +7.5 +3.6
  Mar 08, 2025 359   @ Prairie View W 76-70 70%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 20.6 20.6 3rd
4th 26.3 49.7 76.0 4th
5th 3.3 3.3 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 29.7 70.4 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 70.4% 13.6% 13.6% 16.0 0.0 9.6 60.8
11-7 29.7% 11.1% 11.1% 16.0 3.3 26.4
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 12.8% 12.8% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.8 87.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 9.6% 100.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 9.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 22.7%
Lose Out 14.2%