TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.4 205
Results Rating -2.6 211
Pace 67.4 214
Improvement +0.2 182

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 296 D D+ C- C C+
Defense C+ 110 C C+ B+ F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 15 D- 51% 340 +1.1 137
2 Pt. Jumpers 48% 65 D+ 35% 279 +0.0 179
Three Pointers 31% 348 D+ 32% 268 -6.0 343
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 149 D- -5.0 335
1st FG Attempt D 0.92 320
Second Chance C- 28.5% 234 D+ 0.95 296 D+ 0.27 278
Turnovers C- 17.7% 246
Freethrows B- 0.34 72 F+ 66% 348 C 0.22 157
Total Offense D+ -4.7 296

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D 39% 310 D- 14.3% 336
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 156 D+ 6.9% 299
Three Pointers C- 82% 231 C- 1.1% 241
Total D- 47% 331 F 8.5% 361

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 57 C- 60% 237 +3.8 313
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 207 C+ 36% 107 -0.8 124
Three Pointers 37% 292 B 31% 73 -3.4 48
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 259 C+ -0.9 145
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 166
Second Chance C+ 28.8% 111 C+ 1.00 140 C+ 0.29 111
Turnovers B+ 20.2% 29
Freethrows F 0.41 363 C 72% 195 F 0.30 361
Total Defense C+ +2.3 110

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 45% 116 D+ 8.8% 260
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 28% 232 C 4.8% 174
Three Pointers D 89% 310 D 0.2% 330
Total C+ 54% 135 C- 4.8% 236

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.2 261 16.8 90
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 168 0.18 202
Improvement +0.2 #175 +0.0 #183

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 234 204 172
Results Rating Rank 241 209 174
Conference Record 11 - 11 12 - 10 13 - 9
Conference Finish 6 4 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 3% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.5
.500 or above 8% 13% 1%
.500 or above in Conference 98% 100% 94%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round2% 3% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: SE Louisiana (Away) - 57.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 8
Quad 32 - 42 - 11
Quad 411 - 413 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 31 @SMU L 58 - 69 4% -2  30% 0 - 1 B- +7 F -12 F D- B A+ +18 A+ A+ D+
 Sat, Nov 8 230 @Tarleton St. L 77 - 85 44% -13  0% 0 - 2 D -9 B- +5 D- C- A- F -14 F F C-
 Tue, Nov 11 21 @Kansas L 46 - 77 3% -19  0% 0 - 3 D -10 F -19 F F+ D+ A +9 F+ B+ A+
 Sun, Nov 16 68 @Oklahoma St. L 69 - 85 10% -9  4% 0 - 4 C- -5 F+ -9 F D C B+ +6 C+ D+ A+
 Fri, Nov 28 84 @Xavier L 67 - 88 13% -12  11% 0 - 5 D -11 F+ -9 F D A- C -1 C B+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 216 @Lamar W 57 - 49 41% +1  55% 1 - 5 1 - 0 B- +8 F+ -8 D- C F A+ +17 A- B+ B-
 Wed, Dec 17 102 @Stephen F. Austin L 60 - 69 17% -1  44% 1 - 6 1 - 1 C -1 D -5 D- B- D+ B- +3 C- C+ A-
 Mon, Dec 29 256 Nicholls St. L 71 - 76 71% -3  29% 1 - 7 1 - 2 D- -13 C- -2 B C- D- F -12 F+ F B+
 Wed, Dec 31 206 New Orleans W 83 - 69 62% +6  67% 2 - 7 2 - 2 B +9 B- +5 F A+ B B +4 B B A-
 Sat, Jan 3 145 @UT Rio Grande Valley W 63 - 59 27% +1  59% 3 - 7 3 - 2 B- +8 D+ -3 F+ A D A+ +12 A+ A C
 Mon, Jan 5 298 @Houston Christian W 81 - 65 60% +8  80% 4 - 7 4 - 2 B +11 B- +4 C- B+ B- A- +7 B D- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 275 @Northwestern St. L 78 - 79 54% +7  91% 4 - 8 4 - 3 C- -4 B- +4 C+ D- A F+ -8 F F A+
 Mon, Jan 12 308 @East Texas A&M W 61 - 50 62% +5  88% 5 - 8 5 - 3 B- +5 F -12 F B- F A+ +18 A+ D+ B+
 Sat, Jan 17 287 SE Louisiana W 68 - 56 78% +14  99% 6 - 8 6 - 3 C +2 F+ -10 D+ C+ F A+ +11 C B A+
 Mon, Jan 19 81 McNeese St. L 53 - 69 27% -6  13% 6 - 9 6 - 4 D- -12 F -10 D F A D+ -5 B+ F A
 Sat, Jan 24 269 @Incarnate Word W 79 - 71 53% +10  94% 7 - 9 7 - 4 C+ +5 C +1 C B+ F B +4 F+ A- A+
 Mon, Jan 26 145 UT Rio Grande Valley L 55 - 64 49% -3  26% 7 - 10 7 - 5 D -11 F -16 F F F+ B +4 A- D B+
 Sat, Jan 31 298 Houston Christian W 73 - 71 79% +0  45% 8 - 10 8 - 5 D -9 C+ +3 B F C- F -12 F A+ B
 Mon, Feb 2 269 Incarnate Word L 69 - 71 74% -4  5% 8 - 11 8 - 6 D -11 F+ -9 D- F D+ C- -2 F A+ B
 Sat, Feb 7 256 @Nicholls St. W 83 - 76 49% +2  74% 9 - 11 9 - 6 C+ +5 B+ +8 A- C- B- D+ -3 C- F+ D+
 Mon, Feb 9 206 @New Orleans L 78 - 84 OT 39% +1  52% 9 - 12 9 - 7 D+ -5 F -14 F D F A +9 B- A A+
 Sat, Feb 14 216 Lamar W 76 - 63 64% +12  94% 10 - 12 10 - 7 B- +7 C +1 D+ C- A+ B+ +6 B- A+ A+
 Mon, Feb 16 102 Stephen F. Austin L 68 - 78 34% -13  0% 10 - 13 10 - 8 D -8 D+ -3 D C- C+ D -6 D- A+ F+
 Sat, Feb 21 81 @McNeese St. L 54 - 70 12% -5  22% 10 - 14 10 - 9 D+ -6 F -13 B F F B+ +6 B D+ B-
 Mon, Feb 23 287 @SE Louisiana W 66 - 64 58%
 Sat, Feb 28 275 Northwestern St. W 71 - 64 74%
 Mon, Mar 2 308 East Texas A&M W 73 - 64 81%
Totals 12 - 15 12 - 10 -2 D+ -5 C+ D- C+ C+ +2 D+ F+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D- D+ D+ D- 46% 48% 31% C+ D C- D+ D+ C- B- F+ C C+ C- C+ B C+ 43% 19% 37% D+ C C+ C+ C+ B+ F C F
1.02 51% 35% 32% -5 0 0.92 28% 0.9 .27 18% .34 66% .22 1.05 60% 36% 31% -1 +1 1.01 29% 1.0 .29 20% .41 72% .25
Nov
6		 SMU F F F C- F 29% 23% 48% C F C+ F D- B B+ D B- A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 40% 30% 30% C+ A+ A- A+ A+ D+ F F+ F
0.84 47% 8% 32% -12 -1 0.77 31% 0.6 .19 16% .31 67% .21 1.00 53% 29% 29% -7 -1 0.85 31% 0.5 .17 13% .47 82% .38
Nov
8		 Tarleton St. B- F D+ B+ F+ 45% 17% 38% B- D- B- D- C- A- A+ F B+ F A+ F F F 37% 29% 34% B- F D- F F C- F D+ F
1.11 48% 38% 39% -2 +1 1.00 38% 0.9 .35 19% .52 62% .32 1.23 40% 58% 50% +8 -1 1.15 35% 1.4 .50 19% .66 78% .52
Nov
11		 Kansas F D F F F 55% 22% 24% A F F C F+ D+ C F D+ A F F+ C+ F 30% 21% 49% C+ F+ A- C- B+ A+ F A+ D
0.65 47% 17% 8% -20 +1 0.64 14% 0.8 .12 17% .22 54% .12 1.08 92% 44% 33% +11 -1 1.23 26% 1.3 .33 25% .41 68% .28
Nov
16		 Oklahoma St. F+ F+ F F F 55% 13% 33% A- F D- C+ D C A+ B+ A+ B+ F D+ A+ B- 47% 10% 43% C C+ C D- D+ A+ F F F
0.88 47% 14% 22% -15 +2 0.76 21% 1.1 .23 18% .41 77% .31 1.09 79% 40% 18% 0 +2 1.06 32% 1.1 .35 22% .44 81% .36
Nov
28		 Xavier F+ F+ D F F 48% 30% 22% C F C F D A- B- F D+ C B A+ F C+ 36% 20% 44% D- C B- A B+ F F A+ C-
0.89 48% 33% 23% -10 0 0.82 26% 0.6 .16 13% .31 55% .17 1.17 55% 25% 44% +3 0 1.08 25% 0.8 .20 7% .34 58% .20
Dec
6		 Lamar F+ F+ B D D- 35% 25% 40% D+ D- F A+ C F C+ C- C+ A+ B+ A C+ A- 28% 39% 33% B A- A+ F B+ B- B+ B B+
0.95 50% 40% 31% -4 -1 0.93 21% 1.5 .32 22% .40 68% .28 0.81 46% 28% 33% -8 -3 0.80 21% 1.1 .24 18% .18 67% .12
Dec
17		 Stephen F. Austin D D- F D- F+ 50% 17% 33% B+ D- A D- B- D+ A+ F A- B- D+ A+ F C- 45% 29% 26% D+ C- B+ D C+ A- F A+ F
0.94 48% 29% 29% -10 +1 0.86 38% 0.9 .35 19% .48 56% .27 1.08 59% 18% 50% +1 -1 1.03 28% 1.1 .31 17% .72 55% .40
Dec
29		 Nicholls St. C- C- B A+ B 45% 16% 39% C+ B D+ C+ C- D- F C- F F B+ F F D- 50% 7% 43% F F+ D F F B+ D F F
1.12 60% 43% 47% +9 +1 1.23 32% 1.1 .36 24% .27 77% .21 1.20 50% 67% 42% +3 +3 1.14 28% 1.7 .48 19% .33 88% .29
Dec
31		 New Orleans B- F F+ C F 60% 23% 17% B- F A+ B+ A+ B B+ B- A- B B C- B B- 36% 34% 30% A- B C+ B+ B A- F A+ F
1.21 41% 33% 33% -12 +1 0.81 50% 1.1 .56 13% .42 76% .32 1.00 50% 40% 31% -4 -2 0.91 33% 0.9 .31 23% .55 66% .36
Jan
3		 UT Rio Grande Valley D+ F F A+ F 58% 24% 18% B F+ B A+ A D A+ F A- A+ A- F A+ A+ 40% 22% 38% C+ A+ B- A+ A C F C- F
1.00 42% 27% 50% -7 +1 0.89 36% 1.1 .39 19% .47 63% .29 0.94 50% 60% 12% -11 0 0.80 26% 0.7 .17 17% .42 77% .33
Jan
5		 Houston Christian B- C A+ D C- 46% 23% 31% D+ C- A+ D B+ B- D+ C D+ A- D- B+ A+ B 35% 20% 45% C B D D- D- A+ F D- F
1.17 63% 50% 31% +4 0 1.10 45% 1.0 .45 16% .26 73% .19 0.94 65% 30% 23% -7 0 0.88 32% 1.0 .32 25% .36 74% .27
Jan
10		 Northwestern St. B- A- A D B- 40% 26% 34% D C+ F+ C- D- A A+ F A F+ D D F F 55% 21% 24% F F D F F A+ F D- F
1.15 68% 50% 31% +6 0 1.13 26% 1.1 .29 13% .48 64% .31 1.16 61% 44% 50% +9 +1 1.21 28% 1.4 .40 24% .46 79% .37
Jan
12		 East Texas A&M F F B F F 36% 32% 32% F F D+ A+ B- F A+ D A+ A+ B+ C- A+ A+ 48% 16% 36% D- A+ D- B- D+ B+ F A F
0.91 44% 43% 21% -10 -2 0.80 28% 1.4 .41 22% .46 67% .31 0.75 50% 38% 0% -22 +1 0.60 29% 0.8 .24 21% .42 59% .25
Jan
17		 SE Louisiana F+ F A+ A D- 60% 12% 28% A+ D+ C- B C+ F A F B- A+ B A+ D- B- 57% 19% 23% F C A D+ B A+ A- A- A-
0.97 38% 80% 42% -4 +3 1.00 30% 1.2 .37 26% .46 67% .31 0.80 52% 11% 36% -8 +2 0.89 21% 1.0 .21 27% .25 62% .16
Jan
19		 McNeese St. F B C+ F D+ 30% 35% 35% F D F F F A A+ F A- D+ C B+ A+ B+ 51% 24% 24% C B+ F F F A F A- F
0.90 64% 38% 23% -4 -2 0.89 17% 0.8 .13 20% .51 67% .34 1.17 58% 33% 22% -6 0 0.92 50% 1.4 .68 19% .54 69% .38
Jan
24		 Incarnate Word C F+ A A+ C 55% 20% 25% C+ C B+ C B+ F A+ F A+ B D+ D- D D- 39% 18% 43% D- F+ C- A+ A- A+ C- A+ C+
1.15 50% 50% 50% +4 +1 1.13 39% 1.2 .45 22% .67 58% .39 1.03 58% 44% 38% +4 0 1.10 33% 0.7 .22 25% .29 60% .17
Jan
26		 UT Rio Grande Valley F F F F F 41% 38% 21% F+ F B- F F F+ A+ F A+ B F C- A+ A- 29% 20% 51% B A- F+ C+ D B+ F B+ F
0.86 38% 27% 25% -16 -2 0.67 36% 0.4 .14 20% .81 63% .51 1.01 83% 38% 19% -4 -1 0.93 34% 1.0 .34 20% .49 72% .36
Jan
31		 Houston Christian C+ A- F B+ B- 60% 13% 28% A- B B F F C- A+ F+ A F C- D F F 29% 24% 46% B+ F F+ A+ A+ B F F F
1.20 71% 17% 38% +7 +3 1.21 37% 0.5 .19 18% .42 67% .28 1.17 58% 40% 53% +14 -1 1.27 34% 0.2 .07 20% .41 85% .35
Feb
2		 Incarnate Word F+ C F C+ D 43% 28% 30% D- D- F F F D+ B C+ B C- F A+ F F 52% 18% 30% F F A+ A+ A+ B F C F
1.05 60% 31% 36% 0 -1 1.00 22% 0.7 .16 17% .42 74% .31 1.08 65% 25% 46% +7 +1 1.18 20% 0.5 .10 18% .45 71% .32
Feb
7		 Nicholls St. B+ B B+ A+ A- 53% 19% 28% B- A- F A+ C- B- A- B+ A D+ F D+ A+ C- 39% 16% 45% C- C- B F F+ D+ D- C D
1.23 68% 44% 46% +12 +1 1.28 25% 1.5 .38 19% .42 83% .35 1.12 70% 38% 26% -1 +1 1.02 21% 1.7 .35 15% .35 65% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
9		 New Orleans F B+ F F F 47% 19% 34% C+ F D D+ D F A+ D+ A+ A C C+ A+ B 56% 24% 20% F+ B- A+ C+ A A+ F C F
0.90 64% 10% 17% -11 +1 0.81 30% 0.9 .28 22% .54 70% .38 0.96 56% 36% 22% -5 +1 0.93 23% 1.0 .23 25% .86 75% .65
Feb
14		 Lamar C F+ D- A D 58% 16% 27% A D+ C- C- C- A+ A+ C- A+ B+ C- C- A+ B 39% 37% 24% C- B- A A+ A+ A+ F F F
1.13 50% 29% 42% -3 +2 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 10% .58 69% .40 0.94 56% 40% 20% -5 -2 0.88 26% 0.5 .13 22% .52 85% .44
Feb
16		 Stephen F. Austin D+ D A+ F D- 44% 16% 40% B- D C+ D- C- C+ F+ C+ D- D C+ C- F D 48% 20% 32% F D- A- A+ A+ F+ F D+ F
1.01 50% 56% 23% -7 +1 0.89 30% 0.9 .27 16% .21 75% .16 1.16 54% 40% 44% +3 +1 1.10 27% 0.7 .19 9% .43 69% .29
Feb
21		 McNeese St. F F A+ A B- 40% 5% 55% A B F D F F F F F B+ C- A A+ A- 51% 14% 35% F+ B B- F D+ B- F B- F
0.82 44% 50% 41% +1 +2 1.08 21% 1.0 .21 34% .18 63% .11 1.07 60% 29% 24% -6 +2 0.94 32% 1.2 .38 15% .40 73% .29



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.5 7.3 7.8 3rd
4th 1.9 28.7 26.9 57.5 4th
5th 0.5 11.0 14.3 1.2 26.8 5th
6th 2.0 5.2 0.6 7.8 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 2.5 18.1 44.0 35.4 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9 35.4% 3.6% 3.6% 14.6 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.0 34.1
12-10 44.0% 1.6% 1.6% 15.3 0.0 0.5 0.2 43.3
11-11 18.1% 0.8% 0.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 17.9
10-12 2.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 2.4
9-13
8-14
7-15
6-16
5-17
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 14.9 97.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.3% 100.0% 14.6 3.1 38.8 57.8 0.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 13.7%
Lose Out 1.2%