Sam Houston St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +3.9 107
Results Rating +4.8 102
Consistency 0.13 85
Pace 73.6 52
Improvement +1.7 128

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 92 C+ B- C D+ C+
Defense C 154 C+ C C C C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 77 C 59% 161 +2.6 85
2 Pt. Jumpers 41% 143 C- 36% 248 -0.3 194
Three Pointers 36% 280 B+ 38% 34 -0.4 194
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 165 C+ +1.7 114
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.06 112
Second Chance B 35.6% 41 C- 1.01 215 B- 0.36 76
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.1% 139
Other Turnovers C- 7.8% 256
Turnovers C 16.9% 191
Freethrows D+ 0.28 265 C 72% 196 D+ 0.20 256
Total Offense B- +3.4 92

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 51% 139 B+ 7.9% 34
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 28% 133 B- 3.7% 90
Three Pointers D+ 79% 280 B- 0.6% 102
Total C 55% 184 B 4.3% 43


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 253 D+ 61% 260 -0.2 171
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 165 C 38% 195 +0.1 204
Three Pointers 43% 117 B+ 30% 41 -1.4 132
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.2 126 C+ -1.2 133
1st FG Attempt C+ 0.99 130
Second Chance C+ 29.6% 159 C- 1.06 233 C 0.31 196
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.2% 127
Other Turnovers D 6.2% 309
Turnovers C 16.4% 194
Freethrows C- 0.32 232 B- 71% 112 C 0.23 214
Total Defense C +0.5 154

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 214 D+ 8.9% 260
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 137 C- 3.9% 228
Three Pointers B- 80% 77 C 1.0% 139
Total C+ 54% 150 D+ 4.5% 266

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.2 67 17.0 118
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 25 0.16 144
Consistency 0.12 137 0.11 98
Improvement +1.6 114 +0.0 195

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 123 108 97
Results Rating Rank 121 104 71
Conference Record 13 - 7 14 - 6 15 - 5
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 12
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 28% 28% 26%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.7 12.9
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round28% 28% 26%
Second Round2% 2% 2%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Delaware (Away) - 74.4% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 310 - 410 - 8
Quad 410 - 121 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 12 @Texas Tech L 77 - 98 6% -8  9% 0 - 1 C +1 A- +10 C A+ D- F+ -9 B F C+
 Sat, Nov 15 102 @Utah L 79 - 85 37% -9  5% 0 - 2 C +1 C +2 C- D+ B- C +0 C- B A
 Wed, Nov 19 100 Wyoming W 78 - 70 58% +3  86% 1 - 2 B +10 C +1 C- B- F A- +8 C A+ A
 Wed, Nov 26 266 Idaho St. W 84 - 81 82% +1  61% 2 - 2 C- -3 C +0 D+ A+ F+ D+ -3 F A+ A+
 Fri, Nov 28 181 Idaho W 94 - 68 70% +4  56% 3 - 2 A+ +25 A+ +27 A+ A+ A+ C+ +0 D+ C+ D
 Tue, Dec 2 63 @Oklahoma St. L 83 - 93 22% -0  49% 3 - 3 C+ +2 C+ +2 A F C C+ +1 B- F A
 Sat, Dec 6 299 @Texas Southern W 82 - 70 81% +6  71% 4 - 3 B- +7 D -5 F D+ D A +11 A+ D+ B-
 Wed, Dec 17 160 @Oregon St. W 85 - 75 54% +8  97% 5 - 3 B+ +13 B +6 B- B- D- B+ +6 C A D
 Sun, Dec 21 177 @New Mexico St. L 78 - 87 58% -13  3% 5 - 4 0 - 1 D+ -7 D+ -2 D- D+ D+ D+ -4 F B- F
 Fri, Jan 2 131 @Western Kentucky L 91 - 102 46% +1  64% 5 - 5 0 - 2 D+ -6 A- +11 B- B+ B F -16 C F B
 Sun, Jan 4 163 @Middle Tennessee L 67 - 68 55% -5  20% 5 - 6 0 - 3 C +2 D -6 C+ B- F A- +7 C A+ D+
 Thu, Jan 8 275 Delaware W 72 - 60 89% +7  99% 6 - 6 1 - 3 C+ +3 C- -0 D C- A B +5 B+ B- D-
 Sat, Jan 10 115 Liberty L 74 - 82 64% -5  8% 6 - 7 1 - 4 D+ -8 D- -6 C D F C -1 C- C+ B+
 Wed, Jan 14 192 @Jacksonville St. W 77 - 62 61% +7  98% 7 - 7 2 - 4 A- +16 A +12 A+ A- D- B+ +5 B+ C+ D
 Sat, Jan 17 200 @Florida International W 76 - 63 62% +7  93% 8 - 7 3 - 4 B+ +14 D+ -4 C- D D A+ +17 A+ A A+
 Wed, Jan 21 159 Kennesaw St. W 93 - 87 74% +5  93% 9 - 7 4 - 4 C+ +3 A- +11 A+ B- A- D- -8 C+ D F
 Sat, Jan 24 131 Western Kentucky W 73 - 58 68% +14  93% 10 - 7 5 - 4 B+ +14 C +2 D+ A+ A A+ +13 A F A+
 Wed, Jan 28 205 @Missouri St. W 80 - 71 63% +4  87% 11 - 7 6 - 4 B +10 B +6 B- C- F+ B +4 C- F+ C
 Sat, Jan 31 221 Louisiana Tech W 83 - 67 84% +6  92% 12 - 7 7 - 4 B +9 A +14 B- A+ A+ D+ -4 A F C-
 Wed, Feb 4 260 UTEP W 70 - 66 88% +4  86% 13 - 7 8 - 4 C- -5 D- -8 F B- C+ B- +3 B A F
 Sat, Feb 7 221 @Louisiana Tech L 78 - 87 67% +0  51% 13 - 8 8 - 5 D -10 C -0 B+ D- D- F+ -9 D D+ D-
 Sat, Feb 14 159 @Kennesaw St. W 83 - 79 53% +2  74% 14 - 8 9 - 5 B- +7 A +13 A+ A- C- D -6 D D+ D-
 Wed, Feb 18 163 Middle Tennessee W 78 - 70 76% +7  98% 15 - 8 10 - 5 C+ +5 C +1 D+ A- B B +4 B+ A+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 192 Jacksonville St. W 82 - 78 80% +3  63% 16 - 8 11 - 5 C -1 B+ +8 B- B C F+ -9 D- A+ F
 Thu, Feb 26 200 Florida International W 100 - 67 80% +20  99% 17 - 8 12 - 5 A+ +28 A+ +18 A+ B B- A- +8 A+ D B+
 Sat, Feb 28 205 Missouri St. W 86 - 81 81% +8  95% 18 - 8 13 - 5 C -0 A- +11 C- A A+ F -11 D+ D+ F
 Thu, Mar 5 275 @Delaware W 77 - 70 74%
 Sat, Mar 7 115 @Liberty L 77 - 79 41%
Totals 19 - 9 14 - 6 +4 B- +3 B- C+ C+ C +0 B+ C D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- C C- B+ C+ 43% 41% 36% C+ C+ B C- B- C D+ C D+ C D+ C B+ C+ 36% 21% 43% C+ C+ C+ C- C C C- B- C
1.13 59% 36% 38% +2 0 1.06 36% 1.0 .36 17% .28 72% .20 1.08 61% 38% 30% -1 0 0.99 30% 1.1 .31 16% .32 71% .20
Nov
7		 Texas Tech A- D+ D- A+ B- 28% 43% 28% D- C A+ C+ A+ D- A B- A F+ C C- D B 29% 20% 51% C+ B F C- F C+ F A F
1.09 53% 30% 40% -2 -4 0.91 45% 0.9 .43 20% .35 70% .25 1.39 62% 44% 39% +6 -1 1.13 50% 1.1 .55 16% .72 65% .47
Nov
15		 Utah C F B+ B D+ 46% 18% 36% B- C- C D- D+ B- D- A+ C- C C+ F C- C+ 48% 6% 46% F C- F A+ B A F F+ F
1.07 46% 45% 36% -3 +1 0.98 29% 0.8 .24 14% .20 85% .17 1.15 57% 67% 36% +3 +3 1.13 43% 0.6 .24 20% .51 80% .41
Nov
19		 Wyoming C B+ A+ F C 32% 23% 45% F+ C- B+ D+ B- F A+ A+ A+ A- F C- A+ C- 46% 22% 32% B+ C D A+ A+ A F+ A+ A+
1.10 64% 50% 25% -1 -1 0.98 33% 0.9 .30 21% .59 88% .52 0.99 70% 45% 25% +3 0 1.08 39% 0.5 .18 21% .39 41% .16
Nov
26		 Idaho St. C F+ A+ C+ D+ 38% 19% 43% C- D+ A+ C- A+ F+ A+ C+ A+ D+ F F C+ F 34% 11% 55% C- F C A+ A+ A+ F D F
1.16 50% 56% 35% +1 0 1.04 52% 1.1 .55 18% .47 79% .37 1.12 77% 50% 33% +7 +1 1.18 32% 0.6 .18 23% .74 78% .58
Nov
28		 Idaho A+ C C A+ A+ 30% 26% 44% C- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F F F C+ F F B+ D+ 22% 10% 67% C+ D+ B D- C+ D C+ A+ A
1.48 59% 40% 56% +15 -1 1.30 43% 1.3 .57 9% .16 67% .10 1.07 73% 60% 30% +2 0 1.06 25% 1.1 .28 14% .27 47% .13
Dec
2		 Oklahoma St. C+ B- A+ A A+ 25% 17% 58% D A B- F F C F A+ F+ C+ D B- A+ B- 54% 11% 35% D+ B- F F F A F A- D
1.05 60% 50% 40% +8 0 1.17 31% 0.3 .10 18% .17 82% .14 1.18 66% 33% 26% -1 +2 1.06 40% 1.4 .54 19% .44 68% .30
Dec
6		 Texas Southern D D+ F F F 55% 11% 34% B+ F C+ F+ D+ D A+ C+ A+ A B+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 19% 41% D- A+ D C+ D+ B- F D F
1.03 55% 17% 22% -10 +2 0.87 35% 0.9 .33 18% .49 72% .35 0.88 50% 18% 21% -15 0 0.73 29% 1.0 .29 19% .44 75% .33
Dec
17		 Oregon St. B C- D B B- 46% 12% 42% B B- A D B- D- B+ C B B+ F A+ A+ C 24% 15% 62% B- C A+ F A D A- B- A
1.14 54% 33% 36% -1 +2 1.04 41% 0.9 .38 17% .37 74% .28 1.01 92% 25% 26% -1 0 1.00 11% 1.8 .20 15% .30 74% .22
Dec
21		 New Mexico St. D+ F A+ C F+ 38% 14% 48% B+ D- B+ F D+ D+ B+ F C+ D+ C- F D F 41% 23% 36% F+ F A+ F B- F A+ C A
1.05 33% 50% 33% -8 +1 0.88 38% 0.8 .31 16% .42 69% .29 1.17 60% 64% 36% +8 0 1.18 21% 1.3 .27 9% .16 73% .12
Jan
2		 Western Kentucky A- B+ C C+ B- 33% 25% 43% C- B- A C- B+ B F C- F F B A- C- C 35% 13% 53% C- C F F F B F C+ F
1.18 65% 40% 35% +3 -1 1.07 39% 0.9 .34 15% .29 68% .20 1.32 47% 29% 34% -5 +1 0.95 49% 1.5 .73 17% .42 74% .31
Jan
4		 Middle Tennessee D F+ A A+ C+ 51% 27% 22% C C+ B D+ B- F F F F A- A+ C+ F C- 26% 30% 44% A- C A A+ A+ D+ A F B-
0.98 48% 46% 45% +1 0 1.04 31% 1.0 .31 25% .23 67% .16 1.00 43% 38% 46% +4 -2 1.06 23% 0.2 .05 15% .17 90% .15
Jan
8		 Delaware C- B+ F C- D- 35% 25% 40% C D B+ F C- A B A A- B F A+ A A 27% 10% 63% D B+ B- C+ B- D- B- A+ B+
1.15 67% 15% 33% -3 -1 0.94 37% 0.8 .29 10% .32 89% .28 0.96 69% 20% 29% -4 +1 0.96 17% 0.8 .14 14% .22 67% .15
Jan
10		 Liberty D- F A+ A C- 46% 16% 38% B C A- F D F C+ B+ B- C D- F B- C- 58% 6% 36% D C- A+ F C+ B+ F F F
1.04 35% 75% 42% 0 +1 1.04 40% 0.8 .31 22% .25 79% .20 1.15 69% 67% 33% +8 +3 1.24 8% 2.0 .16 17% .39 78% .30
Jan
14		 Jacksonville St. A A+ F A+ A+ 49% 11% 40% B+ A+ C+ A+ A- D- F F+ F B+ B+ F A B+ 47% 13% 40% C B+ C B C+ D C- B+ C+
1.24 74% 20% 47% +14 +2 1.34 30% 1.3 .39 19% .14 71% .10 1.00 48% 50% 28% -7 +2 0.91 29% 0.9 .26 14% .36 63% .23
Jan
17		 Florida International D+ A+ F D C- 29% 20% 51% D C- D+ D D D A+ F C+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ 37% 21% 42% C+ A+ C A+ A A+ F A F
1.01 73% 30% 31% 0 -1 1.02 33% 0.9 .30 23% .45 54% .24 0.84 25% 11% 39% -15 0 0.72 32% 0.7 .22 24% .68 62% .42
Jan
21		 Kennesaw St. A- A+ F A+ A+ 41% 23% 36% D+ A+ F+ A+ B- A- F F F D- D A+ D C- 33% 21% 47% A C+ C- D D F B+ D- B-
1.26 74% 23% 50% +12 0 1.25 22% 1.6 .34 12% .29 63% .19 1.18 63% 17% 37% -1 0 1.00 36% 1.1 .38 11% .29 74% .21
Jan
24		 Western Kentucky C C- C- F D 49% 16% 35% A D+ C A+ A+ A D- F F A+ A- A+ A- A 37% 14% 49% D+ A B- F F A+ C- C C-
1.09 56% 38% 28% -4 +1 0.96 28% 1.6 .46 13% .34 40% .14 0.87 44% 17% 29% -12 +1 0.79 29% 1.4 .41 28% .33 75% .25
Jan
28		 Missouri St. B A+ D+ C- B- 43% 33% 24% B- B- B- F C- F+ C- C C- B F B+ F D- 27% 43% 31% A+ C- A- F F+ C B- B+ B
1.16 77% 35% 33% +7 -1 1.14 34% 0.9 .31 20% .35 74% .26 1.03 77% 29% 40% +4 -4 1.02 26% 1.7 .44 17% .32 61% .19
Jan
31		 Louisiana Tech A B C F C+ 59% 17% 24% B+ B- B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ D+ A+ C+ A A 36% 30% 34% A- A F+ F F C- F C D-
1.28 59% 38% 27% -2 +2 1.02 39% 1.3 .52 9% .61 67% .41 1.03 41% 36% 25% -11 -1 0.77 41% 1.3 .54 18% .36 63% .23
Feb
4		 UTEP D- F F F F 47% 16% 37% A- F C+ B- B- C+ A+ B+ A+ B- B F A+ B- 29% 41% 31% A B A A+ A F B+ D+ B-
1.00 48% 13% 22% -15 +1 0.73 36% 1.1 .40 17% .47 78% .36 0.95 53% 46% 22% -4 -3 0.88 19% 0.8 .14 9% .22 71% .16
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Louisiana Tech C F B- A+ A- 30% 22% 48% D B+ F A+ D- D- B- C- B- F+ D+ F A+ C- 60% 17% 23% F D F B- D+ D- F F F
1.02 38% 42% 46% +3 -1 1.07 18% 1.5 .26 21% .35 71% .25 1.14 59% 67% 8% -3 +2 1.00 43% 0.7 .31 16% .54 74% .40
Feb
14		 Kennesaw St. A A A+ A- A+ 47% 20% 33% C+ A+ B- A+ A- C- A C- A- D C A+ F D- 43% 17% 41% C+ D D+ C- D+ D- A- C B+
1.25 67% 56% 40% +10 +1 1.24 33% 1.2 .41 17% .49 74% .36 1.19 57% 22% 45% +4 +1 1.11 37% 1.0 .37 14% .28 69% .19
Feb
18		 Middle Tennessee C C- F C D- 56% 17% 28% B+ D+ A+ D+ A- B F+ A+ C- B C- D A+ B+ 31% 28% 41% B B+ A+ A A+ F B- A+ B+
1.12 57% 11% 33% -6 +2 0.94 39% 1.0 .39 13% .25 93% .23 1.01 61% 44% 25% -3 -1 0.93 21% 0.8 .16 9% .24 53% .13
Feb
21		 Jacksonville St. B+ B+ D B B 38% 20% 42% D+ B- B B- B C A+ B+ A+ F+ F A+ D F 39% 22% 39% A D- A+ A+ A+ F B+ F C
1.22 65% 33% 37% +3 0 1.09 32% 1.1 .35 16% .50 82% .41 1.16 76% 17% 38% +5 0 1.11 20% 0.7 .13 10% .30 78% .23
Feb
26		 Florida International A+ A B A+ A+ 49% 22% 29% C A+ A- C B B- A+ A A+ A- D+ C- A+ A+ 27% 38% 35% A+ A+ A+ F D B+ F F F
1.36 71% 45% 64% +21 +1 1.45 43% 1.0 .43 19% .42 80% .34 0.91 62% 39% 12% -11 -3 0.75 22% 1.8 .39 20% .50 76% .38
Feb
28		 Missouri St. A- F+ D+ A+ C- 40% 34% 26% C+ C- B+ A- A A+ A+ B+ A+ F B F B- C 48% 15% 37% F D+ C- D+ D+ F C- D- D+
1.27 55% 35% 46% +3 -2 1.04 38% 1.3 .47 12% .47 79% .37 1.20 56% 50% 32% -1 +1 1.04 33% 1.2 .39 12% .35 71% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 15.1 54.4 30.6 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 15.1 54.4 30.6 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 30.6% 29.5% 29.5% 12.4 0.1 5.0 3.7 0.2 21.6
14-6 54.4% 27.7% 27.7% 12.8 0.0 4.5 8.6 1.9 0.0 39.3
13-7 15.1% 23.2% 23.2% 13.1 0.0 0.6 2.1 0.8 0.0 11.6
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 27.6% 27.6% 0.0% 12.7 72.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 9.0% 100.0% 12.4 1.3 55.3 40.7 2.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 5.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 8.4%
Lose Out 4.2%