Pacific
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +3.1 115
Expected Predictive Rating +2.6 119
Pace 64.3 298
Improvement +2.0 106

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ #136 B- C+ D- C- C
Defense C+ #113 B- B D+ C- A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 102 56% 236 +0.8 148
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 138 45% 30 +2.4 66
Three Pointers 36% 287 38% 31 -0.4 193
1st FG Attempt 1.07 94 +2.8 94
Second Chance 34.4% 73 1.00 212 0.34 108
Turnovers 19.9% 336
Freethrows 0.28 273 76% 56 0.21 218
Total Offense +1.0 136

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 340 56% 125 +5.1 37
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 30 39% 208 -2.7 346
Three Pointers 42% 140 33% 114 +0.3 169
1st FG Attempt 0.96 91 +2.7 90
Second Chance 24.7% 22 1.03 185 0.25 48
Turnovers 15.6% 252
Freethrows 0.33 279 70% 80 0.23 243
Total Defense +2.0 113

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.0 197 -1.4 21
Shot Type Accuracy +2.8 86 -1.4 127
Possession Length 18.8 325 17.3 181
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 287 0.16 143
Improvement +1.3 #116 +0.7 #137

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.0 11.8 12.2
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 81% 100% 75%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: St. Mary's (Home) - 25.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 20 - 41 - 10
Quad 35 - 46 - 13
Quad 412 - 017 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 66 @Nevada L 77 - 78 22% -2  23% 0 - 1 B +10 B+ +9 A+ F A C+ +1 B C C+
 Wed, Nov 12 251 Long Beach St. W 69 - 66 85% -3  21% 1 - 1 D+ -5 F+ -9 F A- F B- +4 A- D- B-
 Sat, Nov 15 210 @Cal St. Fullerton W 85 - 73 61% +14  98% 2 - 1 B+ +12 C+ +2 A+ D- F A- +9 A+ B F
 Thu, Nov 20 114 @Florida Atlantic L 59 - 82 38% -11  1% 2 - 2 F+ -17 F+ -9 C- D F F+ -10 F A+ B-
 Mon, Nov 24 213 Stony Brook W 86 - 58 72% +17  95% 3 - 2 A+ +25 A +14 A+ F+ F A +12 A+ B+ C
 Tue, Nov 25 308 Jacksonville W 68 - 53 87% +7  86% 4 - 2 B- +6 C- -0 D C+ D+ A- +9 A A+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 254 Sacramento St. W 68 - 54 86% +6  78% 5 - 2 B- +6 F -14 C- F+ F A+ +19 A+ A- C
 Wed, Dec 3 349 @Air Force W 80 - 65 88% +9  90% 6 - 2 B- +5 A+ +14 C+ A+ A- D -7 C- F+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 73 @California L 61 - 67 23% -9  0% 6 - 3 C+ +5 C -0 C- B F+ B- +4 C+ C+ C
 Tue, Dec 16 21 @BYU L 57 - 93 6% -18  0% 6 - 4 F+ -15 F -13 D- A- F C- -2 B C- C-
 Sun, Dec 21 266 Nicholls St. W 95 - 82 87% +7  99% 7 - 4 C+ +4 A +12 A+ A+ F+ D- -9 F A+ B+
 Sun, Dec 28 216 @San Diego L 54 - 66 62% -9  0% 7 - 5 0 - 1 D- -12 F -17 F+ F F B- +4 A+ F+ F
 Tue, Dec 30 151 @Loyola Marymount L 71 - 80 48% +1  55% 7 - 6 0 - 2 D+ -6 C +0 D- B- D D -6 F+ A+ F+
 Fri, Jan 2 178 Oregon St. W 84 - 53 75% +17  96% 8 - 6 1 - 2 A+ +27 A+ +17 A+ B- D+ A+ +14 A+ C B-
 Sun, Jan 4 291 Pepperdine W 74 - 69 89% +3  70% 9 - 6 2 - 2 D+ -6 C- -1 B A+ F D+ -4 C- B- D
 Thu, Jan 8 206 @Portland L 89 - 90 OT 61% -4  13% 9 - 7 2 - 3 C -1 A- +11 B- B- A- F -11 D- F C-
 Sat, Jan 10 216 San Diego W 77 - 70 80% -6  13% 10 - 7 3 - 3 C +1 C- -2 F D+ A- B- +3 B B C-
 Wed, Jan 14 44 @Santa Clara L 69 - 85 13% -4  36% 10 - 8 3 - 4 C -1 B- +4 A+ B F D -6 B- D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 178 @Oregon St. W 81 - 64 55% +6  82% 11 - 8 4 - 4 A +19 A+ +17 A+ C B+ B- +4 B C+ D-
 Sat, Jan 24 132 Seattle W 56 - 54 66% +8  99% 12 - 8 5 - 4 C +1 D- -7 C C- F+ A- +8 C+ A+ B+
 Wed, Jan 28 206 Portland W 74 - 51 80% +15  96% 13 - 8 6 - 4 A- +17 B- +4 C+ A+ D+ A+ +15 A+ A+ B
 Sat, Jan 31 107 @San Francisco L 82 - 87 34% -4  7% 13 - 9 6 - 5 C+ +2 A +12 C A+ D+ F+ -10 D- C F
 Wed, Feb 4 44 Santa Clara L 56 - 71 28% -4  30% 13 - 10 6 - 6 D+ -6 F -11 C- C- F B +4 B A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 291 @Pepperdine W 92 - 59 77% +14  92% 14 - 10 7 - 6 A+ +28 A +13 A A- B+ A+ +14 B- A+ D
 Wed, Feb 11 151 Loyola Marymount W 65 - 59 71% +2  43% 15 - 10 8 - 6 C+ +3 C- -2 B+ C C B+ +6 B- A C+
 Sat, Feb 14 40 St. Mary's L 65 - 72 25%
 Wed, Feb 18 125 @Washington St. L 73 - 75 43%
 Sat, Feb 21 13 @Gonzaga L 64 - 83 4%
 Sat, Feb 28 107 San Francisco W 71 - 69 57%
Totals 16 - 13 9 - 9 +3 C+ +1 B- C+ D- C+ +2 B- B D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C- B+ B+ B- 42% 23% 36% C B- B- C- C+ D- D+ B C- C+ C+ C C+ C+ 31% 27% 42% A- B- A- C B D+ D+ B- C-
1.10 56% 45% 38% +3 0 1.07 34% 1.0 .34 20% .28 76% .21 1.06 56% 39% 33% -1 -1 0.96 25% 1.0 .25 16% .33 70% .20
Nov
8		 Nevada B+ F C+ A+ A+ 33% 10% 58% B A+ F+ F+ F A F+ D- F+ C+ C+ F A+ B 40% 30% 30% C+ B D- B+ C C+ F A+ F
1.14 41% 40% 47% +6 +1 1.15 18% 1.0 .18 12% .25 67% .17 1.16 53% 54% 23% -2 -1 0.95 40% 0.9 .38 13% .67 62% .41
Nov
12		 Long Beach St. F+ C D- F F 47% 14% 40% B+ F B+ B- A- F A+ D+ A+ B- B B- A- A 27% 31% 43% B- A- C- F D- B- F A+ C-
1.01 60% 33% 12% -13 +1 0.79 35% 1.3 .46 23% .57 73% .42 0.96 54% 33% 29% -6 -2 0.86 28% 1.3 .35 19% .38 57% .22
Nov
15		 Cal St. Fullerton C+ B A+ A+ A+ 46% 26% 28% D+ A+ D F+ D- F C- A+ B- A- A+ A- A+ A+ 47% 21% 32% D+ A+ B- A B F B- F+ C
1.09 65% 54% 50% +14 0 1.30 25% 0.9 .21 24% .29 82% .24 0.93 42% 29% 24% -14 +1 0.74 23% 0.8 .17 9% .31 77% .24
Nov
20		 Florida Atlantic F+ F A+ F C 48% 33% 19% F+ C- B F D F A B- A F+ F F F F 25% 25% 50% A F A A+ A+ B- C F D
0.91 45% 57% 25% -2 -1 0.95 32% 0.6 .19 23% .40 75% .30 1.26 75% 75% 42% +19 -2 1.38 27% 0.7 .19 20% .31 81% .25
Nov
24		 Stony Brook A A+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 33% 28% D- A+ F B F+ F A+ A+ A+ A A+ F A+ A+ 23% 19% 58% A- A+ A+ D B+ C C+ F D+
1.29 94% 46% 64% +29 -1 1.58 18% 1.0 .18 21% .45 83% .38 0.87 33% 50% 27% -10 -1 0.81 18% 1.0 .18 18% .24 85% .20
Nov
25		 Jacksonville C- A- A+ F D 32% 18% 50% C- D A+ F C+ D+ A B A A- F A+ A+ B+ 30% 40% 30% A+ A A+ A- A+ F D- C- D-
1.12 71% 63% 23% 0 0 1.02 50% 0.6 .31 16% .45 74% .34 0.87 79% 21% 14% -9 -3 0.77 17% 0.8 .14 13% .34 72% .25
Nov
29		 Sacramento St. F F+ D A- C- 36% 15% 49% D+ C- C+ F F+ F F C+ F A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 34% 29% 38% C A+ A+ D A- C A+ F A
0.96 47% 38% 38% -1 +1 1.02 35% 0.8 .27 23% .15 75% .11 0.76 53% 13% 19% -17 -1 0.64 18% 1.3 .23 16% .20 92% .18
Dec
3		 Air Force A+ B+ A D B 34% 38% 28% F C+ A+ A A+ A- B+ A+ A+ D F D+ A- D+ 33% 21% 46% B+ C- C F F+ D- F B F
1.31 69% 50% 31% +7 -3 1.11 44% 1.3 .56 12% .37 90% .33 1.07 69% 38% 28% -1 0 1.00 23% 1.4 .33 18% .64 59% .38
Dec
6		 California C F F A+ C- 45% 23% 32% C C- A+ F B F+ F A+ D+ B- D+ C+ F+ C- 25% 36% 39% A+ C+ C B- C+ C F A+ C+
1.00 43% 27% 40% -6 0 0.89 45% 0.7 .33 20% .20 80% .16 1.10 64% 38% 41% +5 -3 1.07 27% 1.0 .27 15% .44 57% .25
Dec
16		 BYU F A- F F D- 23% 36% 42% D+ D- C+ A+ A- F F F F C- F A- C- C+ 22% 33% 45% A+ B C C- C- C- F F F
0.80 67% 26% 23% -9 -3 0.77 28% 1.5 .40 25% .06 0% .00 1.30 83% 33% 36% +5 -3 1.07 38% 1.2 .47 13% .43 89% .38
Dec
21		 Nicholls St. A A+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 35% 23% F A+ C- A+ A+ F+ A+ B- A+ D- F A F F 46% 8% 46% F F B- A+ A+ B+ F A+ D+
1.32 82% 64% 44% +23 -2 1.45 35% 1.6 .55 25% .67 81% .54 1.14 77% 25% 45% +16 +2 1.38 24% 0.5 .12 19% .40 52% .21
Dec
28		 San Diego F D- A+ F F 45% 10% 45% B+ F+ B- F F F D- D- F+ B- A- A+ B A+ 18% 23% 59% A- A+ A+ F F+ F F C- F
0.84 53% 75% 21% -8 +2 0.90 38% 0.6 .24 33% .28 67% .19 1.03 50% 20% 31% -8 -2 0.82 19% 2.0 .38 12% .43 75% .32
Dec
30		 Loyola Marymount C F B- A+ F+ 52% 22% 26% A- D- A- D+ B- D A+ B- A+ D A- F F F 20% 33% 47% A+ F+ A A+ A+ F+ F C- F
1.02 29% 40% 42% -12 +1 0.80 39% 0.9 .37 19% .46 77% .35 1.15 50% 59% 42% +11 -3 1.18 21% 0.7 .14 14% .39 70% .27
Jan
2		 Oregon St. A+ B- B+ A+ A+ 33% 20% 47% D A+ B- C B- D+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ 28% 28% 45% A A+ A- F C B- A+ A+ A+
1.35 60% 44% 52% +15 0 1.31 36% 1.0 .36 16% .46 75% .34 0.85 31% 23% 33% -12 -2 0.74 20% 1.6 .31 19% .22 64% .14
Jan
4		 Pepperdine C- D+ F A+ B+ 36% 19% 45% D B B- A+ A+ F C A+ B D+ A+ F C D 26% 35% 39% A+ C- B+ C B- D C+ F D
1.11 53% 25% 47% +5 0 1.12 36% 1.8 .64 27% .27 85% .23 1.04 36% 58% 33% +1 -3 0.98 24% 0.9 .21 17% .27 93% .25
Jan
8		 Portland A- D D+ A+ B- 45% 20% 35% C+ B- A+ F B- A- A+ A+ A+ F D+ A+ F F 20% 39% 41% A+ D- F D+ F C- C- F D
1.21 52% 30% 44% +1 +1 1.06 45% 0.8 .37 14% .41 85% .35 1.23 64% 24% 55% +8 -4 1.11 37% 1.2 .46 19% .30 83% .25
Jan
10		 San Diego C- C- F+ F F 37% 12% 51% B- F A+ F D+ A- A+ A+ A+ B- C- D+ B+ B- 25% 29% 45% A B A- C- B C- F+ D F
1.10 58% 33% 23% -9 +1 0.86 48% 0.7 .34 16% .48 82% .39 1.00 62% 40% 30% -1 -2 0.96 24% 1.0 .24 17% .31 78% .24
Jan
14		 Santa Clara B- F C- A+ A+ 41% 7% 51% B+ A+ A+ D B F D B D+ D F D- B- C 24% 27% 49% A+ B- A+ F D+ F F F F
1.05 47% 33% 52% +9 +2 1.24 42% 0.9 .38 32% .29 77% .22 1.30 75% 50% 32% +6 -2 1.10 28% 1.6 .44 11% .32 89% .29
Jan
17		 Oregon St. A+ B+ F A+ A+ 55% 10% 35% A- A+ C- C C B+ D- F F+ B- B- F A+ B- 29% 33% 38% A+ B A F C+ D- F D- F
1.31 64% 20% 44% +7 +3 1.22 31% 1.0 .31 11% .27 67% .18 1.03 50% 50% 25% -3 -2 0.90 19% 1.6 .30 15% .51 81% .42
Jan
24		 Seattle D- F A+ F C 48% 25% 27% C C C+ D C- F+ C F F A- A A F C 32% 17% 51% B- C+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A A+ A
0.89 38% 73% 25% -4 0 0.93 32% 0.8 .26 24% .29 50% .15 0.86 47% 25% 42% 0 0 1.02 13% 0.5 .06 21% .20 60% .12
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Portland B- B- A+ F B- 44% 25% 31% C- C+ B- A+ A+ D+ D D D- A+ A+ C- A- A+ 31% 13% 56% C A+ A+ A+ A+ B F A- F
1.16 62% 50% 27% +1 0 1.04 35% 1.5 .55 19% .25 69% .17 0.80 33% 40% 27% -13 0 0.77 19% 0.7 .13 22% .56 68% .38
Jan
31		 San Francisco A D D+ B- C- 54% 18% 28% A- C B A+ A+ D+ C- A+ B+ F+ C- B- F D- 46% 18% 36% D+ D- C C+ C F F D+ F
1.21 52% 33% 36% -3 +1 0.98 31% 2.1 .66 15% .26 93% .24 1.28 61% 33% 44% +6 +1 1.16 33% 1.1 .36 10% .43 73% .31
Feb
4		 Santa Clara F F A+ D+ D+ 60% 16% 23% B+ C- C D C- F B- F C- B C F B B+ 35% 14% 51% C- B A+ A+ A+ F F A+ D+
0.87 46% 57% 30% -5 +2 0.95 31% 0.9 .28 27% .36 65% .23 1.11 61% 57% 31% +1 +1 1.06 28% 0.7 .20 11% .33 58% .19
Feb
7		 Pepperdine A F+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 23% 36% D- A D A+ A- B+ D+ A C A+ A+ B- F C+ 34% 34% 32% A B- A+ A+ A+ D D- A+ B-
1.27 48% 54% 55% +11 0 1.23 27% 1.8 .47 14% .24 80% .19 0.81 39% 33% 41% -5 -2 0.89 10% 0.3 .03 17% .35 57% .20
Feb
11		 Loyola Marymount C- A C+ F B+ 49% 27% 24% B- B+ B- D C C F D F B+ D- F A C- 12% 43% 45% A+ B- A+ F A C+ B F C
1.03 67% 38% 25% +1 0 1.04 34% 0.9 .31 16% .19 70% .13 0.94 67% 52% 27% +3 -5 0.98 14% 1.3 .17 19% .22 82% .18



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 0.2 3rd
4th 1.5 31.9 30.6 7.8 0.3 72.0 4th
5th 7.6 9.9 0.2 17.7 5th
6th 7.8 0.5 8.3 6th
7th 1.8 0.0 1.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 18.7 42.3 30.8 7.9 0.3 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.3% 0.3
11-7 7.9% 0.8% 0.8% 11.7 0.0 0.0 7.8
10-8 30.8% 0.7% 0.7% 11.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 30.6
9-9 42.3% 0.5% 0.5% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 42.1
8-10 18.7% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 18.7
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 12.0 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 7.0%