TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -1.6 #183
Expected Predictive Rating -0.7 #172
Pace 67.5 #231
Improvement +2.3 #67

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #268 F C C D B-
Defense #112 C+ B- B+ F C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 49% #4 0.96 #347 +1.0 #134
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #155 0.62 #319 -1.0 #226
Three Pointers 30% #355 0.97 #232 -6.1 #340
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #337 -6.1 #337
Freethrows 16.2 #247 67% #315 10.9 #276
Second Chance 32.9% #118 0.99 #254 0.32 #161
Turnovers 16.5% #167
Total Offense -3.4 #268

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #180 1.15 #159 +0.1 #175
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #167 0.75 #181 -0.2 #200
Three Pointers 40% #208 0.94 #94 +1.9 #111
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #121 +1.8 #121
Freethrows 23.2 #355 75% #297 17.5 #9
Second Chance 28.1% #94 1.00 #139 0.28 #91
Turnovers 19.1% #60
Total Defense +1.8 #112

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.3% #100 -0.1% #163
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -13.0% #348 -3.5% #111
Possession Length 18.3 #284 16.7 #94
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #120 0.17 #164
Improvement +2.1 #58 +0.2 #172

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 6.9% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.0 14.5
.500 or above 46.7% 57.6% 31.0%
.500 or above in Conference 85.4% 92.1% 75.6%
Conference Champion 3.5% 5.0% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.4%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round5.8% 6.9% 4.1%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern St. (Away) - 59.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 33 - 44 - 11
Quad 410 - 414 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 28 @SMU L 58 - 69 5%  -2  0 - 1 +6 -8 F D- A +14 A+ A+ D
 Sat, Nov 8 172 @Tarleton St. L 77 - 85 36%  -13  0 - 2 -6 +6 F C- A -12 F F B-
 Tue, Nov 11 18 @Kansas L 46 - 77 4%  -19  0 - 3 -11 -17 F F F +6 F A- A+
 Sun, Nov 16 54 @Oklahoma St. L 69 - 85 10%  -9  0 - 4 -3 -6 F D+ C- +4 B- C A+
 Fri, Nov 28 97 @Xavier L 67 - 88 18%  -12  0 - 5 -13 -6 F D- A+ -6 C B+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 231 @Lamar W 57 - 49 47%  +1  1 - 5 1 - 0 +7 -4 D- C- D- +13 B- A+ B
 Wed, Dec 17 112 @Stephen F. Austin L 60 - 69 21%  -1  1 - 6 1 - 1 -2 -2 D B F -1 D+ B+ B+
 Mon, Dec 29 215 Nicholls St. L 71 - 76 66%  -3  1 - 7 1 - 2 -11 +4 B+ C D- -15 F F B+
 Wed, Dec 31 236 New Orleans W 83 - 69 70%  +6  2 - 7 2 - 2 +7 +6 F A+ C+ +1 B B+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 220 @UT Rio Grande Valley W 63 - 59 44%  +1  3 - 7 3 - 2 +4 -1 F A D+ +6 A+ A+ C-
 Mon, Jan 5 300 @Houston Christian W 81 - 65 62%  +8  4 - 7 4 - 2 +11 +6 C A- C +6 A- F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 288 @Northwestern St. W 70 - 68 59% 
 Mon, Jan 12 324 @East Texas A&M W 72 - 67 69% 
 Sat, Jan 17 260 SE Louisiana W 70 - 63 75% 
 Mon, Jan 19 87 McNeese St. L 67 - 72 31% 
 Sat, Jan 24 165 @Incarnate Word L 68 - 72 35% 
 Mon, Jan 26 220 UT Rio Grande Valley W 72 - 67 66% 
 Sat, Jan 31 300 Houston Christian W 73 - 64 79% 
 Mon, Feb 2 165 Incarnate Word W 71 - 69 57% 
 Sat, Feb 7 215 @Nicholls St. L 69 - 71 44% 
 Mon, Feb 9 236 @New Orleans L 73 - 74 48% 
 Sat, Feb 14 231 Lamar W 68 - 63 69% 
 Mon, Feb 16 112 Stephen F. Austin L 66 - 69 40% 
 Sat, Feb 21 87 @McNeese St. L 64 - 75 15% 
 Mon, Feb 23 260 @SE Louisiana W 67 - 66 54% 
 Sat, Feb 28 288 Northwestern St. W 73 - 65 78% 
 Mon, Mar 2 324 East Texas A&M W 75 - 64 85% 
Totals 13 - 14 13 - 9 -2 -3 F C C +2 C+ B- B+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 3.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.8 3.7 2.2 0.5 0.0 10.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.2 7.8 7.9 3.9 0.8 0.0 25.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.0 5.3 8.9 5.7 1.8 0.2 0.0 23.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.1 6.4 3.7 0.9 0.0 15.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.4 2.0 0.3 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.0 0.1 3.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.0 1.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 4.1 7.8 10.8 14.7 17.2 15.3 12.6 8.4 4.2 1.7 0.4 0.1 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-3 95.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1
18-4 65.8% 1.1    0.6 0.4 0.1
17-5 27.4% 1.2    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
16-6 7.3% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0
15-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 1.5 1.4 0.5 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-3 0.4% 31.3% 31.3% 12.4 0.1 0.1 0.3
18-4 1.7% 27.4% 27.4% 13.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2
17-5 4.2% 19.9% 19.9% 13.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 3.4
16-6 8.4% 13.7% 13.7% 13.8 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 7.3
15-7 12.6% 9.3% 9.3% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 11.4
14-8 15.3% 6.3% 6.3% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.0 14.3
13-9 17.2% 3.5% 3.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.0 16.6
12-10 14.7% 2.1% 2.1% 15.5 0.2 0.1 14.4
11-11 10.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.6
10-12 7.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.8
9-13 4.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.1
8-14 1.9% 1.9
7-15 0.7% 0.7
6-16 0.1% 0.1
5-17 0.0% 0.0
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 14.2 94.2 0.0%