Wyoming
Mountain West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +4.8 100
Results Rating +4.6 105
Consistency 0.19 340
Pace 66.5 237
Improvement -4.4 333

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 93 B- C+ C B- B+
Defense C+ 133 C+ B C D D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 41 C- 56% 216 +2.5 92
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 312 A 48% 10 -1.3 254
Three Pointers 42% 151 C+ 35% 141 +1.3 137
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ +1.3 31 C+ +1.0 127
1st FG Attempt B- 1.07 100
Second Chance B 35.1% 48 C- 0.98 261 C+ 0.35 97
Opponents' Steals B- 8.4% 82
Other Turnovers D+ 8.1% 285
Turnovers C 16.4% 160
Freethrows C+ 0.32 127 B 76% 64 B- 0.24 95
Total Offense B- +3.4 93

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 170 C 11.2% 187
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 15% 329 C+ 4.3% 132
Three Pointers B 91% 35 D 1.4% 308
Total C+ 57% 142 C- 6.1% 240


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 43 C 57% 156 +2.8 283
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 289 C 38% 187 -1.3 74
Three Pointers 39% 246 B 31% 62 -2.6 69
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 326 B- -1.8 109
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 144
Second Chance B 26.5% 53 B- 0.98 94 B 0.26 45
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.2% 122
Other Turnovers D+ 6.7% 262
Turnovers C 16.9% 169
Freethrows F+ 0.38 349 B+ 69% 20 D 0.26 320
Total Defense C+ +1.4 133

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B+ 40% 34 D+ 9.0% 250
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 118 C- 3.9% 227
Three Pointers A 73% 8 C- 0.6% 219
Total B+ 46% 22 C- 4.9% 230

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.2 269 17.2 161
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 267 0.14 67
Consistency 0.15 338 0.14 307
Improvement -1.3 260 -3.1 318

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 110 102 95
Results Rating Rank 122 107 97
Conference Record 8 - 12 9 - 11 9 - 11
Conference Finish 9 9 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.1 12.0 12.5
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: San Jose St. (Away) - 70.4% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 6
Quad 22 - 62 - 13
Quad 34 - 16 - 14
Quad 411 - 017 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 203 Cal St. Fullerton W 92 - 82 83% +3  77% 1 - 0 C+ +5 C- -2 D+ C A B +5 B+ A- A
 Tue, Nov 11 176 Austin Peay W 79 - 65 80% +5  89% 2 - 0 B +10 D -5 C- C- D- A+ +14 A A- A
 Sat, Nov 15 215 Portland W 93 - 56 85% +16  92% 3 - 0 A+ +31 A+ +15 B- A+ B+ A+ +16 A+ A+ D+
 Wed, Nov 19 107 @Sam Houston St. L 70 - 78 42% -3  11% 3 - 1 C -1 D -4 B F F B- +3 B B A-
 Sun, Nov 23 313 Norfolk St. W 75 - 67 93% +11  95% 4 - 1 C- -4 C- -2 F A+ F C- -2 C+ B+ C-
 Wed, Nov 26 244 Denver W 101 - 59 87% +16  93% 5 - 1 A+ +34 A+ +15 B A+ C A+ +19 A+ B- B+
 Sun, Nov 30 12 @Texas Tech L 72 - 76 6% -2  20% 5 - 2 A +18 B+ +8 A- C- D A +10 A A C
 Sat, Dec 6 267 Dartmouth W 93 - 80 90% +1  37% 6 - 2 C+ +4 A- +10 A D B+ D- -7 F C- A
 Tue, Dec 9 284 South Dakota W 106 - 79 91% +15  99% 7 - 2 A- +17 A+ +20 A+ A B- D+ -4 C F B-
 Mon, Dec 15 213 South Dakota St. W 87 - 72 77% +13  95% 8 - 2 B+ +12 A +14 A A+ D+ C -1 C+ B+ F
 Sat, Dec 20 62 Grand Canyon L 70 - 82 45% -14  3% 8 - 3 0 - 1 D+ -6 C- -2 F+ A B- C- -3 F A+ A
 Tue, Dec 30 344 @Air Force W 68 - 56 91% +5  89% 9 - 3 1 - 1 C+ +2 F+ -9 F A F A+ +11 C- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 53 @New Mexico L 58 - 78 20% -6  37% 9 - 4 1 - 2 D+ -6 C- -1 C- A D D- -8 C+ F C
 Tue, Jan 6 103 UNLV W 98 - 66 63% +20  99% 10 - 4 2 - 2 A+ +33 A+ +18 A+ A+ D+ A+ +14 A A- C+
 Sat, Jan 10 81 @Nevada L 83 - 92 30% -4  5% 10 - 5 2 - 3 C +1 A+ +24 A+ A A+ F -23 F F C-
 Wed, Jan 14 48 San Diego St. L 57 - 74 36% -11  15% 10 - 6 2 - 4 D -9 F+ -8 D+ F A C -1 C- A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 129 @Fresno St. L 60 - 63 49% +2  75% 10 - 7 2 - 5 C+ +2 C- -2 C F F B- +3 C A+ F+
 Tue, Jan 20 59 Boise St. L 65 - 81 44% -10  23% 10 - 8 2 - 6 D -10 D+ -3 C+ B- D+ D- -8 F+ A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 24 223 San Jose St. W 66 - 62 86% +3  73% 11 - 8 3 - 6 C- -3 F+ -8 D+ F C B+ +6 B A+ D
 Wed, Jan 28 42 @Utah St. L 62 - 94 15% -22  2% 11 - 9 3 - 7 F+ -16 D+ -3 F B+ B- F -15 F+ D- F
 Sat, Jan 31 85 Colorado St. W 68 - 57 54% +8  97% 12 - 9 4 - 7 A- +15 B- +4 A D- D+ A+ +12 A+ A+ D-
 Tue, Feb 3 48 @San Diego St. L 63 - 72 18% -7  10% 12 - 10 4 - 8 B- +5 C -0 C C C+ B+ +5 A+ F D+
 Sat, Feb 7 42 Utah St. L 83 - 85 31% -3  24% 12 - 11 4 - 9 B- +8 A +13 A- C- A+ D -5 F A+ B-
 Sat, Feb 14 85 @Colorado St. L 68 - 79 32% 12 - 12 4 - 10 C -1
 Tue, Feb 17 129 Fresno St. W 92 - 82 71% +2  56% 13 - 12 5 - 10 B +9 A+ +25 A+ A+ A F -15 D- F F+
 Sat, Feb 21 62 @Grand Canyon W 70 - 65 24% +2  72% 14 - 12 6 - 10 A- +17 B +7 A- F+ B+ A +11 A D+ A
 Tue, Feb 24 59 @Boise St. L 62 - 72 23% -2  38% 14 - 13 6 - 11 C+ +2 C- -2 C- C+ B- B +4 A F B+
 Sat, Feb 28 344 Air Force W 66 - 62 96% +4  77% 15 - 13 7 - 11 D- -12 F -11 F B+ B C -1 F C B-
 Tue, Mar 3 81 Nevada W 83 - 73 52% +13  99% 16 - 13 8 - 11 B+ +14 A +14 A+ F C+ C+ +1 B B F
 Sat, Mar 7 223 @San Jose St. W 76 - 71 70%
Totals 17 - 13 9 - 11 +5 B- +3 A+ C+ B+ C+ +1 C+ B B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- C- A C+ C+ 44% 25% 42% B+ B- B C- C+ C C+ B B- C+ C C B B- 44% 17% 39% D C+ B B- B C F+ B+ D
1.13 56% 48% 35% +1 +1 1.07 35% 1.0 .35 16% .32 76% .24 1.07 57% 38% 31% -2 +1 1.00 26% 1.0 .26 17% .38 69% .22
Nov
8		 Cal St. Fullerton C- F A B+ D 44% 11% 46% B+ D+ D B+ C A A+ F A+ B D- B- A+ A- 45% 24% 31% C- B+ A B+ A- A F C F
1.10 48% 50% 38% 0 +2 1.05 25% 1.2 .30 13% .51 59% .30 0.98 65% 33% 19% -5 0 0.92 18% 0.9 .16 20% .64 72% .46
Nov
11		 Austin Peay D F A+ A+ D 52% 12% 37% A- C- C+ D C- D- A- C B+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 10% 44% F A B+ A- A- A F B- F+
1.03 44% 50% 42% -1 +2 1.04 33% 0.7 .23 21% .38 70% .26 0.85 61% 0% 18% -13 +2 0.80 24% 1.0 .24 21% .40 71% .28
Nov
15		 Portland A+ A F C- C+ 40% 12% 47% B B- A+ B A+ B+ C- A C+ A+ B A- A+ A+ 56% 23% 21% D+ A+ A A+ A+ D+ F A+ F
1.32 70% 14% 33% +1 +1 1.07 44% 1.2 .51 14% .28 82% .23 0.80 54% 30% 11% -11 +1 0.81 21% 0.8 .16 18% .58 55% .31
Nov
19		 Sam Houston St. D A- A- F B 46% 22% 32% B- B A F F F A F F B- D F A+ B 32% 23% 45% B+ B B- B B A- F F F
0.99 70% 45% 25% +3 0 1.08 39% 0.5 .18 21% .39 41% .16 1.10 64% 50% 25% -1 -1 0.98 33% 0.9 .30 21% .59 88% .52
Nov
23		 Norfolk St. C- F A+ F+ F 49% 2% 49% A- F A+ A+ A+ F A+ A- A+ C- A F+ C- C+ 43% 25% 32% D+ C+ C- A+ B+ C- F F+ F
1.12 38% 100% 29% -12 +3 0.84 46% 1.3 .60 21% .59 77% .45 1.00 42% 45% 36% -4 0 0.93 31% 0.7 .22 18% .53 72% .38
Nov
26		 Denver A+ D A+ A+ B- 57% 6% 37% A+ B A+ A+ A+ C A- C B+ A+ A- B A+ A+ 35% 22% 43% D- A+ D+ A B- B+ F A+ C-
1.43 55% 67% 45% +6 +3 1.20 47% 1.5 .69 13% .39 71% .28 0.84 47% 36% 14% -17 -1 0.67 33% 0.9 .30 17% .38 64% .24
Nov
30		 Texas Tech B+ B+ A+ F A 33% 37% 29% C- A- B F C- D D+ A+ A- A F+ C A+ A 38% 29% 33% B A B- A+ A C F A+ F
1.06 65% 58% 20% +3 -3 1.04 30% 0.7 .20 19% .24 100% .24 1.12 72% 43% 25% +2 -1 1.04 33% 0.8 .28 15% .52 60% .31
Dec
6		 Dartmouth A- A+ A+ D+ A+ 50% 17% 33% B- A B F D B+ B+ F C D- C+ F+ F F 30% 16% 55% C F A+ F C- A F F F
1.28 76% 50% 32% +10 +1 1.24 33% 0.7 .22 10% .33 59% .20 1.10 54% 43% 46% +9 0 1.20 12% 2.3 .28 23% .41 87% .36
Dec
9		 South Dakota A+ B+ A A+ A+ 59% 7% 34% A- A+ B A+ A B- B A- A- D+ A+ D- F+ C- 35% 29% 37% A C C+ F F B- F C- F
1.43 67% 50% 47% +13 +3 1.34 37% 1.4 .52 15% .33 81% .27 1.06 41% 43% 39% -2 -1 0.96 26% 1.4 .37 19% .55 76% .41
Dec
15		 South Dakota St. A A+ A B- A+ 36% 20% 44% C A A+ A+ A+ D+ B+ A+ A+ C B A+ D B- 43% 8% 49% F C+ A+ D B+ F F D F
1.30 78% 50% 36% +11 0 1.24 39% 1.6 .61 16% .36 85% .30 1.08 52% 0% 38% -3 +2 1.00 19% 1.1 .22 10% .40 75% .30
Dec
20		 Grand Canyon C- C A+ F F 38% 15% 47% A- F+ B- A+ A B- A+ B+ A+ C- F F F+ F 52% 5% 43% F F A+ B A+ A F B+ F
0.95 55% 50% 12% -15 +1 0.74 28% 1.4 .38 16% .49 77% .37 1.12 73% 50% 39% +11 +3 1.31 18% 1.0 .18 22% .61 71% .44
Dec
30		 Air Force F+ F F C F 32% 12% 56% B F B+ A- A F A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ C+ 60% 12% 28% F C- A A+ A+ A+ F A D
0.99 46% 0% 35% -8 +1 0.88 36% 1.3 .45 29% .55 89% .49 0.82 73% 20% 8% -4 +3 1.00 14% 0.5 .07 28% .40 55% .22
Jan
3		 New Mexico C- D+ C- D C- 24% 22% 53% C- C- A+ C+ A D C- D+ C- D- B+ A F C+ 47% 14% 39% C C+ F B- F C A C- A-
0.95 55% 40% 29% -4 -1 0.91 38% 1.0 .38 21% .27 69% .19 1.28 50% 29% 45% +1 +2 1.08 49% 0.9 .46 15% .23 75% .17
Jan
6		 UNLV A+ A D+ A+ A+ 54% 6% 40% A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ D+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ 65% 10% 25% F A B+ A A- C+ F A+ F
1.36 69% 33% 42% +11 +3 1.29 44% 1.1 .50 19% .50 79% .40 0.92 38% 25% 50% -8 +3 0.93 28% 0.7 .20 17% .75 56% .42
Jan
10		 Nevada A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 18% 36% B- A+ B A+ A A+ A+ B A+ F C F F F 50% 17% 33% F F F F+ F C- F+ F F
1.35 45% 63% 50% +7 +1 1.18 32% 1.4 .46 10% .56 74% .41 1.49 57% 50% 67% +17 +1 1.39 41% 1.2 .50 13% .45 83% .37
Jan
14		 San Diego St. F+ F F D+ D- 32% 4% 64% A D+ D F F A B- D C+ C A F F C+ 50% 17% 33% F C- A+ D A+ F+ A D+ A-
0.87 38% 0% 31% -11 +2 0.84 24% 0.6 .13 17% .35 68% .24 1.12 50% 56% 41% +2 +1 1.10 17% 1.2 .20 12% .24 79% .19
Jan
17		 Fresno St. C- C+ C- F+ C 42% 24% 33% C C A F F F C+ A+ A- B- C F A+ B- 57% 12% 31% F C D+ A+ A+ F+ F A F
0.99 63% 36% 27% -2 0 0.98 39% 0.4 .15 23% .26 92% .24 1.04 58% 60% 23% -2 +2 1.02 32% 0.3 .09 13% .51 67% .34
Jan
20		 Boise St. D+ D- A+ F C 41% 18% 41% A- C+ C+ B- B- D+ A A A D- D F F D- 49% 8% 43% F F+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ F B+
1.00 50% 75% 28% 0 0 1.02 23% 1.1 .27 17% .33 78% .26 1.25 64% 50% 41% +8 +2 1.24 25% 0.7 .18 12% .23 100% .23
Jan
24		 San Jose St. F+ B- A+ F F+ 59% 8% 33% A+ D+ B- F F C A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ B D- B+ 27% 23% 50% D+ B A+ A A+ D C A- C+
1.04 65% 67% 15% -3 +3 1.03 37% 0.2 .07 17% .52 89% .46 0.98 36% 33% 38% -4 -1 0.92 15% 0.8 .13 13% .29 69% .20
Jan
28		 Utah St. D+ F D+ F F 36% 13% 51% B+ F B+ B- B+ B- B- F+ C F F F D+ F 35% 7% 58% C F+ B+ F D- F D+ C D+
0.94 41% 33% 25% -14 +1 0.77 37% 1.1 .40 20% .34 67% .23 1.43 74% 75% 38% +11 +1 1.27 31% 1.6 .48 8% .35 71% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Colorado St. B- F C A+ A+ 24% 14% 62% B- A C F D- D+ A+ A- A+ A+ B C- A+ A+ 53% 10% 37% F A+ C- A+ A+ D- A+ A A+
1.16 44% 40% 48% +10 0 1.22 27% 0.9 .23 17% .49 75% .37 0.97 56% 40% 21% -8 +2 0.90 32% 0.6 .19 15% .20 70% .14
Feb
3		 San Diego St. C F A- C- C- 29% 16% 56% B- C B D- C C+ A+ B A+ B+ D- C- A+ A+ 30% 30% 40% B A+ F F F D+ F A+ F
0.94 38% 43% 32% -7 0 0.89 33% 0.8 .28 21% .49 77% .38 1.07 69% 38% 18% -6 -2 0.86 39% 1.4 .54 15% .63 64% .40
Feb
7		 Utah St. A F+ A+ A+ B+ 46% 11% 43% A A- C- C C- A+ D- A+ C D F A F F 63% 9% 28% F F A+ A+ A+ B- F C- F
1.23 46% 67% 42% +2 +2 1.11 29% 1.0 .29 10% .26 88% .23 1.26 78% 25% 50% +18 +3 1.44 15% 0.7 .10 16% .51 72% .37
Feb
14		 Colorado St.
Feb
17		 Fresno St. A+ D A+ A+ A+ 38% 12% 50% B+ A+ A A+ A+ A D- A+ D+ F C A- F D- 47% 21% 32% D+ D- F+ F F F+ F B+ F
1.41 55% 83% 42% +10 +1 1.25 40% 1.5 .60 14% .20 82% .16 1.26 59% 30% 47% +5 +1 1.13 35% 1.2 .42 14% .43 71% .30
Feb
21		 Grand Canyon B C- A+ D B+ 34% 12% 54% A- A- B+ F F+ B+ C+ B- C+ A A+ A D+ A+ 47% 17% 36% D A B+ F D+ A D B- D+
1.04 53% 83% 30% 0 +1 1.04 32% 0.5 .16 15% .33 74% .24 0.96 41% 25% 35% -10 +1 0.85 28% 1.4 .39 22% .36 74% .27
Feb
24		 Boise St. C- A F F+ D+ 33% 16% 51% B+ C- C+ B- C+ B- F A F+ B F A+ A+ A 34% 26% 40% A A D F F B+ C- F F+
0.97 69% 25% 28% -3 0 0.96 22% 1.1 .25 14% .16 78% .13 1.13 81% 25% 21% -3 -1 0.94 38% 1.7 .65 19% .37 89% .33
Feb
28		 Air Force F F D- F F 47% 12% 41% A F B- B+ B+ B D+ A+ C+ C D- A+ F F 47% 12% 42% D- F C- B- C B- F A+ B
1.01 42% 33% 24% -15 +2 0.76 33% 1.2 .40 12% .28 81% .23 0.95 65% 0% 44% +5 +2 1.16 24% 1.0 .24 23% .42 38% .16
Mar
3		 Nevada A A+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 9% 45% A A+ F A- F C+ A+ F A- C+ B F A+ B+ 45% 24% 31% D B A+ F B F F A+ D+
1.25 80% 75% 45% +21 +2 1.48 13% 1.3 .17 17% .49 59% .29 1.10 50% 50% 27% -4 0 0.94 22% 1.4 .31 9% .48 66% .32



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 29.6 70.4 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 29.6 70.4 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 70.4% 0.9% 0.9% 12.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 69.7
8-12 29.6% 0.7% 0.7% 12.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 29.4
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 12.1 99.1 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.7% 100.0% 12.0 13.6 69.7 16.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.3%
Lose Out 18.5%