Radford
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -4.0 233
Expected Predictive Rating -5.9 260
Pace 76.2 24
Improvement +5.4 18

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C #185 C- C- C- B C+
Defense D+ #275 D+ D+ B- D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 212 55% 252 -1.8 248
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 281 38% 178 -1.8 268
Three Pointers 47% 61 33% 223 +2.2 109
1st FG Attempt 0.99 218 -1.4 219
Second Chance 28.9% 227 0.98 246 0.28 239
Turnovers 17.5% 217
Freethrows 0.36 37 72% 178 0.26 47
Total Offense -0.9 185

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 90 59% 221 -2.7 269
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 287 38% 159 +1.4 89
Three Pointers 41% 186 37% 314 -1.7 270
1st FG Attempt 1.08 280 -3.0 283
Second Chance 32.8% 281 1.09 276 0.36 295
Turnovers 18.2% 103
Freethrows 0.35 301 72% 179 0.25 297
Total Defense -3.1 275

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.5 115 +0.7 296
Shot Type Accuracy -1.9 238 +2.2 271
Possession Length 16.1 65 16.8 109
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 75 0.20 263
Improvement +2.4 #63 +3.0 #40

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5% 6% 5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 28% 38% 8%
.500 or above in Conference 95% 100% 85%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 2% 3%
First Round4% 5% 3%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Charleston Southern (Home) - 66.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 31 - 51 - 11
Quad 413 - 514 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 362 Western Illinois W 80 - 75 92% +5  87% 1 - 0 F+ -15 B +6 C+ A B+ F -20 F F C+
 Tue, Nov 11 26 @North Carolina L 74 - 89 3% -11  5% 1 - 1 C+ +3 D -5 D- C- B- A +10 A B- C+
 Sat, Nov 15 150 Wright St. L 59 - 92 33% -13  2% 1 - 2 F -32 F -19 F+ F D- F -12 F D- C
 Sun, Nov 16 299 Cleveland St. L 82 - 87 65% +9  87% 1 - 3 D- -13 F -14 F D+ D- C+ +1 D+ B- C
 Tue, Nov 18 90 @South Carolina L 58 - 87 12% -15  0% 1 - 4 F -21 F -14 F D F D -6 F+ F B
 Fri, Nov 21 113 UNC Wilmington L 73 - 81 34% -8  3% 1 - 5 D+ -8 D+ -3 B D F D+ -5 F D- A+
 Mon, Nov 24 37 @SMU L 72 - 89 4% -11  0% 1 - 6 C +0 D -6 F B- A B+ +7 A F+ A
 Wed, Dec 3 241 Southern Miss L 75 - 82 63% -6  10% 1 - 7 F+ -15 D- -7 F D+ B D -7 B- C- C
 Sun, Dec 7 355 St. Francis (PA) W 89 - 56 89% +17  97% 2 - 7 A- +16 B- +5 C A- B- A +11 B- A- B-
 Sun, Dec 14 364 Coppin St. W 107 - 77 95% +12  98% 3 - 7 B- +7 A- +10 A+ C D+ D -6 F C- A+
 Thu, Dec 18 145 @William & Mary L 83 - 96 22% -3  33% 3 - 8 D -9 C- -2 D- B C+ D+ -5 B F F+
 Sun, Dec 21 360 VMI W 97 - 90 91% +2  63% 4 - 8 D- -12 B +7 A- A- D F -18 F F B-
 Wed, Dec 31 297 @South Carolina Upstate W 76 - 69 53% +4  71% 5 - 8 1 - 0 C+ +2 D+ -3 C- C F+ B +5 A- F+ B-
 Wed, Jan 7 272 Presbyterian W 80 - 61 69% +6  85% 6 - 8 2 - 0 B +10 A +11 A F A- C+ +1 B+ C- F
 Sat, Jan 10 211 UNC Asheville L 72 - 91 57% -9  0% 6 - 9 2 - 1 F -25 F+ -9 F F A+ F -14 F A- C
 Wed, Jan 14 363 @Gardner-Webb W 89 - 80 86% +5  71% 7 - 9 3 - 1 D+ -7 B +6 D D B+ F -12 D- F F
 Sat, Jan 17 261 Longwood W 85 - 83 67% +11  98% 8 - 9 4 - 1 D+ -7 B +7 A- F+ B+ F -14 F F B-
 Wed, Jan 21 130 @Winthrop L 75 - 76 20% +2  67% 8 - 10 4 - 2 C+ +4 C+ +2 A+ D- F C+ +2 F B+ B
 Fri, Jan 23 92 High Point L 83 - 93 27% -1  35% 8 - 11 4 - 3 D+ -8 C+ +2 A- D- D- F+ -9 F B+ F+
 Thu, Jan 29 256 @Charleston Southern W 84 - 75 44% +8  85% 9 - 11 5 - 3 B- +7 C- -1 C B F B+ +6 A- C+ B-
 Sat, Jan 31 272 @Presbyterian W 93 - 84 2OT 47% +0  44% 10 - 11 6 - 3 B- +6 C+ +2 D- C- A- C+ +2 F A A+
 Wed, Feb 4 130 Winthrop L 78 - 80 39% -3  11% 10 - 12 6 - 4 C- -3 C- -1 C- D C C- -2 F A+ C+
 Sat, Feb 7 92 @High Point L 77 - 86 13% -3  11% 10 - 13 6 - 5 C -1 D -6 F+ C+ D B+ +6 A- B A-
 Sat, Feb 14 256 Charleston Southern W 85 - 81 67%
 Thu, Feb 19 363 Gardner-Webb W 90 - 73 95%
 Sat, Feb 21 211 @UNC Asheville L 75 - 79 35%
 Thu, Feb 26 297 South Carolina Upstate W 81 - 74 74%
 Sat, Feb 28 261 @Longwood L 78 - 79 44%
Totals 13 - 15 9 - 7 -4 C -1 C- C- C- D+ -3 D+ D+ B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D+ C C- C- 37% 16% 47% C+ C- C- C- C- C- B+ C B D+ C- C D D+ 42% 17% 41% D D+ D+ D+ D+ B- D C D+
1.07 55% 38% 33% -2 +1 0.99 29% 1.0 .28 17% .36 72% .26 1.13 59% 38% 37% +2 +1 1.08 33% 1.1 .36 18% .35 72% .26
Nov
3		 Western Illinois B A+ A+ F C+ 41% 17% 41% C- C+ A B A B+ A+ F A+ F B F C- F 37% 30% 33% C F F F F C+ F B- D-
1.29 82% 57% 24% +7 +1 1.17 43% 1.2 .53 11% .56 65% .36 1.21 47% 50% 33% -1 -1 0.98 47% 1.5 .72 18% .39 65% .25
Nov
11		 North Carolina D C F+ F D- 28% 25% 47% C+ D- C+ F+ C- B- A+ F A+ A C- A+ C+ A+ 37% 17% 46% C+ A D A B- C+ F A- F
0.91 53% 27% 25% -10 -1 0.78 27% 0.7 .20 13% .44 61% .27 1.09 63% 11% 33% -3 0 0.96 38% 0.9 .36 13% .70 63% .44
Nov
15		 Wright St. F D- F F+ F 49% 14% 37% B+ F+ F+ F F D- B+ D- B- F A+ F F F 40% 24% 36% B- F C- D- D- C F B- F
0.81 50% 29% 28% -9 +2 0.88 23% 0.2 .05 21% .37 67% .24 1.27 40% 50% 61% +10 0 1.22 33% 1.3 .42 17% .45 70% .31
Nov
16		 Cleveland St. F F A+ F F 40% 19% 41% C F C+ D- D+ D- A+ F A C+ C F D+ C- 39% 9% 52% F+ D+ C- A B- C F A+ F
1.00 48% 55% 21% -9 0 0.84 39% 0.9 .35 18% .45 67% .30 1.06 56% 50% 38% +3 +2 1.11 29% 0.8 .23 20% .70 65% .45
Nov
18		 South Carolina F F D+ D F 34% 18% 48% B- F D C- D F A+ D+ A+ D F F A+ F 33% 21% 46% B- F+ C- F F B A- C A-
0.82 29% 33% 29% -14 0 0.74 23% 0.9 .21 20% .44 68% .30 1.23 76% 82% 25% +9 0 1.19 30% 1.9 .57 17% .25 80% .20
Nov
21		 UNC Wilmington D+ F+ F A B- 24% 14% 61% B- B C- F D F A B+ A+ D+ D- B- F+ F 49% 13% 38% F F F B D- A+ D+ A+ B
1.04 50% 29% 40% +2 0 1.06 25% 0.9 .22 20% .34 79% .27 1.16 65% 33% 39% +6 +2 1.17 45% 1.0 .45 21% .38 57% .22
Nov
24		 SMU D F F F F 29% 15% 56% B F F+ A+ B- A C A+ B B+ C A+ C+ A+ 37% 16% 47% D- A B- F F+ A F D+ F
0.92 41% 22% 24% -15 0 0.71 21% 1.5 .32 14% .27 83% .22 1.14 61% 25% 35% 0 0 1.02 35% 1.4 .49 21% .52 78% .40
Dec
3		 Southern Miss D- F+ F D F 39% 9% 52% B+ F D+ C- D+ B A A A+ D B B- B- B- 33% 35% 33% B- B- F A- C- C F F F
1.00 48% 0% 32% -9 +1 0.87 25% 1.0 .25 15% .42 78% .33 1.09 53% 33% 29% -5 -2 0.87 38% 0.9 .32 19% .52 84% .44
Dec
7		 St. Francis (PA) B- C B- B+ C 35% 9% 56% C+ C C- A+ A- B- F C- F A A+ D- C B 31% 23% 46% C- B- C+ A+ A- B- A+ C- A
1.28 63% 40% 40% +7 +1 1.19 32% 1.6 .52 17% .24 71% .17 0.81 38% 42% 33% -6 -1 0.88 24% 0.7 .17 20% .13 71% .09
Dec
14		 Coppin St. A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 9% 58% B- A+ D+ B C D+ D D- D- D C A+ F F 34% 18% 48% D- F C+ D- C- A+ C- F D-
1.37 83% 60% 47% +22 +1 1.47 33% 1.2 .41 18% .33 71% .23 0.99 53% 11% 50% +5 0 1.12 27% 1.1 .30 29% .35 79% .27
Dec
18		 William & Mary C- F A+ D+ F+ 28% 8% 63% C D- C A- B C+ B C- B- D+ C- A+ A+ A- 60% 5% 35% F B F+ F+ F F+ F F F
1.03 41% 60% 32% -5 +1 0.93 31% 1.2 .36 19% .34 68% .23 1.19 62% 0% 25% -4 +4 1.00 33% 1.3 .44 14% .45 87% .39
Dec
21		 VMI B C+ A+ A+ A- 39% 11% 50% B A- C A+ A- D A+ A A+ F C- F+ F+ F 38% 19% 44% C F D F F B- F F F
1.33 65% 60% 45% +14 +1 1.32 40% 1.3 .52 19% .68 80% .54 1.23 56% 44% 38% +3 0 1.08 30% 1.9 .57 19% .47 89% .42
Dec
31		 South Carolina Upstate D+ C- D+ C- C- 44% 19% 38% C C- D+ B C F+ A C- A B A D+ A+ A+ 60% 9% 30% F A- F D F+ B- C+ F+ C-
1.04 57% 33% 33% -2 +1 1.00 28% 1.2 .33 19% .41 71% .29 0.95 44% 40% 25% -12 +3 0.83 36% 1.0 .36 19% .27 75% .20
Jan
7		 Presbyterian A C A+ A+ A+ 24% 27% 49% F A D F F A- C- A+ B+ C+ B+ B B B+ 47% 32% 21% C+ B+ D+ C- C- F C A+ A-
1.30 58% 54% 46% +13 -2 1.24 25% 0.7 .18 11% .29 88% .26 0.99 50% 33% 30% -6 -1 0.87 34% 1.0 .34 15% .34 50% .17
Jan
10		 UNC Asheville F+ B+ F F F 46% 8% 46% B+ F F F+ F A+ A+ B- A+ F F C F F 29% 29% 41% D- F C+ A+ A- C F A F+
0.98 67% 25% 13% -12 +2 0.83 21% 0.8 .17 10% .48 72% .35 1.24 80% 40% 52% +18 -2 1.35 28% 0.7 .19 18% .48 62% .30
Jan
14		 Gardner-Webb B D- F A D- 49% 13% 38% B+ D A- F D B+ A+ B A+ F F A+ A+ D- 52% 8% 40% F D- B F F F F F F
1.26 56% 14% 43% +1 +2 1.07 43% 0.7 .31 11% .46 76% .35 1.13 69% 0% 25% -3 +3 1.02 20% 1.7 .33 14% .43 81% .35
Jan
17		 Longwood B A+ F A A- 40% 16% 44% C- A- D+ F F+ B+ A+ F+ A+ F C F F F 34% 26% 40% B F F F F B- C- A B-
1.22 80% 25% 41% +11 +1 1.26 25% 0.6 .16 16% .53 65% .34 1.19 59% 46% 40% +6 -1 1.12 41% 1.4 .56 22% .33 67% .22
Jan
21		 Winthrop C+ B+ A A A 48% 5% 48% A+ A+ D- D D- F A+ C+ A+ C+ B+ D F F 44% 10% 46% D F A D B+ B B- A+ A-
1.09 65% 50% 40% +8 +3 1.24 23% 1.0 .23 28% .48 75% .36 1.11 48% 40% 50% +7 +2 1.19 24% 1.1 .27 17% .34 63% .21
Jan
23		 High Point C+ B C+ A A- 43% 9% 47% B+ A- C F D- D- B- C C+ F+ D- A F F 37% 8% 55% C- F A+ F+ B+ F+ F C- F
1.13 65% 40% 40% +8 +2 1.21 32% 0.8 .26 24% .32 72% .23 1.26 68% 25% 43% +10 +2 1.25 21% 1.3 .28 10% .50 76% .38
Jan
29		 Charleston Southern C- F A A+ C+ 45% 31% 24% C- C C A B F A+ A A+ B+ C A+ A A 42% 6% 52% D- A- D B+ C+ B- F B+ F
1.07 41% 47% 42% -2 -1 0.96 29% 1.3 .37 18% .51 79% .40 0.96 57% 0% 27% -8 +2 0.90 33% 0.7 .23 20% .58 61% .35
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Presbyterian C+ F B+ B- D 38% 27% 35% D- D- D+ B- C- A- A C+ A C+ F A+ D F 48% 31% 20% C+ F F+ A+ A A+ C- F D
1.13 42% 47% 36% -2 -1 0.95 27% 1.1 .29 11% .40 69% .27 1.02 85% 18% 36% +7 -1 1.15 38% 0.5 .21 27% .35 76% .27
Feb
4		 Winthrop C- C D+ C- C- 37% 14% 49% B- C- B+ F D C D B- D+ C- D F C- F 43% 13% 43% D+ F A A+ A+ C+ C+ A B+
1.09 57% 38% 32% -2 +1 1.00 37% 0.7 .27 17% .29 76% .22 1.12 61% 57% 35% +4 +1 1.13 26% 0.7 .17 15% .35 67% .23
Feb
7		 High Point D B- A+ F F 37% 8% 55% B F+ C B- C+ D A+ F A B+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 59% 4% 37% F A- D A+ B A- F F F
0.97 63% 50% 21% -7 +2 0.90 33% 1.2 .38 24% .46 64% .30 1.08 59% 0% 22% -8 +4 0.94 35% 0.8 .30 18% .57 84% .47



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 3.5 25.5 28.2 8.6 65.9 3rd
4th 0.9 12.7 11.1 0.7 25.4 4th
5th 0.0 3.0 4.1 0.2 7.3 5th
6th 0.2 1.0 0.1 1.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.3 4.9 20.3 36.9 29.0 8.7 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 8.7% 7.2% 7.2% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 8.1
10-6 29.0% 6.2% 6.2% 15.6 0.0 0.8 1.0 27.2
9-7 36.9% 5.5% 5.5% 15.9 0.1 1.9 34.9
8-8 20.3% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.8 19.5
7-9 4.9% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.2 4.7
6-10 0.3% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 15.7 94.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 14.6 1.6 42.9 52.4 3.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.6%