UTEP
Conference USA
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -5.6 260
Results Rating -6.3 261
Consistency 0.13 93
Pace 63.8 304
Improvement +0.9 151

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 295 D+ D C D F+
Defense C- 209 C- D+ B- D- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% 350 C+ 59% 145 -4.6 332
2 Pt. Jumpers 48% 64 D- 32% 345 +1.5 95
Three Pointers 40% 196 C 34% 194 -0.4 195
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ -1.7 344 C- -1.8 246
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.95 286
Second Chance D 26.1% 299 C- 0.99 248 D 0.26 303
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.0% 137
Other Turnovers D+ 8.0% 277
Turnovers C 17.1% 205
Freethrows D 0.27 294 D 68% 313 D 0.18 319
Total Offense D+ -4.6 295

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots F+ 35% 344 B- 9.7% 106
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 32% 83 D+ 6.7% 292
Three Pointers C+ 86% 155 B 0.4% 64
Total D+ 51% 281 C+ 5.1% 116


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 251 C- 59% 205 -0.9 137
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 86 D 42% 325 +1.8 315
Three Pointers 40% 204 C 34% 197 -0.1 177
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.5 92 C- +1.4 238
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 210
Second Chance D 33.4% 306 C 1.04 202 D+ 0.35 281
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.7% 93
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 159
Turnovers B- 18.0% 99
Freethrows D- 0.36 327 C- 73% 235 D- 0.26 325
Total Defense C- -1.1 209

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 57% 338 B 14.4% 57
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 25% 173 C+ 5.9% 105
Three Pointers D+ 87% 269 C- 0.7% 205
Total D+ 59% 260 B- 6.9% 77

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.7 317 17.3 177
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 177 0.19 251
Consistency 0.10 28 0.11 60
Improvement +0.2 177 +0.7 157

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 284 264 239
Results Rating Rank 297 261 237
Conference Record 6 - 14 7 - 13 8 - 12
Conference Finish 11 10 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 26% 6% 40%
First Four1% 1% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Kennesaw St. (Home) - 40.1% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 50 - 6
Quad 33 - 103 - 15
Quad 45 - 68 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 11 158 Loyola Marymount L 58 - 71 39% -3  29% 0 - 1 F+ -16 F -11 D- F B+ D- -7 F F A+
 Sat, Nov 15 42 @Utah St. L 51 - 75 3% -12  3% 0 - 2 D+ -8 F -17 F D+ D A- +8 B+ C- A+
 Mon, Nov 24 139 William & Mary L 63 - 74 26% -8  0% 0 - 3 D -10 F -16 F B- D+ A- +7 C B- A+
 Tue, Nov 25 116 UAB L 59 - 75 21% -7  11% 0 - 4 D- -13 D- -7 C F+ F D- -7 B F C-
 Sun, Dec 7 117 @Seattle L 68 - 75 14% -1  33% 0 - 5 C -1 B +6 B B- C+ D- -7 D F C+
 Sat, Dec 13 118 @Hawaii L 61 - 66 14% +2  62% 0 - 6 C +1 D+ -3 D- A+ B B- +3 B+ B+ F
 Sun, Dec 21 313 Norfolk St. L 71 - 72 74% -3  25% 0 - 7 D- -13 F+ -9 C- C F D+ -4 F+ A- B+
 Mon, Dec 22 132 North Dakota St. W 76 - 66 33% +3  66% 1 - 7 B +9 C +2 C+ C C- A- +8 C A+ A+
 Mon, Dec 29 221 @Louisiana Tech L 63 - 75 31% -11  1% 1 - 8 0 - 1 D- -13 D+ -3 F A F F -10 F A+ F
 Fri, Jan 2 205 @Missouri St. L 55 - 79 27% -16  0% 1 - 9 0 - 2 F -23 F+ -9 F+ D+ D F -20 F+ F C
 Sun, Jan 4 200 @Florida International L 64 - 76 27% -2  36% 1 - 10 0 - 3 D -11 D- -7 F+ F+ B D+ -4 C- F C+
 Thu, Jan 8 163 Middle Tennessee W 83 - 80 OT 41% -5  11% 2 - 10 1 - 3 C -0 B- +4 D A+ B+ D+ -4 C B- C+
 Sat, Jan 10 131 Western Kentucky L 56 - 68 33% -0  43% 2 - 11 1 - 4 D- -13 F -17 F F F B- +3 C+ B- C
 Thu, Jan 15 275 @Delaware W 70 - 69 41% -2  16% 3 - 11 2 - 4 C- -2 C +2 C D- A+ D+ -4 A F F
 Sat, Jan 17 115 @Liberty L 69 - 80 13% -7  1% 3 - 12 2 - 5 C- -5 C+ +2 A+ F D- D- -8 F+ C- F+
 Thu, Jan 22 200 Florida International W 83 - 77 48% +5  91% 4 - 12 3 - 5 C +1 C+ +3 B C+ D C- -3 F+ A- C+
 Sat, Jan 24 205 Missouri St. L 57 - 62 49% +2  63% 4 - 13 3 - 6 D -10 F -16 D- F B- B+ +6 B C- A+
 Wed, Jan 28 221 Louisiana Tech L 59 - 69 54% -6  19% 4 - 14 3 - 7 F+ -17 F -11 F F C+ D -6 D D- A+
 Sat, Jan 31 275 Delaware W 70 - 55 64% +2  53% 5 - 14 4 - 7 B- +6 D+ -2 D- D+ A A +10 A+ D- A
 Wed, Feb 4 107 @Sam Houston St. L 66 - 70 12% -4  11% 5 - 15 4 - 8 C+ +3 D- -7 D- F A+ A +10 A+ D+ C
 Sat, Feb 7 177 New Mexico St. W 91 - 88 OT 44% -5  14% 6 - 15 5 - 8 C -1 C- -1 D- A D C -1 C- C+ D
 Wed, Feb 11 192 @Jacksonville St. W 69 - 64 26% +0  35% 7 - 15 6 - 8 B- +6 B +6 A+ F+ D C+ +0 F C- A
 Sat, Feb 14 115 Liberty L 64 - 73 28% -2  27% 7 - 16 6 - 9 D -9 D -6 B- D- D D+ -4 C C- D
 Sat, Feb 21 177 @New Mexico St. L 63 - 67 24% -3  26% 7 - 17 6 - 10 C- -2 C -0 D- D+ A C- -3 B- C- F
 Thu, Feb 26 163 @Middle Tennessee L 67 - 77 22% -11  3% 7 - 18 6 - 11 D+ -7 D -6 A F F C- -2 C- D- A
 Sat, Feb 28 131 @Western Kentucky L 65 - 97 16% -13  3% 7 - 19 6 - 12 F -27 F+ -8 F C D+ F -18 F C- D+
 Thu, Mar 5 159 Kennesaw St. L 73 - 76 40%
 Sat, Mar 7 192 Jacksonville St. L 66 - 67 47%
Totals 8 - 20 7 - 13 -6 D+ -5 C- C- F+ C- -1 C D D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C+ D- C C- 30% 48% 40% F+ D+ D C- D C D D D C- C- D C C- 36% 23% 40% B- C- D C D+ B- D- C- D-
1.02 59% 32% 34% -2 -2 0.95 26% 1.0 .26 17% .27 68% .18 1.10 59% 42% 34% +1 0 1.04 33% 1.0 .35 18% .36 73% .20
Nov
11		 Loyola Marymount F F F A+ D+ 22% 43% 35% F D- F+ F F B+ F+ C+ F+ D- F+ B F F 30% 20% 50% D+ F F F F A+ A+ F A+
0.92 27% 27% 44% -6 -4 0.82 23% 0.8 .18 13% .22 75% .16 1.13 69% 33% 45% +11 -1 1.23 36% 1.4 .52 30% .11 80% .09
Nov
15		 Utah St. F A F F F 36% 32% 32% D F F+ B+ D+ D B+ F D A- F D A+ B+ 39% 12% 49% B- B+ F A+ C- A+ F A F
0.75 69% 14% 14% -13 -2 0.73 23% 1.1 .26 24% .36 53% .19 1.10 75% 40% 25% 0 +1 1.05 47% 0.9 .43 25% .71 64% .45
Nov
24		 William & Mary F D- F F F 37% 21% 42% D+ F C- A B- D+ D+ D D A- C- D C C- 43% 14% 43% C+ C D A+ B- A+ C- B+ C+
0.85 52% 25% 17% -16 0 0.70 28% 1.3 .35 20% .26 67% .17 1.00 62% 43% 33% +2 +1 1.08 30% 0.9 .27 26% .36 70% .26
Nov
25		 UAB D- C+ D+ B C+ 23% 27% 50% F+ C F D F+ F B+ C B+ D- D A+ A+ B 48% 33% 20% B B F A- F C- F D+ F
0.93 60% 33% 36% +1 -2 1.00 16% 0.8 .13 21% .30 73% .22 1.19 64% 20% 22% -7 -1 0.87 54% 0.9 .46 11% .61 74% .45
Dec
7		 Seattle B A+ C- F B+ 33% 31% 37% F+ B D A+ B- C+ D- D+ D- D- A+ F F D- 36% 18% 47% B- D F F F C+ F C- F
1.03 76% 38% 26% +2 -2 1.02 26% 1.3 .32 20% .24 69% .17 1.13 44% 63% 43% +5 0 1.13 32% 1.1 .35 18% .44 71% .31
Dec
13		 Hawaii D+ F F C- D 35% 27% 37% D- D- D+ A+ A+ B F F F B- A+ F C A 52% 9% 39% F B+ A+ D B+ F D F F
0.95 44% 29% 32% -9 -1 0.82 24% 1.8 .43 14% .18 50% .09 1.03 42% 50% 33% -8 +3 0.91 21% 1.1 .24 12% .39 82% .32
Dec
21		 Norfolk St. F+ A+ F D C- 36% 18% 46% D C- B+ F+ C F A+ F D- D+ A F F F 38% 24% 38% C- F+ C- A+ A- B+ F B F
1.02 78% 22% 30% +2 0 1.06 39% 0.9 .34 23% .50 44% .22 1.04 41% 64% 41% +4 -1 1.09 30% 0.7 .21 22% .55 63% .35
Dec
22		 North Dakota St. C C+ B A+ B+ 22% 40% 38% F C+ B- D C C- A+ C+ A+ A- D+ F A+ C- 36% 32% 32% B+ C A+ A A+ A+ F C F
1.12 64% 45% 42% +9 -4 1.12 32% 0.8 .26 19% .38 76% .29 0.97 63% 71% 14% +3 -2 1.05 22% 0.8 .19 24% .40 71% .29
Dec
29		 Louisiana Tech D+ F F+ F+ F+ 17% 22% 61% F F A B- A F C A B F A+ F F F 36% 17% 48% D+ F B- A+ A+ F F B+ F
0.98 38% 30% 29% -10 -2 0.78 42% 1.1 .47 23% .32 81% .26 1.17 27% 57% 55% +7 0 1.17 32% 0.4 .14 14% .61 59% .36
Jan
2		 Missouri St. F+ F A D- D 18% 49% 33% F F+ A- F D+ D A- F C+ F F F+ D- F 23% 36% 41% A+ F+ F F F C F F+ F
0.95 43% 47% 31% 0 -5 0.92 39% 0.8 .29 19% .43 65% .28 1.36 78% 43% 38% +8 -3 1.13 48% 1.7 .80 17% .54 73% .40
Jan
4		 Florida International D- F F+ B- F 35% 17% 48% C- F+ D+ F F+ B F A+ D- D+ F+ D- A+ C 53% 16% 31% F C- F F F C+ F A- F
0.96 39% 33% 36% -6 0 0.90 32% 0.8 .24 18% .22 83% .18 1.14 67% 43% 21% -1 +2 1.04 39% 1.3 .52 18% .49 63% .31
Jan
8		 Middle Tennessee B- B F B+ C- 28% 40% 32% F D A- A A+ B+ A+ F+ A+ D+ F A+ D C- 26% 30% 44% A- C A F B- C+ D+ F F
1.16 64% 25% 38% -2 -3 0.92 34% 1.3 .45 13% .58 69% .40 1.12 79% 25% 38% +4 -2 1.06 22% 1.1 .25 17% .29 88% .25
Jan
10		 Western Kentucky F A+ F F F 17% 38% 45% F F C- F F F C+ A B+ B- B F+ A- C 41% 31% 27% A C+ F A+ B- C D- A+ C+
0.82 88% 22% 24% -8 -4 0.79 27% 0.4 .11 22% .42 77% .32 1.00 48% 44% 29% -5 -1 0.90 39% 0.7 .27 15% .38 59% .22
Jan
15		 Delaware C A D- C- C 33% 24% 44% C C F A+ D- A+ F F F D+ A+ A F A 37% 23% 40% C+ A F F F F F A- F
1.14 72% 31% 33% +2 -1 1.05 18% 1.3 .24 6% .16 67% .10 1.12 38% 30% 41% -5 0 0.91 30% 1.4 .41 13% .39 71% .28
Jan
17		 Liberty C+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 23% 44% D+ A+ F F F D- F F F D- F F C+ F 52% 8% 40% C F+ C- C- C- F+ A- F B-
1.11 63% 64% 48% +16 -1 1.33 14% 1.0 .14 21% .08 50% .04 1.29 81% 50% 35% +13 +3 1.34 18% 1.0 .18 10% .20 82% .16
Jan
22		 Florida International C+ B+ C+ A A- 32% 26% 42% F+ B D- A+ C+ D F+ C- F+ C- F+ C+ F F 38% 36% 26% A+ F+ C+ A+ A- C+ F A- F
1.16 65% 43% 41% +8 -1 1.15 29% 1.3 .39 22% .25 71% .18 1.07 67% 35% 50% +8 -2 1.15 31% 0.8 .25 18% .46 63% .29
Jan
24		 Missouri St. F C F A+ D- 22% 41% 37% F+ D- F F F B- F C F B+ F A- A+ B 30% 28% 43% B- B A+ F C- A+ F F F
0.88 64% 20% 44% 0 -4 0.94 9% 0.0 .00 15% .28 73% .20 0.96 75% 27% 24% -5 -1 0.90 21% 1.8 .38 23% .46 74% .34
Jan
28		 Louisiana Tech F F F C F 29% 27% 44% F+ F F+ F+ F C+ B A+ A+ D A+ F F F+ 38% 30% 32% B+ D F+ D+ D- A+ F F F
0.91 43% 15% 33% -11 -1 0.77 24% 0.9 .22 17% .35 89% .32 1.07 39% 57% 40% +1 -1 1.02 41% 0.8 .34 25% .37 78% .29
Jan
31		 Delaware D+ B+ F A+ D+ 27% 42% 31% F D- B F D+ A A+ C- A+ A F A+ A+ A+ 27% 22% 51% B A+ F A+ D- A F F F
1.12 67% 21% 43% -1 -4 0.93 35% 0.8 .27 10% .44 80% .36 0.88 73% 11% 10% -21 -1 0.59 39% 0.6 .25 22% .60 93% .56
Feb
4		 Sam Houston St. D- D A- F D+ 29% 41% 31% F D- F F F A+ F C F A A A+ A+ A+ 47% 16% 37% D A+ C D- D+ C F F+ F
0.95 53% 46% 22% -4 -3 0.88 19% 0.8 .14 9% .22 71% .16 1.00 48% 13% 22% -15 +1 0.73 36% 1.1 .40 17% .47 78% .36
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 New Mexico St. C- B- F D+ D 23% 26% 51% D- D- A- B A D A+ F A+ C B+ B F C- 38% 29% 33% C- C- B- C- C+ D D- A+ C
1.12 62% 20% 31% -6 -2 0.86 38% 1.3 .49 17% .56 68% .39 1.08 50% 33% 43% 0 -1 1.00 30% 1.0 .30 12% .32 61% .20
Feb
11		 Jacksonville St. B C+ B A+ A+ 24% 17% 59% D A+ D+ F F+ D B+ D B C+ D C+ F F 37% 22% 41% A F D+ C C- A B A+ A
1.15 60% 43% 46% +12 -1 1.24 25% 0.7 .18 18% .39 74% .29 1.07 60% 33% 47% +8 0 1.17 31% 1.0 .31 22% .30 57% .17
Feb
14		 Liberty D A+ F A+ B+ 28% 34% 38% F B- F+ B D- D C- C- C- D+ F C- C+ C- 37% 10% 53% A- C F A+ C- D F+ A+ C
1.04 69% 31% 44% +7 -3 1.11 23% 1.3 .31 20% .22 73% .16 1.19 78% 40% 35% +8 +1 1.20 24% 0.8 .18 11% .33 56% .18
Feb
21		 New Mexico St. C B- B F D- 27% 25% 48% D D- C- D+ D+ A F A F C- C B C C+ 26% 34% 40% A- B- D C+ C- F A+ C+ A+
1.08 62% 42% 22% -7 -1 0.85 29% 1.1 .32 10% .25 85% .21 1.15 57% 33% 33% -2 -3 0.92 36% 0.9 .33 7% .13 71% .09
Feb
26		 Middle Tennessee D C- A- A+ A 39% 20% 41% C A F F F F C D- D+ C- C+ F C+ D 24% 35% 41% A+ C- F+ D+ D- A F F F
0.98 56% 44% 47% +9 0 1.20 12% 0.7 .08 21% .31 71% .22 1.13 58% 56% 33% +6 -3 1.08 36% 1.0 .36 21% .41 77% .31
Feb
28		 Western Kentucky F+ F D+ F F 19% 23% 57% D F D- A+ C D+ A+ D B+ F F F F F 49% 12% 39% F F A+ F C- D+ F F F
0.90 44% 36% 26% -10 -2 0.79 22% 1.2 .27 19% .50 66% .33 1.35 64% 67% 45% +13 +2 1.31 17% 2.0 .33 12% .44 86% .38



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 2.2 10.9 13.1 8th
9th 12.9 7.7 20.6 9th
10th 5.1 22.8 1.2 29.1 10th
11th 23.4 10.2 33.5 11th
12th 3.8 3.8 12th
Total 32.2 47.9 19.8 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 19.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 19.7
7-13 47.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.3 47.6
6-14 32.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 32.1
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 16.0 99.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.1%
Lose Out 22.5%