Ohio
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -3.7 222
Results Rating -2.6 211
Consistency 0.13 68
Pace 71.5 101
Improvement -2.3 268

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 195 C- D+ B- C C-
Defense C- 250 C- D C- C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 210 C 58% 182 -0.7 204
2 Pt. Jumpers 41% 140 A 48% 11 +3.7 35
Three Pointers 38% 228 D- 30% 334 -3.8 307
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.5 253 C -0.3 178
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 198
Second Chance C- 27.9% 249 C- 0.98 257 D+ 0.27 263
Opponents' Steals B- 8.4% 86
Other Turnovers C 7.1% 168
Turnovers B- 15.5% 103
Freethrows C+ 0.31 151 D+ 70% 254 C 0.22 175
Total Offense C- -1.2 195

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 45% 240 C+ 10.5% 152
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 18% 283 B- 3.5% 73
Three Pointers D+ 79% 287 D 1.4% 316
Total D- 47% 330 C+ 5.3% 158


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 44 C+ 56% 128 +2.4 263
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 192 C- 40% 240 +0.1 203
Three Pointers 36% 319 D+ 35% 250 -1.7 113
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 256 C +0.3 195
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 202
Second Chance D 34.0% 316 C- 1.05 228 D 0.36 296
Turnovers from Steals D 7.8% 304
Other Turnovers B- 8.1% 86
Turnovers C- 15.9% 232
Freethrows C- 0.32 223 C- 74% 262 C- 0.23 245
Total Defense C- -2.5 250

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 45% 112 C- 9.5% 226
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 41 C 4.5% 198
Three Pointers B 79% 52 C 0.9% 149
Total B 50% 60 C 5.4% 186

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.0 136 17.1 139
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 340 0.14 85
Consistency 0.11 106 0.11 82
Improvement -0.9 238 -1.4 262

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 246 226 204
Results Rating Rank 231 207 181
Conference Record 9 - 9 9 - 9 10 - 8
Conference Finish 5 5 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 2% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.0 16.0
.500 or above 4% 9% 1%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 0% 1%
First Round1% 2% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Miami (OH) (Home) - 26.7% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 34 - 85 - 13
Quad 49 - 414 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 147 Arkansas St. L 85 - 89 44% +2  61% 0 - 1 D+ -6 C+ +2 B+ F B- D- -8 C- F A-
 Thu, Nov 6 99 Illinois St. W 72 - 68 29% +2  74% 1 - 1 B- +6 C- -1 A- F A A- +8 B+ A C-
 Tue, Nov 11 32 @St. Mary's L 60 - 90 3% -15  11% 1 - 2 D- -12 D -5 D- A F D- -7 C F D-
 Sat, Nov 15 13 @Louisville L 81 - 106 2% -14  0% 1 - 3 C- -3 B+ +8 A+ D- F F+ -10 C+ F D+
 Wed, Nov 19 237 Bethune-Cookman L 73 - 76 64% -4  10% 1 - 4 D -10 C- -1 C- F A F+ -9 F A+ F
 Mon, Nov 24 105 George Mason L 69 - 92 23% -20  0% 1 - 5 F -19 C- -2 C B+ D F -17 D- F F
 Tue, Nov 25 158 Loyola Marymount L 58 - 70 35% -4  38% 1 - 6 D- -12 F -17 F F+ F B+ +6 A- D A
 Wed, Dec 3 346 Maine W 79 - 57 87% +12  88% 2 - 6 B- +6 B +6 C+ C B- C+ +2 B+ F A-
 Sat, Dec 6 189 Marshall W 88 - 81 55% +6  93% 3 - 6 C+ +2 C+ +4 B D- A C- -2 B F+ C-
 Sat, Dec 13 138 St. Bonaventure W 88 - 83 OT 32% +2  70% 4 - 6 B- +6 C+ +2 B A+ B+ B- +3 B+ C+ B-
 Sat, Dec 20 166 Bowling Green L 58 - 68 50% -9  8% 4 - 7 0 - 1 D- -14 F -15 F C F C+ +1 B F+ A+
 Tue, Dec 30 259 @Central Michigan W 80 - 64 46% +5  53% 5 - 7 1 - 1 B+ +13 D -4 F+ F+ C+ A+ +16 A- A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 3 247 @Eastern Michigan W 68 - 67 43% -9  8% 6 - 7 2 - 1 C -1 C- -2 B F F C+ +1 D- A+ C-
 Tue, Jan 6 194 Massachusetts W 86 - 83 56% +3  71% 7 - 7 3 - 1 C- -2 C+ +2 A D- C+ D+ -5 D A+ D
 Sat, Jan 10 212 Buffalo W 91 - 80 59% +4  59% 8 - 7 4 - 1 B- +5 B- +6 A A+ F C -1 B D C-
 Tue, Jan 13 150 @Toledo L 85 - 101 25% -4  47% 8 - 8 4 - 2 D- -13 B+ +9 B- A- B F -21 F F D
 Fri, Jan 16 291 @Ball St. L 71 - 76 53% -8  0% 8 - 9 4 - 3 D -10 C +0 C D C F -10 D- C- D+
 Tue, Jan 20 339 Northern Illinois W 80 - 77 86% +5  78% 9 - 9 5 - 3 D- -12 D+ -4 C C D- F+ -9 F B B-
 Fri, Jan 23 71 Akron L 65 - 86 19% -15  0% 9 - 10 5 - 4 F+ -16 F -13 F D+ A+ C -1 C+ A C
 Tue, Jan 27 152 @Kent St. L 57 - 72 25% -4  12% 9 - 11 5 - 5 D- -12 F -20 F F+ B A- +8 A+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 31 212 @Buffalo W 95 - 83 36% +8  92% 10 - 11 6 - 5 B+ +12 A+ +15 B- C+ A+ C- -3 F+ D+ B
 Tue, Feb 3 280 Western Michigan W 91 - 71 72% +13  96% 11 - 11 7 - 5 B +10 A- +10 A B C C+ +1 D A F
 Sat, Feb 7 248 @Old Dominion L 72 - 78 43% +0  38% 11 - 12 D+ -8 C +1 B- D+ B F+ -9 C+ F F
 Fri, Feb 13 91 @Miami (OH) L 74 - 90 12% -10  2% 11 - 13 7 - 6 D+ -7 C -0 C- D+ A D -6 C F D-
 Tue, Feb 17 291 Ball St. W 69 - 57 75% +6  71% 12 - 13 8 - 6 C +1 C+ +4 C F A C -0 D+ B- D+
 Sat, Feb 21 339 @Northern Illinois W 74 - 66 71% +7  91% 13 - 13 9 - 6 C -1 C+ +3 C F+ A+ D+ -3 F B- C
 Sat, Feb 28 150 Toledo L 67 - 79 46% -9  0% 13 - 14 9 - 7 D- -15 F+ -8 F D A+ D- -7 A+ F F
 Tue, Mar 3 194 @Massachusetts L 82 - 94 33% -2  30% 13 - 15 9 - 8 D -11 C- -1 F A A+ F+ -9 F D- D-
 Fri, Mar 6 91 Miami (OH) L 77 - 84 27%
Totals 13 - 16 9 - 9 -4 C- -1 A C C- C- -2 D- D+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C A D- C 38% 41% 38% C- C- C- C- D+ B- C+ D+ C C- C+ C- D+ C 44% 20% 36% D+ C- D C- D C- C- C- C-
1.07 58% 48% 30% 0 0 1.00 28% 1.0 .27 16% .31 70% .22 1.12 56% 40% 35% 0 0 1.04 34% 1.1 .36 16% .32 74% .23
Nov
3		 Arkansas St. C+ B- A+ D+ B+ 41% 17% 42% B- B+ F+ F F B- C+ D+ C D- A+ F C- C 42% 4% 54% F C- D- F F A- F F F
1.13 63% 70% 32% +6 +1 1.15 20% 0.6 .11 13% .34 68% .23 1.18 45% 100% 35% -2 +2 1.02 42% 1.6 .68 24% .49 89% .44
Nov
6		 Illinois St. C- B+ C+ F B- 70% 16% 14% A+ A- F F F A A+ F B A- B+ F A- A- 44% 18% 38% D- B+ B+ A A C- A+ A+ A+
1.03 66% 38% 14% +1 +3 1.10 16% 0.8 .13 11% .44 56% .24 0.97 54% 50% 29% -3 +1 0.98 23% 0.9 .21 16% .19 55% .10
Nov
11		 St. Mary's D C+ B- F D 34% 28% 38% D D- B+ A+ A F F A+ F D- B- B+ F C 42% 19% 38% C- C D F F D- D B D+
0.86 56% 40% 15% -11 -1 0.77 29% 1.2 .34 20% .13 86% .11 1.30 55% 30% 45% +3 0 1.10 42% 1.5 .65 13% .36 77% .28
Nov
15		 Louisville B+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 27% 31% 42% D+ A+ A F D- F A+ A- A+ F+ B A- F C 35% 15% 50% A- C+ F F F D+ F B+ F
1.06 57% 50% 41% +8 -2 1.13 33% 0.4 .14 22% .44 77% .34 1.39 58% 38% 44% +8 +1 1.19 44% 1.5 .67 14% .46 73% .34
Nov
19		 Bethune-Cookman C- B A+ F C- 51% 22% 27% C- C- C- F F A A+ D A+ F+ B F F F 48% 23% 29% C- F A+ A A+ F A A+ A+
1.08 62% 55% 14% -3 +1 0.98 31% 0.8 .23 10% .46 68% .31 1.13 52% 58% 53% +10 0 1.23 16% 0.8 .13 12% .24 57% .13
Nov
24		 George Mason C- B- A D+ B- 18% 40% 42% F C A C B+ D A+ F+ A F B- A+ F F+ 35% 15% 51% D+ D- F D+ F F B B- B
1.02 63% 44% 32% +2 -4 0.98 36% 0.9 .33 18% .36 65% .23 1.36 58% 25% 46% +8 +1 1.18 41% 1.1 .44 9% .33 70% .23
Nov
25		 Loyola Marymount F F D D F 37% 20% 43% B- F C- F F+ F A+ F A+ B+ B- F A+ A+ 38% 19% 42% F+ A- F A D A D+ C- D+
0.81 29% 33% 30% -14 0 0.74 29% 0.8 .22 24% .53 59% .31 0.97 55% 50% 23% -6 0 0.90 38% 0.9 .33 22% .30 71% .21
Dec
3		 Maine B D A+ C- C 49% 16% 35% B C+ A+ F C B- F A+ F C+ C- A+ A A- 46% 21% 33% D+ B+ F C+ F A- A+ F+ A
1.21 56% 56% 32% 0 +1 1.05 53% 0.8 .39 17% .13 100% .13 0.87 59% 10% 25% -10 0 0.83 29% 1.0 .29 24% .20 70% .14
Dec
6		 Marshall C+ F A+ A+ B 33% 24% 43% C- B F C+ D- A A+ D A- C- D B A+ A 48% 11% 41% F B F+ C- F+ C- F D+ F
1.21 44% 54% 43% +5 -1 1.11 25% 1.0 .25 12% .46 69% .31 1.12 67% 33% 22% -4 +2 0.98 37% 1.2 .43 17% .33 75% .25
Dec
13		 St. Bonaventure C+ C+ A+ D A- 33% 33% 35% F B D A+ A+ B+ F A D- B- C+ C A B+ 43% 33% 24% B- B+ D- B+ C+ B- D+ F F
1.14 61% 67% 32% +9 -2 1.16 24% 2.2 .52 14% .20 85% .17 1.08 56% 42% 29% -2 -1 0.97 40% 0.9 .34 18% .30 89% .27
Dec
20		 Bowling Green F A A+ F F 26% 13% 62% C- F D+ B- C F A+ F A+ C+ A D- C- B+ 53% 16% 31% C- B F D F+ A+ F F F
0.86 70% 60% 17% -10 0 0.82 25% 1.1 .28 22% .57 63% .36 1.01 46% 43% 36% -5 +2 0.96 35% 0.9 .32 24% .45 83% .37
Dec
30		 Central Michigan D D+ A+ F F 55% 13% 32% B+ F+ F C+ F+ C+ A+ D- A+ A+ F+ B- A+ A+ 53% 22% 25% F A- A A+ A+ C+ F C F
1.04 55% 57% 18% -7 +2 0.92 25% 1.2 .30 16% .52 65% .34 0.83 67% 36% 0% -9 +1 0.86 21% 0.5 .11 19% .37 70% .26
Jan
3		 Eastern Michigan C- A+ B+ D A- 28% 26% 46% F+ B C- F F F D+ C D+ C+ F+ A F F 33% 33% 33% B+ D- F+ A+ A+ C- F A- F
1.02 79% 46% 30% +5 -1 1.10 28% 0.4 .11 21% .29 73% .21 1.01 67% 27% 47% +5 -2 1.09 32% 0.3 .11 17% .49 67% .32
Jan
6		 Massachusetts C+ B B+ A+ A 34% 17% 49% C- A F B+ D- C+ D F+ F+ D+ C- D F+ D 44% 25% 32% C D C+ A+ A+ D B+ F C+
1.16 67% 44% 42% +10 0 1.23 19% 1.2 .22 16% .34 67% .23 1.12 60% 43% 39% +4 0 1.11 30% 0.6 .19 16% .27 76% .21
Jan
10		 Buffalo B- A+ A+ A- A+ 43% 26% 32% D A A+ A+ A+ F A A+ A+ C B+ F B B+ 41% 19% 41% C B F B D C- C- A+ B-
1.24 75% 58% 40% +15 0 1.32 50% 1.3 .64 24% .36 85% .31 1.09 50% 50% 32% -2 0 0.98 35% 1.0 .35 15% .35 64% .22
Jan
13		 Toledo B+ D+ A+ B- B+ 31% 33% 37% F B- C+ A A- B A F B F D F F F 40% 30% 30% B- F F F F D C- F F+
1.21 56% 59% 37% +8 -2 1.13 36% 1.2 .44 16% .32 63% .20 1.44 62% 75% 44% +17 -1 1.34 46% 1.4 .63 13% .28 94% .26
Jan
16		 Ball St. C B- A+ F B 33% 39% 29% F C D C- D C B+ C B+ F C- D C- F 36% 23% 41% B- D- D+ C C- D+ F F F
1.06 63% 53% 29% +5 -3 1.06 28% 1.0 .28 18% .35 79% .27 1.14 56% 40% 33% -1 0 1.00 28% 0.9 .25 15% .55 81% .44
Jan
20		 Northern Illinois D+ B- D B C+ 42% 25% 33% D- C F+ A+ C D- A+ C A F+ A+ F F F 45% 14% 41% D+ F D+ A B B- F F F
1.10 65% 33% 38% +3 0 1.08 24% 1.4 .34 19% .42 72% .31 1.06 40% 50% 50% +3 +1 1.11 32% 0.6 .19 23% .48 74% .36
Jan
23		 Akron F F D F F 38% 34% 29% F F F+ A D+ A+ A+ B+ A+ C C+ F B C 41% 30% 30% A C+ D+ A+ A C F C F
0.88 33% 32% 25% -15 -2 0.68 23% 1.2 .28 12% .42 78% .33 1.17 59% 56% 31% +5 -1 1.09 35% 0.8 .29 16% .42 77% .32
Jan
27		 Kent St. F F F F F 42% 9% 49% B+ F D- F F+ B F+ C- F+ A- A+ F A+ A+ 52% 7% 40% F A+ F C F A+ F C F
0.79 36% 20% 23% -19 +2 0.68 24% 0.8 .20 14% .27 71% .19 1.00 41% 67% 24% -13 +3 0.81 46% 1.1 .49 28% .68 74% .50
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Buffalo A+ A A+ F B 46% 28% 26% D B- C+ C- C+ A+ A+ C+ A+ C- D F F F 48% 26% 26% B- F+ B F D+ B F B F
1.33 72% 53% 29% +9 0 1.19 35% 0.9 .32 8% .40 77% .30 1.16 64% 50% 42% +9 0 1.20 22% 1.5 .33 18% .46 70% .32
Feb
3		 Western Michigan A- A A+ A- A 35% 8% 58% B- A C A B C B+ A+ A C+ C+ A F D 52% 21% 27% F D A A- A F F A+ A-
1.32 72% 50% 40% +11 +1 1.27 30% 1.3 .40 13% .37 82% .30 1.03 52% 27% 50% +1 +1 1.06 21% 0.9 .18 9% .40 40% .16
Feb
7		 Old Dominion C A+ B D B 30% 24% 46% D B- D C- D+ B F F F F+ F A+ F C- 34% 45% 21% A+ C+ F D+ F F C- F F+
1.11 80% 42% 30% +5 -1 1.10 26% 1.0 .26 12% .26 67% .18 1.20 78% 17% 45% +1 -4 0.96 32% 1.2 .38 9% .31 89% .27
Feb
13		 Miami (OH) C D+ A+ F C- 34% 26% 40% D+ C- F A D+ A B F C D C+ A+ F C 48% 20% 31% D+ C D F F D- F C F
1.03 56% 64% 24% 0 -1 1.00 19% 1.1 .22 13% .32 65% .21 1.25 62% 27% 47% +6 +1 1.15 27% 1.9 .50 13% .45 75% .33
Feb
17		 Ball St. C+ D+ A+ C- C 36% 23% 41% C- C D- F F A A+ B- A+ C C A B- C- 53% 18% 29% F+ D+ D- A+ B- D+ C A+ B
1.15 56% 50% 33% +2 0 1.05 27% 0.7 .18 13% .41 81% .33 0.95 54% 25% 31% -6 +1 0.93 31% 0.6 .19 15% .28 57% .16
Feb
21		 Northern Illinois C+ C- C+ B C 46% 21% 33% C- C D- F F+ A+ A F+ B+ D+ D A+ F F 50% 13% 37% D F A- C- B- C A+ A+ A+
1.15 59% 40% 38% +3 0 1.08 26% 0.9 .23 11% .42 67% .28 1.02 61% 17% 47% +6 +2 1.17 23% 0.9 .20 22% .24 50% .12
Feb
28		 Toledo F+ C- F F F 49% 18% 33% C+ F D D+ D A+ D F F D- A+ F A+ A+ 58% 13% 28% F A+ F F F F B F C+
1.01 57% 10% 26% -9 +1 0.86 30% 0.9 .27 11% .20 50% .10 1.19 39% 57% 27% -12 +2 0.83 38% 1.6 .62 8% .23 86% .20
Mar
3		 Massachusetts C- C C F F 36% 23% 41% D F C A+ A A+ B A- A- F+ F F C+ F 43% 20% 37% D+ F D D- D- D- F F F
1.07 60% 38% 17% -9 -1 0.82 29% 1.5 .42 10% .42 79% .33 1.23 76% 50% 33% +10 0 1.22 34% 1.3 .45 16% .54 77% .42



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 7.3 7.3 4th
5th 73.3 19.4 92.7 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 73.3 26.7 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 26.7% 2.3% 2.3% 15.0 0.1 0.5 0.0 26.1
9-9 73.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.0 72.3
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 15.6 98.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 15.0 8.2 85.2 6.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 7.3%
Lose Out 48.1%