Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#122
Expected Predictive Rating+3.6#121
Pace67.9#223
Improvement+0.5#155

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#96
First Shot+2.3#114
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#134
Layup/Dunks+0.4#161
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#173
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#116
Freethrows-0.2#190
Improvement-0.6#229

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#178
First Shot-3.2#283
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#40
Layups/Dunks-0.2#181
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#280
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#202
Freethrows-1.2#264
Improvement+1.1#95
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.1% 7.4% 4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.1 12.6
.500 or above 67.5% 77.5% 56.1%
.500 or above in Conference 65.6% 70.5% 60.1%
Conference Champion 7.0% 8.5% 5.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 1.9% 3.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round6.1% 7.4% 4.6%
Second Round0.9% 1.1% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Gulf Coast (Away) - 53.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 22 - 52 - 7
Quad 37 - 59 - 13
Quad 47 - 116 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 145 Boston College W 83-78 OT 67%     1 - 0 +3.0 +1.8 +0.6
  Sat, Nov 8 175 College of Charleston W 94-77 65%     2 - 0 +15.7 +23.2 -6.8
  Sun, Nov 9 94 @Liberty L 68-88 28%     2 - 1 -11.4 -0.2 -11.9
  Thu, Nov 20 137 Pacific W 82-59 65%     3 - 1 +21.7 +15.2 +8.2
  Mon, Nov 24 140 Loyola Marymount W 76-65 55%     4 - 1 +12.4 +12.9 +0.4
  Tue, Nov 25 74 George Mason L 65-74 31%     4 - 2 -1.3 +7.4 -10.3
  Sun, Nov 30 108 St. Bonaventure L 65-70 56%     4 - 3 -3.9 -1.5 -2.8
  Sun, Dec 7 174 @Florida Gulf Coast W 79-78 53%    
  Sat, Dec 13 330 Albany W 82-66 93%    
  Fri, Dec 19 41 @St. Mary's L 65-77 13%    
  Wed, Dec 31 277 Texas San Antonio W 81-69 86%    
  Sun, Jan 4 187 @Tulane W 77-76 55%    
  Wed, Jan 7 110 @UAB L 75-79 36%    
  Sun, Jan 11 69 Memphis L 74-77 41%    
  Thu, Jan 15 91 Wichita St. L 72-73 49%    
  Sun, Jan 18 160 @Temple L 77-78 50%    
  Wed, Jan 21 187 Tulane W 80-73 75%    
  Sun, Jan 25 79 @South Florida L 75-83 24%    
  Thu, Jan 29 69 @Memphis L 71-80 22%    
  Sun, Feb 1 266 East Carolina W 80-69 84%    
  Wed, Feb 4 89 Tulsa L 75-76 49%    
  Wed, Feb 11 213 @Rice W 74-71 61%    
  Sun, Feb 15 79 South Florida L 78-80 44%    
  Wed, Feb 18 277 @Texas San Antonio W 78-72 69%    
  Sun, Feb 22 144 @North Texas L 68-69 45%    
  Wed, Feb 25 160 Temple W 81-75 70%    
  Sun, Mar 1 181 Charlotte W 75-68 74%    
  Sat, Mar 7 91 @Wichita St. L 70-76 30%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.4 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 7.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.6 1.9 0.4 0.0 8.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.7 2.0 0.2 0.0 10.1 3rd
4th 0.2 2.5 5.8 2.5 0.2 0.0 11.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 5.8 3.2 0.3 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.8 4.3 0.7 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.9 4.7 1.0 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.5 4.8 1.5 0.1 9.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 3.9 2.1 0.1 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 2.8 1.9 0.2 0.0 5.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.6 0.3 0.0 4.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.6 6.4 9.2 12.1 13.2 14.1 12.9 10.3 7.2 4.5 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 96.1% 0.9    0.8 0.1 0.0
15-3 84.0% 1.9    1.3 0.6 0.0 0.0
14-4 52.3% 2.4    1.0 1.1 0.3 0.0
13-5 18.3% 1.3    0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.0% 7.0 3.6 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 40.3% 29.0% 11.3% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 15.9%
16-2 0.9% 28.5% 27.1% 1.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 1.9%
15-3 2.3% 25.9% 25.4% 0.4% 11.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.7 0.6%
14-4 4.5% 17.3% 17.3% 11.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.8
13-5 7.2% 15.5% 15.5% 12.1 0.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.1
12-6 10.3% 10.5% 10.5% 12.3 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 9.3
11-7 12.9% 7.8% 7.8% 12.5 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.1 11.9
10-8 14.1% 3.7% 3.7% 12.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 13.5
9-9 13.2% 2.3% 2.3% 13.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.9
8-10 12.1% 1.7% 1.7% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.9
7-11 9.2% 0.9% 0.9% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.1
6-12 6.4% 0.6% 0.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 6.4
5-13 3.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.6
4-14 1.9% 1.9
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.1% 6.0% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 3.1 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 93.9 0.1%