St. Francis (PA)
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.9#357
Expected Predictive Rating-16.4#354
Pace75.4#45
Improvement+1.3#90

Offense
Total Offense-9.2#362
First Shot-6.1#336
After Offensive Rebound-3.0#338
Layup/Dunks-0.5#199
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#145
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#253
Freethrows-3.9#341
Improvement+0.2#158

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#333
First Shot-6.2#353
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#87
Layups/Dunks-5.3#339
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#54
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#268
Freethrows-0.3#201
Improvement+1.1#93
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 3.5% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.9% 2.9% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 20.4% 28.3% 18.7%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.1% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 34.9% 26.3% 36.8%
First Four2.3% 3.5% 2.0%
First Round0.8% 1.1% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Radford (Away) - 17.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 30 - 8
Quad 46 - 136 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 53 @Oklahoma L 66-102 1%     0 - 1 -22.8 -6.9 -13.8
  Thu, Nov 6 47 @TCU L 63-104 1%     0 - 2 -27.2 -7.5 -15.6
  Tue, Nov 11 304 Mount St. Mary's L 66-74 39%     0 - 3 -19.0 -11.0 -8.2
  Tue, Nov 18 307 @Lehigh L 62-79 20%     0 - 4 -22.1 -15.7 -5.6
  Mon, Nov 24 90 Belmont L 57-94 4%     0 - 5 -31.1 -13.9 -16.2
  Wed, Nov 26 147 Troy L 64-74 9%     0 - 6 -9.3 -10.6 +1.7
  Mon, Dec 1 77 @Xavier L 74-96 2%     0 - 7 -11.5 -0.6 -8.8
  Sun, Dec 7 288 @Radford L 75-85 18%    
  Sun, Dec 14 160 @Temple L 69-86 6%    
  Wed, Dec 17 14 @Florida L 60-95 0.1%   
  Sat, Dec 20 186 Robert Morris L 68-77 20%    
  Fri, Jan 2 306 Le Moyne L 77-80 39%    
  Sun, Jan 4 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 79-75 64%    
  Thu, Jan 8 298 @Wagner L 68-77 19%    
  Sat, Jan 17 243 Central Connecticut St. L 67-73 28%    
  Mon, Jan 19 339 Stonehill W 71-70 51%    
  Fri, Jan 23 352 Chicago St. W 77-75 57%    
  Sun, Jan 25 332 @New Haven L 65-72 28%    
  Thu, Jan 29 352 @Chicago St. L 74-78 36%    
  Sat, Jan 31 332 New Haven L 68-69 48%    
  Thu, Feb 5 324 @Mercyhurst L 66-73 25%    
  Thu, Feb 12 362 @Fairleigh Dickinson L 76-78 43%    
  Thu, Feb 19 227 LIU Brooklyn L 73-80 27%    
  Sat, Feb 21 298 Wagner L 71-74 38%    
  Thu, Feb 26 339 @Stonehill L 67-73 30%    
  Sat, Feb 28 243 @Central Connecticut St. L 64-76 14%    
Projected Record 6 - 20 5 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 1.4 0.6 0.1 3.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 2.5 0.9 0.1 4.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 3.8 2.1 0.2 0.0 7.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 4.6 3.2 0.4 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 5.2 4.9 0.8 0.0 12.3 7th
8th 0.2 2.0 6.6 6.1 1.4 0.0 16.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.5 7.7 6.9 1.9 0.1 20.7 9th
10th 0.7 2.9 6.4 7.4 5.2 1.4 0.1 24.0 10th
Total 0.7 2.9 7.1 11.1 14.9 16.3 14.5 12.2 9.0 6.0 3.0 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 69.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-4 40.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 12.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.2% 26.8% 26.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.6% 19.9% 19.9% 16.0 0.1 0.5
11-5 1.5% 13.4% 13.4% 16.0 0.2 1.3
10-6 3.0% 8.9% 8.9% 16.0 0.3 2.8
9-7 6.0% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.3 5.7
8-8 9.0% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.3 8.7
7-9 12.2% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 11.9
6-10 14.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 14.2
5-11 16.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 16.1
4-12 14.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 14.8
3-13 11.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 11.0
2-14 7.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.0
1-15 2.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.9
0-16 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.3 97.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%