Presbyterian
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.3 272
Expected Predictive Rating -6.3 264
Pace 62.5 334
Improvement +0.4 172

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ #267 D+ C D- C+ C-
Defense C- #259 D+ C D+ C+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 61 57% 186 +2.5 99
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 64 37% 204 +2.2 70
Three Pointers 30% 355 31% 304 -7.2 354
1st FG Attempt 0.97 252 -2.6 256
Second Chance 32.3% 129 0.98 255 0.32 162
Turnovers 19.8% 333
Freethrows 0.34 83 68% 317 0.23 146
Total Offense -3.6 267

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 33 57% 166 -3.2 290
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 237 42% 302 +0.1 179
Three Pointers 37% 294 36% 262 +1.0 136
1st FG Attempt 1.06 248 -2.1 247
Second Chance 30.4% 178 1.00 139 0.31 159
Turnovers 15.0% 298
Freethrows 0.30 181 68% 26 0.21 130
Total Defense -2.7 259

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.5 255 +0.7 294
Shot Type Accuracy -2.0 243 +1.4 232
Possession Length 18.2 262 18.0 289
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 268 0.15 101
Improvement +2.4 #64 -2.0 #295

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 2% 4% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 32% 56% 18%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 2% 2%
First Round1% 2% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Charleston Southern (Away) - 35.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 410 - 812 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 166 Navy L 55 - 76 39% -16  3% 0 - 1 F -24 F -15 F+ F F F -11 F+ C F
 Sat, Nov 8 126 East Tennessee St. W 68 - 64 30% +2  57% 1 - 1 C+ +3 D+ -3 D- A+ F B+ +6 A+ F B+
 Mon, Nov 10 276 @Georgia St. W 63 - 61 39% -5  13% 2 - 1 C -1 C- -2 C- A+ F C+ +1 D C C
 Wed, Nov 12 90 @South Carolina L 61 - 81 9% -18  2% 2 - 2 D- -12 D -5 D- B- C D- -8 C- B F
 Sun, Nov 16 254 @Sacramento St. L 62 - 64 35% +4  78% 2 - 3 C- -4 F -13 F F C A- +8 C+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 73 @California L 57 - 67 7% -3  10% 2 - 4 C +1 C- -1 F A+ D- C -0 D+ C- A-
 Fri, Nov 21 34 @UCLA L 46 - 86 2% -24  0% 2 - 5 F -23 F -20 F F F D+ -4 F F+ B
 Sun, Nov 30 347 The Citadel W 69 - 41 72% +19  98% 3 - 5 A- +16 B +7 B- A+ D A+ +17 A+ C+ B-
 Wed, Dec 3 212 @Wofford L 56 - 63 27% -4  22% 3 - 6 D+ -7 F -15 F B- F+ B+ +8 A B- F
 Sat, Dec 6 292 Morehead St. W 80 - 72 66% +3  67% 4 - 6 C- -3 C +1 C+ A F C- -3 F A+ D-
 Wed, Dec 17 252 @East Carolina L 53 - 74 34% -10  0% 4 - 7 F -23 F -21 F C F C- -3 F B+ A+
 Sun, Dec 21 323 @Manhattan L 81 - 87 53% -3  26% 4 - 8 D- -13 C- -2 D+ C- C F -11 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 3 297 South Carolina Upstate W 86 - 77 67% +4  76% 5 - 8 1 - 0 C- -2 B +7 B+ B- B+ D- -9 F C+ C+
 Wed, Jan 7 233 @Radford L 61 - 80 31% -6  6% 5 - 9 1 - 1 F -20 D- -8 F C- A- F -15 F A F
 Sat, Jan 10 261 @Longwood L 70 - 77 36% -10  1% 5 - 10 1 - 2 D -10 C+ +2 B+ D+ D F -13 F F+ F+
 Wed, Jan 14 211 UNC Asheville W 71 - 70 48% +6  83% 6 - 10 2 - 2 D+ -5 D+ -2 A- D+ F+ C- -2 A C D
 Sat, Jan 17 363 @Gardner-Webb W 92 - 55 81% +20  99% 7 - 10 3 - 2 A +21 A- +9 B- C+ B- A +12 B C+ B+
 Wed, Jan 21 256 Charleston Southern W 87 - 83 58% +8  89% 8 - 10 4 - 2 C- -4 B- +4 A+ D C- D- -9 D+ F F+
 Sat, Jan 24 130 Winthrop L 72 - 82 31% -5  3% 8 - 11 4 - 3 D -11 D- -6 F+ D- D- D+ -5 B+ D F
 Thu, Jan 29 92 @High Point L 81 - 84 9% -2  21% 8 - 12 4 - 4 B- +5 B+ +9 B+ B+ C C- -3 A D F
 Sat, Jan 31 233 Radford L 84 - 93 2OT 53% -0  42% 8 - 13 4 - 5 F+ -16 F+ -9 B- F F D -6 C+ C F
 Sat, Feb 7 363 Gardner-Webb W 68 - 62 92% -0  40% 9 - 13 5 - 5 F+ -16 F -10 D D- F D+ -4 F A D-
 Thu, Feb 12 256 @Charleston Southern L 71 - 75 36%
 Sat, Feb 14 211 @UNC Asheville L 65 - 71 27%
 Thu, Feb 19 261 Longwood W 71 - 69 58%
 Sat, Feb 21 297 @South Carolina Upstate L 68 - 69 43%
 Thu, Feb 26 92 High Point L 70 - 79 21%
 Sat, Feb 28 130 @Winthrop L 67 - 78 14%
Totals 11 - 17 7 - 9 -6 D+ -4 D+ C D- C- -3 D+ C D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C C- D C- 43% 27% 30% C- D+ C+ C- C D- B- D C+ C- C D D+ C- 44% 19% 37% D D+ C C+ C D+ C B+ C+
1.03 57% 37% 31% -2 0 0.97 32% 1.0 .32 20% .34 68% .23 1.12 57% 42% 36% +1 +1 1.06 30% 1.0 .31 15% .30 68% .23
Nov
3		 Navy F A+ F F F 36% 18% 45% B+ F+ C- F F F A+ F A+ F D- A D+ D- 54% 15% 30% F F+ D+ B- C F F A D
0.85 75% 25% 15% -9 0 0.84 29% 0.5 .15 23% .45 64% .28 1.18 64% 29% 36% +3 +2 1.11 32% 1.0 .32 12% .43 67% .28
Nov
8		 East Tennessee St. D+ F+ F B F+ 45% 15% 40% C+ D- B+ A+ A+ F A+ C- A+ B+ A- F A+ A+ 38% 17% 45% C A+ F D+ F B+ F C F+
1.05 50% 17% 38% -5 +1 0.95 37% 1.3 .47 25% .53 73% .39 0.99 50% 50% 14% -14 0 0.74 36% 1.2 .44 19% .40 76% .30
Nov
10		 Georgia St. C- C F B+ C- 44% 23% 33% C- C- C+ A+ A+ F A+ A- A+ C+ D- D A+ D+ 37% 23% 40% D- D F A+ C C D- A- D+
1.05 59% 22% 38% -1 0 1.00 35% 1.4 .50 23% .41 79% .33 1.02 63% 40% 24% -4 0 0.93 38% 0.8 .29 17% .36 72% .26
Nov
12		 South Carolina D D- A+ F F 57% 26% 17% B D- A- D B- C A F C+ D- B A- F C- 42% 19% 40% C- C- F+ A+ B F F C+ F
0.94 50% 50% 0% -10 +1 0.83 37% 0.9 .32 15% .36 55% .20 1.25 55% 33% 42% +3 0 1.08 36% 0.7 .25 9% .54 78% .42
Nov
16		 Sacramento St. F C F F F 47% 14% 39% C+ F C+ F F C A- F C+ A- B- F A+ B+ 61% 16% 23% F C+ F+ D- F A+ F B+ F
0.93 57% 29% 16% -13 +1 0.80 35% 0.7 .25 17% .38 62% .23 0.96 52% 57% 10% -9 +2 0.89 33% 1.3 .43 26% .51 72% .36
Nov
18		 California C- F C D+ F+ 32% 30% 39% F+ F A+ B+ A+ D- D C+ D+ C D+ F C D+ 43% 25% 32% D+ D+ F A+ C- A- C A+ A
0.99 29% 38% 29% -12 -2 0.75 46% 1.1 .49 19% .26 67% .17 1.16 63% 55% 36% +7 0 1.16 38% 0.8 .31 19% .34 56% .19
Nov
21		 UCLA F A+ F F F 26% 33% 41% F+ F D- F F F C+ F+ C- D+ F A F F 61% 15% 24% F F A F F+ B F A+ D+
0.68 75% 27% 11% -14 -2 0.70 23% 0.6 .14 25% .30 67% .20 1.28 75% 29% 45% +13 +2 1.33 26% 1.8 .48 16% .43 67% .28
Nov
30		 The Citadel B D A A+ B 33% 19% 48% D B- B A+ A+ D F F F A+ A+ D+ A A+ 28% 25% 48% A- A+ B- C+ C+ B- D+ A+ B+
1.27 57% 50% 45% +10 0 1.21 38% 1.6 .58 17% .20 56% .11 0.76 18% 40% 26% -16 -1 0.68 25% 0.9 .22 20% .30 46% .14
Dec
3		 Wofford F F F C- F 69% 11% 20% A+ F B+ D+ B- F+ C+ F D B+ A+ D+ B A+ 39% 10% 51% D+ A F+ A+ B- F C+ C C+
0.89 39% 20% 33% -15 +3 0.78 37% 1.1 .39 19% .31 63% .20 1.00 35% 40% 31% -11 +1 0.82 35% 0.6 .22 8% .31 72% .22
Dec
6		 Morehead St. C B A+ D C+ 43% 20% 36% C- C+ A+ C- A F A+ F A+ C- C C F F 44% 15% 40% F F A+ A+ A+ D- B C B-
1.18 63% 56% 31% +4 0 1.11 53% 0.9 .47 25% .59 63% .37 1.06 57% 38% 43% +5 +1 1.13 21% 0.6 .12 15% .26 73% .19
Dec
17		 East Carolina F F+ F F F 63% 17% 20% A F C C+ C F C+ D+ C+ C- C- F D- F 56% 17% 27% F F A+ F B+ A+ F F F
0.77 48% 25% 11% -15 +2 0.76 30% 1.2 .36 28% .28 71% .20 1.08 57% 71% 36% +6 +2 1.17 20% 1.3 .25 23% .50 85% .42
Dec
21		 Manhattan C- D+ D- B+ D 46% 20% 34% C+ D+ C C- C- C D- A D F F F D- F 42% 15% 44% F+ F C B+ B- F D+ A+ C+
1.14 56% 33% 40% +1 +1 1.05 38% 1.1 .41 16% .18 82% .15 1.23 70% 50% 38% +9 +1 1.22 27% 0.9 .24 11% .32 70% .22
Jan
3		 South Carolina Upstate B A+ C+ B A 37% 44% 20% F B+ C B+ B- B+ A+ C A+ D- F A- F F 32% 34% 34% A+ F A+ F C+ C+ F A+ D
1.23 80% 39% 38% +9 -3 1.15 32% 1.2 .39 13% .71 72% .51 1.10 75% 29% 47% +9 -2 1.16 17% 1.4 .24 19% .39 59% .23
Jan
7		 Radford D- D- D D- F 47% 32% 21% D- F C+ D C- A- C F F F C- F F F 24% 27% 49% A+ F B A+ A F A- F C
0.99 50% 33% 30% -6 -1 0.87 34% 1.0 .34 15% .34 50% .17 1.30 58% 54% 46% +13 -2 1.24 25% 0.7 .18 11% .29 88% .26
Jan
10		 Longwood C+ B C+ A- B 43% 11% 45% B- B+ D C- D+ D D+ F D- F D+ D+ F F 43% 20% 37% D+ F F+ D+ F+ F+ B+ F C+
1.11 68% 40% 40% +9 +2 1.23 24% 0.9 .21 21% .32 63% .20 1.22 62% 40% 44% +8 0 1.18 39% 1.0 .39 16% .26 86% .23
Jan
14		 UNC Asheville D+ F+ A+ A+ A- 53% 28% 19% C- A- D+ D+ D+ F+ A+ F B+ C- A+ A+ F A 34% 40% 26% C A D B C D F F F
1.08 48% 58% 63% +8 0 1.19 29% 0.9 .25 20% .51 52% .27 1.07 44% 21% 50% -6 -3 0.85 32% 0.9 .29 15% .43 83% .36
Jan
17		 Gardner-Webb A- C+ A+ A+ B 53% 26% 21% C- B- D+ A- C+ B- A- B+ A A B+ A B B 34% 20% 45% B+ B A- F C+ B+ F A D-
1.31 64% 50% 45% +10 0 1.23 32% 1.2 .39 13% .36 77% .28 0.79 47% 22% 30% -10 0 0.82 18% 1.2 .21 24% .38 60% .23
Jan
21		 Charleston Southern B- A B- A+ A+ 40% 36% 23% D- A+ F B D C- A+ F A D- B- A+ F D+ 41% 7% 52% D- D+ B- F F F+ A+ A+ A+
1.18 68% 41% 55% +13 -2 1.23 20% 1.2 .23 12% .56 61% .34 1.13 54% 25% 40% +2 +2 1.10 26% 1.6 .42 15% .13 38% .05
Jan
24		 Winthrop D- F A+ F D- 30% 33% 37% F F+ D+ F D- D- A+ A+ A+ D+ B+ F+ A+ A 55% 13% 32% F+ B+ D C- D F F B F
1.01 43% 53% 24% -5 -2 0.87 27% 0.9 .24 20% .44 88% .38 1.15 48% 43% 24% -10 +2 0.87 37% 1.1 .39 7% .53 71% .38
Jan
29		 High Point B+ B C- A+ A 39% 36% 25% F B+ B B B+ C A+ A- A+ C- B F A+ A+ 53% 11% 36% D- A D- C+ D F F D F
1.18 65% 38% 55% +10 -2 1.18 37% 1.2 .44 22% .45 79% .35 1.22 55% 50% 20% -8 +2 0.91 36% 1.1 .40 6% .43 79% .34
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Radford F+ A+ F C+ B+ 48% 31% 20% D- B- B F F F C B C+ D A+ F D C 38% 27% 35% A- C+ B- D C F D B C-
1.02 85% 18% 36% +7 -1 1.15 38% 0.5 .21 27% .35 76% .27 1.13 42% 47% 36% -2 -1 0.95 27% 1.1 .29 11% .40 69% .27
Feb
7		 Gardner-Webb F A D+ F D 51% 27% 22% C- D B F D- F A+ D+ A+ D+ D+ D F F 54% 17% 29% D- F C A+ A D- B A+ A+
1.07 74% 33% 20% +2 0 1.07 41% 0.7 .28 21% .46 70% .32 0.98 58% 38% 43% +4 +2 1.13 24% 0.5 .12 17% .23 33% .08



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 1.5 4.5 1.7 0.2 7.8 3rd
4th 2.2 11.1 3.6 0.2 17.0 4th
5th 2.1 17.8 8.4 0.3 28.6 5th
6th 1.9 18.7 12.4 0.5 33.4 6th
7th 4.4 5.7 0.2 10.2 7th
8th 2.7 0.2 3.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 9.0 26.8 32.5 21.4 8.3 1.8 0.2 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.2% 0.2
10-6 1.8% 5.4% 5.4% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.7
9-7 8.3% 3.8% 3.8% 15.9 0.0 0.3 8.0
8-8 21.4% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.7 20.7
7-9 32.5% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.7 31.8
6-10 26.8% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.4 26.4
5-11 9.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 8.9
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 16.0 97.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.6%