IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Coppin St.
Mid-Eastern
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-13.8	#357
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	77.8	#15
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.6	#345

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.2	#354

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.7%	3.8%	1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.6	15.9

.500 or above	5.0%	23.5%	4.9%
.500 or above in Conference	27.5%	50.4%	27.4%
Conference Champion	3.5%	9.1%	3.4%
Last Place in Conference	31.5%	14.0%	31.6%

First Four	1.3%	1.4%	1.3%
First Round	0.9%	3.1%	0.8%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Tech (Away) - 0.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 5	0 - 9
Quad 4	7 - 12	7 - 21

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	57	@ Virginia Tech	L	63-89	1%
Nov 09, 2023	158	Towson	L	67-78	14%
Nov 11, 2023	250	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	66-78	14%
Nov 15, 2023	124	@ Louisville	L	66-85	4%
Nov 17, 2023	260	@ Miami (OH)	L	71-83	15%
Nov 18, 2023	332	Eastern Illinois	L	74-77	38%
Nov 26, 2023	199	@ La Salle	L	69-84	9%
Nov 30, 2023	292	Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	76-80	37%
Dec 03, 2023	277	@ Navy	L	65-76	18%
Dec 06, 2023	298	Wagner	L	65-68	38%
Dec 09, 2023	238	@ George Washington	L	74-87	14%
Dec 12, 2023	106	@ Georgetown	L	69-90	4%
Dec 19, 2023	121	@ James Madison	L	71-91	5%
Dec 28, 2023	29	@ Maryland	L	57-86	1%
Jan 06, 2024	355	@ Delaware St.	L	73-77	38%
Jan 08, 2024	342	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	74-73	53%
Jan 20, 2024	333	Morgan St.	L	79-80	49%
Jan 27, 2024	248	@ Norfolk St.	L	68-80	15%
Jan 29, 2024	247	Howard	L	77-83	30%
Feb 03, 2024	306	@ NC Central	L	70-79	22%
Feb 05, 2024	345	@ South Carolina St.	L	81-86	34%
Feb 17, 2024	355	Delaware St.	W	76-74	58%
Feb 19, 2024	342	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	L	71-76	33%
Feb 24, 2024	248	Norfolk St.	L	71-77	31%
Feb 26, 2024	247	@ Howard	L	74-86	16%
Mar 02, 2024	306	NC Central	L	73-76	40%
Mar 04, 2024	345	South Carolina St.	W	84-83	53%
Mar 07, 2024	333	@ Morgan St.	L	76-82	30%
Projected Record						7 - 21	5 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.1	0.6	1.2	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.0		3.5	1st
2nd								0.2	1.5	2.7	1.5	0.4	0.0				6.4	2nd
3rd						0.0	0.2	2.4	4.1	1.6	0.2	0.0					8.4	3rd
4th						0.3	3.5	5.5	1.8	0.1							11.2	4th
5th				0.0	0.5	4.4	6.6	1.9	0.1								13.5	5th
6th			0.0	1.0	5.6	7.4	2.3	0.1									16.4	6th
7th		0.2	2.3	6.8	7.7	2.3	0.1										19.4	7th
8th	1.9	5.5	7.4	5.0	1.4	0.1											21.2	8th

Total	1.9	5.6	9.7	12.9	15.3	14.4	12.7	10.0	7.6	5.0	2.9	1.4	0.6	0.2	0.0			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
13-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
12-2	93.9%	0.5		0.5	0.1
11-3	69.9%	1.0		0.6	0.3	0.0
10-4	40.8%	1.2		0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0
9-5	11.4%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
8-6	1.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	3.5%	3.5		1.8	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.0%		79.5%	79.5%		15.1															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-1	0.2%		55.9%	55.9%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
12-2	0.6%		29.2%	29.2%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4
11-3	1.4%		24.4%	24.4%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	1.0
10-4	2.9%		10.5%	10.5%		16.0																0.0	0.3	2.6
9-5	5.0%		6.2%	6.2%		16.0																0.0	0.3	4.7
8-6	7.6%		3.3%	3.3%		16.0																0.0	0.2	7.3
7-7	10.0%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	9.9
6-8	12.7%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.1	12.7
5-9	14.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	14.4
4-10	15.3%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	15.3
3-11	12.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.9
2-12	9.7%																							9.7
1-13	5.6%																							5.6
0-14	1.9%																							1.9

Total	100%		1.7%	1.7%	0.0%	15.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	1.5	98.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.9%