Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -9.2 312
Results Rating -9.5 317
Consistency 0.19 337
Pace 68.1 190
Improvement +0.3 173

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 297 D C D C C-
Defense D 305 D+ D D C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 224 D+ 55% 270 -2.2 261
2 Pt. Jumpers 45% 95 C- 36% 226 +0.8 133
Three Pointers 39% 215 D 30% 314 -2.9 275
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.5 250 D -3.8 310
1st FG Attempt D 0.94 310
Second Chance C 29.4% 205 C 1.03 171 C 0.30 187
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.5% 285
Other Turnovers D 8.3% 309
Turnovers D 18.9% 312
Freethrows D+ 0.28 247 B 77% 36 C 0.22 194
Total Offense D+ -4.7 297

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 42% 277 C- 11.5% 212
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 17% 306 C- 6.2% 268
Three Pointers D+ 80% 270 D 1.4% 310
Total D 48% 320 D+ 6.3% 262


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 189 D+ 61% 274 +1.2 218
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 168 B- 36% 96 -0.4 152
Three Pointers 41% 184 D- 37% 320 +2.1 284
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 157 D+ +2.8 290
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 272
Second Chance C 30.5% 192 F 1.21 362 D 0.37 312
Turnovers from Steals D 7.3% 324
Other Turnovers C- 6.9% 229
Turnovers D 14.2% 325
Freethrows C+ 0.29 143 F+ 77% 353 C 0.22 189
Total Defense D -4.5 305

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 195 D+ 9.1% 248
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 218 C- 3.6% 250
Three Pointers C- 85% 215 C- 0.7% 212
Total C- 57% 228 D+ 4.5% 260

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 210 17.1 144
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 247 0.21 316
Consistency 0.17 364 0.14 291
Improvement +1.2 133 -0.8 228

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 315 312 310
Results Rating Rank 317 315 312
Conference Record 8 - 12 8 - 12 8 - 12
Conference Finish 8 8 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 49 - 1110 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 131 @Western Kentucky L 70 - 82 10% -9  3% 0 - 1 D+ -7 D- -7 C B F C+ +1 A F C
 Fri, Nov 7 170 @Charlotte L 65 - 70 15% -10  0% 0 - 2 C- -3 F+ -8 C- A+ F B +5 D+ F A+
 Mon, Nov 17 303 West Georgia L 59 - 61 59% -6  13% 0 - 3 D- -14 F -19 F C F B+ +6 A- A- B
 Wed, Nov 19 307 @South Carolina Upstate W 88 - 84 37% +3  73% 1 - 3 C- -2 B- +5 B B+ F D- -7 F B+ F
 Wed, Nov 26 22 @Kentucky L 54 - 104 1% -18  15% 1 - 4 F -31 F -15 F C- B F -15 F F C-
 Sat, Nov 29 26 @Georgia L 81 - 123 1% -23  0% 1 - 5 F -23 D -5 D+ C- B+ F -11 F B D
 Wed, Dec 3 197 @Lipscomb L 80 - 83 17% -1  41% 1 - 6 C- -2 C +1 C+ C B- C- -3 C C- D+
 Sat, Dec 6 303 @West Georgia W 87 - 59 36% +10  86% 2 - 6 A +22 B+ +9 A+ F D+ A+ +13 A+ F B+
 Thu, Dec 18 224 Southeast Missouri St. W 85 - 74 41% +2  49% 3 - 6 1 - 0 C+ +4 B +6 D B+ B C- -2 A+ F B
 Sat, Dec 20 231 Tennessee Martin L 62 - 86 41% -7  8% 3 - 7 1 - 1 F -31 D -6 B+ D- F F -28 F B F
 Tue, Dec 30 199 Tennessee St. L 76 - 88 35% -9  15% 3 - 8 1 - 2 F+ -17 D+ -3 B+ D- D F -14 D- F C-
 Thu, Jan 1 301 @Arkansas Little Rock L 58 - 77 36% -5  18% 3 - 9 1 - 3 F -24 F -18 F C F D- -7 F C D+
 Thu, Jan 8 321 @Eastern Illinois L 61 - 71 42% +2  72% 3 - 10 1 - 4 F+ -17 D- -7 F+ D+ F F -11 D- F F
 Sat, Jan 10 364 @Western Illinois W 59 - 54 74% -2  28% 4 - 10 2 - 4 D -11 F -16 F F F+ B+ +5 D+ B- A+
 Thu, Jan 15 336 Southern Indiana L 54 - 71 72% +0  58% 4 - 11 2 - 5 F -32 F -25 F F F+ D- -8 C- D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 282 Morehead St. L 70 - 76 52% -7  8% 4 - 12 2 - 6 F+ -16 D -5 F B+ B F -11 C+ F F
 Thu, Jan 22 269 @Lindenwood L 68 - 89 28% -19  0% 4 - 13 2 - 7 F -24 F -12 F D- F+ F -11 F F A
 Sat, Jan 24 256 @SIU Edwardsville L 58 - 62 26% -9  0% 4 - 14 2 - 8 D+ -6 D+ -3 F+ C- A+ D+ -5 B- F F
 Sat, Jan 31 301 Arkansas Little Rock W 87 - 77 59% +8  88% 5 - 14 3 - 8 C -1 B+ +9 A B+ F F+ -10 F A+ F
 Mon, Feb 2 199 @Tennessee St. W 90 - 85 17% +10  92% 6 - 14 4 - 8 B- +6 A+ +16 A+ D+ B- F+ -10 D+ F D-
 Thu, Feb 5 364 Western Illinois W 97 - 72 88% +18  94% 7 - 14 5 - 8 C+ +3 A+ +25 A+ A B- F -19 F F C-
 Sat, Feb 7 321 Eastern Illinois L 54 - 60 65% -7  1% 7 - 15 5 - 9 F -19 F -20 F C+ F C+ +0 C C- D
 Thu, Feb 12 282 @Morehead St. L 66 - 73 30% -10  0% 7 - 16 5 - 10 D -11 D -5 F B A- D -6 F+ C D-
 Sat, Feb 14 336 @Southern Indiana W 82 - 74 50% +0  41% 8 - 16 6 - 10 C -1 A +12 B- A+ B- F -12 F+ D- F
 Thu, Feb 19 256 SIU Edwardsville W 62 - 52 47% +1  50% 9 - 16 7 - 10 C +2 F -11 F B+ B- A+ +13 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 269 Lindenwood W 72 - 57 50% +3  71% 10 - 16 8 - 10 B- +6 C- -1 D+ B- C+ A- +8 B- A+ C-
 Thu, Feb 26 231 @Tennessee Martin L 49 - 64 21% -6  6% 10 - 17 8 - 11 F+ -16 F -19 F F F B- +3 B- B- F
 Sat, Feb 28 224 @Southeast Missouri St. L 73 - 89 21% -2  47% 10 - 18 8 - 12 F+ -17 C+ +2 D+ F A+ F -19 F C- F
Totals 10 - 18 8 - 12 -9 D+ -5 F D C- D -4 D B C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D+ C- D D 37% 45% 39% C- D C C C D D+ B C D D+ B- D- D+ 38% 21% 41% C D+ C F D D C+ F+ C
1.02 55% 36% 30% -4 0 0.94 29% 1.0 .30 19% .28 77% .22 1.15 61% 36% 37% +3 0 1.08 30% 1.2 .37 14% .29 77% .22
Nov
3		 Western Kentucky D- D- A+ D+ C- 30% 17% 53% C+ C C- A+ B F F F F C+ A+ F A+ A+ 54% 26% 20% C A D+ F F C F D- F
0.92 50% 56% 32% -1 0 1.00 26% 1.3 .33 25% .21 50% .10 1.08 37% 46% 20% -13 0 0.76 33% 1.4 .46 14% .54 80% .43
Nov
7		 Charlotte F+ D+ F B- D+ 51% 21% 28% B C- C+ A+ A+ F A+ F B- B C A- F D 33% 25% 43% A+ D+ D F F A+ F B- F+
0.99 55% 25% 36% -3 +1 0.97 32% 1.7 .55 26% .51 48% .25 1.07 62% 30% 47% +7 -1 1.15 37% 1.4 .52 29% .43 70% .30
Nov
17		 West Georgia F A+ C F F 36% 22% 42% F+ F F+ A+ C F B- A+ A+ B+ A+ A F B 16% 55% 29% A+ A- D A+ A- B D+ F F
0.88 75% 40% 5% -12 0 0.78 23% 1.3 .29 22% .37 89% .33 0.91 25% 30% 43% -6 -6 0.78 33% 0.6 .21 19% .30 88% .26
Nov
19		 South Carolina Upstate B- B+ F A+ B+ 38% 22% 40% D B B- B+ B+ F A+ A+ A+ D- D- F A+ F+ 53% 11% 37% F F B+ A- B+ F F A- F+
1.14 65% 20% 44% +5 0 1.11 34% 1.3 .45 22% .53 81% .43 1.09 63% 83% 24% +2 +2 1.11 24% 0.8 .19 12% .40 63% .25
Nov
26		 Kentucky F D- D- F F 28% 31% 41% D F D- A C- B F F F F D- D+ F F 44% 8% 47% F F C+ F F C- A+ F A
0.74 47% 32% 20% -14 -2 0.70 19% 1.0 .19 15% .08 40% .03 1.43 69% 40% 50% +16 +2 1.39 36% 1.6 .57 14% .21 85% .18
Nov
29		 Georgia D C+ F+ F D 54% 22% 25% B D+ F A+ C- B+ B- A- B+ F D+ F F F 36% 6% 58% C- F B C+ B D D- A- C-
0.93 57% 29% 19% -8 +1 0.88 21% 1.2 .26 16% .29 76% .22 1.42 65% 75% 51% +20 +2 1.45 33% 1.1 .36 12% .38 69% .26
Dec
3		 Lipscomb C F A+ A+ B 30% 32% 39% F+ C+ D+ B+ C B- C C C C- C- A C C 36% 7% 57% C- C C- C C- D+ F B+ F+
1.08 41% 50% 45% +5 -2 1.09 28% 1.1 .31 16% .27 71% .19 1.12 60% 25% 34% 0 +2 1.05 26% 1.0 .26 15% .32 70% .22
Dec
6		 West Georgia B+ A+ F A+ A+ 50% 26% 24% D A+ D- F F D+ F+ A D+ A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 25% 35% 40% B A+ A- F F B+ F C+ D-
1.25 78% 29% 62% +17 0 1.37 24% 0.3 .08 16% .27 81% .22 0.85 33% 35% 21% -15 -3 0.67 24% 1.8 .42 20% .34 68% .23
Dec
18		 Southeast Missouri St. B C- F A D 43% 24% 33% D+ D C+ A B+ B A+ A A+ C- A+ B- B+ A+ 38% 13% 50% D+ A+ F D- F B F F F
1.18 55% 18% 40% -3 0 0.96 29% 1.3 .39 15% .68 83% .57 1.02 22% 33% 29% -18 +1 0.69 37% 1.3 .49 19% .53 77% .41
Dec
20		 Tennessee Martin D A+ A+ D+ A 18% 24% 58% D- B+ D F+ D- F F B+ D- F F F F F 27% 22% 51% B F A- C B F A- F C+
0.98 88% 55% 31% +6 -2 1.11 27% 0.8 .21 24% .25 75% .19 1.36 71% 55% 46% +17 -1 1.33 29% 0.9 .25 11% .23 85% .19
Dec
30		 Tennessee St. D+ A+ C- B- A- 42% 20% 38% D B+ D+ F D- D F D- F F D A- F F 25% 37% 39% A D- F F F C- A+ F A+
1.08 76% 40% 37% +10 0 1.22 28% 0.9 .24 21% .24 69% .16 1.25 64% 29% 45% +5 -3 1.05 39% 1.6 .64 16% .12 86% .10
Jan
1		 Arkansas Little Rock F F F F F 23% 21% 56% F F A- F+ C F B- A+ A- D- F D- B- F 28% 32% 40% C+ F A F C D+ F D+ F
0.86 45% 10% 26% -16 -1 0.69 44% 0.8 .33 24% .33 82% .27 1.14 92% 40% 32% +9 -2 1.15 23% 1.3 .29 16% .39 68% .26
Jan
8		 Eastern Illinois D- D B- F F+ 33% 18% 49% D+ F+ D+ D+ D+ F A+ A+ A+ F D A+ D+ D 47% 17% 36% F D- F F F F D- B- D
0.98 54% 43% 26% -6 0 0.90 32% 1.0 .32 24% .44 90% .40 1.14 59% 13% 35% -3 +1 0.98 33% 1.3 .42 13% .33 72% .24
Jan
10		 Western Illinois F D- F F F 55% 18% 27% B- F D F F F+ D F F B+ C+ B F D- 35% 40% 25% A D+ F A+ B- A+ F A+ F+
0.94 56% 22% 23% -9 +1 0.88 30% 0.8 .24 18% .27 50% .14 0.86 50% 31% 40% -3 -3 0.90 31% 0.7 .21 24% .46 55% .25
Jan
15		 Southern Indiana F F A+ F F 47% 16% 37% B- F D F F F+ D- F F D- B A+ C B- 55% 8% 37% F C- C- D D+ F C+ A+ A
0.79 46% 50% 16% -14 +1 0.76 29% 0.6 .17 19% .27 60% .16 1.04 45% 0% 32% -11 +3 0.85 30% 0.9 .28 4% .29 47% .14
Jan
17		 Morehead St. D D C F F 57% 21% 21% C+ F C A+ B+ B A- D B F B- A- F C 31% 39% 31% A+ C+ F F F F C- D D+
1.10 52% 40% 20% -8 +1 0.89 35% 1.3 .44 13% .40 68% .27 1.20 53% 32% 40% -1 -3 0.94 46% 1.1 .51 11% .32 78% .25
Jan
22		 Lindenwood F F C+ F F 51% 27% 22% D+ F B- F D- F+ A+ B- A+ F F C A+ F 61% 6% 33% F F F+ F F A D F F
0.89 36% 38% 27% -13 0 0.76 35% 0.7 .23 21% .50 73% .36 1.17 71% 33% 24% +2 +3 1.14 37% 1.7 .63 24% .34 80% .27
Jan
24		 SIU Edwardsville D+ C F+ F F+ 38% 33% 29% D F+ B- D- C- A+ D+ C+ D+ D+ F A+ A+ B 37% 26% 37% D+ B- F D+ F F D F F
1.00 56% 31% 21% -9 -2 0.81 35% 0.8 .30 10% .29 73% .21 1.07 71% 17% 24% -7 -1 0.87 35% 1.1 .38 14% .30 80% .24
Jan
31		 Arkansas Little Rock B+ B+ A+ A+ A 44% 7% 49% B+ A A+ F B+ F A+ A+ A+ F+ D F D- F 48% 28% 24% F F A A+ A+ F D+ F F+
1.28 68% 67% 43% +13 +2 1.33 60% 0.7 .43 31% .45 86% .38 1.13 65% 53% 38% +9 0 1.20 23% 0.7 .15 13% .25 80% .20
Feb
2		 Tennessee St. A+ F C+ A+ A+ 35% 15% 50% D+ A+ C- D+ D+ B- A- B- A F+ D+ D- B D+ 41% 29% 30% D+ D+ F C- F D- C C- C-
1.30 38% 43% 65% +17 0 1.37 29% 1.0 .29 17% .44 76% .33 1.23 61% 44% 29% +1 -1 1.02 48% 1.1 .50 13% .28 76% .22
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Western Illinois A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 35% 14% 51% C- A+ A+ D A B- C B C+ F C+ D F F 26% 32% 43% B+ F D- F F C- C- F F+
1.57 61% 57% 58% +22 +1 1.47 50% 1.1 .54 13% .32 76% .24 1.16 50% 40% 45% +6 -2 1.09 29% 1.2 .35 16% .31 81% .25
Feb
7		 Eastern Illinois F D- C F F 39% 13% 47% C+ F B D+ C+ F A+ A A+ C+ C+ A- C- C 39% 37% 24% B- C B+ F C- D C- F D
0.84 53% 40% 17% -14 +1 0.76 40% 1.0 .40 33% .46 85% .39 0.93 53% 28% 33% -6 -2 0.86 22% 1.3 .28 15% .29 81% .24
Feb
12		 Morehead St. D D F F F 50% 16% 34% B- F C+ B B A- D- C+ D D F D B- F 42% 32% 26% B- F+ C- C+ C D- D+ F F+
1.06 52% 25% 24% -10 +1 0.84 38% 1.1 .41 11% .27 73% .20 1.17 71% 44% 31% +6 -1 1.12 35% 0.9 .32 14% .34 83% .28
Feb
14		 Southern Indiana A A C D+ B 45% 23% 32% D+ B- B+ A+ A+ B- B- B+ B F D A+ F F 34% 36% 30% A F+ D+ F+ D- F F F F
1.27 71% 36% 33% +5 0 1.13 41% 1.3 .52 14% .34 79% .27 1.15 56% 18% 50% -1 -2 0.96 32% 1.0 .32 12% .48 74% .35
Feb
19		 SIU Edwardsville F F A- F F 34% 34% 32% D- F B- A- B+ B- B A+ A+ A+ A B A+ A+ 35% 28% 37% C- A+ A- F D+ F A+ A+ A+
0.92 41% 47% 6% -16 -2 0.66 35% 1.1 .40 15% .37 86% .31 0.77 45% 31% 14% -17 -1 0.65 21% 1.4 .31 12% .10 50% .05
Feb
21		 Lindenwood C- F A+ C+ C- 33% 25% 42% F+ D+ F+ A+ B- C+ D- A+ C+ A- B+ A+ D C+ 31% 25% 44% A- B- A+ D+ A+ C- A+ F A+
1.09 44% 50% 35% -1 -1 0.98 24% 1.6 .38 17% .29 88% .25 0.86 50% 15% 35% -8 -1 0.85 16% 1.2 .19 18% .15 75% .11
Feb
26		 Tennessee Martin F F F F F 15% 32% 54% F F F D F F A+ A+ A+ B- C- A+ A B 42% 15% 43% D- B- A+ F B- F A- F B-
0.74 50% 15% 23% -17 -3 0.61 20% 0.9 .17 24% .54 81% .44 0.97 59% 25% 26% -7 +1 0.91 25% 1.1 .28 15% .23 77% .18
Feb
28		 Southeast Missouri St. C+ C- A+ F D+ 47% 19% 34% C+ D+ F B+ F A+ A+ A A+ F F A+ D- F 45% 25% 30% B- F B+ F C- F F+ F F
1.07 55% 56% 25% -3 +1 0.98 15% 1.3 .19 12% .50 83% .42 1.31 83% 15% 38% +7 0 1.17 22% 1.5 .33 6% .39 80% .31



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%