Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.4#346
Expected Predictive Rating-8.2#290
Pace71.3#116
Improvement-0.1#193

Offense
Total Offense-8.8#358
First Shot-8.0#354
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#224
Layup/Dunks-5.2#323
2 Pt Jumpshots+9.2#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-12.0#363
Freethrows-0.1#192
Improvement+0.3#129

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#297
First Shot-4.2#300
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#147
Layups/Dunks-1.1#213
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#14
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.1#340
Freethrows-0.2#203
Improvement-0.4#252
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.8% 4.1% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 7.8% 18.1% 5.4%
.500 or above in Conference 35.2% 47.4% 32.4%
Conference Champion 2.6% 4.5% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 14.1% 9.1% 15.2%
First Four2.5% 3.4% 2.3%
First Round1.3% 2.2% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mount St. Mary's (Away) - 18.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 48 - 108 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 118   @ Virginia Tech L 60-83 5%     0 - 1 -16.6 -9.8 -6.5
  Nov 09, 2024 190   @ Columbia L 62-83 10%     0 - 2 -19.4 -17.8 -0.1
  Nov 19, 2024 77   @ Providence L 48-78 3%     0 - 3 -19.6 -9.4 -15.2
  Nov 23, 2024 278   @ Mount St. Mary's L 65-74 19%    
  Nov 29, 2024 29   @ Texas L 57-85 0.4%   
  Dec 03, 2024 216   @ Delaware L 66-79 12%    
  Dec 07, 2024 335   Loyola Maryland W 68-67 54%    
  Dec 11, 2024 360   NJIT W 69-64 68%    
  Dec 19, 2024 234   Grambling St. L 62-71 21%    
  Dec 20, 2024 282   Alabama St. L 65-71 29%    
  Dec 28, 2024 99   @ Saint Joseph's L 61-82 3%    
  Jan 04, 2025 231   @ Howard L 66-78 14%    
  Jan 06, 2025 197   Norfolk St. L 65-73 25%    
  Jan 11, 2025 314   South Carolina St. L 70-71 47%    
  Jan 13, 2025 264   @ NC Central L 65-75 19%    
  Jan 25, 2025 354   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 01, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 68-64 63%    
  Feb 03, 2025 332   Morgan St. W 75-74 52%    
  Feb 15, 2025 231   Howard L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 17, 2025 197   @ Norfolk St. L 62-76 11%    
  Feb 22, 2025 314   South Carolina St. L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 24, 2025 264   NC Central L 68-72 36%    
  Mar 01, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 71-61 80%    
  Mar 03, 2025 332   @ Morgan St. L 72-78 32%    
  Mar 06, 2025 354   Maryland Eastern Shore W 71-67 64%    
Projected Record 8 - 17 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.3 2.1 0.5 0.1 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 4.5 3.3 0.5 0.0 9.9 3rd
4th 0.3 2.9 7.0 4.2 0.5 0.0 15.0 4th
5th 0.7 4.8 8.8 4.5 0.5 19.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.5 6.6 9.3 3.8 0.4 21.5 6th
7th 0.2 2.7 6.8 6.3 2.0 0.2 0.0 18.2 7th
8th 0.5 2.2 3.1 1.7 0.4 0.0 7.8 8th
Total 0.5 2.4 5.8 10.1 13.9 16.4 15.8 13.4 9.8 6.3 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
12-2 90.0% 0.5    0.3 0.1 0.0
11-3 63.9% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1
10-4 22.5% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
9-5 3.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.2% 32.4% 32.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 0.5% 26.2% 26.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.4
11-3 1.5% 17.0% 17.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 1.3
10-4 3.4% 11.7% 11.7% 16.0 0.4 3.0
9-5 6.3% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.5 5.8
8-6 9.8% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.5 9.4
7-7 13.4% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.4 13.0
6-8 15.8% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 15.5
5-9 16.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 16.2
4-10 13.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.8
3-11 10.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.0
2-12 5.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.8
1-13 2.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.4
0-14 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7 97.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%