Sam Houston St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#126
Expected Predictive Rating+6.2#95
Pace73.0#97
Improvement+1.1#105

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#111
First Shot+0.3#167
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#52
Layup/Dunks-4.2#312
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#99
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#62
Freethrows-1.2#249
Improvement-0.8#244

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#168
First Shot-1.4#221
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#101
Layups/Dunks-0.6#196
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#99
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#104
Freethrows-4.1#348
Improvement+1.9#41
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.4% 16.0% 10.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.8 12.6 13.0
.500 or above 82.7% 89.9% 75.6%
.500 or above in Conference 82.0% 86.0% 78.0%
Conference Champion 16.1% 19.6% 12.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.6% 1.3%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round13.4% 16.0% 10.8%
Second Round1.7% 2.2% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon St. (Away) - 49.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 38 - 59 - 10
Quad 49 - 218 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 29 @Texas Tech L 77-98 10%     0 - 1 -4.3 +10.9 -15.1
  Sat, Nov 15 114 @Utah L 79-85 34%     0 - 2 +0.4 +3.5 -2.7
  Wed, Nov 19 107 Wyoming W 78-70 54%     1 - 2 +9.3 +5.0 +4.2
  Wed, Nov 26 168 Idaho St. W 84-81 62%     2 - 2 +2.2 +8.1 -6.0
  Fri, Nov 28 173 Idaho W 94-68 63%     3 - 2 +24.9 +27.6 -0.2
  Tue, Dec 2 44 @Oklahoma St. L 83-93 14%     3 - 3 +4.1 +6.4 -1.2
  Sat, Dec 6 305 @Texas Southern W 82-70 76%     4 - 3 +6.9 -1.6 +7.1
  Wed, Dec 17 165 @Oregon St. L 73-74 50%    
  Sun, Dec 21 127 @New Mexico St. L 72-75 39%    
  Fri, Jan 2 128 @Western Kentucky L 80-83 40%    
  Sun, Jan 4 136 @Middle Tennessee L 77-79 41%    
  Thu, Jan 8 296 Delaware W 82-69 88%    
  Sat, Jan 10 94 Liberty L 75-76 49%    
  Wed, Jan 14 239 @Jacksonville St. W 72-68 63%    
  Sat, Jan 17 189 @Florida International W 80-79 54%    
  Wed, Jan 21 152 Kennesaw St. W 87-82 68%    
  Sat, Jan 24 128 Western Kentucky W 83-80 61%    
  Wed, Jan 28 255 @Missouri St. W 75-70 66%    
  Sat, Jan 31 193 Louisiana Tech W 74-67 74%    
  Wed, Feb 4 241 UTEP W 76-66 81%    
  Sat, Feb 7 193 @Louisiana Tech W 71-70 55%    
  Sat, Feb 14 152 @Kennesaw St. L 84-85 47%    
  Wed, Feb 18 136 Middle Tennessee W 80-76 63%    
  Sat, Feb 21 239 Jacksonville St. W 75-65 81%    
  Thu, Feb 26 189 Florida International W 83-76 73%    
  Sat, Feb 28 255 Missouri St. W 78-67 82%    
  Thu, Mar 5 296 @Delaware W 79-72 72%    
  Sat, Mar 7 94 @Liberty L 73-79 29%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.5 4.4 3.5 2.0 0.7 0.1 16.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.9 5.7 4.9 2.2 0.5 0.1 16.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.3 5.8 4.1 1.1 0.1 15.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.9 3.4 0.8 0.0 0.0 13.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.1 2.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.9 2.6 0.5 0.0 8.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.0 2.3 0.4 0.0 6.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 2.2 1.9 0.4 0.0 5.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.4 0.3 3.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.7 3.0 5.0 7.0 9.1 11.5 13.1 12.9 12.1 9.6 6.8 3.9 2.0 0.7 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
18-2 97.3% 2.0    1.8 0.1
17-3 87.4% 3.5    2.8 0.6 0.0
16-4 65.2% 4.4    2.8 1.4 0.2 0.0
15-5 36.7% 3.5    1.4 1.5 0.5 0.0
14-6 13.2% 1.6    0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1
13-7 2.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 16.1% 16.1 10.0 4.6 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 72.7% 68.2% 4.5% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.3%
19-1 0.7% 44.9% 43.4% 1.5% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 2.6%
18-2 2.0% 35.7% 35.7% 11.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 1.3
17-3 3.9% 33.2% 33.2% 12.2 0.1 0.8 0.3 2.6
16-4 6.8% 28.5% 28.5% 12.4 0.1 1.1 0.7 0.0 4.9
15-5 9.6% 23.4% 23.4% 12.6 0.0 0.9 1.1 0.2 7.3
14-6 12.1% 18.2% 18.2% 12.9 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.3 0.0 9.9
13-7 12.9% 14.9% 14.9% 13.2 0.3 1.1 0.5 0.0 11.0
12-8 13.1% 9.4% 9.4% 13.4 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 11.9
11-9 11.5% 6.7% 6.7% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 10.8
10-10 9.1% 4.0% 4.0% 14.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 8.7
9-11 7.0% 2.2% 2.2% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.9
8-12 5.0% 1.9% 1.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.9
7-13 3.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.0
6-14 1.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.6
5-15 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.8
4-16 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.4% 13.4% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 4.4 5.6 2.1 0.5 0.1 86.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 8.2 4.8 4.8 14.3 14.3 19.0 9.5 9.5 23.8